dantm

Im sure Teahupo’o will suit us better.

Surfing
 
Sally Fitzgibbons on standby for Tyler Wright
https://www.nine.com.au/sport/olympics/paris-2024-surfing-tyler-wright-sally-fitzgibbons-ryan-callinan-20240627-p5jpe2.html

SOPAC is nearly 30 years old but its still a fantastic pool.
it was designed based on those parameters from that article.
 
Definitely wouldve been a better option than Chandler.
 
 

Im sure Teahupo’o will suit us better.

Surfing
 
Sally Fitzgibbons on standby for Tyler Wright
https://www.nine.com.au/sport/olympics/paris-2024-surfing-tyler-wright-sally-fitzgibbons-ryan-callinan-20240627-p5jpe2.html

Nice explanation here
https://www.physioinqmcmahonspoint.com.au/blog/swimming-pool-technology-fast-pools-v-slow-pools#:~:text=First of all%2C a fast,resistance that slows swimmers down.
 
Chandler Pool is an old pool that does have depth changes.
its not ideal and shouldnt be used where every 100 of a second mattered in qualifying 

Based on my predictions for Swimming,Ive got the US at 8 Gold.
W 100m Backstroke -Regan Smith.
This is 50/50 and could well go to Kaylee.Ive only got Smith ahead as she just broke the WR
M 100m Butterfly -Caeleb Dressel
Dressel for the Gold,but this event is stacked with 5-6 guys around the same time.
W 800m Butterfly -Gretchen Walsh
This one is solid for the USA who could easily go 1-2
W 800m/1500m Freestyle
Katie Ledecky -Nothing more to be said
M 1500m Freestyle -Bobby Finke
Without Hafanoui ,Finke is the favourite here
M 4x 100m Freestyle
USA will take down the WR here.Heavy favourites
W 4 x 100m Medley Relay
USA Women's have 3 of the WR holders in this (Smith,King and Walsh)
 
USA Men's Breastroke is currently worse than Australia and they will likely struggle against the Chinese in the Medley Relay
GB look too good for Mens 4 x 200m Free relay.
 
 
 

Australia Medal Predictions plus outside medal contenders.
I've taken into account recent performances including World Championships, Olympic trials etc.
Its the Olympics and it will be a case of win some and lose some,but hopefully the average will end up around my estimation.
 
