Ogreman

The Irish boxing federation tried to join early on (late 2023) but Irish boxing clubs being Irish boxing clubs failed to pass it in a vote. Needed a 70% majority and fell just short I think. They also a couple of years ago voted against basic governance reforms just because despite sport ireland threatening to cut their funding so yeah Irish boxing clubs are just erratic. They managed to just about pass a vote to remove references to the IBA from its constitution last year and are expected to join world boxing presumably in the next couple of months. But yeah the Irish federation wanted to join from the start, the clubs just didn't let them. Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan have both joined world boxing and Kazakhstan is hosting the 2027 world boxing world champs. I would expect them both to go to world boxing worlds as well. They and a few others might just be milking the IBA for its money at this point.

W63 W66 W70 1 Kristina Kulukhova (SRB) Busenaz Surmeneli (TUR) (1) Lisa O'Rourke (IRL) 2 Elena Babicheva (RUS) (3) Albina Moldazhanova (RUS) Shu Li (CHN) ? 3 Aida Abikeyeva (KAZ) (2) Pan Zhou (CHN)< Kaye Scott (AUS) (1) 4 Jessica Triebelova (SVK) Navbakhor Khamidova (UZB) (2) Milena Matovic (SRB) < 5 Shuoyu Zhao (CHN) ?? Grainne Walsh (IRL) Natalya Bogdanova (KAZ) (2) 6 Thananya Somnuek (THA) (1) Zhasmin Kizatova (KAZ) Elena Gapeshina (RUS) 7 Thi Linh Ha (VIE) (5) Ivanusa Moreira (CPV) (3) Oysha Toirova (UZB) 8 Omailyn Alcala (VEN) Stephanie Pineiro (PUR) (4) Saida Lahmidi (MAR) (3) 9 Esma Nur Lok (TUR) Mouna Toutir (MAR) Sema Caliskan (TUR) 10 Loredana Marin (ROU) Crinuta Sebe (ROU) (22 EY gold) Dunia Martinez (ESP) 11 Megan de Cler (IBA) Tamara Kubalova (SVK) Aryna Danylchyk (BLR) (4) 12 Ala Ivashkevich (BLR) Anastasija Lukajic (SRB) Emili Rzayeva (AZE) 13 ((Odinakhon Ismoilova)) (UZB) Friza Asiko Anyango (KEN) Genesis Palma (VEN) 14 Marianna Soto (ESP) Maria Rodriguez (MEX) Darianne Olvera (MEX) 15 Olga Papadatou (GRE) Thabisile Cimi (RSA) Ngoc Mai Hoang (VIE) (5) 16 Jekaterina Sorokina (LAT) Zabrina Holstrom (SWE) 17 Miriam Hernandez (MEX) Sinothile Ncube (RSA) 18 Esmaralda Novruzaj (ALB) 19 Nilufar Boboyorova (TJK) 20 Sona Harutyunyan (ARM) (4) 21 Cynthia Mwai (KEN) 22 Hildah Kaye (ZIM) 23 Rebecca Sovula (SLE) 24 Doricas Kibwana (TAN) W63kg Russian import and European champion Kristina Kulukhova has been disappointing since winning that European title last year but with home advantage should beat Olympian Thananya Somnuek . Thi Linh Ha was a surprise Olympic qualifier but only has to beat 57kg Olympian Omailyn Alcala to medal here. European silver medallist Elena Babicheva should also medal. Asian champion Aida Abikiyeva is probably the pick of the last bracket but will have to beat Shuoyo Zhao (Chinese have won this division in 4 out of the last 5 world championships) or European bronze medallist Jessica Triebelova . Don’t really know from there so I guess just pick the home boxer Gold- Kristina Kulukhova , Silver- Elena Babicheva , Bronze- Thi Linh Ha , Aida Abikiyeva . W66kg Back to back world champion Busenaz Surmeneli should be able to avenge her Olympic disappointment and will have no trouble making the final. Stephanie Pineiro looks set to become one of the world medallist from this tournament that are nowhere near good enough to become a world medallist certainly not at this point in her career. Crinuta Sebe is former European youth champion so is the other contender there. European silver medallist Albina Moldazhanova has a tough bracket here against 2023 70kg world bronze medallist Pan Zhou and one of Asian under 22 champ Zhasmin Kizatova or Ivanusa Moreira . Olympic quarter finalist and Asian champion Navbakhor Khamidova has been in great form of late but has a tough fight against fellow Olympian Grainne Walsh between her and a medal. A year ago I would have confidently picked Grainne Walsh here but now I’m not so sure. Gold- Busenaz Surmeneli , Silver- Albina Moldazhanova , Bronze- Stephanie Pineiro , Navbakhor Khamidova . W70kg Decent field here. World silver medallist Kaye Scott is here for some reason even though Australia isn’t. She should be able to beat Elena Gapeshina to medal here. Somehow Aryna Danilchyk is probably going to medal here. 2022 world champion Lisa O’Rourke should be able to beat world youth medallist Oysha Toirova . Not sure who of Milena Matovic , Shu Li or Natalya Bogdanova win the last bracket. I’ll back O’Rourke to beat Scott in the final but nobody here is particularly reliable. Gold-Lisa O’Rourke , Silver- Kaye Scott , Bronze- Shu Li , Aryna Danylchyk . W75 W81 W81+ 1 Aoife O'Rourke (IRL) (1) Xiaomeng Wang (CHN) ?? Yilian Zhan (CHN) ?? 2 Lina Wang (CHN) (2) Busra Isildar (TUR) Daria Sazonova (MDA) (2) 3 Anastasia Shamonova (RUS) (3) Gulsaya Yerzhan (KAZ) Maria Kuchmanova (RUS) 4 Nadezhda Ryabets (KAZ) Sarah Scheurich (GER) Elif Guneri (TUR) 5 Aziza Zokirova (UZB) Saltanat Medenova (RUS) Aynur Rzayeva (AZE) (1) 6 Amalia Nita (EY champ) Sokhiba Ruzmetova (UZB) Sara Miljkovic (SRB) (3) 7 Nikolina Gajic (SRB) (4) Viktoriya Kebikava (BLR) (2) Yeldana Talipova (KAZ) 8 Patricia Mbata (NGR) Elizabeth Andiego (KEN) (1) Oltinoy Sotimboeva (UZB) 9 Vasiliki Stavridou (GRE) Elma Hajrovic (SRB) Judy Bobbett (IRL) 10 Alina Veber (BLR) Maria Cimpoeru (ROU) Nena Zamora (PYF) 11 Yaren Duztas (TUR) Hasnae Larti (MAR) > 12 Keidy Guevara (VEN) Yoana Rodriguez (CUB) 13 Dayira Mesa (CUB) Veroiti Nena (PYF) 14 Aminata Koroma (SLE) W75kg Aoife O’Rourke has been the best middleweight in the world for the past few years but somehow has fallen short at every global championships so far in her career. Controversially losing a last 16 fight to a boxer she has beaten 4 times before with only other boxers she had beaten before lying between her and gold is as painful as an Olympic experience gets but as a result she probably has the most pressure of any boxer to win here. She should end up facing either multi time 81kg world medallist Lina Wang or Anastasia Shamanova in the final provided she can beat Aziza Zokirova and Nadezhda Ryabets . Gold- Aoife O’Rourke , Silver- Lina Wang , Bronze- Nadezhda Ryabets , Anastasia Shamonova . W81kg Don’t really particularly care about the heavyweights. Really hope if they add a 7th womens weight to the Olympics to balance up the genders that they don’t add 81 or 81+ because basically all the best heavyweights can make weight at middleweight and struggle there. Just thought I would put that opinion out there cause I think it might happen. Anyway Gold- Xiaomeng Wang , Silver- Saltanat Medenova , Bronze Busra Isildar , Viktoriya Kebikava . W81+kg Gold- Yilian Zhan , Silver- Daria Sazonova , Bronze- Maria Kuchmanova , Sara Miljkovic . Medal table Gold Silver Bronze Total Turkey 2 2 2 6 Kazakhstan 2 1 2 5 China 2 1 1 4 Serbia 2 0 3 5 Ireland 2 0 0 2 Russia 1 4 3 8 Thailand 1 0 2 3 Bulgaria 0 1 1 2 Australia 0 1 0 1 Moldova 0 1 0 1 North Korea 0 1 0 1 Uzbekistan 0 0 5 5 Vietnam 0 0 2 2 Belarus 0 0 2 2 Puerto Rico 0 0 1 1 4 of the last 5 world championships have been won by the host nation. Not sure Serbia quite achieve that here but they had a great Europeans which they also hosted last year and 3 gold could get them there which is definitely possible despite them having never won a medal at these championships before. This prediction almost certainly underestimates North korea and I’m really not very sure what to expect from this Chinese squad. They have been the best nation in the world in women’s boxing over the last Olympic cycle but without their Olympians its hard to know. Russia didn’t have a great time at the previous world championships but given the lack of depth should do fairly well here. Kazakhstan and Turkey feel like comfortably the safest picks to top the medal table here. Uzbekistan women’s squad has been steadily improving over the last few years and is also probably due a breakout championships and it could come here. 2 medals would be disappointing from an Irish perspective given the experience in the squad but they haven't gotten any easy draws so will have to earn it if they want medals.

So I was kind of bored this week (Anyone else feel like there isn’t that much on at the moment?) and entry lists for this were out early so I decided to do a rankings for these world championships and might as well predict them as well. So in terms of the entries here on the one hand China (No Olympians), Russia, Kazakhstan, Turkey, Ireland and to a lesser extent Uzbekistan, Thailand, North Korea, Serbia and Bulgaria are here so probably at least 10 of the top 20 countries in the world are at these world championships but the list of countries who aren’t here is extenxsive So Europe is missing France, Germany, Poland, Ukraine, GB, Poland, all of Scandinavia Netherlands etc. and Asia missing Mongolia, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Phillipines has led to a serious lack of depth in a lot of weight classes. None of the strong American nations (USA, Brazil, Canada, Colombia?) are here and even the top African nations like Algeria and Nigeria are missing. The quality of the field that is here is probably at a pretty equal level to those that aren’t so assuming a number of the top countries probably end up competing at the world boxing world championships as well as at these worlds then the world boxing world championships will probably be the higher quality world championship which would be big for world boxing if their first world championship has a stronger field than its Iba counterpart even if that might be different on the men’s side, might not be though. Both of the previous world championships have had caveats with the entry list with top nations absent for various reasons but even though world championships the year after the Olympics are always a bit transitional these entries are very clearly a level below previous years. There are 239 boxers from supposedly 51 countries compared to 324 from 65 in 2023 and 310 from 73 in 2022. Rankings, seeds in brackets (not that they mean much). W48 W50kg W52 1 Nazym Kyzaibay (KAZ) Chuthamat Raksat (THA) (1) Buse Naz Cakiroglu (TUR) (1) 2 Iuliia Chumgalakova (RUS) Sabina Bobokulova (UZB) (4) Chol Mi Pang (DPK) 3 Sevda Asenova (BUL) (2) Daina Moorehouse (IRL) > Feruza Kazakova (UZB) (3) 4 Farzona Fozilova (UZB) > (1) Alua Balkibekova (KAZ) Anna Aedma (RUS) 5 Nurselen Yalgettekin (TUR) Hu Meiyi (CHN) (8) Wei Sitong (CHN) ?? 6 Xueyun Zhong (CHN) ?? Rinata Bezel (RUS) Noelia Gutierrez (ESP) 7 Nicole Durikova (SVK) Fatima Herrera (MEX) Dragana Jovanovic (SRB) (5) 8 Chi Ngo Ngoc Linh (VIE) (5) Laura Fuertes (ESP) (3) Yuliya Apanasovich (BLR) (2) 9 Carleigh Irving (IRL) Zlatislava Chukanova (BUL) (5) Anita Adesheva (KAZ) 10 Ingrid Gomez (MEX) Thi Ngoc Tran Nguyen (VIE) (7) Venelina Poptoleva (BUL) (4) 11 Tayonis Cedeno (VEN) Sanja Mitic (SRB) Imane el Azami (MAR) 12 Ramona Manea (ROU) Yasmine Mouttaki (MAR) (2) Stela Hamza (ROU) 13 Marta Lopez Del Arbol (ESP) Yerlin Quinones (COL) Esmeralda Patino (MEX) 14 Ryong Kyong (DPK) ?? Byol An Kum (DPK) ??? Rita Soares (POR) 15 Rabab Cheddar (MAR) (4) Aysen Taskin (TUR) Thi To Nhu Tran (VIE) 16 Anakhanim Ismayilova (AZE) (6) Anush Grigoryan (ARM) (6) Kathreen Sterling (HAI) 17 Snezana Slijkovic (SRB) (3) Alondra Brito (VEN) Shakhriza Khalilova (KGZ) 18 Suada Ibraimovski (MKD) Mihaela Badescu (ROU) Arinzul Chinabat (MGL) 19 Athina Avramidou (GRE) Marjona Savriyeva (AZE) Thandelwethu Mathiba (RSA) 20 Phiwokuhle Mnguni (RSA) Ntandoyenkosi Ncube (RSA) Maia Odaijiu (MDV) 21 Tamana Ahmadi (AFG) Teona Pirosmanashvili (GEO) Lencer Akinyi Otieno (KEN) 22 Veronica Nziva (KEN) A Kwashi (ZIM) 23 Wakjira Wada (ETH) Sarafina Fussi (TAN) W48kg Not the worst field here medals should be between Asian champion Farzona Fozilova , former European champion Iullia Chumgalakova , Olympic bronze medallist Nazym Kyzaibay and veteran Sevda Asenova . Other potential medallists include Xuyen Zhong , Asian silver medallist Chi Ngo Ngoc Linh and European under 22 champion Nurselen Yalgettekin but I would be pretty surprised if any of the four favourites lost. Chumgalakova and Kyzaibay would be my picks for the final with Kyzaibay to remarkably win a third world title. I say bizarrely because she is a good boxer but far from a great one. Gold- Nazym Kyzaibay , Silver- Iulia Chumgalakova , Bronze- Sevda Asenova , Farzona Fozilova . W50kg Pity that Daina Moorehouse and Chuthamat Raksat are in the same bracket as I would have expected them both to medal. Sabina Bobokulova and Alua Balkibekova both have fairly straightforward paths to the medal rounds. Rinata Bezel is probably the pick of the remaining bracket although Olympian Laura Fuertes could maybe cause an upset. There is also an unknown North Korean Byol an Kum to consider there. Fatima Herrera and Meiyi Hu maybe could have medalled but are drawn in the Raksat Moorehouse bracket. Reluctantly I’ll back Raksat to finally win haven gotten close at previous major tournaments with Balkibekova probably winning silver. Gold- Chuthamat Raksat , Silver- Alua Balkibekova , Bronze- Sabina Bobokulova , Rinata Bezel . W52 Two time Olympic silver medallist Buse Cakiroglu should cruise to a final. European bronze medallist Dragana Jovanovic should probably be able to ride home advantage to beat either Anita Adesheva or Venelina Poptoleva to a medal. Asian champ Feruza Kazakova should have comfortably enough for bronze but 54kg Olympic bronze medallist and former world champion Chol-mi Pang will likely be her undoing in the semi-final. Pang does have to beat Anna Aedma but should come through to set up a Cakiroglu Pang final which should be one of the highest quality fights here. Cakiroglu to win. Gold- Buse Cakiroglu , Silver- Chol-mi Pang , Bronze- Dragana Jovanovic , Feruza Kazakova . W54 W57 W60 1 Sara Cirkovic (SRB) (4) Karina Ibragimova (KAZ) < (1) Natalia Shadrina (SRB) (1) 2 Hatice Akbas (TUR) Esra Yildiz (TUR) (2) Viktoriya Grafeyeva (KAZ) (5) 3 Zhaina Shekerbekova (KAZ) < (5) Liudmila Vorontsova (RUS) Svetlana Staneva (BUL) 4 Natnicha Chongprongklang (THA) (7) Punrawee Ruenros (THA) (5) Qiange Li (CHN) (6) 5 Jennifer Lehane (IRL) Lacramioara Perijoc (ROU) Nune Asatrian (RUS) (3) 6 Johana Gomez (VEN) (2) Ashleyann Lozada (PUR) Won Un Gyong (DPK) 7 Aziza Yokubova (UZB) Nigina Uktamova (UZB) (3) Gizem Ozer (TUR) (2) 8 Karina Tazabekova (RUS) Valeria Arboleda (COL) Miroslava Jedinakova (SVK) (7) 9 Thi Kim Anh Vo (VIE) Michaela Walsh (IRL) Elida Kocharyan (ARM) 10 Xuan Zhao (CHN) Jenifer Fernandez (ESP) Krisandy Rios (VEN) 11 Widad Bertal (MAR) (1) Mijgona Samadova (TJK) > (4) Sitora Turdibekova (UZB) (4) 12 Jin Hyang Paek (DPK) ? Bolortuul Tumurkhuyag (MGL) Caudia Nechita (ROU) 13 Islem Ferchichi (TUN) Bojana Gojkovic (MNE) Anna Sorokina (LAT) 14 Ekaterina Sycheva (ARM) Andela Brankovic (SRB) (6) Sofia Legaki (GRE) 15 Angelyris Lopez (PUR) < Hyang Suk Ku (PRK) ?? Josefien Betist (SLE) 16 Iulia Coroli (MDA) (6) Yan Cai (CHN) (8) Shoira Zulkaynarova (TJK) 17 Zeynab Rahimova (AZE) (8) Marina Muliarchyk (BLR) Thi Mai Chuc Ngo (VIE) 18 Miria Daiana Andor (ROU) Diana Maestre (VEN) Emily Juma (KEN) 19 Ariadna Gil Alonso (MEX) Aynur Mikayilova (AZE) 20 Oyun-erdene Nergui (MGL) Yasmim Alves (BRA) 21 Melani Volkova (GER) Diana Perez (MEX) 22 Amina Faki (KEN) (3) Halima Vunjabei (TAN) 23 Kyriaki Daponte (GRE) Khuraman Kasumova (GEO) 24 Miraiida Tashpolotova (KGZ) Ainazik Rustambek Kyzy (KGZ) 25 Ashihlobanise Hobongwana (RSA) Melani Girado (CUB) 26 Patricia Becerra (IBA) Huyen Tran Nguyen (VIE) (7) 27 Zulfa Rwenda (TAN) Pauline Chege (KEN) 28 Asefa Abate (ETH) ? Khurshid Mohammadi (AFG) 29 M Haidari (AFG) Imitha Mkala (RSA) 30 Lovelight Fusire (ZIM) W54kg The top bracket here is completely up for grabs between Olympians Widad Bertal and Thi Kim Anh Vo and Aziza Yokubova or Xuan Zhao . I think Vo might come through but I don’t really know how good the Chinese boxer is. European champion Sara Cirkovic should be the home star of this tournament and only has to beat veteran Zhaina Shekerbekova who is well past her best to medal. Olympic silver medallist Hatice Akbas should easily medal. Final bracket is a bit trickier with Olympian Jennifer Lehane meeting Asian champ Natnicha Chongprongklang in the last 32 and Johana Gomez waiting in a potential quarter final. I will reluctantly pick the young Thai. Either way Cirkovic to beat Akbas in the final. Gold-Sara Cirkovic , Silver- Hatice Akbas , Bronze- Thi Kim Anh Vo , Natnicha Chongprongklang . W57kg Remarkable that 30 is the most entries of any weight class. Karina Ibragimova has won medals at both of the last two world championships but has struggled of late and has a very tough draw here. The powerful Ashleyann Lozada dumped Ibragimova out of the Olympics but she herself lost to Valeria Arboleda who she would have to beat to get another shot at the Kazakh. 2019 world silver medallist Liudmila Vorontsova is lurking on the easier side of this top bracket as well. I think Vorontsova is therefore the safest medal pick. Asian champion Punrawee Ruenros is probably the marginal favourite to medal from the second bracket. She meets 54kg 2022 world silver medallist Lacramioara Perijoc who moves back up to featherweight despite having struggled at this weight in the past. Olympian Mijgona Samadova and the unknown Hyang Suk Ku provide further potential banana skins. Michaela Walsh in her lengthy has never managed to win a global medal but has a shot here. Andela Brankovic is a tricky opener especially given she is at home but Walsh won this matchup in all the way back in 2018 if that is worth anything. Jenifer Fernandez would then meet the winner with Asian silver medallist and Olympian Nigina Uktamova awaiting the winner. I think Walsh is past it so I’ll back Uktamova. Olympic medallist Esra Yildiz will win the bottom bracket and probably make the final. I don’t feel confident in my pick of a Vorontsova Yildiz final but that’s where I have ended up so I guess Vorontsova to win. That doesn’t feel right though. Gold- Liudmila Vorontsova , Silver- Esra Yildiz , Bronze- Punrawee Ruenros , Nigina Uktamova . W60kg- Weird to not having Beatriz Ferreira or Kellie Harrington here as they have dominated the global titles in this division for a while now. European champion Natalia Shadrina probably had the best year of her career last year despite narrowly missing out on an Olympic medal and should medal here. Newly minted Asian champion Viktoriya Grafeyeva probably starts as the favourite here and only has to beat Olympian Sitora Turdibekova to medal. The bottom bracket is between Gizem Ozer and Miroslava Jedinakova who met in a European under 22 final a few years ago. Jedinakova won that won but I think I would back Ozer here. The most interesting bracket includes European silver medallist Nune Asatrian , Olympian and Asian games silver medallist Won Ung-yong , 57kg European champion Svetlana Staneva and Asian silver medallist Qiange Li . I think Staneva is the pick here. Grafeyeva to beat Staneva in the final. Gold- Viktoriya Grafayeva , Silver- Svetlana Staneva , Bronze- Natalia Shadrina , Gizem Ozer .

