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Rafa Maciel

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Everything posted by Rafa Maciel

  1. So finally, the IJF seem to have updated their website to include Olympic rankings. Unfortunately, they don't seem to be able to actually manage the process of updating the rankings correctly so here's my take on the position as at the end of October. This month's ranking update includes the World Champs, the Abu Dhabi Grand Slam and the Perth Continental Open: For the most part, nations were fairly flat in terms of their qualification numbers this month, either picking up or dropping one weight class. saw biggest movement on the downside, shedding 6 places whilst the unwinding of positions continues as they drop 4. were the biggest gainers this month, picking up 5 spots whilst picked up 4. In the team event, and now qualify whilst and would not.
  2. Pupo didn't win a quota at the recent world championships - although he may well do so at next week's CAT XIII Championships - so I'm not following your logic here. Cuba haven't qualified any athletes as yet whereas Canada has. How can the sentence be incorrect?
  3. Just to inject a note of caution for Team GB after what was a great result with a strong performance however, I do think the team needs to be consistently hitting 165 if they are to challenge for podium place in Paris. We were fortunate that Italy and Brazil didn't have their strongest team whilst China underperformed this weekend.
  4. Canada squeezed into the final by just 0.3 points and look set to walk away with a medal and an Olympic quota spot
  5. So by my calculations, if each team matches the score from qualification for their final rotation, USA would win with a 166. GBR would take silver on 162.5. The all important bronze and final Olympic quota would go to JPN on 161.5.
  6. In rotation 3 On the Balance Beam both teams carried a fall resulting in USA dropping 0.667 against qualification whilst GBR were able to advance 0.334 On the Floor, BRA shed 2.501 points against qualification with ITA dropping by 1.866 On Vault, JPN have picked up 0.567 whilst CHN are up 0.366 Finally on Uneven Bars, FRA have fallen back by 1.634 whilst CAN dropped 0.166
  7. Should just say that although Brazil lost a lot of points against qualification on the balance beam, when you adjust to take into account the athletes who participated in the final, they actually improved their score by 0.1 point and not many of the teams have so far been able to improve their score on any of the apparatus.
  8. In rotation 2: On the uneven bars, USA have picked up 0.234 points compared to qualification whilst GBR have dropped 0.932. On beam, BRA fell back by 1.434 whilst ITA have picked up 2.433 points On the floor, CHN have lost 1.201 against their qualification and JPN picked up 0.167 On vault, FRA dropped 0.732 whilst CAN gained 0.500
  9. After uneven bars, Brazil have gained 0.394 on qualification, ITA have lost 3.4 On beam, CHN have lost 1.833 whilst JPN have dropped 1.767 Finally on floor, FRA are down 1.233 whilst CAN are down 0.699
  10. After vault, USA are down by 0.133 on qualification. GBR have given up 0.433
  11. 5 minutes into the competition and already seen a couple of falls from China on the balance beam and an Italian hitting the deck twice on the uneven bars
  12. A bit of an underwhelming qualification score from . 252.793 is less than they achieved in both the Europeans 255.827/254.295 and at the Commonwealths 254.55. On the upside, GBR did finish ahead of both USA and China and hopefully there is room for improvement in the final.
  13. Any reason why Canada only fielded 3 gymnasts on the floor? Means they're carrying Dolci's relatively poor 12.433
  14. Pleasantly surprised by the performance although possibly disappointed by the number of individual finals achieved. Over the summer they have struggled to break out of the 161 range so they've got to be pleased to finish with 164.595 and they've got to believe they have genuine chance of securing Olympic quota at the first opportunity.
  15. 41.465 for on the uneven bars - 1 point up on their European score but flat against what they achieved at the Commonwealths. Will soon discover if they can avoid the curse of the balance beam.
  16. Balance Beam misery strikes again, this time for Italy who score 37.333 compared to the 40.166 achieved in Munich.
  17. Really strong performance from the French team with a qualifying score of 161.428 compared to 155.162 at this year's Europeans. The Dutch team also improved since Munich scoring 159.396 compared to 156.464 but I'm not sure that is going to be enough to qualify for the final. For the Commonwealth nations, Canada scored 152.7 in Birmingham and have progressed to 159.661 in Liverpool. Australia however have fallen back since the commonwealths - dropping from 158 at the Commies to 156.095 today and they are unlikely to make the final. It's been a strong start from Brazil who look to be heading towards a score in excess of 160 while Germany are currently running around 2 points ahead of their European performance so should end up on a score around 159/160. With GBR and Italy still to come, it looks like it may come down to Canada and Germany for that final spot in the final.
  18. It's difficult to say too much given the lack of teams to complete so far, but I'm not sure that will be all that pleased with their score. They complete qualification with a score of 167.263 which is significantly down on their score from qualifying in Tokyo (170.562), qualifying at 2019 World Champs (174.205) and the 2019 World Final (172.330) where they took gold. However, it is in line with their score from the Tokyo final (166.096) where they took silver. Whilst I'm not saying that they won't make the team final, 167 is a beatable score - particularly when you factor in the fact that they have a tendency to post a lower score in the final compared to qualifying. If the same pattern persists, USA could post 164/165 in the final which is well within the capability of the teams from China, Italy, Great Britain and France to achieve. Will be interesting to see what the results look like tomorrow after all the subdivisions have completed. From the competitions I have seen so far this year, I get the impression that the scores have been generally lower than in previous years so it could well be that 164-167 range is still enough for an Olympic quota, but it is not impossible that USA could miss out on a top 3 finish in the final.
  19. Absolutely - the British women are undoubtedly performing much better than the men and I think we have realistic prospects to qualify in 5 of the 7 women's weight divisions. On the men's side however, we barely sent any male athletes to the World Champs and where they do compete, they are struggling to make any impact. Unless something dramatically changes, there is a real prospect GB will not qualify any male judokas for Paris.
  20. Unfortunately the Team GB men seem to be really struggling to make much headway in Abu Dhabi with Moorhead and Powell failing to make it through their first match whilst Ham and Fryer losing in the second round. Difficult to see how you can qualify for Paris if all you're picking up is participation points. The guys are going to need to pull out some big performances in 2023.
  21. An athlete wouldn't need to earn a quota in the second discipline as they would have right of participation in the second event providing their NOC doesn't already have 2 qualified athletes, and they have participated in the events during the qualification period. You don't tend to see it in the shotgun events, but in the rifle/pistol discipline, it is pretty common for athletes to double up, particularly in the smaller shooting nations.
  22. Pretty strong qualification from Seonaid McIntosh in the Women's 10m Air Rifle. A score of 630.6 to finish 3rd in the first qualification group should be enough to get her into the top 8. She didn't have great results in the European championships so this would be a welcome return to form from best chance of securing quota in the pistol/rifle events.
  23. Is it just me or is the ISSF scoring website absolutely rubbish? Surely it can't be that difficult to design a page that presents the athletes in descending order of their score?
  24. Pretty good set of results for so far - matching or showing strong progression since Tokyo across all events except the men's Keirin (and to be fair Jason Keny had no business winning that gold medal) Given my obsession with rankings, am confidently predicting that GBR will remain in qualifying position across all 4 of the key events.
  25. Sophie Capewell is ranked 8th in the world and is the top ranked Team GB rider so she absolutely deserves her place in the event. Arguably we should have entered a second athlete - Emma Finucane who took the bronze medal in the Commonwealths - but have to assume that Britain didn't qualify 2 individual spots.
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