Topicmaster1010

I see them now https://www.worldaquatics.com/competitions/2969/world-aquatics-championships-doha-2024/results?discipline=SW&disciplines=

Could whoever moved all these posts move them to the version 2 quota simulation instead?

At the beginning of the year, I predicted Lithuania to qualify 61 athletes. The biggest factors will be whether or not you guys can qualify a men's basketball team, a men's 3x3 basketball team and a men's 4x200m relay in swimming.

2024 Flanders Swimming Cup - Antwerp (BEL) January 19th - January 21st 2024 Meet Results No new OQTs were achieved

If you go to the World Aquatics social media pages, they've started to post the top 3 seeds in each event. That's the closest thing we have to an entry list so far.

Meanwhile, we have some new qualifications in the women's shorter freestyle distances. The Australians better watch out

You're right, thanks! Forgot to check the heat results

2024 57th Challenge International de Genève - Geneva (SUI) January 19th - January 21st 2024 Meet Results The following new OQTs were achieved Men's 50m Freestyle Martin Kartavi

When did Eileen Gu start representing the US?

Okay, time for another long stats post. Despite the great work that they've done, SwimSwam has often a few controversial rankings every year. Most of that can be attributed to American bias and a bigger emphasis on short course racing (especially in NCAA) than other people. I decided to attempt to build my own rankings model for women that factors in their versatility and how fast they were compared to the rest of their competition. There are a couple of flaws though. The first is that it doesn't factor in 2024 potential and two, it's based on FINA points which themselves are based on world records. As a result, certain events in which someone smashes the world record (50m butterfly) for example, shatters the points system. I'll be sure to make improvements next year if I do this again. Below, you'll find a breakdown of SwimSwams rankings in sections of 10 swimmers each. I've listed my rankings of each swimmer in brackets. #100-99: #90-81 #80-71 #70-61

This happens in every sport whenever some analyst posts their athlete/team rankings. Ultimately, these kinds of rankings are very subjective so there'll always be lot's of disagreement especially in the bottom part of the rankings where there's more variance. Having said that, I've definitely noticed that the swimswam comments section can be very toxic compared to other platforms.

SwimSwam started to release their top 100 male and female swimmers for 2024. Men #100-91 Men #90-81 Women #100-91 Women #90-81 Women #80-71 Women #70-61

Nice silver medal for him

So World Aquatics said they would publish the final qualification calendar by today but looking at the list of events, I don't see anything from France, Germany, Hungary, Spain, Portugal, Greece, Brazil, China, South Korea, or all of Africa.

Men's Biathlon: Sprint: Gold: Norwegian Athlete #1 Silver: Norwegian Athlete #2 Bronze: Norwegian Athlete #3 Pursuit: Gold: Norwegian Athlete #1 Silver: Norwegian Athlete #2 Bronze: Norwegian Athlete #3 Individual: Gold: Norwegian Athlete #1 Silver: Norwegian Athlete #2 Bronze: Norwegian Athlete #3 Mass Start: Gold: Norwegian Athlete #1 Silver: Norwegian Athlete #2 Bronze: Norwegian Athlete #3 Relay: Gold: Norway Silver: Not Norway Bronze: Not Norway Men's Cross-Country Skiing: 10km: Gold: Norwegian Athlete #1 Silver: Norwegian Athlete #2 Bronze: Norwegian Athlete #3 Sprint: Gold: Norwegian Athlete #1 Silver: Norwegian Athlete #2 Bronze: Norwegian Athlete #3 Skiathlon: Gold: Norwegian Athlete #1 Silver: Norwegian Athlete #2 Bronze: Norwegian Athlete #3 Team Sprint: Gold: Norway Silver: Not Norway Bronze: Not Norway Relay: Gold: Norway Silver: Not Norway Bronze: Not Norway 50km: Gold: Norwegian Athlete #1 Silver: Norwegian Athlete #2 Bronze: Norwegian Athlete #3

Alexy went 48.24 in the 100 Free. Auboeck went 3:46.78 in the 400 Free. I think that's it though.