Not sure if this is the right thread but there is no 2025 boxing discussion thread so . Anyway the Standja tournament starts tomorrow. Its not a great field for ye know various reasons (womens world champs in a couple of weeks/ IBA run tournament). It's mostly just the Uzbek and Kazakh A and B men's teams and not a whole lot else but the draw has thrown up a potentially reallly good fight in the opening round where Olympic champion Asadkhuja Muydinkhujaev meets the boxer of the tournament from the youth world championships last year Torekhan Sabyrkhan who comes with a ludicrous amount of hype. Muydinkhujaev might just win easily but it could be a great fight. 14:00/ 14;15 ish GMT tomorrow on bulgarian boxing youtube channel. (On an unrelated note I wrote quite a long and likely misguided early projection of a potential Irish Olympic squad for LA on the Irish club's thread if anyone is interested.)

Boxing squad projection Feb 2024 This place is very quiet at the moment ay? Anyway so I meant to do this after the national championships at the end of last year but just didn’t get around to it but I guess nothing has really changed over the last couple of months. Strandja does start tomorrow though. So I thought it would interesting to just kind of project a potential boxing team for LA and just kind of see how much it evolves over the next few years obviously with all the caveats that still apply with boxing and LA. So for comparison at the this point in the previous cycle Kelyn Cassidy wasn’t even on the radar, Martin McDonagh had only just started boxing and Jude Gallagher, Dean Clancy, Jennifer Lehane and Grainne Walsh were all firmly down the pecking order with the likes of Adam Hession and Brandon McCarthy looking like likely future Olympians. Just age wise for reference Jude Gallagher, Dean Clancy, Jack Marley, Martin McDonagh and Daina Moorehouse were all 21 or 22 for Paris so 17/18 year olds are very much potentially in play for this LA and would expect a number of them to end up being first choice by 2028, 15/16 year olds though (ie John Donoghue) maybe not so much at least for us, other countries absolutely do pick 18/19 year olds for the Olympics. I should caveat that this is more of a projection of who we try to qualify with and I'm not yet worrying about who/ how many would qualify. Oh and while world boxing has already been tinkering with weightclasses (don’t get me started on that), for now I’m just sticking with the ones from Paris. Mostly this is just for me to look back on in 1/2/3 years to see how this hypothethical squad has evolved. I list boxers roughly (emphasis on roughly) in order of my own preference/ expectation but I like some of these will absolutely look dumb in a year or two. I’m going to put question marks next to boxers who could end up in a different weightclass and brackets around boxers who may or may not be available for selection. (I know that technically could be all of them but you know what I mean.) And I definitely have forgotten someone. M51kg- Patsy Joyce, Louis Rooney, Scott Thompson, Jamie Collins, Clepson dos Santos, Sean Mari. So its funny how we spent the entirety of the last Olympic cycle looking for someone to usurp Sean Mari or Mari himself to take a leap and then a couple of months after the Olympics we get European under 22 champions at 48kg and 54kg albeit neither came against particularly impressive fields. Patsy Joyce is an interesting one regarding the last cycle. He lost a bout review to the eventual champion (Vishvaneth Suresh ) at the youth worlds in 2022 from a bracket that produced 3 Paris Olympians including bronze medallist Junior Alcantara but we never really give anyone a look until they produce at under 22 level. I don’t know how close to qualifying Joyce would have gotten but it would have been interesting had he been given a shot at the extended squad and not Ricky (has never won a fight at a major tournament) Nesbitt. Joyce could end up following Dylan Eagleson lead of trying to be an undersized counterpunching featherweight rather than go down in weight but he is even smaller than Eagleson. I think Joyce could end up being world class but at this point the range of outcomes for him is very wide. Rooney doesn’t have the same underage pedigree mostly because he was stuck behind Joyce but is quite talented in his own right and doesn’t come with any questions about potential weight classes. Both Scott Thompson and Jamie Collins come out of the youth ranks with some pedigree but lets wait and see how they evolve. Clepson dos Santos finally got himself on a European under 22 podium at the third attempt last year and won nationals in Mari’s absence and while I did think he looked better last year is still an uninspiring option. This particular weight class is still Sean Mari’s this year with Rooney and Joyce above and below him but the younger lads should ultimately surpass him by 2028. M57kg- Dylan Eagleson, Jude Gallagher, Jamie Graham, Adam Hession, Rhys Owens?, Gavin Ryan. The most interesting development here is that despite speculation about all 3 of Eagleson, Gallagher and Hession turning pro at least for now they all remain in the amateur ranks. I still think Eagleson has the highest ceiling despite his return after a year out with various injuries resulting in a loss against Rhys Owens at Ulster elites albeit at 60kg. Gallagher is absolutely good enough to make it to multiple Olympics but it remains to be seen if he can take that next step to make global podiums or if his career tracks more like someone like Brendan Irvine. Adam Hession is still the same technically sound but ultimately underwhelming boxer he has been for the last 3 years or so. Moved up to 60kg for nationals presumably to ensure he got picked for the world championships but then promptly lost to the internationally unproven Rhys Owens. Gavin Ryan and Jamie Graham both very nearly medalled at the world youth championships in 2022 and 2024 respectively, Ryan is now national champion in Gallagher’s absence. Graham impressed me at lot at world youths only losing to eventual champion Samandar Olimov who Adam Hession will presumably lose to in his fight against him at Strandja tomorrow. M63.5kg- Lee McEvoy, Roy Colgan, Dean Clancy, Martin McDonagh, Jason Nevin,. This is the most wide open of the divisions both in the short term and from an LA Olympics perspective. Dean Clancy has gone backwards since his impressive run to qualify at European games in 2023 and then became the poster child of why so many Olympians didn’t compete at nationals by losing to Roy Colgan another who went close to medalling at world youths in 2022. Colgan doesn’t have the medals his talent deserves and threw away a medal against an inferior but more physical opponent at European under 22s and failed to back up a spectacular performance to beat Clancy at nationals losing the final to Jason Nevin but I like him and think he has serious potential. Nevin himself is similar to Rhys Owens (listed at 57kg) in that he has some impressive results and performances domestically but has to this point done nothing internationally. Martin McDonagh comes out of the youth ranks this year without the medals his talent deserves having withdrawn injured from European youths and then ran into a tank in eventual champion Platon Kozlov at world youths. My favourite at this point is Lee McEvoy who medalled at world youths in 2022, He is rail thin and does need to get stronger but height and reach advantages proved very effective during the last Olympic cycle and he picks some great punches. M71kg- Bobbi Flood, Aidan Walsh, (John Donoghue?). Ryan Jenkins?, Jon McConnell, Tadhg O’Donnell?, Eugene McKeever Quite possibly could take the title from 57kg for the highest quality division over the course of this Olympic cycle. Bobbi Flood has been the most hyped up boxer in the country for the last few years, notable given that there is no lack of talent coming through. Only managed bronze at his first European under 22s but put up an admirable fight against Yurii Zakharieiev . Definitely has the potential to be a strong medal contender by the time LA comes around so his development is probably more important than most others. How long Aidan Walsh sticks around really depends on where his head is at but despite a disappointing outcome at the Olympics he did prove he is still up there with the best pure counterpunchers in the world. He would be 32 by the time LA comes around. Jon McConnell is national champion and could end up with this spot in some national selections over the next couple of years but something will have gone wrong if he is in the mix for LA selection. Then there are Ryan Jenkins and Tadhg O’Donnell who both leave the youth ranks after disappointing world champs at 63.5kg and 71 kg respectively after both taking bronze at Europeans. O’Donnell is very skilled and looks great until you put him under pressure at which point he just crumbles entirely, Jenkins has less underage pedigree but I am higher on his potential, a soft chin cost him at worlds but he is technically sound punch picker who carries some serious power. And finally there is John Donoghue who followed up his 2023 junior world championships by absolutely dominating Europeans last year. He will only hit the senior ranks in 2027 and likely at a weight class (a growth spurt could maybe push him to a higher division.) that isn’t going to be lacking for good options. I think circumstances could mean LA is just too soon but if he continues to develop at the rate he currently is, he absolutely should ultimately win Ireland an Olympic medal. M80kg- Kelyn Cassidy, Gavin Rafferty?, Josh Olaniyan?, James Whelan At this point this looks like Kelyn Cassidy or burst so if he decides he is better off in the pro ranks then we are in trouble and at 27 trying to win a world medal this year and then turn pro could make sense for him. Rafferty and Olaniyan are both currently battling for selection at 75kg so probably represent the most logical potential competition. In terms of youngsters coming through I guess Tadhg O’Donnell could end up here but he struggled mightily with physicality at 71kg and I’m not sure there is an easy way to reconcile that other than to compete at a lower weight division. Whelan is the current number 2 but I don’t think is good enough to do anything internationally. If Cassidy goes pro and no one else steps up though he could end up with the selection nod. M92kg- Jack Marley, Nathan Ojo, Shay O’Dowd?, Brian Kennedy?. Jack Marley was one of the few Olympians to compete at nationals and really impressed while beating Nathan Ojo. Ojo won bronze at world youths a couple of years ago and is similar enough stylistically to Kelyn Cassidy (backfoot counterpuncher). He apparently missed under 22s last year because he had holidays booked so despite his talent I’m not sure he quite has the dedication coaches like to see but his style has been the one that so many boxers had success with in this division in Paris. (Loren Alfonso Dominguez , Davlat Boltaev , Victor Schelstraete ) Shay O’Dowd was one of the youth boxers who medalled for the IBA- neutral team at world youths. To be somewhat fair to the selectors that was his first time competing internationally and it was a soft enough draw. Pretty sure he has another year at youth level so should be interesting to see how he develops. M92kg+- Adam Olaniyan, Martin McDonagh There is a buses analogy that definitely applies here. European and world youth champion Adam Olaniyan is well ye know very talented and unlike other weight classes which were diluted by the IBA and world boxing running parallel championships, he beat everyone there was to beat. My one concern with him was his willingness to allow physical opponents to push him back to the ropes and then unload which oh so nearly cost him against Oleksandr Sliesariev in the European semi-final. I just wonder if better, stronger more experienced senior opponents would punish that in the senior ranks. Obviously with a super heavyweight, they will probably take Olaniyan's development slowly and probably rightly so. McDonagh was unlucky to only take bronze at European under 22s losing a fight I thought he had done enough to win against Stylianos Roulias with a boxer he had beaten before waiting in the final. It will be interesting to see what kind of level McDonagh settles out after his rapid development over the last year. McDonagh probably needs some silverware over the next couple of years if he wants any chance of ultimately holding off Olaniyan. W50kg- Daina Moorehouse, Shannon Sweeney, Carleigh Irving, Tiffany Spencer, Caitlin Fryers. Lets not bring up Moorehouse’s Olympics but she has the chance truly establish herself at the top of this division globally over the next couple of years. Assuming the training squad of 8 that went on a camp to China is the world champs selection then Shannon Sweeney is a bizarre omission given that 52kg is vacant. Carleigh Irving is the only interesting selection for worlds as while she did take silver at European under 22s a few months ago, I wasn’t that impressed with her performance but ye know 48kg isn’t that strong so maybe she can be competitive. Of the omitted squad for world youth championships, despite not ultimately medalling I thought Tiffany Spencer was the most egregious non selection. She lost a quarter final to Ruby White at Europeans who won all her other fights by stoppage and subsequently won world boxing’s youth world championships comfortably. Spencer did lose a very narrow split decision that cost her a medal at worlds but it was bizarre that she wasn’t in the actual squad. W54kg- Jennifer Lehane, Carlagh Peake?, Robyn Kelly, Chloe Gabriel, Nicole Kinsella. Not the most inspiring weight class at the moment. Lehane is what she is, solid but wouldn’t really expect her to trouble the podium at worlds. Carlagh Peake ended up being the most notable non selection by winning 3 fights including beating a Russian on her way to silver at world youths. That said she did get stopped in her opening round at Europeans and like that world final which was her only fight against truly world class opposition would have been stopped if it was earlier in the competition. Its not that she shouldn’t have been selected just that a different draw and her non selection would have looked justified. She is a quality counterpuncher and though she competed at 50kg last year given her height, I’d expect her to move up a bit over the next few years. Robyn Kelly is fine and has a couple of European under 22 bronzes but lost to Chloe Gabriel at nationals, Gabriel had some success underage but hasn’t really had any success at senior level. W57kg- Niamh Fay, Michaela Walsh, Grace Conway? So despite Michaela Walsh being clearly past her peak she still refuses to lose at national championships easily dispatching Niamh Fay last November. So we now have the issue that Fay is proabably the better boxer but Walsh stylistically has the advantage so until Walsh steps aside or Fay figures out how to beat counterpunchers Walsh will keep this spot. Niamh Fay does have some very impressive wins and I do think her footwork has improved to the level that she would be my pick right now with the caveat that she will always be inconsistent and encounter matchups that just don’t suit her. Grace Conway has European junior and youth silver medals and has a ton of potential. She is very tall so while she was boxing at 52kg last year, she has already moved up to 57kg while still at youth level this year so could end up at 60kg rather than here. Massive talent either way but might not quite be physically ready in time for LA. W60kg- Ava Henry?, (Amy Broadhurst), ((Kellie Harrington)), Kellie McLoughlin. We have plenty of talent coming through in and around this weightclass but its unclear if there is anyone actually at it. Kellie McLoughlin moved up from featherweight to take the national title last year but she is doing anything noteworthy internationally. There are a few names that could end up giving us a real shot at winning this title for the 4th/5 time but no name that quite fits perfectly. While we did have 3 youth world champions last year I would make it very clear that Ava Henry was by far the most talented youth boxer in Ireland last year, and one of the best if not the best in the world. Stylistically and physically she reminds me a lot of Amy Broadhurst. The issue for Henry though is that she was boxing at 63kg last year and it is a tough ask to go down in weight from the youth ranks to senior level especially if she thinks that she is better off and would get picked at 66kg. I would expect her to stay at 63kg for the next year or two and then potentially move up/down for Olympic selection. Also, I mentioned it earlier how Ireland doesn’t really pick boxers straight out of the youth ranks but Henry this year is one of those cases which I find strange as to why we wouldn’t select her at every opportunity, there is a massive hole in our worlds squad at her weight class, she is absolutely good enough, why not send her?, for the experience if nothing else. Kellie Harrington was included in the the national squad list in January and is apparently still training. She is definitely retired but would it actually shock any of us if half way through 2026 she decided she wanted to give it one more go? I kind of sorta maybe called that Amy Broadhurst wouldn’t turn pro and would stick around for LA. In her statement though she didn’t specify what country she would attempt to qualify for LA. I don’t know if she would want to switch back to Ireland (although Eoin Pluck seems to be back in the good books.), if it is possible to switch back (given how easy it was to switch in the first place, I assume it is.) or if we would want her back but maybe. Anyway she is well pregnant at the moment so there is no point in speculating about this for another while anyway I mentioned Grace Conway above as potentially a name to watch here, the last name I would mention is Niamh Fay who while it would be a big jump to go from 54kg to 60kg, her style does suit being undersized and being able to get inside her opponents so if she remains stuck behind Michaela Walsh, I’d consider this if I were her. Basically there is enough talent in and around this weight class that it is likely someone will ultimately seize it and put us back in medal contention, who that is and when that will be though I’m not sure. I guess it is possible that we get a situation like 66kg last time where everyone above and below it eyed it up only for Grainne Walsh to ultimately end up with the nod. W66kg- Lisa O’Rourke, Siofra Lawless, Kyla Doyle, Grainne Walsh. This weight ended up being stacked from nowhere during the last Olympic cycle but looks likely to be stacked from the off this time around albeit for now Grainne Walsh is in the short term unthreatened. Look I was critical of this selection and I‘ve never been her biggest fan but the Olympics themselves were ultimately harsh on Grainne Walsh losing a stylistic mismatch in her opening fight and then watching two opponents Amy Broadhurst beat meet in the final and one Lisa O’Rourke beat win bronze. I kind of hope she gets a bit of redemption at worlds because she has been an excellent servant to Irish boxing. Lisa O’Rourke has had an inconsistent and injury riddled few years since becoming world champion but will likely start as one of the favourites to retake that 70kg title next month. If there is an overarching lesson for me from the last Olympics it was that size and reach is crucial and Lisa O’Rourke fits that bill. Then there are the two youth world champions. Look, Make no mistake Siofra Lawless is an immense talent but I don’t think she is quite as good as Junior and Youth world titles in back to back years makes it sound and take nothing away from it but I don’t think it was the strongest field that she had to beat. Unlike Ava Henry, I don’t think Siofra Lawless would be potentially able to move down to the potentially empty 60kg. Add in that she still has another year at youth level and I’m not sure she will be quite ready for LA. She could very easily prove me wrong though. Kyla Doyle went from absolutely no pedigree to European and World youth champion in a year which is remarkable. My one criticism of her would be that she does get drawn into physical scraps quite easily but when she gets in lets her hands go and then gets out again she is a joy to watch. Definitely has a fair bit of development still to do particularly compared to someone like Lawless who is a year younger but so much more refined but Doyle’s ceiling is sky high. I really don’t know how this weight class will ultimately shake out. W75kg- Aoife O’Rourke, Evelyn Igharo?, Nell Mcloughlin, Laura Moran. It is absolutely crazy that Aoife O’Rourke still doesn’t have a global medal given her performances and results at every other tournament and as such these upcoming world championships are more important for her than anyone else. Evelyn Igharo’s career has been one case of what might have been after another but she is still very talented. Nell McLaughlin and Laura Moran have both medalled at the last two world youth championships albeit the heavier women’s weights tend to not be that strong/ have many entries. That said McLaughlin’s performance to outwork and outlast Dilara Sak who had given Kyla Doyle trouble at Europeans (Yeah I don’t know why Sak moved up 2 weightclasses) was probably my favourite fight of that tournament. I know we won 3 world titles but there was something poetic about watching an overlooked boxer who only made the semis because of a walkover come through against a much more decorated, fancied and skilled opponent. Anyway that was a lot longer than I thought it would be. I feel like I left a lot of detail out as well. And yeah I know this is gauranteed to look stupid in a year or two but sure look.

I thought it was a really good and enjoyable fight. It was the right decision though, Oumiha is ridiculously accurate and Sanford doesn't really move his head much so every single shot Oumiha threw landed. Second and third rounds were both close and Sanford landed some really good punches but while the French have gotten a couple of hometown decision, this wasn't one of them and I didn't have any issue with the scoring here. There is an important distinction to be made here between doing more of the work and landing more/ landing better punches. Doing more work is just a means to an end, the latter is the scoring criteria.

