JoshMartini007

Unlike with 1984, I don't think people will put an asterisk on our performance here, but yeah, I imagine a few of our bronze medals may have been 4ths had Russia/Belarus fully participated.

Final two days of the Olympics and the battle for top spot on the medal table is as close as ever with both the United States and China tied with 33 medals each. The United States will have the most silvers so China needs to outright win more medals. Lets take a look at the remaining 52 events. Artistic Swimming - 1 Event China currently leads the women's duet by 9.5 points. While the sport has had a major judging overhaul, it would be quite shocking for China to miss out in gold. Athletics - 10 Events Unsurprisingly, this is the sport with the most remaining events. Fortunately for the United States they are having a great meet. I'd say they are favourites in women's 100m hurdles, and women's 4x400m relay while they have a chance in the men's 800m, men's 5000m, men's 4x400m relay, men's high jump, and women's 1500m. Unfortunately for China I don't see them with any chance for gold. Basketball - 2 Events The United States have teams in both finals and they are both the favourites to win. Boxing - 4 Events Of the four events, China has a boxer in the women's middleweight final. I'd classify her as the favourite, but Panama will also have a great chance at winning. Breaking - 1 Event The United States has the defending champion, but I hesitate to call him the favourite as the event is quite open. China also has a pretty strong breaker and could win gold too. This is one of the few events where China and the United States will be directly at odds for gold. Canoeing - 3 Events The United States is the favourite in the women's C1 200m. While China could medal in the event or the women's K1 500m it would be quite surprising for them to win gold. Cycling - 4 Events Jennifer Valente is the reigning world champion in the women's omnium and with a team pursuit gold medal she'll be looking to win a second gold medal. Diving - 1 Event China current leads the men's 10m platform after the preliminary round with a second athlete in 4th. While this may be their weaker event, relatively speaking it's hard not to call them the favourites. Football - 1 Event The United States is in the final of the women's tournament and will be the favourites to win it all. Golf - 1 Event Going into the final day, the United States is two off the lead while China is five off. Both will have a chance for gold here. Gymnastics - 1 Event While China has a team in the women's rhythmic group all-around final it would be very unlikely for them to win gold. Handball - 2 Events China and the United States didn't even qualify to this events let alone compete in the final. Modern Pentathlon - 2 Events Neither of them are in the men's final and it is quite unlikely either of them will reach the women's final. Sport Climbing - 1 Event The United States has a finalist in the women's combined. Gold would be difficult, but she does have a chance. Table Tennis - 1 Event China is the heavy favourite to win the women's team gold. Taekwondo - 2 Events Both nations will actually face each other in the men's +80kg. China is also competing in the women's +67kg. With that said, it is quite unlikely either nation will win gold. Volleyball - 3 Events The United States is in the women's indoor volleyball final. I feel Italy will be the favourite, but they will have a great chance at winning. Water Polo - 2 Events Neither China nor the United States are in the gold medal match in either event. Weightlifting - 4 Events China will be the favourites in the men's -102kg and women's +87kg only a fail lift will prevent them from winning gold. Wrestling - 6 Events The three events to be decided tomorrow don't have athletes representing either side. The final three events likely favours the United States. In the men's freestyle -65kg you have a world -70kg champion and in the men's freestyle -97kg the United States has Kyle Snyder who I also give a chance. Here's the breakdown summary: China Favourites - 6 Chance - 2 United States Favourites - 7 Chance - 11 Things look good on paper for the United States as China has relatively fewer chances over the next few days. In China's defense, their favourites are a lot more likely to pan out for them than the United States' so in the event of bad luck China still has a path to finish top of the table.

Yeah that would be like saying athletes which do not compete at every World Cup event do not care about the sport.

What's more youthful than young kids protesting?

Here's the situation with three days remaining, comparing to 2020. Sport 2020 2024 Athletics 6 3 Boxing - 1 Canoeing 2 - Cycling 2 - Diving 1 1 Fencing - 1 Football 1 - Gymnastics - 1 Judo 2 1 Rowing 2 1 Rugby Sevens - 1 Softball 1 - Swimming 6 8 Taekwondo - 1 Tennis - 1 Weightlifting 1 1 Total 24 21 We are three medals away from matching out total medal count of 2020 (which was a non-boycott record). Technically two medals since we are guaranteed one in beach volleyball. Cycling is going to let us down this time so we are going to rely on other sports. I'm hoping athletics and canoeing can bring it home, but we do have other opportunities. Here are our remaining chances (some better than others). Athletics - Men's 800m Athletics - Men's 4x100m Relay Athletics - Women's 4x400m Relay Athletics - Women's Shot Put Breaking - B-Boys Canoeing - Women's C1 200m Canoeing - Women's C2 500m Cycling - Women's Individual Sprint Diving - Men's 10m Platform Volleyball - Women's Beach Volleyball Wrestling - Women's Freestyle Events I also have a soft spot for women's duet artistic swimming, but that might be really pushing it.