 
Sport M/F Event Gold Silver Bronze Medal Chance Name Athletics Women 20km Walk   1     Jemima Montag Athletics Women High Jump  1       Nicola Olysagers and Eleanor Patterson Athletics Men Pole Vault        1 Kurtis Marschall Athletics Women Pole Vault     1   Nina Kennedy Athletics Men Discus       1 Matthew Denny Athletics Women Javelin     1   Kelsey Lee Barber and Mackenzie Little Athletics Women 1500m        1 Jessica Hull Basketball Men Team       1 Mens Basketball Women Team     1   Womens Beach Volleyball Women Team       1 Mariafe and Clancy Boxing Women 75kg   1     Caitlin Parker Canoeing Women K1   1     Jessica Fox  Canoeing Women C1 1       Jessica Fox Canoeing Women C1X       1 Jessica Fox Canoeing Women K4 500m     1   Womens Canoeing Men K2 500m       1 Jean van der Westhuyzen/Thomas Green Cycling BMX Men Park Freestyle    1     Logan Martin Cycling BMX Women Racing 1       Saya Sakakibara Cycling Road Women Time Trial       1 Grace Brown Cycling Track Men Sprint Teams   1     Mens  Cycling Track Men Sprint Individual     1   Matthew Glaetzer and Matthew Richardson  Cycling Track Women Madison       1 Georgia Baker/Alexandra Manly Cycling Track Men Keiren       1 Matthew Richardson/Matthew Glaetzer Diving Women 3m Springboard       1 Maddison Keeney Diving Men 10m Platform     1   Cassiel Rousseau Equestrian  Mixed 3 Day Event     1   3 Day event -Teams Field Hockey Men Team   1     Womens Team Field Hockey Women Team       1 Mens Team Football Women Team       1 Womens Golf Men Individual       1 Mark Leishman and Cam Smith Rowing Men Coxless Fours     1   Mens Team Rowing Women Coxless Fours     1   Womens Team Rowing Women Pairs   1     Jessica Morrison/Annabelle McIntyre Rowing Women Single Sculls   1     Tara Rigney Rowing Men Eights 1       Mens Rowing Women Eights       1 Womens Rugby 7s Men Teams       1 Mens team Rugby 7s Women Teams       1 Womens Sailing Women Skiff    1     Olivia Price/Evie Haseldine Sailing Men ICLA Laser 1       Matt Wearn Shooting Men Trap       1 Trap-James Willett Shooting Women Trap     1   Laetisha Scanlan Skateboarding Women Street Freestyle       1 Chloe Cavell Skateboarding Women Park Freestyle     1   Arisa Trew Skateboarding Men Park Freestyle 1       Keegan Palmer Surfing Women Individual       1 Tyler Wright Surfing Men Individual     1   Ethan Irwin Swimming Men 400m Free 1   1   Samuel Short and Elijah Winnington  Swimming Men 4x100m Free   1     Mens Swimming Women 400m Free 1       Ariane Titmus Swimming Women 4x100m Free 1       Women Swimming Women 100m Fly       1 Emma McKeon Swimming Men 200m Free       1 Maximillian Guiliani Swimming Women 200m Free 1 1     Mollie O Callahan & Ariane Titmus Swimming Women 400m IM       1 Jenna Forrester Swimming Men 800m Free   1     Samuel Short  Swimming Men 4x200m Free      1   Mens Swimming Women 100m Back   1   1 Kaylee McKeown and Iona Anderson Swimming Men 100m Free       1 Kyle Chalmers  Swimming Men 200m Breast     1   Zac Stubblety Cook Swimming Women 100m Free  1   1   Mollie O Callahan & Shayna Jack Swimming Women 1500m Free     1   Lani Pallister Swimming Women 200m Fly     1   Elizabeth Deckers Swimming Women 4x200m Free  1       Women Swimming Men 50m Free  1       Cam McEvoy  Swimming Women 200m Back 1     1 Kaylee McKeown and Jaclyn Barclay Swimming Men 100m Fly       1 Matt Temple Swimming Women 800m Free   1     Ariane Titmus Swimming Women 200m IM 1       Kaylee McKeown Swimming Mixed 4x100 Med 1       Mixed Swimming Men 1500m Free       1 Samuel Short  Swimming Men 4x100 Med     1   Mens Swimming Women 50m Free    1     Shayna Jack Swimming Women 4x100 Med   1     Women Swimming Women 10km    1     Chelsea Grubeka Tennis Mixed Mixed Doubles       1 Ebden/Hunter Tennis Women Doubles       1 Hunter/Perez Water Polo Women Team       1 Womens Weightlifting Women 81kg        1 Eileen Cikamatana       Gold Silver Bronze Total         16 17 19 52  

No doubt that we need some of the Chinese and Euros to beat the US Swimmers.
That is also the same with Australia,such as the Mens 400m Free and Womens sprints (50 and 100m Free)
As for Pan beating Dressel, that wont happen as Dressel failed to qualify for the 100m Free.Although Jack Alexy came through with a 47.0,I dont see anyone  challenging Pan or Popovici for 100m title.
I'm confident with Kaylee,despite Regan Smith breaking her record in the 100m Back.Smith has had a stack of opportunities to break it this year and finally does it with 20,000 people behind her. Kaylee hasnt raced all that much and has her own plans to swim under 57 sec.
Come Olympics,watch out for Kaylee who is a big time performer
 
 

Australia Medal Predictions plus outside medal contenders.
I've taken into account recent performances including World Championships, Olympic trials etc.
Its the Olympics and it will be a case of win some and lose some,but hopefully the average will end up around my estimation.
 