Not at the games, just haven't posted much during the games so apologies for that. Just haven't had as much time as I would have needed to do some of the things I had kind of wanted to get done. On the boxing, I just haven't had that many sophisticated thoughts on it beyond erratic judging and a dissapointing Irish display that I haven't fully got my head around. I missed a few sessions that I haven't had the chance to catch up on and the majority of the rest with the exception of the Irish fights it has been my second/third screen and boxing kind of needs your full focus. (plus that boxing thread has descended into some form of madness I do not think I can tame.) That said I do think my predictions/ rankings ultimately held up a little better than they were trending towards after the first few days but I won't have a full look back on them until after the boxing finishes and those first couple of days were just me wondering how I had spent so much time watching all of these fellas only to get so much so badly wrong. This does remind me I need to do a wrap up of my rowing form rankings but I was planning to update them daily and just didn't in the end. But yeah there were other things I wanted to do even smaller pieces of analysis on and just didn't get around to but I will post most of my thoughts once the games are over. So apologies, but it's nice to know someone misses me when I go somewhat quiet on this forum.

Look at the replay of the start lads. For me the Brits and the Americans are also over the line early. No idea how they don't restart a race where four boats are called back and for me it looks like at least 2 more are also over the line early. They slipped back because they took risks on the second and third leg which they didn't actually need to take. If they had just followed the Poles on the third leg, they would have medalled but they tacked early and try to go up the right hand side and it didnt work. Don't discredit their performance based on the medal race. They have been great all week and deserved a medal.

[hide] Event & Date Athletes Gold Silver Bronze Men's 20km Race Walk Day 1 August 1st 2024 Any Australian Athlete Caio Bonfim Evan Dunfee Li Yandong Wang Zhaozhao Zhang Jun x Brian Pintado Christopher Linke Massimo Stano Ryo Hamanishi Koki Ikeda x Yuta Koga Diego Garcia Carrera Alvaro Martin Paul McGrath Perseus Karlstroem x Any Other Athlete Women's 20km Race Walk Day 1 August 1st 2024 Jemima Montag Viviane Lyra Liu Hong Ma Zhenxia Yang Jiayu x Lorena Arenas Glenda Morejon Antonella Palmisano Nanako Fujii Alegna Gonzalez Kimberly Garcia Leon x Evelyn Inga Laura Garcia-Caro Maria Perez x Any Other Athlete Men's 10,000m Day 2 August 2nd 2024 Mohammed Ahmed Any Eriterian Athlete Berihu Aregawi Selemon Barega x Yomif Kejelcha Benard Kibet Nicholas Kipkorir Daniel Mateiko Adriaan Wildschutt Joshua Cheptegei x Jacob Kiplimo x Grant Fischer Any Other American Athlete Any Other Athlete Men's Shot Put Day 3 August 3rd 2024 Darlan Romani Filip Mihaljevic Tomas Stanek Leonardo Fabbri x Zane Weir Rajindra Campbell Bob Bertemes Jacko Gill Tom Walsh Chukwuebuka Enekwechi Ryan Crouser x Joe Kovacs x Payton Otterdahl Any Other Athlete Women's Triple Jump Day 3 August 3rd 2024 Leyanis Perez Hernandez x Lidagmis Povea Thea Lafond x Dariya Derkach Shanieka Ricketts Kimberly Williams Ana Peleteiro-Compaore Tugba Danismaz Maryna Bekh-Romanchuk x Tori Franklin Jasmine Moore Keturah Orji Any Other Athlete Mixed 4x400m Relay Day 3 August 3rd 2024 Bahamas Belgium Dominican Republic France Germany Great Britain x Ireland Jamaica Netherlands x Nigeria Poland Switzerland United States x* Any Other Nations Women's 100m Day 3 August 3rd 2024 Marie-Josee Ta Lou-Smith Dina Asher-Smith Any Other British Athlete Tiana Clayton Shelly-Ann Fraser-Pryce x Shericka Jackson Rosemary Chukwuma Ewa Swoboda Julien Alfred x Melissa Jefferson Sha'Carri Richardson x Twanisha Terry Any Other Athlete Men's Decathlon Day 3 August 3rd 2024 Damian Warner x Johannes Erm Karel Tilga Makenson Gletty Niklas Kaul Leo Neugebauer x Lindon Victor Any Norwegian Athlete x Ayden Owens-Delerme Heath Baldwin Harrison Williams Zachery Ziemek Any Other Athlete Women's High Jump Day 4 August 4th 2024 Nicola Olyslagers x Eleanor Patterson x Any German Athlete Morgan Lake Lamara Distin Maria Zodzik Angela Topic Lia Apostolovski Iryna Gerashchenko Yuliia Levchenko Yaroslava Mahuchikh x* Vashti Cunningham Rachel Glenn Any Other Athlete Men's Hammer Throw Day 4 August 4th 2024 Ethan Katzberg x* Any Chilean Athlete Yann Chaussinand Merlin Hummel Any Greek Athlete Bence Halasz x Eivind Henriksen Pawel Fajdek Wojciech Nowicki x Mykhaylo Kokhan Daniel Haugh Rudy Winkler Any Other Athlete Men's 100m Day 4 August 4th 2024 Letsile Tebogo x Any Canadian Athlete Zharnel Hughes Lamont Marcell Jacobs Ackeem Blake Oblique Seville x Kishane Thompson Ferdinand Omanyala Emmanuel Matadi Favour Ashe Akani Simbine Kenneth Bednarek Fred Kerley Noah Lyles x Any Other Athlete Men's Pole Vault Day 5 August 5th 2024 Kurtis Marschall Thibaut Collet Bo Kanda Lita Baehre Emmanouil Karalis Claudio Michel Stecchi Menno Vloon Any Norwegian Athlete Ernest John Obiena Piotr Lisek Armand Duplantis x* Ersu Sasma Sam Kendricks x Christopher Nilsen x Jacob Wooten Any Other Athlete Women's Discus Throw Day 5 August 5th 2024 Feng Bin x Sandra Elkasevic Yaime Perez x Any Other Cuban Athlete Shanice Craft Kristin Pudenz Marike Steinacker Daisy Osakue Jorinde Van Klinken Liliana Ca Irina Rodrigues Valarie Allman x Any Other Athlete Women's 5000m Day 5 August 5th 2024 Jessica Hull Medina Eisa Ejgayehu Taye Gudaf Tsegay x Nadia Battocletti Nozomi Tanaka Beatrice Chebet Faith Kipyegon x Laura Galvan Sifan Hassan x Karoline Bjerkeli Grovdal Any American Athlete Joselyn Brea Any Other Athlete Women's 800m Day 5 August 5th 2024 Catriona Bisset Habitam Alemu Tsige Duguma Worknesh Mesele Renelle Lamote Phoebe Gill Keely Hodgkinson x Jemma Reekie x Natoya Goule-Toppin Mary Moraa x Prudence Sekgodiso Audrey Werro Halimah Nakaayi Nia Akins Any Other American Athlete Any Other Athlete Women's Hammer Throw Day 6 August 6th 2024 Hanna Skydan Camryn Rogers x Wang Zheng Zhao Jie x Katrine Koch Jacobsen Silja Kosonen Krista Tervo Sara Fantini Zalina Marghieva Anita Wlodarczyk Bianca Florentina Ghelber Annette Echikunwoke DeAnna Price x Any Other Athlete Men's Long Jump Day 6 August 6th 2024 Christopher Mitrevski Wang Jianan Filip Pravdica Radek Juska Miltiadis Tentoglou x Mattia Furlani x Tajay Gayle Carey McLeod Wayne Pinnock x Yuki Hashioka Simon Ehammer Lin Yu-Tang Any American Athlete Any Other Athlete Men's 1500m Day 6 August 6th 2024 Any Australian Athlete Azeddine Habz Josh Kerr x Any Other British Athlete Andrew Coscoran Reynold Kipkorir Cheruiyot Timothy Cheruiyot Samuel Tanner Jakob Ingebrigtsen x Narve Gilje Nordas Isaac Nader Mario Garcia Cole Hocker Yared Nuguse x Any Other Athlete Women's 3000m Steeplechase Day 6 August 6th 2024 Winfred Mutile Yavi x Sembo Almayew Lomi Muleta Alice Finot Any British Athlete Daisy Jepkemei Beatrice Chepkoech x Jackline Chepkoech Faith Cherotich Marwa Bouzayani Peruth Chemutai x Valerie Constein Any Other American Athlete Any Other Athlete Women's 200m Day 6 August 6th 2024 Audrey Leduc Marie-Josee Ta Lou-Smith Dina Asher-Smith x Daryll Neita Shericka Jackson Any Other Jamaican Athlete Thelma Davies Favour Ofili Julien Alfred x Brittany Brown Mckenzie Long Gabrielle Thomas x Any Other Athlete Mixed 35km Race Walk Team Day 7 August 7 2024 Australia Brazil China x Colombia France Germany Italy Japan Mexico x Spain x Ukraine Any Other Nation Women's Pole Vault Day 7 August 7th 2024 Nina Kennedy x* Alysha Newman Amalie Svabikova Wilma Murto Molly Caudery x Aikaterini Stefanidi Roberta Bruni Eliza McCartney Tina Sutej Angelica Moser Brynn King Katie Moon x Bridget Williams Robeilys Peinado Any Other Athlete Men's Discus Throw Day 7 August 7th 2024 Matthew Denny Lukas Weisshaidinger Any German Athlete Ralford Mullings Traves Smikle Roje Stona Mykolas Alekna x* Andrius Gudzius Connor Bell Alex Rose Kristjan Ceh x Daniel Stahl x Any American Athlete Any Other Athlete Men's 400m Day 7 August 7th 2024 Steven Gardiner Alexander Doom x Bayapo Ndori Christopher Morales-Williams Charles Dobson Matthew Hudson-Smith x Kirani James Any Jamaican Athlete Havard Bentdal Ingvaldsen Christopher Bailey Quincy Hall x Michael Norman Any Other Athlete Men's 3000m Steeplechase Day 7 August 7th 2024 Samuel Firewu Lamecha Girma x Getnet Wale Any French Athlete Avinash Mukund Sable Ryuji Miura Abraham Kibiwot x Simon Kiprop Koech Amos Serem Soufiane El Bakkali x Geordie Beamish Daniel Arce Mohamed Amin Jhinaoui Any Other Athlete Women's Long Jump Day 8 August 8th 2024 Plamena Mitkova Marthe Koala Mikaelle Assani Malaika Mihambo x Larissa Iapichino Sumire Hata Ese Brume Agate De Sousa Alina Rotaru-Kottmann Milica Gardasevic Ivana Spanovic x Fatima Diame Tara Davis-Woodhall x Jasmine Moore Any Other Athlete Men's Javelin Throw Day 8 August 8th 2024 Jakub Vadlejch x Oliver Helander Teura'itera'i Tupaia Julian Weber x Anderson Peters Neeraj Chopra x Kishore Jena Edis Matusevicius Andrian Mardare Arshad Nadeem Alexandru Mihaita Novac Keshorn Walcott Curtis Thompson Any Other Athlete Men's 200m Day 8 August 8th 2024 Letsile Tebogo x Aaron Brown Aaron De Grasse Alexander Ogando Joshua Hartmann Zharnel Hughes Andrew Hudson Bryan Levell Joseph Fahnbulleh Any South African Athlete Tarsis Orogot Kenneth Bednarek x Erriyon Knighton Noah Lyles x Any Other Athlete Women's 400m Hurdles Day 8 August 8th 2024 Kemi Adekoya Hanne Claes Savannah Sutherland Any French Athlete Jessie Knight Ayomide Folorunso Rushell Clayton x Janieve Russell Shiann Salmon Femke Bol x Any Ukranian Athlete Anna Cockrell Jasmine Jones Sydney McLaughlin-Levrone x Any Other Athlete Men's 110m Hurdles Day 8 August 8th 2024 Wilhem Belocian Sasha Zhoya Lorenzo Ndele Simonelli Orlando Bennett Rasheed Broadbell Hansle Parchment Shunsuke Izumiya Rachid Muratake Louis Francois Mendy Enrique Llopis Jason Joseph Freddie Crittenden x Grant Holloway x* Daniel Roberts x Any Other Athlete Women's 4x100m Relay Day 9 August 9th 2024 Australia Canada Cote D'Ivoire France Germany Great Britain x Italy Jamaica x Netherlands Poland United States x* Any Other Nation Women's Shot Put Day 9 August 9th 2024 Sarah Mitton x Gong Lijiao x Song Jiayuan Yemisi Ogunleye Danniel Thomas-Dodd Jorinde van Klinken Jessica Schilder Maddison-Lee Wesche Jessica Inchude Fanny Roos Chase Jackson x Jaida Ross Raven Saunders Any Other Athlete Men's 4x100m Relay Day 9 August 9th 2024 Australia Canada China France Germany Great Britain Italy x Jamaica x Japan Nigeria South Africa United States x Any Other Nation Women's 400m Day 9 August 9th 2024 Salwa Eid Naser Sada Williams Cynthia Bolingo Marileidy Paulino x Amber Anning Rhasidat Adekele x Nickisha Pryce Stacey Ann Williams Lieke Klaver Natalia Kaczmarek x Aaliyah Butler Kendall Ellis Alexia Holmes Any Other Athlete Men's Triple Jump Day 9 August 9th 2024 Yasser Mohammed Triki Hugues Fabrice Zango x Almir Do Santos Fang Yaoqing Zhu Yaming Lazaro Martinez Christian Napoles Thomas Gogois Emmanuel Ihejeme Andy Diaz Hernandez Jaydon Hibbert Jordan Alejandro Diaz Fortun x Any American Athlete Any Other Athlete x Women's Heptathlon Day 9 August 9th 2024 Nafissatou Thiam x Noor Vidts Saga Vanninen Auriana Lazraq-Khlass Katarina Johnson-Thompson x Xenia Krizsan Sofie Dokter Emma Oosterwegel Anouk Vetter Adriana Sulek-Schubert Annika Kalin Taliyah Brooks Anna Hall x Chari Hawkins Any Other Athlete Women's 10,000m Day 9 August 9th 2024 Lauren Ryan Francine Niyomukunzi Rahel Daniel Tsigie Gebreselama Fotyen Tesfay Gudaf Tsegay x Any British Athlete Beatrice Chebet x Margaret Chelimo Kipkemboi Lilian Kasait Rengeruk Sifan Hassan x Sarah Chelangat Joy Cheptoyek Weini Kelati Frezghi Any Other Athlete Men's 400m Hurdles Day 9 August 9th 2024 Alison Dos Santos x Kyron McMaster Rasmus Magi Wilfried Happio Alessandro Sibilio Roshawn Clarke Malik James-King Karsten Warholm x Abderrahman Samba Carl Bengstroem CJ Allen Trevor Bassitt Rai Benjamin x Any Other Athlete Men's Marathon Day 10 August 10th 2024 Bashir Abdi Kenenisa Bekele Deresa Geleta Sisay Lemma x Morhad Amdouni Amanal Petros Gashau Ayale Eluid Kipchoge x Benson Kipruto x Alexander Mutiso Abdi Nageeye Gabriel Gerald Geay Kaan Kigen Ozbilen Any Other Athlete Men's High Jump Day 10 August 10th 2024 Any Australian Athlete Donald Thomas Thomas Carmoy Luis Enrique Zayas Tobias Poyte Gianmarco Tamberi x Ryoichi Akamatsu Hamish Kerr x Norbert Kobielski Mutaz Essa Barshim x Woo Sanghyeok Oleh Doroshchuk Andrii Protsenko Shelby McEwen Any Other Athlete Men's 800m Day 10 August 10th 2024 Slimane Moula Djamel Sedjati x Any Athlete from Botswana Marco Arop x Any French Athlete Max Burgin Ben Pattison Koitatoi Kidali Wyclife Kinyamal Emmanuel Wanyonyi x Adrian Ben Bryce Hoppel Hobbs Kessler Brandon Miller Any Other Nation Women's Javelin Throw Day 10 August 10th 2024 Mackenzie Little x Kathryn Mitchell Victoria Hudson Flor Denis Ruiz Hurtado x Nikola Ogrodnikova Haruka Kitaguchi x Lina Muze-Serma Anete Sietina Tori Peeters Adriana Vilagos Jo-Amne Van Dyk Maggie Malone Any Other Nation Women's 100m Hurdles Day 10 August 10th 2024 Devynne Charlton Cyrena Samba-Mayela x Ackera Nugent Any Other Jamaican Athlete Nadine Visser Tobi Amusan Pia Skrzyszowska Jasmine Camacho-Quinn x Ditaji Kambundji Alaysha Johnson Masai Russell x Grace Stark Any Other Athlete Men's 5000m Day 10 August 10th 2024 Stewart McSweyn Mohammed Ahmed Hagos Gebrhiwet Yomif Kejelcha x Addisu Yihune Jimmy Gressier Luis Grijalva Any British Athlete Jacob Krop x Thierry Ndikumwenayo Jacob Kiplimo Any Other Ugandian Athlete Grant Fisher Any Other Athlete x* Women's 1500m Day 10 August 10th 2024 Linden Hall Jessica Hull Birke Haylom Gudaf Tsegay x Diribe Welteji x Laura Muir Ciara Mageean Nelly Chepchirchir Susan Lokayo Ejore Faith Kipyegon x* Sifan Hassan Nikki Hiltz Emily Mackay Elle St. Pierre Any Other Athlete Men's 4x400m Relay Day 10 August 10th 2024 Belgium Botswana x Brazil France Germany Great Britain x Italy Japan Nigeria South Africa Spain Trinidad & Tobago United States x Any Other Nation Women's 4x400m Relay Day 10 August 10th 2024 Belgium Canada France Great Britain x Ireland Italy Jamaica Netherlands x Norway Poland Spain United States x Any Other Nation Women's Marathon Day 11 August 11th 2024 Eunice Chebichii Chumba Dolshi Tesfu Megertu Alemu Tigist Assefa x Amane Beriso Hitomi Niiya Hitomi Niiya Peres Jepchirchir x Sharon Lokedi Hellen Obiri Sifan Hassan x Magdalena Shauri Helen Bekele Stella Chesang Betsy Saina Any Other Athlete [/hide]

I had it on but wasn't fully focused on it so only saw bits and pieces. Didn't have an issue with Chinyemba winning based on what I saw but I didn't see the full fight so can't really comment on it. I will try to watch it later. There are a few other fights I need to properly rewatch as well.

Just updating these with early eliminated boats/ finalists. Apologies for the purple but I couldn't find a good colour, All the reds look like bronze. Lithuania's double obviously the big early loser but it was a complete lottery what kind of form they would show up with. Speaking of the women's double. The two semi-finals there are ridiculously lopsided, Romania, USA, Australia, Norway and the Brits who looked good in their heat, all in the semi final. Given Ireland's in the other one I'm not complaining. China LW2x caught a massive crab which is why they are gone and Italy's new men's double just didn't work. Quads have mostly gone roughly to form although China's women don't look they will medal.

