INDIA:
80% medal chances :
Weightlifting 1 (49kg women)
Boxing 1 (men fly weight)
Wrestling 2 ( men 65kg , women 53 kg)
Shooting 1 ( mixed team pistol)
Total= 5
50% medal chances
Archery 1 ( mixed team / men team)
Badminton 1 ( women singles)
Boxing 2 ( men welter weight / women fly weight / light weight )
Hockey 1 ( men )
Wrestling 1 ( men 57kg / men 86 kg )
Shooting 2 ( mixed rifle / men 10m piston / women 10m pistol / women 50m pistol / men 10m rifle / women 10m rifle )
Atheletics 1 ( men jevlin)
Total = 9
So combining both i think INDIA should win 5-7 medals