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  • Latest Posts around Totallympics

    • Stage #1 ( Soma Bay)   Men's 10km   Gold:  Florian Wellbrock Silver:  Logan Fontaine Bronze:  Marc-Antoine Olivier   many  swimmers, including Gregorio Paltrinieri, have been DSQ for illegal rounding of a buoy (I wonder why so many and only the Italians? )   Full Results https://www.worldaquatics.com/competitions/4794/world-aquatics-open-water-swimming-world-cup-2025/results?event=2500ff22-0359-48c4-a6a1-c9ad8101ebcd&unit=final
    • Open Water Swimming WA World Cup 2025    Multi-Stage Event - 21 February 2025 - 11 October 2025      Official Website Programme Results System Results Database Facebook Page Discussion Thread
    • With the ridiculous rhetoric from the moron leading the USA, this win is just delicious.
    • CONNOR MCDAVID WINS IT IN OT!!!   Also shout-out Jordan Binnington for some incredible saves
    • Women's Downhill Rank Nation Name Gold Silver Bronze Total 1 Sofia Goggia 29% 16% 10% 55% 2 Ester Ledecka 13% 13% 11% 37% 3 Federica Brignone 11% 12% 10% 34% 4 Cornelia Huetter 11% 12% 9% 32% 5 Lara Gut-Behrami 6% 8% 9% 23% 6 Lauren Macuga 8% 6% 8% 21% 7 Breezy Johnson 5% 6% 6% 18% 8 Corinne Suter 5% 6% 7% 18% 9 Laura Pirovano 3% 4% 4% 10% 10 Marta Bassino 1% 4% 5% 10%   Women's Super-G Rank Nation Name Gold Silver Bronze Total 1 Federica Brignone 28% 19% 13% 60% 2 Lara Gut-Behrami 23% 17% 16% 56% 3 Sofia Goggia 22% 18% 12% 53% 4 Lauren Macuga 8% 12% 12% 32% 5 Kajsa Lie 5% 7% 9% 21% 6 Cornelia Huetter 3% 5% 10% 18% 7 Stephanie Venier 3% 6% 7% 16% 8 Elena Curtoni 2% 4% 6% 13% 9 Marta Bassino 2% 4% 6% 12% 10 Ester Ledecka 1% 2% 2% 5%   Women's Giant Slalom Rank Nation Name Gold Silver Bronze Total 1 Federica Brignone 36% 21% 11% 68% 2 Alice Robinson 20% 18% 16% 53% 3 Sara Hector 16% 16% 11% 43% 4 Paula Moltzan 6% 7% 9% 23% 5 Julia Scheib 7% 6% 8% 22% 6 Zrinka Ljutic 4% 6% 7% 16% 7 Thea Stjernesund 3% 5% 7% 15% 8 Lara Colturi 2% 5% 7% 13% 9 Lara Gut-Behrami 2% 4% 5% 11% 10 Nina O'Brien 1% 3% 5% 9%   Women's Slalom Rank Nation Name Gold Silver Bronze Total 1 Wendy Holdener 24% 15% 10% 50% 2 Mikaela Shiffrin 18% 15% 14% 46% 3 Camille Rast 14% 14% 12% 40% 4 Zrinka Ljutic 12% 13% 12% 37% 5 Lena Duerr 7% 7% 8% 21% 6 Melanie Meillard 4% 6% 7% 17% 7 Katharina Liensberger 4% 6% 6% 16% 8 Paula Moltzan 4% 4% 7% 15% 9 Anna Swenn Larsson 4% 4% 6% 14% 10 Emma Aicher 3% 4% 5% 12%   Women's Combined Rank Nation Name Gold Silver Bronze Total 1 Lara Gut-Behrami 32% 20% 13% 66% Wendy Holdener 2 Lauren Macuga 25% 19% 15% 58% Mikaela Shiffrin 3 Corinne Suter 16% 18% 15% 49% Camille Rast 4 Cornelia Huetter 11% 13% 15% 39% Katharina Liensberger 5 Breezy Johnson 6% 10% 11% 26% Paula Moltzan 6 Kira Weidle-Winkelmann 5% 8% 12% 25% Lena Duerr 7 Malorie Blanc 3% 5% 6% 14% Melanie Meillard 8 Sofia Goggia 0% 2% 3% 5% Martina Peterlini 9 Ilka Stuhec 1% 1% 1% 3% Andreja Slokar 10 Mirjam Puchner 1% 1% 2% 3% Katharina Huber    
    • Here's the first update of my medal predictor for alpine events using results up to the World Championships.   - As per Olympic rules, only the four best athletes per nation are currently considered in the simulation (until NOC confirms who is competing or an athlete is ruled out of the Olympics due to injury/ban/etc.) - For the combined event, I just took the best performing athletes from each nation in the downhill and slalom events and simulated their combined performance. I then proceeded with the 2nd, 3rd and 4th best athletes for the nation (if applicable) - Each event is simulated 1000 times and the medalists counted. Eventually I plan to do a 10,000x simulations for more robustness, but as I may still tweak the formula I don't want to waste processing time each time I run the simulation. - While I did include the chance for an athlete to DNF the race it is currently a flat rate for all athletes. This currently benefits certain athletes which are well known to DNF races more often than expected.   