Olympic Predictions (M92+kg, Predicted Medal Table) M92+kg Gold- Bakhodir Jalolov (1) , Silver- Kamshybek Kunkabayev (2) , Bronze- Joshua Edwards (4) , Bronze- Abner Texeira (6) . Seedings 1 Joshua Edwards (USA) 8 Mahammad Abdullayev (AZE) 2 Delicious Orie (GBR) 7 Kamshybek Kunkabayev (KAZ) 3 Mourad Kadi (ALG) 6 Abner Texeira (BRA) 4 Bakhodir Jalolov (UZB) 5 Teremoana Jnr (AUS) Bracket 1 My pick- Joshua Edwards (4) . Very interesting bracket to start off. Nelvie Tiafack (5) and Mahammad Abdullayev (11) reacquaint with each other after Abdullayev beat Tiafack to qualify for the Olympics back at European games. Tiafack had won when they met prior to that. Tiafack is inconsistent and both he and Abdullayev are quite similar being kind of traditional bruising powerful super-heavyweights that don’t move a whole lot. Diego Lenzi (10) has taken a couple of quality scalps earlier this year (Orie and Ghadfa Drissi el Aissaoui) but has an uphill task against Panam champion Josh Edwards. Edwards is a tidy boxer but physically he is not as built as most heavyweights and whether it is Tiafack or Abdullayev, it will be interesting to see how he deals with that level of power. I like his chances though. Bracket 2 My pick- Bakhodir Jalolov (1) . Defending champion Bakhodir Jalolov is the most clear cut favourite in boxing, last lost a fight in 2018 and has beaten most of his primary competition here including Teremoana Jnr (3) who is his toughest opponent between him and a medal. Teremoana packs a serious punch and should be able to dispatch Dmytro Lovchynskyi (14) in his opening fight. Omar Shiha (13) enjoyed a stroke of luck to qualify with a cut ending Danabieke Bayikewuzi’s hopes but got no luck here and will do well to last 3 rounds against Jalolov. Bracket 3 My pick- Abner Texeira (6) . On paper the weakest of the four brackets. Both last 16 fights should be fairly straightforward wins for Djamili Aboudou Moindze (12) against Mourad Kadi (16) who does have the odd good win on his resume and Abner Texeira against the tricky Gerlon Congo (15) who Texeira has beaten before. That would set up an fascinating quarter final between Aboudou Moindze and Texeira with both boxers having beaten each other in the past, with the most recent contest going in favour of the home boxer. With home advantage I really feel like I should pick the Frenchman but I do think Texeira is the significantly more talented boxer and as such expect him to produce the goods when it counts. Bracket 4 My pick- Kamshybek Kunkabayev (2) . Quality bracket this where all four of these boxers have significant pedigree. 2021 world silver medallist Davit Chaloyan (9) meets European champion Delicious Orie (8) . Orie has had some bad losses of late and the Brits comparing him to Anthony Joshua is delusional but he is talented and for me should beat Chaloyan. World bronze medallist Ghadfa Drissi el Aissaoui (7) faces Olympic bronze medallist Kamshybek Kunkabayev in what should be quite a close fight. Ghadfa Drissi el Aissaoui is a big man and consistent operator but I will back Kunkabayev although he is the boring pick. Kunkabayev against Orie should also be close but I’m not that convinced by Orie so let’s back Kunkabayev. Medal Fights Josh Edwards (4) vs Bakhodir Jalolov (1) , Abner Texeira (6) vs Kamshybek Kunkabayev (2) . While I think Edwards is talented, he won’t get close to Jalolov. I’m close to certain the second semi-final will be different than this prediction but if this was the particular semi-final, I’ll stick with the boring pick of Kunkabayev. The final would then be a renewal of the Kunkabeyev vs Jalolov rivalry although calling it a rivalry is generous as Jalolov has always won this matchup comfortably consistently. Gold- Bakhodir Jalolov , Silver- Kamshybek Kunkabayev , Bronze- Joshua Edwards , Bronze- Abner Texeira . Predicted medal table Predicted Gold Predicted Silver Predicted Bronze Total medals Contenders (Top 8 in rankings) Uzbekistan 3 1 1 5 8 Turkey 2 0 0 2 3 Kazakhstan 1 2 1 4 6 France 1 1 1 3 4 Ireland 1 0 2 3 7 Chinese Taipei 1 0 1 2 3 Italy 1 0 0 1 3 North Korea 1 0 0 1 2 Canada 1 0 0 1 1 Ukraine 1 0 0 1 1 China 0 3 0 3 6 India 0 1 3 4 4 USA 0 1 2 3 4 Cuba 0 1 1 2 5 Philippines 0 1 1 2 3 Thailand 0 1 0 1 3 Romania 0 1 0 1 1 Brazil 0 0 3 3 6 Bulgaria 0 0 2 2 4 Georgia 0 0 2 2 2 Australia 0 0 1 1 3 Colombia 0 0 1 1 3 Congo 0 0 1 1 3 Spain 0 0 1 1 2 Azerbaijan 0 0 1 1 1 Dominican Republic 0 0 1 1 1 South Korea 0 0 1 1 1 Great Britain and NI 0 0 0 0 3 Serbia 0 0 0 0 2 Algeria 0 0 0 0 1 Croatia 0 0 0 0 1 Denmark 0 0 0 0 1 Refugee team 0 0 0 0 1 Germany 0 0 0 0 1 Mexico 0 0 0 0 1 Norway 0 0 0 0 1 Panama 0 0 0 0 1 Poland 0 0 0 0 1 Tajikistan 0 0 0 0 1 Zambia 0 0 0 0 1 So I have Uzbekistan expected to top the medal table with Turkey in a very precarious second, Decent and successful games for Kazakhstan, Ireland, France and Chinese Taipei. I have India winning a miraculous four medals and while the USA and China would be happy with 4 and 3 medals respectively the lack of gold would frustrate them. I should note this is already wrong as Oh Yeonji lost today to Wu Shih-yi .

Olympics Predictions (M71kg, M92kg) M71kg Gold- Aslanbek Shymbergenov (1) , Silver- Asadkhuja Muydinkhujaev (3) , Bronze- Omari Jones (6) , Bronze- Nishant Dev (7) . Seedings 1 Shannan Davey (AUS) 8 Kan Chia-wei 2 Marco Verde (MEX) 7 Jose Rodriguez (ECU) 3 Sewon Okazawa (JPN) 6 Vakhid Abbasov (SRB) 4 Nikolai Terteryan (DEN) 5 Omar Elawady (EGY) Bracket 1 My pick- Omari Jones (6) . The most open division of all. Top 8 ranked boxers all probably have legitimate dreams of topping the podium. This top bracket is fairly predictable with 2021 67kg world silver medallist Omari Jones being the pick of the bunch. He opens his account against surprise Asian silver medallist Chia Wei Kan (18) in the last 16. His likely quarter final opponent is Damian Durkacz (12) although Durkacz who competed in Tokyo at 63kg does have a tough size mismatch against natural 75kg Rami Kiwan (14) who used his height and reach advantage well to beat the similar in size and style Wanderson de Oliveira at the 1st world qualifier and could do it again here against Durkacz. Shannan Davey (20) is somewhat hilariously technically the number 1 seed while also being my lowest ranked boxer. He is tall and not the easiest opponent to hit but would be shocked if he beat Durkacz or Kiwan. Jones should be too quick and agile for Durkacz or Kiwan but he himself is also on the smaller side and could struggle a bit against the range of Kiwan. Bracket 2 My pick- Asadkhuja Muydinkhujaev (3) . Really tough bracket to call. Olympic bronze medallist Aidan Walsh (8) opens things up against Makan Traore (15) who he should be too good for but will have to overcome the French home advantage. 67kg world champion Asadkhuja Muydinkhujaev meets African champion Omar Elawady (19) in the most one sided fight in this bracket. Assuming Walsh wins his first fight, that would set a fascinating fight with European champion Nikolai Terteryan (4) . Terteryan is a quality operator but it will be interesting how he deals with Walsh’s counterpunching and defensive skills. The winner would then meet Muydinkhujaev who is mobile and difficult to hit. I tentatively would back Aidan Walsh to beat Terteryan although that is taking nothing away from Terteryan’s quality and then would pick Muydinkhujaev to take a narrow split decision in a scrappy fight against Walsh in the quarter finals but I really amn’t sure. Bracket 3 My pick- Aslanbek Shymbergenov (1) . Another tricky one with 2021 67kg world champion Sewon Okazawa (5) reacquainting himself with reigning 71kg world champion Aslanbek Shymbergenov. They met in the semifinal of Asian games and a very controversial decision went in favour of Okazawa. Both are counterpunchers so expect an ugly fight. Shymbergenov does have to beat the aggressive Zeyad Eashash (9) beforehand but he has navigated that matchup before. The other side of this bracket sees an interesting matchup between two European medallists Lewis Richardson (11) and Vakhid Abbasov (10) . Another massive size mismatch in favour of Richardson and on current form, I might back Richardson. Regardless the winner of Shymbergenov vs Okazawa fight should medal here although I really hope it is Shymbergenov because I don’t like Okazawa’s style or his nonsense showboating. Bracket 4 My pick- Nishant Dev (7) . The final bracket should be fairly straightforward until the quarter finals. Firstly World bronze medallist Nishant Dev should be much too good for Jose Rodriguez (16) . Late entry Magomed Schachidov (13) should also be comfortably able to beat Tiago Muxanga (17) who is one of the better universality qualifiers. Panam Champ Marco Verde (2) should then beat Schachidov although Schachidov is tough to beat and will make him work for it. Nishant vs Verde should be a close fight. Nishant won when they met at the 2021 world championships. Verde likes to come forward and Nishant is most effective when is opponent comes to him so while I think Verde is one of the best boxers in this draw, this matchup does suit Nishant. Medal Fights Omari Jones (6) vs Asadkhuja Muydinkhujaev (3) , Aslanbek Shymbergenov (1) vs Nishant Dev (7) . Both semifinals will be close and I’m certain that my predictions up to this point won’t prove accurate so predicting the medal rounds here is a fool’s errand but anyway, Asadkhuja Muydinkhujaev assuming he can beat Walsh or Terteryan would then be favoured against Omari Jones. Aslanbek Shymbergenov has beaten Nishant (and Marco Verde) before which would set up a rematch with Asadkhuja Muydinkhujaev in the final. At Asian games Muydinkhujaev took a scrappy opening two rounds against Shymbergenov to take control of the fight before Shymbergenov unleashed hell in the final round to ultimately force 3 standing counts and the stoppage. So despite spending this entire cycle believing that while Shymbergenov is talented, not good enough to win and that I wouldn’t pick him for gold, I am picking him to win gold. Gold- Aslanbek Shymbergenov , Silver- Asadkhuja Muydinkhujaev , Bronze- Omari Jones , Bronze- Nishant Dev . M92kg Gold- Aziz Abbes Mouhiidine (1) , Silver- Julio Cesar la Cruz (3) , Bronze- Georgi Kushitashvili (8) , Bronze- Enmanuel Reyes (7) c. Seedings 1 Ato Plodzicki Faoagali (SAM) 8 Han Xuezhen (CHN) 2 Davlat Boltaev (TJK) 7 Jack Marley (IRL) 3 Aziz Abbes Mouhiidine (ITA) 6 Keno Machado (BRA) 4 Julio Cesar la Cruz (CUB) 5 Adam Olaore (NGR) Bracket 1 My pick- Enmanuel Reyes (7) . So in theory this is quite a straightforward bracket. Enmanuel Reyes is by far the most talented of the boxers in this section but opens his account against the awkward and difficult to hit Han Xuezhen (13) . Meanwhile, the even more frustrating to box and 2021 world 86kg medallist Victor Schelstraete (12) meets Ato Plodzicki-Faoagali (15) . Schelstraete likes to draw boxers in with a low guard, poke out a jab with his long reach and then tie his opponent up and I suspect that strategy will work against the plodding Plodzicki-Faoagali who only knows how to come forward. I do really hope Plodzicki-Faoagali could sneak a win here after the news about his coach. Schelstraete will give Reyes some trouble but you would have to trust Reyes to produce when it counts. Schelstraete has a real shot though. Bracket 2 My pick-Julio Cesar la Cruz (3) . So I’ve gone back and forth with my thoughts on two time Olympic champion Julio Cesar la Cruz over this Olympic cycle. He has lost a step and isn’t as agile as he once was but he does move quite well and the punch picking is still there. He has got an interesting first fight against former Cuban and fellow Olympic medallist Loren Alfonso (6) . I wouldn’t call this a fight to watch as it will likely more closely resemble a staring contest than a boxing fight. They last met in 2019 where naturally la Cruz won unanimously. In the other fight Adam Olaore (16) faces 86kg Asian champion Aybek Oralbay (5) in what should be a straightforward win for the Kazakh. Oralbay will test La Cruz and the Cuban will need to be on his game but you would have to back la Cruz. Bracket 3 My pick-Aziz Abbes Mouhiidine (1) . This bracket is absolutely stacked and world silver medallist Mouhiidine could not have got a tougher draw. The world bronze medallist Lazizbek Mullojonov (4) is first up for Mouhiidine. Mullojonov is a very complete boxer with very few weaknesses but I do think Mouhiidine’s back foot boxing should prevail. I thought Keno Machado (2) deserved to beat la Cruz last year but didn’t get the decision and now has a very tough path to a medal. He matches up against bruiser Patrick Brown (10) . He beat Brown in Finland at the end of 2022 although Brown has improved since, not enough to flip this fight though. We then should get one of if not the best fights in this division with Mouhiidine matching up against Machado. Talent wise you could make a case for Machado but Mouhiidine has been there and done it albeit not yet at the Olympics of course. Bracket 4 My pick- Georgi Kushitashvili (8) . I wasn’t feeling great about Jack Marley’s (9) medal hopes over the last couple of months but this draw brings him right into contention. European games silver medallist Marley has met counterpuncher Mateusz Bereznicki (14) before having beaten him at European under 22s 2 years ago. Kushitashvili doesn’t have the easiest of opening fights against Asian champion and quality counterpuncher Davlat Boltaev (11) . 86kg world medallist Kushitashvili has looked really good since moving up to heavyweight having initially tried to qualify at 80kg but is not the fastest and has lost to counterpunchers before. Kushitashvili vs Marley is potentially a really interesting fight with Marley’s speed likely to give Kushitashvili some trouble but reluctantly I will back the experienced Kushitashvili. Medal Fights Enmanuel Reyes (7) vs Julio Cesar la Cruz (3) , Aziz Abbes Mouhiidine (1) vs Georgi Kushitashvili (8) . If Mouhiidine can get this far he will beat Kushitashvili and while I’m sure Enmanuel Reyes would love to avenge his Tokyo quarter final loss to la Cruz, I don’t see it happening. Mouhiidine vs la Cruz would be a fascinating final with neither boxer likely to want to take the initiative. There is logic in picking la Cruz to win a third Olympic title especially given how tough Mouhiidine’s path to the final is but at this point in their respective careers it seems to me like this is Mouhiidine’s to lose Gold- Aziz Abbes Mouhiidine , Silver- Julio Cesar la Cruz , Bronze- Georgi Kushitashvili , Bronze- Enmanuel Reyes .

Olympic Predictions (M51kg, M57kg) M51kg Gold- Hasanboy Dusmatov (1) , Silver- Billal Bennama (3) , Bronze- Amit (5) , Bronze- Nijat Huseynov (10) . Seedings 1 Bilal Bennama (FRA) 8 Michael de Trindade (BRA) 2 Hasanboy Dusmatov (UZB) 7 Samet Gumus (TUR) 3 Patrick Chinyemba (ZAM) 6 Thitisan Panmot (THA) 4 Junior Alcantara (DOM) 5 Yusuf Chothia (AUS) Bracket 1 My pick- Billal Bennama (3) . So despite what others in this thread have tried to claim. No France did not get easy draws. About half of their boxers got tough draws and half of them got good draws. This for example is a tough draw when it was possible if not likely multi time European champion and two time world medallist Billal Bennama would have a fairly easy path to the medal fights. Instead he faces 2021 world silver medallist Roscoe Hill (4) in the last 16 assuming Hill beats Omid Ahmadisafa (16) . Both Hill and Bennama’s form has been questionable of late with both suffering recent surprise defeats and style wise they are quite similar as well. Both look to box on the outside and are effective on the move and they may well cancel each other out so while I wouldn’t expect it to be a great spectacle, it should be one of the best fights in this division. Alejandro Claro (6) just has to navigate a fight with Michael de Trindade (15) to await the winner of Bennama vs Hill. Claro is not quite in the top tier of boxers in this division and would have been hoping for a better draw. Hill edged past Claro at Panam games, Hill deserved to win but did not deserve the 10-8 final round one of the judges awarded him to flip the outcome of the fight. Bennama on the other hand faced Claro in Cuba vs France match earlier this year. Claro technically won but only because the fight was in Cuba with Cuban judges. Bennama deserves to be favourite here but both Hill and Claro will fancy their chances and I expect 2 very close fights here. Bracket 2 My pick- Nijat Huseynov (10) . Flyweight had some surprise qualifiers, some as a result of shock results, a couple as a result of weak brackets and some just a consequence of the parity in this weight class but the consequence of these is that flyweight lacks that many top tier medal contenders and it was always possible we get a bracket like this where my highest ranked boxer is 10th. This one is tough to predict though. The fight I am very willing to call is 2022 world youth bronze medallist Rafa Lozano Jr (11) against Yusuf Chothia (17) , with the Spaniard being a comfortable favourite. Both Nijat Huseynov and Junior Alcantara (13) upset Roscoe Hill in quota fights and having both gone into their respective fights as massive underdogs. Nijat Huseynov is a European under 22 champion and did also beat world bronze medallist Deepak Bhoria at that first world qualifier. He is a decent counterpuncher, but doesn’t move as effectively or smoothly as you would expect given his style. Alcantara is somehow Panam champion and isn’t easy to box. You would have to back Huseynov to win this fight and while an impressive young boxer it is hard to see Lozano beating Huseynov either. They are all inexperienced though with Huseynov being the oldest of the 3 contenders for this medal at just 21. Bracket 3 My pick- Amit Panghal (5) . So 2019 world silver medallist Amit Panghal having failed to medal as the top seed in Tokyo and then not be picked for the first two qualifiers, it seemed like his Olympic medal hopes were gone but now he is a favourite to medal. Patrick Chinyemba (8) is a tricky opponent and one of the strongest African boxers here but Amit has beaten him before at commonwealth games. In the other last 16 fight Asian silver medallist Thitisan Panmot (7) takes on the difficult to peg David de Pina (14) . De Pina is pretty impressive to watch, he moves and picks his shots very effectively but yet he has some atrocious losses on his resume. Panmot is a fairly talented boxer and is effective on the front foot which will be crucial for his chances against Amit who has struggled when put under pressure and doesn’t move as well as he used to. That said, I haven’t quite been convinced by Panmot and would be relatively confident in Amit’s chances Bracket 4 My pick- Hasanboy Dusmatov (1) . So just like at Asian games world champions Saken Bibossinov (2) and Hasanboy Dusmatov look set to meet before the medal rounds. They have met 3 times with Bibossinov winning on his way to his 2021 world title before Dusmatov won the two more recent matchups at Asian champs in 2022 and Asian Games last year. For me Dusmatov is the better and more reliable boxer and I would be surprised if Bibossinov could overturn this one. Bibossinov is also vulnerable to surprise losses and does have a tricky enough last 16 fight against Samet Gumus (9) . Dusmatov should not have any trouble beating Juanma Lopez (12) despite the young Puerto Ricon’s talents. Medal Fights Bilal Bennama (3) vs Nijat Huseynov (10) , Amit (5) vs Hasanboy Dusmatov (1) . If these prove to be the medal fights, I can only really see them playing out one way. Bennama if he can navigate Hill and Claro should be able to beat the similar stylistically Huseynov unless he takes his eye off the ball. Amit does actually have a win against Dusmatov from 2018 albeit with 2 losses the previous year in 2017. Despite Dusmatov actually being the older of the 2, at this point in their career, their appears to only be one winner. Dusmatov and Bennama met in the world final last year and Dusmatov landed a KO in the first round so even with home advantage Bennama doesn’t appear to have path to winning this. That said I should add the caveat that this division incredibly unpredictable in qualifying so these medals and their respective colours could easily prove woefully inaccurate. Gold- Hasanboy Dusmatov , Silver- Billal Bennama , Bronze- Amit , Bronze- Nijat Huseynov . M57kg Gold- Abdumalik khalokov (1) , Silver- Jahmal Harvey (2) , Bronze- Carlo Paalam (5) , Bronze- Javier Ibanez (4) . Seedings 1 Abdumalik Khalokov (UZB) 8 Jose Quiles (ESP) 2 Javier Ibanez (BUL) 7 Shudai Harada (JPN) 3 Jahmal Harvey (USA) 6 Saidel Horta (CUB) 4 Charlie Senior (AUS) 5 Dolapo Omole (NGR) Bracket 1 My pick- Abdumalik Khalokov (1) . For me Abdumalik Khalokov is one of the best pound for pound boxers in the world and despite featherweight being one of the deepest and toughest divisions, I think he is a reasonably comfortable favourite to win outright here. He should have very little trouble with his opening fight against Nebil Ibrahim (14) who himself should have no trouble with universality qualifier Wasim Abusal (17) . We will likely get a second Uzbekistan vs Kazakhstan quarter final with 54 kg world champion Makhmud Sabyrkhan (9) . Sabyrkhan doesn’t have the easiest opening fight in Jose Quiles (11) and has struggled with the size of this weight class compared to 54kg in qualifying. Quiles is natural 60kg boxer who comes down to fight at 57kg, he is a finesse boxer though rather than a power puncher and as such the size mismatch might not matter as much. They haven’t met and are both world champions but it is hard to not pick Khalokov to beat Sabyrkhan in their likely matchup. Bracket 2 My pick- Carlo Paalam (5) . Seeds wise, this was by far the most open bracket and could have led to a strange medal but 2 of the top unseeded boxers landed here so we avoided that eventuality. Commonwealth champion Jude Gallagher (7) and 52kg Olympic silver medallist Carlo Paalam looked set to meet in a quota fight at the 1st world qualifier only for an shoulder injury to force Paalam to pull out of his preceding fight. They will now meet here in the last 16. Gallagher is a little small for the division but will enjoy a significant height and reach advantage over the strongly built but tiny Carlo Paalam. Paalam looked good at the qualifiers but also has some strange losses in recent months. This is a fifty fifty fight for me but having watched Paalam end Brendan Irvines dreams in Tokyo, my default expectation is that Paalam will do it again to another Irish boxer. I do like Jude Gallagher’s chances though. Fascinating fight to watch anyway. Vasile Ustoroi (13) was European champ in 2022 and has a very unorthodox counterpunching style, where he leaps and jumps in almost random directions and often get himself caught as a result. He should have too much for Charlie Senior (17) but is unlikely to beat Paalam or Gallagher though. Bracket 3 My pick- Jahmal Harvey (2) . 2021 world champion is probably the big American hope for a gold at this tournament but he is going have to work for it if he wants to medal let alone win gold. He opens up with a rematch of the Pan American games semifinal against Luiz Oliveira (3) who is awkward opponent and difficult to hit. Harvey managed to get the job done at Panam games but this fight is far from a foregone conclusion and Oliveira has won this matchup twice before. Munarbek Seitbek Uulu (12) took the very last quota for this tournament but is a world bronze medallist and will face world silver medallist Saidel Horta (8) in the last 16. Horta is good but not as accurate or precise as you would typically expect from Cuban boxers and I would regard this fight as a potential upset. Harvey beat Horta in the panam games final but it was level going into the last round. That said, I think Oliveira is the significantly tougher challenge for Harvey. Bracket 4 My pick- Javier Ibanez (4) . This is a tricky one. So the last 16 should be fairly straightforward. Yilmar Gonzalez (6) should be able to land enough to beat the agile Shudai Harada (15) and despite his impressive 2nd world qualifier performance former European youth champion Aider Abduraimov (10) is unlikely to push European champion Javier Ibanez too close. Javier Ibanez and Yilmar Gonzalez are both talented but haven’t quite yet produced the goods at a global championship. They met at the 2021 worlds with Ibanez getting the decision after a clash of heads caused the fight to be stopped midway through the second round. Gonzalez struggles under pressure but from range he is the better boxer. There were a number of contenders I would have been tempted to pick to beat Ibanez had they been drawn together but while I like Gonzalez, this matchup does suit Ibanez. Medal Fights Abdumalik Khalokov (1) vs Carlo Paalam (5) , Jahmal Harvey (3) vs Javier Ibanez (4) . If both Khalokov and Harvey get this far then it is hard to see them not ending up meeting in the final. Khalokov easily beat Paalam at Asian Games last year and Harvey shouldn’t have too much trouble with Ibanez. I think Khalokov’s counterpunching skills will prevail over Harvey but on paper this is one of if not the fight of the tournament if we get it. Gold- Abdumalik khalokov , Silver- Jahmal Harvey , Bronze- Carlo Paalam , Bronze- Javier Ibanez .