A 2:19 200m breaststroke in January is absolutely nuts

TYR Pro Swim Series Knoxville - Canadian Results Gonna try to do one of these for every notable meet up until Canadian trials to keep track of athletes. Please let me know if there's anyone I missed. Men's 50m Freestyle: 15. Javier Acevedo - 22.83 (22.97) Stephen Calkins - NS Men's 100m Freestyle: 12. Javier Acevedo - 49.69 (49.76) 24. Stephen Calkins - 50.57 (50.19) Men's 200m Freestyle: 10. Javier Acevedo - 1:49.82 (1:51.01) 18. Lorne Wigginton - 1:51.43 (1:51.84) Men's 200m Backstroke: 15. Lorne Wigginton - 2:06.12 (2:05.46) Men's 100m Breaststroke: 18. Apollo Hess - 1:02.79 (1:03.33) Men's 200m Breaststroke: 15. Apollo Hess - 2:18.40 (2:18.49) Lorne Wigginton - NS Men's 100m Butterfly: Stephen Calkins - NS Men's 200m Butterfly: 20. Lorne Wigginton - 2:03.45 (2:03.24) Men's 200m Individual Medley: 9. Lorne Wigginton - 2:02.04 (2:03.19) Women's 50m Freestyle: 11. Taylor Ruck - 25.62 (25.99) 25. Brooklyn Douthwright - 26.31 32. Sienna Angove - 26.61 Delia Lloyd - NS Women's 100m Freestyle: 11. Maggie Mac Neil - 54.97 (55.41) 13. Taylor Ruck - 55.40 (55.55) 19. Brooklyn Douthwright - 55.81 (55.88) 23. Delia Lloyd - 56.04 (56.29) 48. Sienna Angove - 58.00 76. Bailey O'Regan - 59.11 Ashley McMillan - DFS Women's 200m Freestyle: 1. Summer McIntosh - 1:55.41 (1:57.43) 12. Brooklyn Douthwright - 2:00.49 (2:00.80) 15. Taylor Ruck - 2:01.33 (2:02.63) 17. Sienna Angove - 2:02.03 (2:03.16) 25. Bailey O'Regan - 2:04.59 Women's 400m Freestyle: 9. Sienna Angove - 4:15.23 (4:21.17) 12. Bailey O'Regan - 4:17.86 (4:20.79) Ella Jansen - 4:20.02 (12th in heats, didn't start finals) Women's 800m Freestyle: 11. Bailey O'Regan - 8:59.29 Women's 100m Backstroke: 7. Taylor Ruck - 1:01.04 (1:01.61) 9. Delia Lloyd - 1:01.55 (1:02.41) 15. Madison Kryger - 1:02.33 (1:02.80) Ashley McMillan - NS Women's 200m Backstroke: 7. Delia Lloyd - 2:13.59 (2:11.74) 11. Madison Kryger - 2:14.14 (2:14.74) 50. Ashley McMillan - 2:28.00 Taylor Ruck - NS Women's 100m Breaststroke: 6. Sophie Angus - 1:08.16 (1:08.79) 15. Ashley McMillan - 1:10.46 (1:10.95) Women's 200m Breaststroke: 5. Tessa Cieplucha - 2:28.92 (2:30.70) 7. Sophie Angus - 2:30.82 (2:31.50) Women's 100m Butterfly: 1. Maggie Mac Neil - 57.18 (58.37) Women's 200m Butterfly: 1. Summer McIntosh - 2:05.73 (2:07.89) 12. Tessa Cieplucha - 2:14.99 (2:16.83) Women's 200m Individual Medley: 1. Summer McIntosh - 2:07.16 (2:12.21) 4. Ashley McMillan - 2:13.38 (2:14.15) 6. Tessa Cieplucha - 2:16.35 (2:16.46) 19. Sienna Angove - 2:19.59 (2:20.17) 26. Brooklyn Douthwright - 2:21.23 33. Bailey O'Regan - 2:23.45 Madison Kryger - NS Women's 400m Individual Medley: 1. Tessa Cieplucha - 4:41.54 (4:42.85) 10. Bailey O'Regan - 4:55.34 (4:55.66)