Overall, this showcases the unpredictability of the sport and the accuracy difficulties predictors like GraceNote have when listing only the top 3. Looking at the percentages, for many of the events you'd actually only expect 1/3 to actually medal more often than not.   I want to create predictors for the other sports so I will only update this periodically.   Men's Downhill Rank Nation Name Gold Silver Bronze Total 1 Marco Odermatt 18% 13% 11% 42% 2 Franjo Von Allmen 17% 12% 10% 39% 3 Alexis Monney 11% 10% 8% 29% 4 Miha Hrobat 9% 9% 7% 25% 5 Cameron Alexander 8% 9% 7% 24% 6 Vincent Kriechmayr 7% 5% 8% 19% 7 Dominik Paris 5% 6% 7% 18% 8 Justin Murisier 6% 5% 6% 18% 9 Daniel Hemetsberger 4% 4% 4% 12% 10 James Crawford 3% 4% 4% 11%   Men's Super-G Rank Nation Name Gold Silver Bronze Total 1 Marco Odermatt 30% 16% 11% 57% 2 Stefan Rogentin 11% 11% 10% 32% 3 Raphael Haaser 10% 9% 11% 30% 4 Vincent Kriechmayr 7% 11% 10% 28% 5 Fredrik Moeller 7% 10% 10% 27% 6 Franjo Von Allmen 7% 7% 7% 21% 7 Mattia Casse 8% 6% 7% 20% 8 Cameron Alexander 6% 5% 6% 16% 9 James Crawford 4% 4% 4% 13% 10 Dominik Paris 2% 3% 4% 9%   Men's Giant Slalom Rank Nation Name Gold Silver Bronze Total 1 Marco Odermatt 22% 12% 10% 45% 2 Alexander Steen Olsen 15% 13% 9% 37% 3 Loic Meillard 11% 11% 8% 30% 4 Henrik Kristoffersen 8% 9% 9% 25% 5 Thomas Tumler 5% 7% 7% 19% 6 Zan Kranjec 4% 5% 5% 14% 7 Luca De Aliprandini 4% 5% 5% 14% 8 Lucas Pinheiro Braathen 4% 4% 6% 14% 9 Stefan Brennsteiner 3% 5% 6% 14% 10 Atle McGrath 4% 5% 5% 13%   Men's Slalom Rank Nation Name Gold Silver Bronze Total 1 Clement Noel 31% 16% 9% 55% 2 Atle McGrath 11% 13% 10% 33% 3 Henrik Kristoffersen 11% 11% 9% 31% 4 Timon Haugan 8% 9% 10% 27% 5 Loic Meillard 8% 10% 8% 26% 6 Manuel Feller 8% 8% 9% 24% 7 Linus Strasser 5% 5% 8% 19% 8 Lucas Pinheiro Braathen 5% 6% 7% 18% 9 Fabio Gstrein 3% 3% 5% 11% 10 Kristoffer Jakobsen 2% 3% 5% 10%   Men's Combined Rank Nation Name Gold Silver Bronze Total 1 Marco Odermatt 29% 16% 12% 57% Loic Meillard 2 Nils Allegre 20% 15% 12% 46% Clement Noel 3 Vincent Kriechmayr 13% 13% 12% 37% Manuel Feller 4 Franjo Von Allmen 9% 12% 10% 31% Daniel Yule 5 Alexis Monney 6% 8% 8% 22% Tanguy Nef 6 Daniel Hemetsberger 6% 7% 9% 21% Fabio Gstrein 7 Dominik Paris 4% 6% 6% 15% Alex Vinatzer 8 Adrian Sejersted 3% 6% 5% 15% Atle McGrath 9 Fredrik Moeller 3% 4% 6% 12% Henrik Kristoffersen 10 Cyprien Sarrazin 2% 3% 4% 9% Steven Amiez    
    • Qualification gets underway in just under six hours!   First up, we have Taiwan, Nicaragua, Spain and South Africa battling it out for two qualification places in Taipei. Qualification is round robin format.
    • Lineups for the championship game tonight. Canada   Forwards   Brayden Point -- Connor McDavid -- Mark Stone   Sidney Crosby -- Nathan MacKinnon -- Sam Reinhart   Brandon Hagel -- Anthony Cirelli -- Mitch Marner   Brad Marchand -- Sam Bennett -- Seth Jarvis   Defenseman   Devon Toews -- Cale Makar   Josh Morrissey -- Colton Parayko   Travis Sanheim -- Drew Doughty   Goalies   Jordan Binnington   Adin Hill     Scratched: Sam Montembeault, Thomas Harley, Travis Konecny   Injured: Shea Theodore (upper body)   United States   Forwards   Brady Tkachuk -- Jack Eichel -- Matthew Tkachuk   Jake Guentzel -- Auston Matthews -- Jack Hughes   J.T. Miller -- Dylan Larkin -- Matt Boldy   Brock Nelson -- Vincent Trocheck -- Chris Kreider   Defenseman   Noah Hanifin -- Adam Fox   Jaccob Slavin -- Brock Faber   Zach Werenski -- Jake Sanderson   Goalies   Connor Hellebuyck   Jake Oettinger     Scratched: Jeremy Swayman, Kyle Connor   Injured: Charlie McAvoy (upper body)
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