Olympic Predictions (W66kg, W75kg) W66kg Gold- Busenaz Surmeneli (1) , Silver- Yang Liu (3) , Bronze- Grainne Walsh (7) , Bronze- Nien Chin Chen (4) . Seedings 1 Busenaz Surmeneli (TUR) 8 Janjaem Suwannepheng (THA) 2 Yang Liu (CHN) 7 Oshin Derieuw (BEL) 3 Barbara dos Santos (BRA) 6 Morelle McCane (USA) 4 Marissa Williamson (AUS) 5 Imane Khelif (ALG) Bracket 1 My pick- Busenaz Surmeneli (1) . High quality last 32 fight to open up this bracket with Aneta Rygielska (5) taking on Rosie Eccles (8) . I think this matchup should suit the rangy counterpuncher in Rygielska but I certainly would give Eccles a real shot here. Reigning Olympic and 2022 world champion Busenaz Surmeneli awaits the winner. She beat both on her way to her winning European games last year but Rygielska has beaten her before and as Surmeneli is not the tallest she is often vulnerable to counterpunchers with longer reaches. The other last 16 fight sees the powerful Brigitte Mbabi (17) meet 2 time world medallist Janjaem Suwannepheng (10) . Suwannepheng should prevail there but from Surmeneli’s perspective the Rygielska or Eccles fight is really where this medal will be decided. Bracket 2 My pick- Grainne Walsh (7) . So the quarter final here looks a near certainty to be 2022 63kg world silver medallist Imane Khelif (2) against Grainne Walsh. Walsh has two handy enough fights against Luca Anna Hamori (18) and Marissa Williamson (20) , while Imane Khelif should be much too good for Angela Carini (14) . Other than the very controversial manner in which Khelif was denied the 2023 world title, her two biggest fights in her career so far have been losses to Irish boxers. Kellie Harrington in a Tokyo Olympic quarter final and Amy Broadhurst / in the 63kg world final in 2022 so there would be something almost poetic about this if Grainne Walsh was to become the third different Irish boxer to deny Khelif glory. That said Grainne Walsh is a very different boxer to Harrington’s stylish counterpunching or Amy Broadhurst’s precision and power. Walsh is a much more front foot aggressive boxer which could play into Khelif’s height and reach advantage. While the Grainne Walsh Amy Broadhurst selection controversy had mostly quietened down after their respective second world qualifier performances, they will make a return if a boxer Broadhurst comfortably beat is the one to deny Walsh an Olympic medal. Maybe I’m biased with this pick but I’m backing Walsh. Bracket 3 My pick- Nien Chin Chen (4) . This is the most open of these brackets in this division. Former world champion Nien Chin Chen opens up the bracket against the aggressive but very undersized Maria Moronta (15) where I can only see one winner. That would set up a massive fight with Panamerican champion Barbara dos Santos (6) . Chen and dos Santos are both solid boxers and this fight will come down to how effectively Chen can get on the inside and unleash her power advantage. Morelle McCane (9) is a solid but flawed boxer although that should still be enough to beat Navbakhor Khamidova (16) . She lost to Dos Santos in the final of Panam games and I feel like Chen would get the better of her as well. Bracket 4 My pick- Yang Liu (3) . This final bracket has a clear cut favourite in world champion Yang Liu but should still throw up some interesting fights. Veteran pro and European silver medallist Oshin Derieuw (12) has an interesting opening test against the universality qualifier but somewhat successful Ivanusa Moreira (19) . The last 32 fight in this bracket sees recent European medallist Jessica Triebelova (13) match up with 2022 70kg world silver medallist Alcinda dos Santos (11) . To be honest, I quite like Triebelova’s chances there although Dos Santos is more proven. The winner would then face Yang who is far from unbeatable and doesn’t move particularly well. That said she is the class of this particular bracket and should come through. Medal Fights Busenaz Surmeneli (1) vs Grainne Walsh (7) , Nien Chin Chen (4) vs Yang Liu (3) . These are two interesting fights, As successful as Surmeneli has been she is far from a shoe in here and whether it is Walsh or Khelif they will both potentially cause her problems. The default expectation though is that she will win. Yang has had the better of the head to head with Chen in recent years but Chen deserved to beat Yang at Asian games last year. Given their prior fights had also gone Yang’s way she will start as marginal favourite. Surmeneli would be favoured to beat Yang though, albeit Yang would have a significant reach advantage. Gold- Busenaz Surmeneli , Silver- Yang Liu , Bronze- Grainne Walsh , Bronze- Nien Chin Chen . W75kg Gold- Tammar Thibeault (1) , Silver- Qian Li (3) , Bronze- Aoife O’Rourke (2) , Bronze- Caitlin Parker (7) . Seedings 1 Qian Li (CHN) 8 Michael de Trindade (BRA) 2 Aoife O'Rourke (IRL) 7 Atheyna Bylon (PAN) 3 Tammara Thibeault (CAN) 6 Davina Michel (FRA) 4 Khadija El Mardi (MAR) 5 Caitlin Parker (AUS) Bracket 1 My pick- Qian Li (3) . I do think this is one of the more predictable divisions but this top bracket should at least throw up some interesting matchups. 2022 70kg world youth champion Sunniva Hofstad (8) is an impressive but not quite yet fully developed up and coming talent. She will provide a stern opening test for the reigning world champion Lovlina Borgohain (5) . Olympic silver and Asian champion Qian Li has an easier fight against Hergie Bacyadan (15) . Li and Borgohain have met 3 times over the last year with Lovlina’s only win coming in India in the semi-final of worlds last year. Li is the better boxer of the two and I would be surprised if she doesn’t win here. Bracket 2 My pick- Caitlin Parker (7) . By far the weakest bracket. Both opening fights should be quite straightforward. Citlalli Ortiz (16) is better than she looks and picks her shots well but world silver medallist Caitlin Parker should be too skilled for her. I know Khadija El Mardi (9) is technically a world champion (81+kg) but I have seen this perception of her as one of the favourites here and guys she is far from it. She should be able to overcome the much smaller Chantelle Reid (13) but there is a medal here for Caitlin Parker if she wants it. Bracket 3 My pick- Tammara Thibeault (1) . Canada vs a refugee athlete doesn’t typically stand out as being a great boxing match but this could be one of the fights of the games. Cindy Ngamba (4) has looked in great form since narrowly losing to Aoife O’Rourke at European games last year. Tammara Thibeault is 2022 world champion and for me has been the most impressive W75kg boxer of this cycle. Thibeault will have a significant height and reach advantage but Ngamba has shown an ability to overcome that against other boxers. I would expect Thibeault to win but it may well be close. The other fight here sees experienced Davina Michel (10) face young Baison Manikon (14) but Thibeault vs Ngamba will decide the medal here. Bracket 4 My pick-Aoife O’Rourke (2) . I was quite nervous about Aoife’s chances here before the draw despite her 27-1 record this Olympic cycle but this is a straightforward draw. She has beaten Elzbieta Wojcik (12) on four straight occasions although Wojcik kept it very close at European games. Atheyna Bylon (6) should be too good for Valentina Khalzova (11) on the other side of the bracket. Bylon and O’Rourke met in the final of Strandja in 2022 where O’Rourke ran out a comfortable winner. She tends to make her fights tougher than they need to be though so I’m sure this will be unnecessarily close. Medal Fights Qian Li (3) vs Caitlin Parker (7) , Tammara Thibeault (1) vs Aoife O’Rourke (2) . Qian Li will be way too good for whoever comes out of the second bracket. The Thibeault O’Rourke fight could be a cracker but while I would love O’Rourke to win I just think Thibeault is the more complete boxer. I think either Thibeault or O’Rourke would beat Li in a potential final. Gold- Tammar Thibeault , Silver- Qian Li , Bronze- Aoife O’Rourke , Bronze- Caitlin Parker .

Boxing Olympic predictions part two (W50kg,W57kg) Part one (W54,W60,M63.5,M80) are on the previous page. Seedings in the table at the top of each weightclass. My rankings in brackets. W50kg Gold- Buse Cakiroglu (1) , Silver- Nikhat Zareen (2) , Bronze- Wassila Lkhadiri (9) , Bronze- Ingrit Valencia (8) . Seedings 1 Wu Yu (CHN) 8 Chuthamat Raksat (THA) 2 Roumaysa Boualam (ALG) 7 Wassila Lkhadiri (FRA) 3 Buse Cakiroglu (TUR) 6 Jennifer Lozano (USA) 4 Caroline de Almeida (BRA) 5 Monique Suraci (AUS) Bracket 1 My pick- Nikhat Zareen (2) . Probably the highest quality bracket of any division at these games. This one is ludicrously stacked and had you told me these two last 16 fights were the semi finals and I would have believed you. Anyway poor Maxi Kloetzer (17) , who could not have got a worse draw from her perspective. Twice world champion Nikhat should beat her comfortably. Then we get to the interesting fights Asian champion and 52kg world champion Wu Yu (3) meets Nikhat (2) who has not quite been in the form that won her world titles in 2022 and 2023. This one is impossible to call but to my eyes Nikhat is marginally the better boxer. The other last 16 sees Asian bronze medallist Chuthamat Raksat (5) meet recent Strandja champion Sabina Bobokulova (4) (where she beat Wu and Nikhat). Bobokulova is a bit scrappy and wild for my liking but her recent form is better than the rapid Raksat and I would pick her to win here. To illustrate how close this bracket is both Bobokulova and Raksat have won their most recent fight against Nikhat and lost their most recent matchup with Wu. Having said all that, I personally do think Nikhat is the oh so marginally best boxer of the group and I’m not going to overthink this and will back her despite those recent defeats. Bracket 2 My pick- Ingrit Valencia (8) . This second bracket is also very tricky to predict although nowhere near as high quality as the first bracket. Multi time European medallist Giordana Sorrentino (6) has a tricky enough opener against 2022 Asian medallist Nazym Kyzaibay (14) . The other last 32 fight sees two of the bigger flyweights multi time world medallist Ingrit Valencia face Yesugen Oyuntsetseg (13) . The winner would then face the smaller but powerful Monique Suraci (12) . Another world medallist and Panam champion Caroline de Almeida (11) awaits for Sorrentino. De Almeida is solid but her punches are a bit one dimensional. Valencia should really beat Suraci but who she then faces could be crucial. She has had the better of the matchup with Sorrentino over the last couple of years but lost to De Almeida at last year’s Panam games. Both Sorrentino and Valencia have cases to be the pick here and De Almeida shouldn’t be discounted but I am going to pick the veteran Colombian. Bracket 3 My pick- Buse Cakiroglu (1) . On paper this should be a cakewalk for 2022 world champion Buse Cakiroglu. Laura Fuertes (15) is not guaranteed to beat the largely unknown quantity Fatima Herrera (21) . Meanwhile, Pihla Kaivo Oja (18) should easily beat universality qualifier Margret Tembo (22) although Tembo is not the easiest of opponents. Jennifer Lozano (20) is the Panam silver medallist but is very inaccurate and Lozano vs Kaivo oja will not be a high quality fight. None of these boxers will get close to challenging Cakiroglu. Bracket 4 My pick- Wassila Lkahdiri (9) . The last bracket is an interesting one. Aira Villegas (10) should beat Yasmina Mouttaki (19) first up before what should be a closer fight with African champion Roumaysa Boualam (16) . Boualam will test Villegas but Villegas should win. The big fight here is the other last 16 fight with a rematch of a European games quarter final between Daina Moorehouse (7) and world bronze medallist Wassila Lkhadiri. Lkhadiri narrowly took that fight on the narrowest of split decisions but Moorehouse is young and still improving. For me Moorehouse is now the better boxer but I just can’t see this fight not being close and if its close the benefit of the doubt will likely go to the home boxer. Villegas will await the winner in what should also be a really close fight. Any of those 3 boxers could medal from this bracket. Medal Fights Nikhat Zareen (2) vs Ingrit Valencia (8) , Buse Cakiroglu (1) vs Wassila Lkahdiri (9) . Regardless of who comes out of brackets 1,2 and 4 these semi-finals should be fairly predictable with Buse Cakiroglu winning and Nikhat/Wu/Bobokulova beating Ingrit Valencia. In this case we end up with a final between Buse Cakiroglu and Nikhat and while Nikhat did win this fight when they met in Strandja in 2022, Cakiroglu is the much safer pick here. Gold- Buse Cakiroglu , Silver- Nikhat Zareen , Bronze- Wassila Lkhadiri , Bronze- Ingrit Valencia . W57kg Gold- Lin Yu-ting (1) , Silver- Nesthy Petecio (2) , Bronze- Jucielen Romeu (6) , Bronze- Karina Ibragimova (5) . Seedings 1 Lin Yu-ting (TPE) 8 Svetlana Staneva (BUL) 2 Tina Rahimi (AUS) 7 Karina Ibragimova (KAZ) 3 Amina Zidani (FRA) 6 Valeria Arboleda (COL) 4 Jucielen Romeu (BRA) 5 Khouloud Hlimi (TUN) Bracket 1 My pick- Lin Yu-ting (1) . So 2022 world and current Asian champion Lin Yu-ting starts off this tournament as a very marginal favourite. She will have an easy enough fight to open up against Sitora Turdibekova (19) assuming Turdibekova can beat Marcelat Sakobi (20) . Given their respective experience, it is remarkable Michaela Walsh (8) and Svetlana Staneva (4) have not met before. Staneva is reigning European champion and on current form should be a comfortable winner but Walsh could upset things if she can refind her form. Lin has beaten Staneva at world championships last year so while I would expect a couple of close fights, this bracket should just go to form and that is Lin. Bracket 2 My pick- Jucielen Romeu (6) . Panamerican champion Romeu is the comfortable pick of the bunch here although she has not yet gotten over the line at a global championships. She will face the winner of a close fight between Alyssa Mendoza (15) and counterpuncher Mijgona Samadova (13) . Mendoza has been very inconsistent but has a higher ceiling than Samadova. On the other side of the bracket Esra Yildiz (9) should be able to comfortably beat Marine Camara (21) but the agile back foot Khouloud Hlimi (18) could provide some resistance. I think Romeu would be a solid favourite against Yildiz. Bracket 3 My pick- Nesthy Petecio (2) . Irma Testa (3) could make me look very silly for not picking her to win gold as she is world champion but Nesthy Petecio took this matchup in the Olympic semi-final in Tokyo and is the more accurate punch picker of the two. Petecio has to navigate a reasonably awkward opener against the taller Jaismine (11) before a huge fight against European champion Amina Zidani (7) . Zidani is not as good as that title suggests and I trust Petecio to produce when it counts. Irma Testa also doesn’t have the easiest of openers against the solid Xu Zichun (10) but Valeria Arboleda (17) is unlikely to trouble her. This should all set up a quarter final between Testa and Petecio and without any conviction whatsoever I am going to back Petecio. Bracket 4 My pick- Karina Ibragimova (5) . This bracket is on paper by far the most straightforward with two time world medallist Karina Ibragimova the massive favourite to medal here. There should be quite a close last 32 fight between Omailyn Alcala (12) and Julia Szeremeta (14) . Either should be too good for Tina Rahimi (22) . Ibragimova has to beat the aggressive Ashleyann Lozada (16) and either Alcala or Szeremeta but is comfortably the pick here Medal Fights Lin Yu-ting (1) vs Jucielen Romeu (6) , Nesthy Petecio (2) vs Karina Ibragimova (5) . Two high quality fights here but Lin has beaten Romeu before and this might be the ceiling for Romeu. Petecio vs Ibragimova is an interesting style mismatch but for me Petecio is just comfortably the better boxer and Ibragimova would struggle against Petecio’s power. Lin and Petecio both have wins and losses against each other but I’m going to cheat slightly and pick Lin as she is the safer pick to get this far. Gold- Lin Yu-ting , Silver- Nesthy Petecio , Bronze- Jucielen Romeu , Bronze- Karina Ibragimova .