Yeah, not looking good for we'll see if it was just a temporary tweak. Might be down to

No doubt there will be some adjustments from the wrestlers and we'll probably see athletes still cut a couple of kilos for each competition, but it will at least get rid of these extreme scenarios.

I agree with their logic. Wrestlers cutting down their weight so rapidly is very unhealthy and this isn't a small amount, she cut around 13%. Wrestlers should compete near their actual weight, so in her case, 57kg.

I know everyone likes to be doom and gloom, but we still have something like 15 chances (> 10%) remaining for medals. Let's give it a few more days before calling this the worst games ever

That was hard to watch. She was in so much pain. The North Korean did what she needed to do to win.

Another update, now that were just about the half-way point in terms of total medals to be awarded. Sport 2020 2024 Athletics 6 1 Boxing - 1 Canoeing 2 - Cycling 2 - Diving 1 1 Fencing - 1 Football 1 - Gymnastics - 1 Judo 2 1 Rowing 2 1 Rugby Sevens - 1 Softball 1 - Swimming 6 8 Tennis - 1 Weightlifting 1 - Total 24 17 I don't expect as many medals in the second half of the Olympics, but we are still on a good pace. We failed to match our 2020 performance in judo and rowing, but we exceeded our performance in swimming despite not winning any relay medals. The sports to look for going into the second half will be athletics, canoeing and cycling, but I expect we will have chances in a handful of other sports.

up 2-0 against That would be a massive upset...

Trump is all about image, the 2028 Olympics will be held unless the IOC is dumb enough to attack him.

Cricket in Peru? Wonder where they'll host it...

What is this, the Mediterranean Games?

I think so, we still have plenty of chances. My original prediction was around 25 medals and I don't see why we can't reach that.

Hoping for 3-5 medals tomorrow.

Gold is probably out of reach, but a medal is possible. So is fourth

Now that we are done a full week, let's compare our performance relative to 2020. Sport 2020 2024 Athletics 6 - Canoeing 2 - Cycling 2 - Diving 1 1 Fencing - 1 Football 1 - Gymnastics - 1 Judo 2 1 Rowing 2 - Rugby Sevens - 1 Softball 1 - Swimming 6 5 Tennis - 1 Weightlifting 1 - Total 24 11 Obviously some sports (athletics, canoeing, cycling, weightlifting) haven't started or barely started so there isn't much to comment. Additionally, softball isn't held this time, but the medal won at rugby sevens sort of replaces that. One thing I've noticed is we've won medals in four sports (fencing, gymnastics, rugby sevens, tennis) in which we didn't medal in 2020. In diving, we already matched our performance in 2020 so anything more in the individual events would be a bonus. In football, we've reached the quarterfinals and are still in the hunt for a medal. The match against Germany will be tough, but if we can beat France then we have a chance. Even if we do fail we also have a chance in basketball so we may end up matching our team sport medals Judo unfortunately will likely see a decrease in medals won. There's still the mixed team, but I don't fancy our chances. Rowing we only have one boat remaining in the medal hunt so we are going to perform worse than expected. It will be worse if our women's eights fail to medal too. With some medal chances tomorrow I feel confident we will at least match our swimming total. McIntosh has replaced our relay team dropping to fourth. Things were looking a bit dicey, but medals from Kharun and Masse has turned this into an okay showing. Personally I was expecting 6-8 medals.

Since the program is different relative to 2020, I usually like to compare to which events have been completed in both editions. Using the current completed events, Canada in 2020 would have had 1G-3S-3B. We are down one medal. Unsurprisingly, swimming is behind. So is judo, but they could go even once the program is completed.

Women's team gymnastics is another low chance. We could have a repeat of the 2022 World Championships where everyone else choked.

Hoping for 1-2 medals on Day 4, but we could end up with 0 or maybe 5

I agree, the logical thing to do was to either deduct 3 points or actually disqualify us. FIFA just assumed France would get the job done and eliminate us, forgetting that Canada actually has a decent record at the Olympics (unlike the World Cup). Of course, we still need a win against Colombia to advance. Then our quarterfinal opponent will likely be Germany.

Soccer Canada coaching staff (and maybe executives) are going to get cleaned out. I wonder how long Toronto FC keeps John Herdman. Right now he denies everything, but only time will tell. Now that Canada has a path to the knockout round I wonder if FIFA regrets only deducting six points. I imagine the other teams will be unhappy should we end up winning a medal.