 
Sport M/F Event Gold Silver Bronze Medal Chance Name Athletics Women 20km Walk   1     Jemima Montag Athletics Women High Jump  1       Nicola Olysagers and Eleanor Patterson Athletics Men Pole Vault        1 Kurtis Marschall Athletics Women Pole Vault     1   Nina Kennedy Athletics Men Discus       1 Matthew Denny Athletics Women Javelin     1   Kelsey Lee Barber and Mackenzie Little Athletics Women 1500m        1 Jessica Hull Basketball Men Team       1 Mens Basketball Women Team     1   Womens Beach Volleyball Women Team       1 Mariafe and Clancy Boxing Women 75kg   1     Caitlin Parker Canoeing Women K1   1     Jessica Fox  Canoeing Women C1 1       Jessica Fox Canoeing Women C1X       1 Jessica Fox Canoeing Women K4 500m     1   Womens Canoeing Men K2 500m       1 Jean van der Westhuyzen/Thomas Green Cycling BMX Men Park Freestyle    1     Logan Martin Cycling BMX Women Racing 1       Saya Sakakibara Cycling Road Women Time Trial       1 Grace Brown Cycling Track Men Sprint Teams   1     Mens  Cycling Track Men Sprint Individual     1   Matthew Glaetzer and Matthew Richardson  Cycling Track Women Madison       1 Georgia Baker/Alexandra Manly Cycling Track Men Keiren       1 Matthew Richardson/Matthew Glaetzer Diving Women 3m Springboard       1 Maddison Keeney Diving Men 10m Platform     1   Cassiel Rousseau Equestrian  Mixed 3 Day Event     1   3 Day event -Teams Field Hockey Men Team   1     Womens Team Field Hockey Women Team       1 Mens Team Football Women Team       1 Womens Golf Men Individual       1 Mark Leishman and Cam Smith Rowing Men Coxless Fours     1   Mens Team Rowing Women Coxless Fours     1   Womens Team Rowing Women Pairs   1     Jessica Morrison/Annabelle McIntyre Rowing Women Single Sculls   1     Tara Rigney Rowing Men Eights 1       Mens Rowing Women Eights       1 Womens Rugby 7s Men Teams       1 Mens team Rugby 7s Women Teams       1 Womens Sailing Women Skiff    1     Olivia Price/Evie Haseldine Sailing Men ICLA Laser 1       Matt Wearn Shooting Men Trap       1 Trap-James Willett Shooting Women Trap     1   Laetisha Scanlan Skateboarding Women Street Freestyle       1 Chloe Cavell Skateboarding Women Park Freestyle     1   Arisa Trew Skateboarding Men Park Freestyle 1       Keegan Palmer Surfing Women Individual       1 Tyler Wright Surfing Men Individual     1   Ethan Irwin Swimming Men 400m Free 1   1   Samuel Short and Elijah Winnington  Swimming Men 4x100m Free   1     Mens Swimming Women 400m Free 1       Ariane Titmus Swimming Women 4x100m Free 1       Women Swimming Women 100m Fly       1 Emma McKeon Swimming Men 200m Free       1 Maximillian Guiliani Swimming Women 200m Free 1 1     Mollie O Callahan & Ariane Titmus Swimming Women 400m IM       1 Jenna Forrester Swimming Men 800m Free   1     Samuel Short  Swimming Men 4x200m Free      1   Mens Swimming Women 100m Back   1   1 Kaylee McKeown and Iona Anderson Swimming Men 100m Free       1 Kyle Chalmers  Swimming Men 200m Breast     1   Zac Stubblety Cook Swimming Women 100m Free  1   1   Mollie O Callahan & Shayna Jack Swimming Women 1500m Free     1   Lani Pallister Swimming Women 200m Fly     1   Elizabeth Deckers Swimming Women 4x200m Free  1       Women Swimming Men 50m Free  1       Cam McEvoy  Swimming Women 200m Back 1     1 Kaylee McKeown and Jaclyn Barclay Swimming Men 100m Fly       1 Matt Temple Swimming Women 800m Free   1     Ariane Titmus Swimming Women 200m IM 1       Kaylee McKeown Swimming Mixed 4x100 Med 1       Mixed Swimming Men 1500m Free       1 Samuel Short  Swimming Men 4x100 Med     1   Mens Swimming Women 50m Free    1     Shayna Jack Swimming Women 4x100 Med   1     Women Swimming Women 10km    1     Chelsea Grubeka Tennis Mixed Mixed Doubles       1 Ebden/Hunter Tennis Women Doubles       1 Hunter/Perez Water Polo Women Team       1 Womens Weightlifting Women 81kg        1 Eileen Cikamatana       Gold Silver Bronze Total         16 17 19 52  

No doubt that we need some of the Chinese and Euros to beat the US Swimmers.
That is also the same with Australia,such as the Mens 400m Free and Womens sprints (50 and 100m Free)
As for Pan beating Dressel, that wont happen as Dressel failed to qualify for the 100m Free.Although Jack Alexy came through with a 47.0,I dont see anyone  challenging Pan or Popovici for 100m title.
I'm confident with Kaylee,despite Regan Smith breaking her record in the 100m Back.Smith has had a stack of opportunities to break it this year and finally does it with 20,000 people behind her. Kaylee hasnt raced all that much and has her own plans to swim under 57 sec.
Come Olympics,watch out for Kaylee who is a big time performer
 
 

I might be a little conservative,but it is the Olympics.
Heartbreak will happen!
Jess Fox could win all 3 in Slalom,but I put one gold
as for Rowing,the Mens 8 have gone all out .Ive picked them to win.
Surfing should be Gold,but conservatively,Ive got Ethan Irvin for Bronze
Ive got no idea on 3x3 basketball,so you got me interested.
Swimming is my main interest.
10 is very possible but could be more or less!
Its probably our only chance ever to defeat the US tally.
 