Olympic medal predictions (M63.5kg, M80kg) M63.5kg Gold- Sofiane Oumiha (4) , Silver- Bunjong Sinsiri (3) , Bronze- Ruslan Abdullaev (2) , Bronze- Lasha Guruli (4) . Seedings 1 Wyatt Sanford (CAN) 8 Miguel Martinez (MEX) 2 Chu-en Lai (TPE) 7 Lasha Gurul 3 Jugurtha Ait Bekka (ALG) 6 Bunjong Sinsiri (THA) 4 Sofiane Oumiha (FRA) 5 Harry Garside (AUS) Bracket 1 My pick- Ruslan Abdullaev (2) . This is one of the toughest division to predict and I have no confidence in my own predictions proving remotely accurate. Remember when I was saying because he was seeded Wyatt Sanford (13) could medal if he got a good draw, well yeah, not anymore. So first up is a fascinating encounter between Radoslav Rosenov (8) and world bronze medallist Bakhodur Usmonov (5) . Rosenov is a rangy boxer who took the scenic route qualifying wise but got there eventually. Usmonov is a very solid boxer who is tough to beat and doesn’t have many weaknesses. I would lean towards Usmonov but Rosenov has a real chance. Either should then have too much for the aggressive but a little unrefined Wyatt Sanford. Meanwhile world champion Ruslan Abdullaev has a relatively straigthforward opener against Miguel Martinez (14) . Abdullaev is still quite young and while very good coming forward he has a number of vulnerabilities and I’m sure would have been hoping to avoid the likes of Usmonov until the medal rounds. I think he will come through Usmonov or Rosenov but I’m not that confident in that prediction. Bracket 2 My pick- Sofiane Oumiha (1) . Dean Clancy (11) was always a pretty fringe medal hope amongst the Irish team so in some ways him being the one to get a bad draw is fine. He should beat the aggressive Obada Al Kasbeh (15) but 60kg world champion and 2016 Olympic champion Sofiane Oumiha dispatched him handily enough at European games last year. Meanwhile the other European games bronze medallist Richard Kovacs (19) is unlikely to put up much resistance against the 2021 Olympic bronze medal winner and quality counterpunching southpaw Harry Garside (7) . Garside is a little unfortunate with the seeding bracket as I would have been very tempted to pick him to medal against others in this division. That said Oumiha is not unbeatable and tall counterpuncher like Garside could give him serious trouble. Bracket 3 My pick- Bunjong Sinsiri (3) . So Bunjong Sinsiri is a tricky one. In 2022 he beat Chinzorig Baatarsukh (would have been the favourite here if not for a doping violation.) and world silver medallist Dulat Bekbauov to win the 67kg Asian title and also beat 71kg world champion Aslanbek Shymbergenov a couple of months prior. He then lost to Baatarsukh at Asian games and was bizarrely dropped by Thailand for the first world qualifier in favour of the good but not elite Somchay Wongsuwan and then of course qualified after Baatarsukh’s doping suspension happened. He is a little slow but has a ludicrously long reach for the division and despite his impressive wins, at a global level he is completely unproven. He starts off with a tricky test against the small but effective Jesus Cova (12) . Meanwhile 60kg world silver medallist Erislandy Alvarez (6) should navigate his first two fights against late call up John Ume (20) and African champ Jugurtha Ait Bekka (18) . That will set up a third quality but tricky to predict quarter final between Alvarez and Sinsiri. Alvarez struggled to qualify and will have a significant size disadvantage here but I don’t yet quite trust Sinsiri to do the business. Sinsiri is tentatively my pick though. Bracket 4 My pick- Lasha Guruli (4) . The weakest bracket on paper but will throw up some interesting fights. Oier Ibbareche (16) came out of relatively nowhere to qualify at the second world qualifier with Spain having picked 2 completely different boxers for the preceding two qualifying tournaments. He meets Mukhammedsabyr Bazarabay Uulu (9) who is the weakest of the male Kazakh boxers but still a quality operator. The winner presumably Mukhammedsabyr would then face technically the Asian champion in Chu-en Lai (17) . Lai did well to take advantage of a weak draw to qualify but the Kazakh should come through here as well. European silver medallist Lasha Guruli meets Malik Hasanov (10) . Both are taller boxers who like to control fights from range so I suspect this will be quite a standoffish fight. They are both inconsistent but Guruli has the higher ceiling and therefore should be expected to win here. Mukhammedsabyr would provide an interesting and different challenge to Guruli or Hasanov of course but I think Guruli’s ringcraft would allow him to prevail. Medal Fights Projected semis- Ruslan Abdullaev (2) vs Sofiane Oumiha (1) , Bunjong Sinsiri (3) vs Lasha Guruli (4) . So I have zero confidence that the four boxers I have classified as favourites will actually all prevail but anyway, Oumiha should be able to pick the still developing Abdullaev off and make the final. Guruli would be safer pick but Sinsiri has beaten boxers who have beaten Guruli so you would have to provisionally back him in the semis as well. Like Garside, Sinsiri could then potentially cause some trouble for Oumiha but you would have to back the Frenchman at home in an Olympic final. Gold- Sofiane Oumiha , Silver- Bunjong Sinsiri , Bronze- Ruslan Abdullaev , Bronze- Lasha Guruli . M80kg Gold- Oleksandr Khyzniak (1) , Silver- Nurbek Oralbay (2) , Bronze- Arlen Lopez (4) , Bronze- Christian Pinales (7) . Seedings 1 Tuohetaebieke Tanglatihan (CHN) 8 Gabrijel Veocic (CRO) 2 Arlen Lopez (CUB) 7 Eumir Marcial (PHI) 3 Oleksandr Khyzniak (UKR) 6 Wanderley Pereira (BRA) 4 Abdelrahma Abdelgawwad (EGY) 5 Callum Peters (AUS) Bracket 1 My pick- Christian Pinales (7) . So most of these predictions line up with my rankings, because ye know my opinions on these boxers haven’t really changed much in the space of a week but I am going to gamble and go against my own rankings here. Christian Pinales is a massive boxer and very skilled but he is a bit lower in my rankings as a result of his inexperience and his lack of standout results. He has a tough opening fight against 2021 75kg world bronze medallist Weerapon Jongjoho (10) who rode his hometown luck a bit to qualify. The winner gets rewarded with a fight against Asian champion and world silver medallist Tuohetaebieke Tanglatihan (3) who is a skilled counter puncher but I like Pinales’ chances of causing an upset. The other last 16 fight is the technically sound European silver medallist Gabrijel Veocic (8) against the front foot 2022 Asian champion Hussein Iashaish (11) (who is competing in his third straight Olympics, in his third weightclass and uniquely has been moving down weight divisions as he ages). Veocic should win but has struggled against power boxers at points in his young career. Tanglatihan or Pinales would be favoured over Veocic in a quarter final though. Bracket 2 My pick- Nurbek Oralbay (2) . So for some reason betting odds love Callum Peters (15) and believe he is one of the medal favourites here. I don’t see it but what do I know? Reigning world champion Nurbek Oralbay is going to beat him anyway so I guess we will never know how well he could have done with an easier draw. The other fight in this bracket sees Murad Allahverdiyev (14) facing African champion Abdelrahman Abdelgawwad (17) . Neither boxer would have really been expected to make the quarter finals so both now have a chance. Oralbay should cruise through this bracket. Bracket 3 My pick- Oleksandr Khyzniak (1) . Not the easiest draw for European champion Oleksandr Khyzniak. The most front foot pressure fighter of all is looking to avenge his shock last gasp loss in the 2021 75kg Olympic final with gold here. He doesn’t have the easiest of openings with counterpuncher Pylyp Akilov (12) . Akilov is effective on the back foot but just doesn’t quite move well enough to evade Khyzniak for 3 rounds. Khyzniak will then face 75kg world and Panam silver medallist Wanderley Pereira (9) . Pereira has not been in great form of late and is not the type of boxer likely to trouble Khyzniak. Bracket 4 My pick- Arlen Lopez (4) . After a couple of on paper quite straightforward brackets, we come to the most unpredictable one with 3 legitimate medal favourite here. First up Salvatore Cavallaro (13) should beat Kaan Aykutsun (16) before providing a fairly straightforward opening fight to reigning Olympic champion Arlen Lopez. Lopez has not looked in great shape of late but that was true before Tokyo as well. On the other side of this draw the very promising Turabek Khabibullaev (5) faces 75kg Olympic medallist Eumir Marcial (6) . Khabibuallaev is more talented but may struggle with the power of Marical. Either would potentially cause Lopez trouble but at least for now, Lopez would start as marginal favourite to beat either in what I’m sure would be a quality fight. Medal Fights Christian Pinales (7) vs Nurbek Oralbay (2) , Oleksandr Khyzniak (1) vs Arlen Lopez (4) . Nurbek Oralbay would be favoured to beat Pinales but if it is a fight with Tanglatihan it would be a very close affair. They have fought 3 times, 2 going in favour of Oralbay but all were close decisions. Khyzniak vs Lopez should be one of the standout fights of the games, with I’m sure Lopez being a rare boxer willing to attempt to match Khyzniak’s punch output. In the unlikely event my predictions prove accurate that would set up a Khyzniak Oralbay final, Oralbay’s movement and counterpunching is usually the best path to beating Khyzniak but having left gold behind him in Tokyo, I will back Khyzniak to get over the line here. Gold- Oleksandr Khyzniak , Silver- Nurbek Oralbay (2) , Bronze- Arlen Lopez (4) , Bronze- Christian Pinales (7) .

Boxing Olympic predictions (W54KG, W60kg) So having attempted to predict all the qualifying tournaments, might as well give the Olympics themselves a go. I really wanted to get this done in one part and not have to split this into two but I just ran out of time. So to keep things simple I will post the four weightclasses in action today now and the other 9 tomorrow. I will include a table of the seeds at the top of each weightclass and then my own rankings of these boxers in brackets. I’m just going to keep emphasizing this because I’m sure it will come up again. Seeding draw was randomized and higher seeds are not inherently better than lower seeds. So look I don’t expect to be that accurate. If I push a 60% hit rate on medallists and pick 6 of the eventual champions, I would happy enough. There were two late changes to the entry. As mentioned already in this thread losing European Games quarter finalist Magomed Schachidov replaces Tugrulhan Erdemir (doping suspension) and also disappointingly Pemberton Lele was unable to travel so the universality quota at 63.5kg goes to John Ume who also got a universality quota for Tokyo. W54kg Gold- Pang Chol-mi (1) , Silver-Lacramioara Perijoc (7) ,Bronze- Stanimira Petrova (2) , Bronze- Preeti (11) . Bracket 1 My pick- Stanimira Petrova (2) . The toughest Women’s division to rank and also to predict and first up is the toughest bracket within it to project. Hsiao Wen Huang (6) is world champion and an Olympic medallist but is probably the third most likely boxer to medal here. She has an easy opening fight against Bojana Gojkovic (18) who she beat to qualify at the second world qualifier. She faces a huge fight against European champion Stanimira Petrova. On current form you have to back Petrova but it will be close. The other last 16 fight sees Asian silver medallist Yuan Chang (5) has a tricky opener against the fast and agile Jennifer Lehane (12) which is a fight I think has upset potential. Chang will be hopeful that Huang is the boxer she would then face in a quarter final as she has beaten her and lost to Petrova albeit the Petrova loss was in Bulgaria and the win over Huang was in China. I think I would back either Petrova or Huang though over Chang. Bracket 2 My pick- Pang Chol-mi (1) . Pang Chol-mi was world champion in 2018 and Asian champion last year but still comes into this tournament somewhat unknown. She is nominally my highest ranked boxer but that is more out of a distrust of every other contender than a great belief in Pang. She has a Asian games semi final rematch with Nigina Uktamova (16) in her opening fight. Meanwhile Sara Cirkovic (3) meets world bronze medallist Jutamas Jitpong (9) in the one of the better last 32 fights. Cirkovic has developed rapidly to be one of the favourites here having being world youth champion in 2022, European under 22 champion last year and European senior champion and of course Olympic qualifier this season. While Jitpong is decent mover, Cirkovic should be too strong for her. Cirkovic then has an easier fight against counterpuncher Widad Bertal (21) to set up a fight with Pang which would probably go under the radar a bit but could decide the gold medal winner. I am very tempted to pick Cirkovic but I will trust Pang’s experience. Bracket 3 My pick- Lacramioara Perijoc (7) . The most open of these brackets with a number of interesting fights. Charley Davison (4) against 2022 world champion Hatice Akbas should be fascinating. Akbas has not managed to back up that home world championships win but she is a quality and difficult to beat counterpuncher. Davison has been in good form of late winning the US boxing invitational in April but this is a crucial fight for the comparably small British squad’s medal hopes. Tiana Echegaray (20) waits to be beaten by the winner of the Akbas vs Davison in the last 16. World bronze medallist Enkhjargal Mungunsetseg (15) faces Sirine Charaabi (14) in what should be an even fight with the winner being rewarded with a fight against the aggressive 2022 world silver medallist Lacramioara Perijoc. Perijoc has beaten Akbas on multiple occasions but a matchup with Davison would be interesting and likely would come down to Davison’s ability to maintain the distance and not allow Perijoc on the inside. Perijoc has won against opponents like Davison before so I would tentatively back her. Bracket 4 My pick- Preeti (11) . So Yeni Arias (13) is the reigning world silver medallist but she is also just not that good and yet the draw has been kind enough to give her a real shot here. First up quality young boxer Preeti meets Thi Kim Anh Vo (17) in a fight she should win fairly comfortably. The winner then faces Arias and while Arias has the pedigree, as is clear from my rankings I would back Preeti to win here. Meanwhile the tall and rangy Im Aeji (10) has a relatively straightforward last 16 fight against Tatiana de Jesus (19) before what could be a fascinating fight with Preeti or Arias of course. I’m not quite sure how we got here but given Im has never managed to produce it when it counts somehow I’m picking Preeti to win a medal. Medal Fights Stanimira Petrova (2) vs Pang Chol-mi (1) , Lacramioara Perijoc (7) vs Preeti (11) . So the winner of the third bracket in this case Perijoc should beat whoever comes out of the bottom bracket. Petrova and Pang both have tough paths to medal but the winner of that semi final likely decides to gold medal. To be honest, I hae no idea what will happen in this division but I guess I’m picking Pang to beat Perijoc in the final. Gold- Pang Chol-mi , Silver-Lacramioara Perijoc ,Bronze- Stanimira Petrova , Bronze- Preeti . W60kg Gold- Kellie Harrington (1) , Silver- Wenlu Yang (4) , Bronze- Beatriz Ferreira (2) , Bronze- Oh Yeon-ji (8) . Seedings 1 Yang Wenlu (CHN) 8 Natalia Shadrina (SRB) 2 Beatriz Ferreira (BRA) 7 Won Ung-yong (PRK) 3 Kellie Harrington (IRL) 6 Angie Valdez (COL) 4 Cynthia Ogunsemilore (NGR) 5 Tyla McDonald (AUS) Bracket 1 My pick- Wenlu Yang (4) . World bronze medallist and Asian champion got about as good a draw as she could have realistically hoped for with a straightforward opener against Thi Linh Ha (18) who first will beat Feofaaki Epenisa (22) . Meanwhile newly crowned European champion Natalia Shadrina (7) also has a straightforward opener against Hadjila Khelif (21) . 34 year old Shadrina has enjoyed somewhat of a late career peak with her performances recently but did lose to Yang at Strandja earlier this year but that will at least be an interesting matchup. Bracket 2 My pick- Oh Yeon-ji (8) . So this bracket is wide open. Former Asian champion Oh Yeonji had not been in great form of late but stormed back into shape beating Amy Broadhurst (that flag still looks wrong) at the final qualifier. She is somewhat more awkward than good but that might be enough to medal here. She beat her opening round opponent Wu Shih Yi (10) on her way to winning the Asian championships in 2022 and should repeat the feat here. She then faces African champion and experienced pro Cynthia Ogunsemilore (17) . On the other side of the bracket Agnes Alexiusson (14) should come through fights against Maria Palacios (19) and Tyla McDonald (20) . Alexiusson and Oh met all the way back in 2018 where Oh won to take a world medal and while a lot of time has passed, I would expect to see the same outcome here. Bracket 3 My pick- Kellie Harrington (1) . Kellie Harrington has never quite found her form this Olympic cycle despite it taking until this year’s Europeans for her to lose a fight. Typically though she produces her best when it matters most although she will need it just to medal here. She opens her account against the winner of Alessia Mesiano (13) and Gizem Ozer (15) . In the other last 32 fight former world medallist Donjeta Sadiku (9) should beat Thananya Somnuek (16) but will likely struggle against world silver medallist Angie Valdez (3) . Valdez is a quality and powerful boxer and would likely have medalled in other brackets but will provide a very stern test for Kellie Harrington. Bracket 4 My pick- Beatriz Ferreira (2) . There is a fair bit of quality in the bottom half of this draw. 2016 champion Estelle Mossely (6) should beat Jajaira Gonzalez (12) to set up an interesting fight with 2-time world champion Beatriz Ferreira. Asian silver medallist Won Ungyong (5) is a complete unknown beyond that result and will be somewhat tested early by former 63kg world medallist Chelsey Heijnen (11) before herself likely facing Ferreira. I would be surprised if Ferreira didn’t come through those 2 fights as her record at major championships is remarkably consistent but it isn’t the easiest path. Medal Fights Wenlu Yang (4) vs Oh Yeonji (8) , Kellie Harrington (1) vs Beatriz Ferreira (2) . So Wenlu Yang starts as favourite to beat Oh Yeonji but that should be a close enough fight. The big fight though is the Tokyo Olympic final rematch between Kellie Harrington and Beatriz Ferreira. Despite Ferreira having acquired more silverware this Olympic cycle, Harrington should still be favoured here and her ability to pick Ferreira off as she comes forward was the deciding factor in Tokyo and very well could be the deciding factor again. While Wenlu Yang actually beat Harrington in the 64kg world final back in 2016, given how their respective careers have gone since I would be surprised if the winner of the Harrington Ferreira semi didn’t take the gold medal. Gold- Kellie Harrington , Silver- Wenlu Yang , Bronze- Beatriz Ferreira , Bronze- Oh Yeon-ji .

Whitlock 15.166 and Nedoroscik 15.200 will both be safely through.

Canada's rowing team as a whole, sorry if that was a bit ambigous. Yeah, your just going to have to believe me that he was supposed to be 33rd in my rankings.

So I wanted to expand on my rankings a bit. Not my best work (and certainly not one my old English teacher would have proud of) but hopefully there is some useful shit somewhere in here Women’s Singles Everytime I look at this boatclass my heart just breaks for Sanita Puspure and that FOQR race. Anyway, this podium at least seems fairly set. Florijn hasn’t lost all cycle and really the intrigue here is who wins the battle for silver between Emma Twigg and Tara Rigney . Things go wrong in the singles though so and the battle behind is fierce. Kara Kohler was fourth last year and seems the safest pick but hasn’t had the form this season missing the A final at world cup ii. Tatsiana Klimovich has looked fairly impressive this season being the closest to the top 3 at world cup ii and Jovana Arsic won Europeans and accordingly for me both rank in the top 6. You can make strong A final cases for Alexandra Foester , Magdalena Lobnig , Virginia Diaz Rivas and even just about Aurelia Maxima Janzen but results have been all over the place this season. Men’s Singles So Simon van Dorp got the better of Oliie Zeidler at world cup ii having lost to him at the first world cup but I would still have to back Ollie as favourite here. Tom Mackintosh is a solid favourite for the podium as well. Ntouskos is never the most consistent but second at Europeans was encouraging, world cup ii, not so much. Yaheni Zalaty has impressed this season while Sverri Nielsen and Damir Martin as always have looked solid and safe bets for the A final. It will be interesting to see how Mihai Chiruta and Jacob Plihal go after an almighty battle to qualify from FOQR. Ryuta Arakawa had a rough time of things at world cup iii and looks unlikely to improve or even replicate his 8th place from last year. Kristian Vasilev , Gedrius Beliauskas and Tim Brys would all be disappointed to miss the semis but have a battle on their hands to make it that far. Women’s Pair In theory the most predictable of all these boat classes with Netherlands, Australia, Romania and Ireland fairly locked into the top four and in that order. That said it is rare than the script goes that smoothly and Netherlands will be only boat happy with the current status quo. Denmark had a disastrous world champs last year but have looked impressive this year winning FOQR relatively comfortably and bronzes at world cups i and iii. Greece are European silver medallists and if anyone breaks into the top four then it is probably them. The USA have changed and in theory weakened their combination here and but still sit at the top of the next tier albeit in what could be a very close battle for finishing positions in the B final. Lithuania haven’t raced this year as a combination since their 8th place finish last year and there is nothing between Czechia, Spain, New Zealdand and GB’s new combination. Chile are the interesting ones having finished a surprise 5th at worlds last year, they have largely struggled this year though. A repeat of their A final last year is tough to see but it would be disappointing if they don’t at least finish in the middle of the B final. Men’s Pair So for the third straight year this British combination starts off as favourites in this event. Both of the previous year they have ultimately been beaten, by Romania in 2022 and the Swiss last year. Romania have changed their pair since a disappointing fourth last year and took second at Europeans ahead of the Swiss who have been consistently on the podium this year but haven’t quite shown the form that led them to the world title last year. The Sinkovic’s gamble to move back into the pair does not appeared to have worked although we don’t know where they would be had they stayed in the double. If anything this ranking is generation to them. The Spanish only finished in the B final at Europeans but sprinted through the Swiss to take silver at world cup ii. Ireland are a strange one as they developed ahead of schedule to win bronze at the world championships last year but have had a very disrupted season, with their only race together being a disappointing 7th at world cup i after an injury and illness affected build up. If they can regain their form though, they could jump back into medal contention in a hurry. South Africa were surprise finalists last year but potentially look capable of backing up that performance having nearly taken a medal at world cup iii. There is very little between the USA, New Zealand, Italy and Australia with all four having performances that hint at being capable of contending for spots in the A final but they also kind of have to be ranked down here. This is a rare boat class where I have the 2 FOQR boats ranked last. Lithuania have some pedigree over the last couple of years but the Germans came out of nowhere to upset the much more established combinations from Denmark and the Netherlands to qualify. Women’s Double So a boat class that wasn’t all that interesting coming into the season, all of a sudden is incredibly tough to predict. Romania lost for the first time since 2019 at Europeans although you would have to back them to be back in prime form for the Olympics. Lithuania have pushed them the closest over the last couple of years although they were pipped by Norway at Europeans and then finished towards the back of the B final at world cup ii so it’s very hard to know what Lithuania will show up. The US are bronze medallists from last year and look in reasonable shape to retain that status after narrowly coming through Australia and Norway to win the aforementioned second world cup. Australia and Norway have both flown up the rankings since moving Harriet Hudson and Inger Seim Kavlie respectively into this boat with Australia narrowly getting the better of the head to head at world cup ii and iii although Norway’s win at Europeans was the most impressive of the lot. Ireland’s young double came very close to medalling last year and come into this regatta a little under the radar after slipping in A finals to fifth at Europeans and fourth world cup ii. Having said that they had beaten Australia and Norway in the heats/semis at world cup ii and I would quietly fancy their chances of a medal here. New Zealand were fifth last year and performed significantly better at worlds than their prior form last year so shouldn’t be counted out of the medal picture. It’s very close beyond that with France having brought Elodie Scaramozzino into the boat after their A final combination from last year failed to fire earlier in the season. The other six boats could really all conceivably finish in any order and there have only been a second or two between them all season. China’s A final appearance at world cup ii and Czechia fourth place at Europeans means they rank slightly higher than Netherlands, Italy and GB. Men’s Double The Dutch are significant favourites but it is a very tough field to judge beyond that. Romania’s new combination of Cornea and Enache came out of their quad last year and won Europeans comfortably but actually lost in the heats there to Germany. Ireland won bronze last year and bronze this year at world cup i behind the Dutch and Italy although Italy beat Ireland early last season as well. Ireland then beat Germany and New Zealand at world cup iii. Speaking of Italy, they have moved Luca Rambaldi into there quad in place of Nicolo Carucci so despite their silver at world cup i and ii they probably are fielding a slightly weaker combination. Spain and Germany were within half a second of each other at Europeans and both have had successful medal winning seasons so far. France’s global champions in 22 and 23 have struggled this year with 5ths at world cups ii and iii. USA comfortably took FOQR and could push on towards an A final. Serbia’s combination with Pimenov in the double instead of the single has only raced FOQR but only narrowly beat an Australian boat who then struggled at world cup iii. Norway have thrown this double together with Kjetil Borch joining Martin Helseth, having moved their original double into a quad. Borch was just starting to find his form at FOQR so there is hope for this boat. China came 6th in this boat class last year but with Sulitan Adilijiang now joining Zhiyu Lu in the boat in place of Zhang Liang, it’s hard to see this boat being successful. They both were part of the quad that came 9th at FOQR. The Loncaric twins did really well to qualify the pair but have been forced into this boat by the wishes of the Sinkovic brothers and have unsurprisingly struggled. Women’s Lightweight Double This GB double are obviously the biggest favourites in any boat class at this regatta. New Zealand have impressed this season with silver at world cup ii and winning world cup iii. The US have won silver the last couple of years but struggled a bit at world cup ii. Romania have put their 2018 world champion combination back together and did win Europeans but no France/ Ireland and Emily Craig was missing from the British boat. France did well to win FOQR but have struggled at recent world champs compared with how they performed during the season. Ireland haven’t had a great season but part of me still believes they have a medal ceiling. Greece are good and young so could surprise and make the A final. Canada are solid but I wanted to rank them lower here. China didn’t have a great world cup ii and are unlikely to replicate their A final performance from last year. Poland should be competitive despite qualifying via the continental qualifiers. (This wasn’t exactly the smoothest written paragraph in the world, aye?) Men’s Lightweight Double So the most interesting race this year was world cup ii where the 5 times consecutive global champions Ireland were pushed narrowly into third by Switzerland and Italy. While this was an encouraging results for both the Swiss and Italians it should be noted that Ireland have typically significantly extended their margin of victory between there mid-season form and world championships over the last few years so are still significant favourites to win here. Although both Switzerland and Italy look like they will be tough to dislodge off the podium. France are an interesting one as they actually beat Ireland in a photo finish at world cup iii last year and then had a disastrous world championships. They recovered to narrowly win FOQR over the Greeks but their only other race this season was winning world cup iii where the only other Olympic boat in the field was Mexico. Norway have made multiple podiums this season and should really make it back to the A final. Ukraine won the European qualifying regatta in their only race of the season but look to have recovered from their bad form last year after winning world bronze in 2022. Spain, Czechia and Belgium have all beaten each other this year and will feel a bit hard done by to not be ranked in the top 6. 9th is especially harsh on Czechia as they have made the last 3 global finals but its hard to rank them higher based off this year’s formguide. Greece stuck right with France at FOQR but having faded badly at world championships last year, I’m not falling for them again. Mexico had a very impressive seventh last year but based off this year alone just making the B final would be positive. Women’s Four GB take the favourites tag with wins over Romania at Europeans and Netherlands at world cup i and ii. Netherlands are reigning world champions though and were middle of the pack during the world cup season last year before coming through to win at worlds against a slightly different British crew so the Dutch could repeat that feat. That fact also gives them the benefit of the doubt over Romania who were a second closer to the Brits at Europeans than the Dutch were at world cup ii although inferring anything from that kind of margin is probably silly. On paper medals look fairly safe with new American and New Zealand combinations at least not yet showing the form to dislodge any of the three medallists from last year. On paper the US combination looks weaker than their fourth place last year but bronze at world cup ii sets them up to repeat that particular result. The Kiwis were 7th last year but bring in former world and Olympic champion Kerri Williams and won world cup iii albeit against lesser competition. Australia have shifted the focus to their eight and this boat is weaker as a consequence and they were way off the pace at world cup ii but edged out the Danes at world cup iii. The Irish combination has been narrowly ahead of the Danes at world cup I and FOQR but 7-9th is a three way toss-up. All 3 though will hope they can topple China and sneak into an A final. Men’s Four Gb dominated this Olympic cycle but haven’t had a great season losing world cup i to Italy and then getting well beaten by last year’s silver and bronze medallists USA and New Zealand at world cup ii. Australia’s significantly changed combination were also close behind the Brits at world cup ii and marginally beat them in the heats. Italy qualified well at FOQR and having beaten the Dutch and the French earlier in the season but may have had an earlier peak so it is far from guaranteed they make the A final. Netherlands after finishing fourth last season have largely struggled. Romania have made one change to their Europeans crew with Sergiu Bejan coming in for Mugurel Semciuc. Bejan himself and Stefan Berariu are down to double up. The Swiss do rank last but are not that far behind the field here. Women’s Quad Potentially a very close race, GB’s world champions recovered from 4th at world cup I to win both Europeans and world cup ii. The Dutch who only managed second at world cup i came second at world cup ii. China having lost their world title last year are marginal favourites for bronze. There is nothing between the boats ranked 4-7. Ukraine had a spectacular start to the year with 1st at world cup i and second at Europeans but then lost to the US at FOQR. The US had changed their combination from the one that finished 11th last year and the Canadians and French who missed at FOQR were competitive boats as well so I think putting the two FOQR qualifiers 4th and 5th is reasonable. Germany have edged out the Swiss at every regatta so far this year. Romania and Australia were both surprise qualifiers last year, Romania keep changing their combination so could surprise and repeat their A final appearance while Australia have taken Harriet Hudson out of this boat to prioritize a medal calibre double and as such have not been competitive this season. Men’s Quad On paper one of the most straightforward and likely boat classes to go to form. The Dutch are clear cut favourite here with the battle for silver being fascinating between Poland and Italy. Italy took Europeans but then Poland flipped that result at world cup ii, although Italy have since added powerhouse Luca Rambaldi to this boat. The Brits despite adding Graeme Thomes to last year’s boat seem stuck in fourth although not far behind. Switzerland and Germany have both beaten each other multiple times this season but Switzerland seem more reliable and did medal at Europeans beating the Brits. Romania changed their 7th place combination from last year for Europeans and then changed it again and are racing a new combination here so could cause an upset and make the A final. Norway’s FOQR tactic of combining 2 doubles they couldn’t decide selection between in many ways worked but they are unlikely to actually end up with a better result than where they would have roughly finished in the double but four athletes is better than two and they still have a double, just a less competitive one. Estonia and their multiple 40+ year olds did well to qualify but will likely finish last. Women’s eight Romania’s crew is almost entirely doubling up despite their strange initial entry list but regardless are the clear cut favourites here. Confusingly the 2 other medallists from last year USA and Australia both in theory strengthened their boats for this season but then lost to 4/5th last year Canada and GBR at world cup ii although they did come first and second in the prelim race. Last year followed a somewhat similar pattern though with Canada and Gb having better form in season but the missing the medals at world championships. This is just a question of do you put more stock into last year’s worlds or world cup ii as a form guide. Canada’s squad have also been struggling badly of late which I think could be justification to fade them a little here. I feel a little sorry for them so let’s put them third. I think the US will take second but third is a toss-up between Canada, GB and Australia. Italy aren’t too far behind and did beat GB at world cup i. Men’s eight GB have been pushed this season and were beaten by the USA in the prelim race at world cup ii. The USA recovered from 6th last year to look very impressive but their form was probably ahead of where the other boats were given they had to go to FOQR so the Dutch remain favourites for silver for me. The Australians were bronze medallists and rejigged their squad a bit in a move that was supposed to strengthen their eight but doesn’t appear to have. Romania were 2 seconds behind the Brits at Europeans and are well in medal contention here. Germany have been off the pace of the best crews all season apart from one spectacular European finals performance. Italy however have an outside chance at pushing Germany out of the A final and beat them in the rep at the first world cup before being beaten in the final. Projected Medal Table Gold Silver Bronze Medals Total Contenders (top 6) Great Britain 5 0 1 6 8 Netherlands 4 4 0 8 8 Romania 2 1 3 6 8 USA 1 1 3 5 8 Ireland 1 1 0 2 6 Germany 1 0 0 1 5 New Zealand 0 2 2 4 5 Australia 0 2 0 2 6 Switzerland 0 1 1 2 3 Poland 0 1 0 1 1 Lithuania 0 1 0 1 1 Italy 0 0 2 2 5 Canada 0 0 1 1 2 China 0 0 1 1 2 Greece 0 0 0 0 2 Neutral athletes 0 0 0 0 2 Denmark 0 0 0 0 2 Spain 0 0 0 0 2 Norway 0 0 0 0 2 France 0 0 0 0 2 Ukraine 0 0 0 0 2 Croatia 0 0 0 0 1 Serbia 0 0 0 0 1 So as expected top spot is a fascinating battle between the Brits and the Dutch with the Romanians as comfortable favourites for third. The USA, Ireland and New Zealand could have an interesting battle for the rest of the top 5 depending on how good or bad their regattas go. As expected projections are not so good for traditional powerhouses Australia, Italy and Canada albeit that Australia and Italy do have the ceiling to overperform.

Olympics form guide/ projections M1X W1X M2- W2- M2X W2X LM2X LW2X M4- W4- M4X W4X M8+ W8+ 1 GER NED GBR NED NED ROU IRL GBR USA GBR NED GBR GBR ROU 2 NED AUS ROU AUS IRL LTU SUI NZL NZL NED POL NED NED USA 3 NZL NZL SUI ROU ROU USA ITA USA GBR ROU ITA CHN USA CAN 4 GRE USA CRO IRL ESP AUS FRA ROU AUS USA GBR USA ROU AUS 5 AIN AIN ESP DEN GER NOR NOR CAN ITA NZL SUI UKR AUS GBR 6 DEN SRB IRL GRE ITA IRL UKR IRL FRA CHN GER GER GER ITA 7 CRO GER RSA USA NZL NZL ESP FRA NED IRL ROU SUI ITA DEN 8 ROU AUT USA LTU FRA FRA GRE GRE ROU AUS NOR ROU 9 USA ESP NZL CZE USA CHN CZE CHN SUI DEN EST AUS 10 JPN SUI ITA ESP SRB CZE BEL POL 11 BUL LTU AUS NZL NOR NED MEX AUT 12 LTU BUL LTU CHI CHN ITA JPN TUN 13 BEL UZB GER GBR CRO GBR UZB JPN 14 BRA AZE CHI IRI 15 SLO RSA ARG PER 16 HUN SLO EGY ARG 17 MON MEX 18 URU TUR 19 EGY BRA 20 TUN PAR 21 CUB ALG 22 BER IRI 23 IND PER 24 PAR UGA 25 KAZ PHI 26 ALG VIE 27 INA CUB 28 ZIM TOG 29 HKG NCA 30 LBA SGP 31 THA MAR 32 SUD KUW 33 ANG So I have done similar exercises to this before. It is not quite a pure form guide but its not quite predictions either, somewhere in between. Proved quite accurate at worlds last year but then not so hot for FOQR so we will see. I know its quite late as well and would have been more useful earlier this week but anyway, we got there. I didn't spend as much time as I would have liked on these so I don't think they will be as accurate as they were for worlds last year.