 

Time to get the Australian predictions out there
 
Gold Silver Bronze Total 16 17 19 52  
Sport Gold   Silver  Bronze Athletics 1 1 2 Basketball     1 Beach Volleyball       Boxing   1   Canoeing 1 1 1 Cycling BMX 1 1   Cycling Road       Cycling Track   1 1 Diving     1 Equestrian      1 Field Hockey   1   Football       Golf       Rowing 1 2 2 Rugby 7s       Sailing 1 1   Shooting     1 Skateboarding 1   1 Surfing     1 Swimming 10 8 7 Tennis       Water Polo       Weightlifting       Total 16 17 19

Sport  Gold  Silver  Bronze Athletics 1 1 2 3X3 Basketball     1 Canoe Slalom 2     Canoe Sprint  1 1   BMX Freestyle      1 BMX Racing  1     Cycling Road   1   Cycling Track 1 1 1 Diving   2 1 Equestrian      1 Football     1 Hockey   1   Judo     1 Rowing    2 3 Rugby Sevens 1     Sailing  1   1 Shooting      1 Skateboarding  1 1   Surfing 1   1 Swimming 9 8 5 Weightlifting     1 Total  19 18 21 Total Medals: 58       Maybe I am too ambitious 
But if our swimming team gets to that 8-10 gold mark once again then it is VERY possible for us to break that 17 gold record. Outside of swimming we have a good amount of chances, more than many would think. But swimming is crucial for setting up the second week. I also cannot see a gold in rowing but canoeing will hopefully replace that. 

Time to get the Australian predictions out there
 
Gold Silver Bronze Total 16 17 19 52  
Sport Gold   Silver  Bronze Athletics 1 1 2 Basketball     1 Beach Volleyball       Boxing   1   Canoeing 1 1 1 Cycling BMX 1 1   Cycling Road       Cycling Track   1 1 Diving     1 Equestrian      1 Field Hockey   1   Football       Golf       Rowing 1 2 2 Rugby 7s       Sailing 1 1   Shooting     1 Skateboarding 1   1 Surfing     1 Swimming 10 8 7 Tennis       Water Polo       Weightlifting       Total 16 17 19

Just 1 week ago,they destroyed the current WR,which only recently was Pellegrini's 15 year old untouchable time.
No one else is close
McIntosh is capable but unlikely even to swim the 200 Free
Both Australians wont medal?
Your comment is beyond ridiculous 
 

So Titmus and Mollie O will BOTH not medal in the 200m Free?
 
ok
Summer wont medal in the 400IM
Ledecky will miss the final of the 800 and 1500
Australia will get beaten by Team GB in the Womens 4 x100m Relay
 
 
 
 

 

So Titmus and Mollie O will BOTH not medal in the 200m Free?
 
ok
Summer wont medal in the 400IM
Ledecky will miss the final of the 800 and 1500
Australia will get beaten by Team GB in the Womens 4 x100m Relay
 
 
 
 

 

So Titmus and Mollie O will BOTH not medal in the 200m Free?
 
ok
Summer wont medal in the 400IM
Ledecky will miss the final of the 800 and 1500
Australia will get beaten by Team GB in the Womens 4 x100m Relay
 
 
 
 

 

So Titmus and Mollie O will BOTH not medal in the 200m Free?
 
ok
Summer wont medal in the 400IM
Ledecky will miss the final of the 800 and 1500
Australia will get beaten by Team GB in the Womens 4 x100m Relay
 
 
 
 

 

2.04 looks like the cutoff for a medal in Paris for the 200 Fly
Summer and Regan Smith lead the way
Zhang Yufei has been 2.03 although not since Tokyo and it would not surprise if Dekkers hits 2.04 by Australian trials.

 

2.04 looks like the cutoff for a medal in Paris for the 200 Fly
Summer and Regan Smith lead the way
Zhang Yufei has been 2.03 although not since Tokyo and it would not surprise if Dekkers hits 2.04 by Australian trials.

 

I agree about MOC.
She swum that 58.0 in pouring rain hitting the ropes all the way.
 
The W100m back seems to be dominated by AUS,USA and a Canadian over the past 2-3 years
its possible that 58 low wont even make an Australian or US Olympic team
 

For the 200m Free,Canada have a 1.53 swimmer (McIntosh) and now another 1.55 low swimmer with an additional 2 x 1.57 swimmers.
Canada are easily ahead of GB who are a clear 5th.
 

For the 200m Free,Canada have a 1.53 swimmer (McIntosh) and now another 1.55 low swimmer with an additional 2 x 1.57 swimmers.
Canada are easily ahead of GB who are a clear 5th.