[hide] Event & Date Athletes Gold Silver Bronze Women's Fencing Ind. Epee Day 1 July 27th 2024 Nathalie Moellhausen Sun Yiwen x Nelli Differt Auriane Mallo-Breton Marie-Florence Candassamy x Coraline Vitalis Kong Mai Wai Vivian Eszter Muhari Rossella Fiamingo Giulia Rizzi Alberta Santuccio x Alexandra Ndolo Song Sera Margherita Guzzi Vincenti Any Other Athlete Women's Canoe Slalom K-1 Day 2 July 28th 2024 Monica Doria Vilarrubla Jessica Fox x Ana Satila Marjorie Delassus Ricarda Funk x Mallory Franklin Stefanie Horn Martina Wegman Luuka Jones Klaudia Zwolinska Eliska Mintalova x Evy Leibfarth Any Other Athlete Men's Judo -66kg Day 2 July 28th 2024 Yashar Najafov Willian Lima Walide Khyar x Vazha Margvelashvili x Matteo Piras Hifumi Abe x Denis Vieru Erkhembayar Battogtokh x An Baul David Garcia Torne Nurali Emomali Bogdan Iadov Narmandakh Bayanmunkh Sardor Nurillaev Any Other Athlete Women's Skateboard Street Day 2 July 28th 2024 Chloe Covell x Rayssa Leal x Pamela Rosa Cui Chenxi Zeng Wenhui Zhu Yuanling Liz Akama x Funa Nakayama Coco Yoshizawa Any Dutch Athlete Paige Heyn Poe Pinson Any Other Athlete Men's Shooting 10m Air Rifle Day 3 July 29th 2024 Martin Strempfl Du Linshu x Sheng Lihao x Any Croatian Athlete Jiri Privratsky x Frantisek Smetana Maximilian Ulbrich Zalan Pekler Istvan Peni Any Indian Athlete Sergey Richter Danilo Sollazzo Naoya Okada Jon-Hermann Hegg Park Hajun Any Other Athlete Women's Judo -57kg Day 3 July 29th 2024 Rafaela Silva Christa Deguichi x Sara Leonie Cysique x Eteri Liparteliani Pauline Starke Timna Nelson Levy Veronica Toniolo Haruka Funakubo x Nora Gjakova Enkhriilen Lkhagvatogoo Marica Perisic Huh Mimi x Kaja Kajzer Daria Bilodid Any Other Athlete Men's Surfing Shortboard Day 4 July 30th 2024 Ethan Ewing x Jack Robinson x Joao Chianca Gabriel Medina Filipe Toledo x Joan Duru Kauli Vaast Leonardo Fioravanti Kanoa Igarashi Reo Inaba Connor O'Leary Alan Cleland Griffin Colapinto John John Florence Any Other Athlete Men's Triathlon Day 4 July 30th 2024 Matthew Hauser Jelle Geens Any Brazilian Athlete Leo Bergere Any Other French Athlete x Lasse Luhrs Alex Yee x Csongor Lehmann Hayden Wilde x Kristian Blummenfelt Vasco Vilaca Any Spanish Athlete Morgan Pearson Any Other Athlete Women's Shooting Trap Day 5 July 31th 2024 Penny Smith Wu Cuicui Carole Cormenier Kathrin Murche Lucy Hall Jessica Rossi x Silvana Stanco Mariya Dmitriyenko Ray Bassil Maria Coelho De Barros x Alessandra Perilli Zuzana Rehak Stefecekova Fatima Galvez x Mar Molne Magrina Any Other Athlete Women's Judo -70kg Day 5 July 31th 2024 Aoife Coughlan Michaela Polleres x Barbara Matic x Marie Eve Gahie Miriam Butkereit Katie-Jemima Yeats-Brown Elisavet Teltsidou x Kim Polling Saki Niizoe Sanne Van Dijke x Maria Perez Anka Pogacnik Ai Tsunoda Roustant Gulnoza Matniyazova Any Other Athlete Men's Fencing Sabre Team Day 5 July 31th 2024 Canada Egypt France x Hungary x Iran Italy South Korea x United States Women's Rowing Four Day 6 August 1st 2024 Australia China Denmark Great Britain x Ireland Netherlands x New Zealand Romania x United States Women's Shooting 50m 3 Position Rifle Day 7 August 2nd 2024 Han Jiayu x Zhang Qiongyue Veronika Blazickova Rikke Ibsen Jolyn Beer Anna Janssen Seonaid McIntosh x Sift Kaur Samra Jeanette Hegg Duestad Jenny Stene x Lee Eunseo Nina Christen Chiara Leone Sagen Maddalena Any Other Athlete Men's Rowing Lightweight Double Sculls Day 7 August 2nd 2024 Belgium Czechia France Greece Ireland x Italy x Mexico Norway Spain Switzerland x Ukraine Uzbekistan Any Other Pair Mixed Tennis Doubles Day 7 August 2nd 2024 Andreeva/Medvedev x Ebden/Perez Pavic/Vekic Machac/Siniakova Garcia/Roger-Vasselin Siegemund/Zverev Salisbury/Watson Sakkari/Tsitsipas Errani/Vavassori Koolhof/Schuurs Hurkacz/Swiatek x Granollers/Sorribes Tormo United States x Any Other Nation Women's BMX Racing Day 7 August 2nd 2024 Lauren Reynolds Saya Sakakibara Molly Simpson Mariana Pajon Londono Malene Kejlstrup Any French Athlete Bethany Shriever Laura Smulders x Merel Smulders Manon Veenstra Nadine Aeberhard Zoe Claessens x Felicia Stancil Daleny Vaughn Alise Willoughby x Any Other Athlete Women's Rowing Eight Day 8 August 3rd 2024 Australia Canada Denmark Great Britain x Italy Romania x United States x Women's Badminton Doubles Day 8 August 3rd 2024 Stoeva/Stoeva Chen/Jia x Liu/Tan x Fruergaard/Thygesen Lambert/Tran Yeung/Yeung Rahayu/Ramadhanti Matsumoto/Nagahara Matsuyama/Shida x Tan/Thinaah Baek/Lee Kim/Kong Kititharakul/Prajongjai Any Other Athlete Men's Road Cycling Race Day 8 August 3rd 2024 Michael Matthews Remco Evenepoel Wout Van Aert x Mads Pedersen x Any Other Danish Athlete Jhonatan Narvaez Julian Alaphilipe Tom Pidcock Alberto Bettiol Mathieu Van Der Poel x Joao Almeida Tadej Pogacar Marc Hirschi Matteo Jorgenson Any Other Athlete Equestrian Individual Dressage Day 9 August 4th 2024 Simone Pearce Catherine Laudrup-Dufour x Any Other Danish Athlete Jessica Von Bredow Werndl Frederic Wandres Isabell Werth x Charlotte Dujardin Charlotte Frey x Dinja Van Liere Patrik Kittel Therese Nilshagen Juliette Ramel Any American Athlete Any Other Athlete Men's Archery Individual Day 9 August 4th 2024 Marcus D'almeida x Eric Peters Any French Athlete Florian Unruh Dhiraj Bommadevara Mauro Nespoli Dan Olaru Steve Wijler Kim Jedeok x Kim Woojin Lee Wooseok Tang Chih Chun Mete Gazoz x Brady Ellison Any Other Athlete Women's Artistic Gymnastic Balance Beam Day 10 August 5th 2024 Kaylia Nemour Rebecca Andrade Flavia Saraiva Qiu Qiyuan x Zhou Yaqin x Elizabeth Black Cassandra Lee Marine Boyer Angela Andreoli Manila Esposito Sabrina Maneca-Voinea Anna Lashchevska Sunisa Lee Hezly Rivera Any Other Athlete x Men's Artistic Gymnastic Parallel Bars Day 10 August 5th 2024 Zou Jingyuan x Angel Barajas Marios Georgiou Lukas Dauser x Joe Fraser Carlos Yulo Nicolau Mir Noe Seifert Illia Kovtun x Oleg Verniaiev Asher Hong Fred Richard Rasuljon Abdurakhimov Any Other Athlete Men's Wrestling Greco-Roman -60kg Day 11 August 6th 2024 Murad Mammadov Cao Liguo x Mehdi Mohsennejad x Kenichiro Fumita x Aidos Sultangali Zholaman Sharshenbekov Victor Ciobanu x Ri Se Ung Georgii Tibilov Enes Basar Islomjon Bakhromov Raiber Rodriguez Any Other Athlete Mixed Sailing 470 Day 12 August 7th 2024 Vadlau/Mahr Ming/Yahan Lecointre/Mion x Diesch/Markfort Heathcote/Grube Lasri/Hasson Berta/Festo Okada/Yoshioka x Costa/Joao Xammar/Brugman x Dahlberg/Karlsson Mermod/Siegenthaler Mcnay/Dallman-Weiss Any Other Pair Men's Track Cycling Team Pursuit Day 12 August 7th 2024 Australia Belgium Canada Denmark x France Germany Great Britain x Italy x Japan New Zealand Men's Boxing -63,5kg Day 12 August 7th 2024 Harry Garside Radoslav Rosenov Wyatt Sanford Erislandy Alvarez Sofiane Oumiha x Lasha Guruli x Dean Clancy Miguel Angel Ramirez Bakhodur Usmonov Bunjong Sinsiri x Ruslan Abdullaev x Jesus Corva Any Other Athlete Men's Canoe Sprint K-4 Day 13 August 8th 2024 Australia Canada China Denmark Germany x Hungary Lithuania Serbia x Spain Ukraine x Men's Weightlifting -73kg Day 13 August 8th 2024 Bozhidar Andreev x Luis Mosquera Lozano Shi Zhiyong x Bernardin Kingue Matam Rizki Juniansyah x Masanori Miyamoto Ritvars Suharevs Bak Joohyo Weeraphon Wichuma Karem Ben Hnia Muhammed Furkan Ozbek Julio Mayora Pena Men's Taekwondo -68kg Day 13 August 8th 2024 Edival Pontes Liang Yushuai Marko Golubic Bernardo Pie Souleyman Alaphilippe Bradley Sinden x Levente Jozsa Zaid Kareem x Javier Perez Banlung Tubtimdang Hakan Recber x Ulugbek Rashitov x Any Other Athlete Men's Sports Climbing Combined Day 14 August 9th 2024 Jakob Schubert x Hannes Van Duysen Adam Ondra Sam Avezou Paul Jenft Any German Athlete Hamish McArthur Toby Roberts Sorato Anraku x Tomoa Narasaki x Lee Dohyun Alberto Gines Lopez Sascha Lehmann Colin Duffy Jesse Gruper Any Other Athlete Women's Wrestling Freestyle -57kg Day 14 August 9th 2024 Guillia Penalber Hannah Taylor Hong Kexin Luisa Valverde Sandra Paruszewski Aurora Russo Tsugumi Sakurai x Anastasia Nichita x Odunayo Adekuoroye x Anhelina Lysak Aline Hrushyna Helen Maroulis x Any Other Athlete Men's Canoe Sprint C-1 Day 15 August 10th 2024 Isaquias Santos Connor Fitzpatrick Jose Cordova Martin Fuksa x Adrien Bart Sebastian Brendel x Balazs Adolf Sergei Tarnovschi Wiktor Glazunow Catalin Chirila x Pavel Altukhov Any Other Athlete Women's Rhythmic Gymnastics Group Day 15 August 10th 2024 Australia Azerbaijan Brazil Bulgaria x China Egypt France Germany x Israel Italy x Mexico Spain Ukraine Uzbekistan Women's Golf Day 15 August 10th 2024 Hannah Green Minjee Lee Brooke Henderson Xiyu Lin Ruoning Yin Celine Boutier Charley Hull Any Japanese Athlete Lydia Ko Kim Hyojoo Ko Jinyoung x Atthaya Thitikul Nelly Korda x Lilia Vu x Rose Zhang Any Other Athlete Women's Table Tennis Team Day 15 August 10th 2024 China x France Germany Hong Kong India Japan x Poland Romania South Korea x Sweden Chinese Taipei Thailand Any Other Nation Men's Wrestling Freestyle -74kg Day 15 August 10th 2024 Chermen Valiev x Turan Bayramov Lu Feng Georgios Kougioumtsidis Bacar Ndum Younes Emami Frank Chamizo Daichi Takatani Tajmuraz Salkazanov Viktor Rassadin Kyle Drake x Bekzod Abdurakhmonov x Any Other Athlete x Men's Taekwondo +80kg Day 15 August 10th 2024 Song Zhaoxiang Cheick Sallah Cisse x Ivan Sapina Rafael Alba Caden Cunningham x Arian Salimi Carlos Sansores Ricard Ordemann Patrik Divkovic Emre Kutalmis Atesli x Jonathan Healy Nikita Rafalovich x Any Other Athlete Women's Modern Pentathlon Day 16 August 11th 2024 Salma Abdelmaksoud Malak Ismail Elodie Clouvel Marie Oteiza Kerenza Bryson Kate French x Blanka Guzi x Michelle Gulyas Alice Sotero Any Lithuanian Athlete Kim Sunwoo Seong Seungmin x Ilke Ozyuksel Any Other Athlete Women's Weightlifting +81kg Day 16 August 11th 2024 Li Wenwen x Crismery Santana Peguero Lisseth Ayovi Cabezas Halima Abbas Emily Campbell x Nurul Akmal Iuniarra Sipaia Park Hyejeong x Duangaksorn Chaidee Mary Anne Theisen Lappen Tursunoy Jabborova Naryury Perez Reveron [/hide]

[hide] Event & Date Athletes Gold Silver Bronze Mixed Shooting 10m Rifle Team Day 1 July 27th 2024 China x Czechia France x Germany India Norway Poland South Korea Switzerland United States x Any Other Nation Women's Cycling Road Time Trial Day 1 July 27th 2024 Grace Brown x Christina Schweinberger Lotte Kopecky Emma Norsgaard Any French Athlete Lisa Klein Antonia Niedermaier Anna Henderson Ellen Van Dijk Demi Vollering x Agnieszka Skalniak-Sojka Chloe Dygert x Taylor Knibb Any Other Athlete Men's Shooting 10m Air Pistol Day 2 July 28th 2024 Ruslan Lunev Kiril Kirov Xie Yu x Zhang Bowen x Robin Walter Sarabjot Singh Arjun Singh Cheema Federico Maldini Paolo Monna Lauris Strautmanis Damir Mikec Juraj Tuzinsky Lee Wonho x Jason Solari Any Turkish Athlete Any Other Athlete Women's Judo -52kg Day 2 July 28th 2024 Larissa Pimenta Amandine Buchard Mascha Ballhaus Chelsie Giles Reka Pupp Gefen Primo Odette Giuffrida x Uta Abe x Distria Krasniqi x Sosorbaram Lkhagvasuren Ariane Toro Soler Khorloodoi Bishrelt Diyora Keldiyorova x Any Other Athlete Men's Archery Team Day 3 July 29th 2024 China Colombia France Great Britain India Italy Japan x Kazakhstan Mexico South Korea x Chinese Taipei Turkey x Men's Canoe Slalom C-1 Day 3 July 29th 2024 Matija Marinic Lukas Rohan x Nicolas Gestin x Sideris Tasiadis Adam Burgess Robert Hendrick Paolo Ceccon Grzegorz Hedwig Matej Benus Benjamin Savsek x Luis Fernandez Casey Eichfeld Any Other Athlete Men's Fencing Individual Foil Day 3 July 29th 2024 Mo Ziwei Alexander Choupenitch Mohamed Hamza Enzo Lefort Cheung Ka Long x Daniel Dosa Guillaume Bianchi Filippo Macchi Tommaso Marini x Kazuki Iimura Kyosuke Matsuyama Carlos Llavador Nick Itkin x Alexander Massialas Gerek Meinhardt Any Other Athlete Mixed Table Tennis Doubles Day 4 July 30th 2024 Ishiy/Takahashi Wang/Sun x Campos/Fonseca Lebrun/Yuan Qiu/Mittelham Wong/Doo x Hayata/Harimoto x Ri/Kim Ionescu/Szocs Lim/Shin Robles/Xiao Chen/Lin Any Other Pair Women's Triathlon Day 5 July 31th 2024 Flora Duffy Cassandre Beaugrand x Emma Lombardi Nina Eim Laura Lindemann Lisa Tertsch Beth Potter x Georgia Taylor-Brown Kate Waugh Jeanne Lehair Julie Derron Taylor Knibb x Taylor Spivey Any Other Athlete Men's BMX Freestyle Day 5 July 31th 2024 Jose Torres Logan Martin x Gustavo Oliveira Jeffrey Whaley Marin Rantes Anthony Jeanjean Kieran Reilly x Rim Nakamura x Ernests Zebolds Vincent Leygonie Marcus Christopher Justin Dowell Men's Judo -90kg Day 5 July 31th 2024 Murad Fatiyev Rafael Macedo Ivaylo Ivanov Ivan Silva Morales Lasha Bekauri x Krisztian Toth x Christian Parlati Sanshiro Murao x Erlan Sherov Nemanja Majdov x Mihael Zgank Davlat Bobonov Any Other Athlete Women's Rowing Doubles Sculls Day 6 August 1st 2024 Australia China Czechia France Great Britain Ireland x Italy Lithuania x Netherlands New Zealand Norway Romania x United States Women's Sailing Skiff 49erFX Day 6 August 1st 2024 Price/Haseldine Maenhaut/Geurts Schmidt/Schmidt Picon/Steyaert Black/Tidey Germani/Bertuzzi x Van Aanholt/Duetz x Aleh/Meech Naess/Ronningen Echegoyen/Barcelo Bobeck/Netzler x Roble/Shea Any Other Pair Men's Diving 3m Synchro Day 7 August 2nd 2024 China x France x Great Britain x Italy Mexico Spain Ukraine United States Equestrian Jumping Team Day 7 August 2nd 2024 Austria Belgium Brazil France x Germany Great Britain Ireland x Netherlands Spain Sweden x Switzerland United States Any Other Nation Women's Sailing Windsurfer IQFoil Day 7 August 2nd 2024 Yan Zheng Palma Cargo Helene Noesmoen Theresa Steinlein Emma Wilson x Sharon Kantor x Marta Maggetti x Mariana Aguilar Sara Wennekes Veerle Ten Have Mina Mobekk Maja Dziarnowska Pilar Lamadrid Any Other Athlete Men's Rowing Singles Sculls Day 8 August 3rd 2024 Yauheni Zalaty Tim Brys Kristian Vasilev Damir Martin Sverri Nielsen Oliver Zeidler x Stefanos Ntouskos Ryuta Arakawa Giedrius Bieliauskas Simon Van Dorp x Thomas Macintosh x Mihai Chiruta Any Other Athlete Men's Tennis Doubles Day 8 August 3rd 2024 Gonzalez/Molteni Ebden/Peers Gille/Vliegen Mektic/Pavic Machac/Pavlasek Reboul/Roger-Vasselin Krawietz/Putz Salisbury/Skopski x Balaji/Bopanna Bolelli/Vavassori Griekspoor/Koolhoff Hurkacz/Zielinski x Alcaraz/Nadal x Granollers/Carreno Busta Krajicek/Ram Any Other Pair Women's Fencing Sabre Team Day 8 August 3rd 2024 Algeria France x Hungary x Italy Japan South Korea x Ukraine United States Men's Artistic Gymnastics Rings Day 9 August 4th 2024 Artur Davtyan Vahagn Davtyan Sun Wei Zou Jingyuan Samir Ait Said Harry Hepworth Eleftherios Petrounias x Adem Asil x Ibrahim Colak Igor Radivilov Asher Hong Brody Malone Any Other Athlete x Men's Artistic Gymnastics Vault Day 9 August 4th 2024 Artur Davtyan Aurel Benovic Audrys Nin Reyes Harry Hepworth Jake Jarman x Shek Wai Hung Mahdi Olfati Casimir Schmidt Carlos Yulo x Nazar Chepurnyi x Igor Radivilov Asher Hong Brody Malone Any Other Athlete Men's Badminton Singles Day 10 August 5th 2024 Li Shi Feng Shi Yu Qi x Anders Antonsen Viktor Axelsen x Lakshya Sen H. S. Prannoy Jonathan Christie Anthony Sinisuka Ginting Kodai Naraoka Kenta Nishimoto Lee Zii Jia Kunlavut Vitidsarn x Any Other Athlete Women's Diving 10m Individual Day 11 August 6th 2024 Any Australian Athlete Caeli McKay Chen Yuxi x Quan Hongchan x Pauline Pfeif Christina Wassen Andrea Spendolini-Sirieix x Lois Toulson Sara Jodoin Di Maria Matsuri Arai Gabriela Agundez Alejandra Orozco Kim Mi-rae Delaney Schnell Any Other Athlete Men's Track Cycling Team Sprint Day 11 August 6th 2024 Australia x Canada China France x Germany Great Britain Japan Netherlands x Women's Weightlifting -49kg Day 12 August 7th 2024 Nina Sterckx Hou Zhihui x Beatriz Piron Candelario Nicola Velasco Lagatao Chanu Saikhom Mirabai Rira Suzuki Rosina Randafiarison Mihaela-Valentina Cambei Fang Wan Ling Surodchana Khambao x Jourdan Elizabeth Delacruz x Katherin Echandia Zarate Women's Taekwondo -49kg Day 12 August 7th 2024 Saffron Tambyrajah Guo Qing Lena Stojkovic Mobina Nematzadeh Avishag Semberg Ilenia Matoni Michelle Tau Daniela Souza x Dunya Abutaleb Adriana Carezo x Panipak Wongpattanakit x Merve Kavurat x Any Other Athlete Men's Boxing -80kg Day 12 August 7th 2024 Murad Allahverdiyev Wanderley Pereira Toqtarbek Tanatqan Gabrijel Veocic Arlen Lopez x Cristian Pinales x Hussein Ishaish Nurbek Oralbay x Eumir Marcial Weerapon Jongjoho Oleksandr Khyzhniak x Turabek Khabibullaev Any Other Athlete Women's Canoe Sprint K-4 Day 13 August 8th 2024 Australia Canada China x Germany Hungary New Zealand x Norway Poland x Serbia Spain Men's Sailing Kite Formula Day 13 August 8th 2024 Valentin Bontus Bruno Lobo Huang Qibin Martin Dolenc Denis Taradin Axel Mazella x Jannis Maus Connor Bainbridge Riccardo Pianosi Maksymilian Zakowski Maximilian Maeder x Toni Vodisek x Any Other Athlete Men's Wrestling Greco-Roman -67kg Day 13 August 8th 2024 Slavik Galstyan Hasrat Jafarov Luis Orta x Mohamed Ibrahim El-Sayed x Mamadassa Sylla Ramaz Zoidze Saeid Esmaeili x Kyotaro Sogabe Amantur Ismailov Valentin Petic Mate Nemes Parviz Nasibov x Any Other Athlete Women's Boxing -54kg Day 13 August 8th 2024 Stanimira Petrova x Chang Yuan Yeni Arias Charley Davison Preeti Pawar x Jennifer Lehane Sirine Charaabi Pang Chol-mi x Lenuta Perijoc x Huang Hsiao Wen Jutamas Jitpong Hatice Akbas Nigina Uktamova Any Other Athlete Women's Canoe Sprint K-2 Day 14 August 9th 2024 Belgium Canada China Denmark x France Germany x Great Britain Italy New Zealand Poland x Spain Sweden Any Other Pair Women's Breakdancing Day 14 August 9th 2024 671 - Liu Qingyi x Ying Zi - Yingzi Senorita Carlota - Carlota Dudek Sissy - Sya Dembele Ami - Ami Yuasa x Ayumi - Ayumi Fukushima x Anti - Antilai Sandrini Nicka - Dominika Banevic India - India Dewi Sardjoe Vanessa - Vanessa Cartaxo Any Ukrainian Athlete Logistx - Logan Elanna Edra Sunny - Grace Choi Any Other Athlete Men's Weightlifting -102kg Day 15 August 10th 2024 Yauheni Tsikhantsou Garik Karapetyan x Lesman Paredes Montano Liu Huanhua x Irakli Chkheidze Ahmed Abuzriba Fares Elbakh Ramiro Mora Don Opeloge Jang Yeonhak x Davranbek Hasanbayev Akbar Djuraev Wesley Brian Kitts Women's Artistic Swimming Duet Day 15 August 10th 2024 Canada China x France Great Britain x Greece Israel Italy Kazakhstan Netherlands Portugal South Korea Spain Any Other Pair x Men's Wrestiling Freestyle -125kg Day 15 August 10th 2024 Giorgi Meshvildishvili Deng Zhiwei Geno Petriashvili x Daniel Ligeti Amir Hossein Zare x Yusup Batirmurzaev Aiaal Lazarev Ashton Mutuwa Kamil Kosciolek Jonathan Smith Taha Akgul x Yuriy Idzinskyi Mason Parris x Any Other Athlete Women's Boxing -75kg Day 15 August 10th 2024 Caitlin Parker x Tammara Thibeault x Li Qian x Cindy Ngamba Davina Michel Chantelle Reid Lovlina Borgohain Aoife O'Rourke x Citlalli Ortiz Khadija El-Mardi Sunniva Hofstad Atheyna Bylon Elzbieta Wojcik Any Other Athlete Women's Beach Volley Day 15 August 10th 2024 Clancy/Mariafe Duda/Ana Patricia x Carol/Barbara Melissa/Brandie Xia/Xue Placette/Richard Any German Pair Gottardi/Menegatti Tina/Anastasija Stam/Schoon x Huberli/Brunner Esmee/Zoe Alvarez/Moreno Hughes/Cheng Nuss/Kloth x Any Other Pair Women's Track Cycling Individual Sprint Day 16 August 11th 2024 Kristina Clonan Nicky Degrendele Lauriane Genest Any Chines Athlete Martha Bayona Pineda Mathilde Gros Lea Sophie Friedrich x Emma Hinze Sophie Capewell Emma Finucane x Miriam Vece Mina Sato Luz Gaxiola Gonzalez Hetty Van De Wouw Elise Andrews x Any Other Athlete Women's Wrestling Freestyle -76kg Day 16 August 11th 2024 Yuliana Yaneva Justina Di Stasio Wang Juan Tatiana Renteria x Milaimys Marin x Bernadett Nagy Yuka Kagami x Aiperi Medet Kyzy x Hannah Reuben Catalina Axente Yasemin Adar Yigit Kennedy Blades Any Other Athlete [/hide]