2024 TYR Pro Swim Series - Knoxville (USA) January 10th - January 13th 2024 Meet Results The following new OQTs were achieved Women's 200m Backstroke Josephine Fuller Women's 100m Breaststroke Kate Douglass Women's 100m Butterfly Alex Walsh

2024 Türkiye National Team Selection Meet - Edirne (TUR) January 15th - January 7th 2024 Meet Results No new OQTs were achieved

Time to do a deep dive for my updated quota simulation. Team Size: 302 (+2 from the last simulation) # of Sports Qualified In: 38 (+2) # of events: 184 Archery (1) (-1): 1 event Eric Peters is already qualified in the men's event. Unfortunately, I don't have Canada qualifying a woman this time. Athletes from Cuba and Chile were ranked higher in the Americas region. Athletics (41) (-10): 25 events Athletes already qualified through an entry standard are bolded with their respective events. Quite a big drop from last year with lots of athletes not having great seasons or not competing. On the men's side, we're missing John Gay, Trevor Hofbauer, Django Lovett, Brandon McBride, Malik Metivier, William Paulson, Cameron Proceviat, Ryan Smeeton and Ben Thorne. On the women's side, we're missing Lindsey Butterworth, Kyra Constantine, Gabriela Debues-Stafford, Crystal Emmanuel, Lauren Gale, Liz Gleadle, Natalia Hawthorn, Madeleine Kelly, Natassha McDonald, Christabel Nettey, Leslie Sexton and Jillian Weir. Men (18): Mohammed Ahmed - 5000m, 10000m Marco Arop - 800m Jerome Blake - 100m Aaron Brown - 100m, 200m Andre de Grasse - 200m Jean-Simon Desgagnes - 3000m Steeplechase Evan Dunfee - 20km Race Walk Benjamin Flanagan - 5000m Rowan Hamilton - Hammer Throw Ethan Katzberg - Hammer Throw Adam Keenan - Hammer Throw Pierce Lepage - Decathlon Cameron Levins - Marathon Rory Linkletter - Marathon Kieran Lumb - 1500m Charles Philibert-Thiboutot - 1500m Brendon Rodney - 100m, 200m Damian Warner - Decathlon Women (19): Mariam Abdul-Rashid - 100m Hurdles Khamica Bingham - 100m Malindi Elmore - Marathon Grace Fetherstonhaugh - 3000m Steeplechase Michelle Harrison - 100m Hurdles Grace Konrad - 400m Ceili McCabe - 3000m Steeplechase Sarah Mitton - Shot Put Anicka Newell - Pole Vault Alysha Newman - Pole Vault Brooke Overholt - 400m Hurdles Simone Plourde - 1500m Camryn Rogers - Hammer Throw Jazz Shukla - 800m Julie-Anne Staehli - 5000m Lucia Stafford - 1500m Savannah Sutherland - 400m Hurdles Natasha Wodak - Marathon Regan Yee - 3000m Steeplechase +4 relay athletes for the Men's 4x100m and Women's 4x400m Relays Badminton (6) (-2): 4 events From the rankings: Brian Yang - Men's Singles Michelle Li - Women's Singles Adam Dong/Nyl Yakura - Men's Doubles Catherine Choi/Josephine Wu - Women's Doubles Unfortunately, the American team is ahead of the Canadian team in the mixed doubles world rankings so that's the reason for the -2 from last simulation. Basketball (24) (+12): 2 events Mission accomplished! Men's team is in. Women's team still needs to qualify but they shouldn't have too much problem qualifying. 3x3 Basketball (4) (No change): 1 event Women's 3x3 team still on track to qualify through the Olympic qualifying tournament. Boxing (3) (No change): 3 events Men's 63.5kg - Wyatt Sanford Women's 60kg - Charlie Cavanagh Women's 66kg - Tammara Thibeault Sanford and Thibeault are already qualified. Cavanagh is still projected to qualify here but of course the chances of that happening are now slim with her losing in nationals. Scarlett Delgado was originally projected to qualify in the original version of this simulation. I would say 3 boxers would be a reasonable prediction. Breaking (1) (No change): 1 event Phil Wizard is already qualified and it projects to stay that way although it's possible we qualify a female breaker as well. Canoe Slalom (3) (+1): 5 events (Because I think every athlete is able to enter the kayak cross? Maybe?) Alex Baldoni - Men's C-1 Lea Baldoni - Women's K-1 Lois Betteridge - Women's C-1 Even though each NOC can only qualify one athlete per gender in the continental qualification event, I have Lea Baldoni getting a reallocated quota. Canoe Sprint (15) (+1): 10 events Thanks to a great world championships, we're projected for 15 quotas at the moment of which 12 have already been obtained. Aside from the current quotas, I have Canada earning a continental quota in the Men's C-2 500m and an extra men's kayak quota in the K-1 1000m. This would mean that Canada would have entries in all events. BMX Freestyle (1) (+1) 1 event Didn't have anyone qualifying in this sport last simulation but if all the big names qualify through the Olympic Qualifying series, then Jeffrey Whaley could end up with a men's quota through the 2023 World Championships BMX Racing (1) (No change): 1 event Thanks to great performances from Molly Simpson, Canada is currently projected to qualify 1 female through the Olympic rankings. I would assume that she would get the spot. Mountain Biking (2) (No change): 2 events Through the nations rankings, Canada is once again projected to earn one quota in both the men's and women's events. Carter Woods and Jennifer Jackson are the top ranked Canadians. Road Cycling (4) (+1): 4 events 2 men's and 2 women's quotas. I thought I remember we were supposed to have 3 women's quotas but according to the official UCI qualification document, we only have 2 women qualified. Not going to list any names because there's a lot of candidates to choose from. Track Cycling (14) (-1): 12 events Lost a quota here because we lost an extra men's omnium quota. However, Canada is still projected to qualify men's/women's sprint and men's/women's pursuit teams meaning that we would have an entry in each event (unless we reject the women's madison quota like last time). Diving (5): (-1) 4 events So since diving doesn't have an official world ranking, I used the world championship results to simulate quotas. The one problem with that is that Rylan Wiens didn't compete. So as now, the projected quotas are: (bolded athletes are already qualified) Nathan Zsombor-Murray - Men's 10m Platform Pamela Ware - Women's 3m Springboard, 3m Synchronized Springboard Mia Vallee - Women's 3m Springboard, 3m Synchronized Springboard Caeli McKay - Women's 10m Platform Elaena Dick - Women's 10m Platform I could definitely see Rylan Wiens qualifying in the 10m platform which as well as men's and women's 10m platform synchro teams. Equestrian (9) (No change): 6 events Full team already qualified and disaster averted! Fencing (12) (+4): 9 events A nice increase here. We are in position to qualify both men's and women's foil teams as well as a men's sabre team as the best ranked team from the Americas not from the top 4. Pamela Brind'amour is in position to qualify in the women's sabre through the rankings and I also have Nicholas Zhang and Ruien Xiao qualifying through the zonal tournaments in the men's and women's epee event respectively. Football (18) (No change): 1 event Women are qualified! Golf (4) (No change): 2 events Two men and two women through the world rankings. I don't see anyway it changes. Right now, the projected golfers are Corey Conners (34th), Adam Hadwin (49th), Brooke Henderson (12th), and Maddie Szeryk (249th). Artistic Gymnastics (10) (No change): 14 events Both men's and women's teams successfully qualified! Trampoline (1) (-1): 1 event Sophiane Methot has booked her spot to Paris already. I don't remember Jeremy Chartier competing in the world championships so that's why he might've been excluded but I would imagine that an extra male and female quota are possible here. Judo (6) (-1): 6 events Mens -73kg - Arthur Margelidon (13th in Olympic Rankings) Men's -81kg - Francois Gauthier Drapeau (7th in Olympic Rankings) Men's -90kg - Louis Krieber Gagnon (Continental Quota) Men's -100kg - Kyle (6th in Olympic Rankings) Women's -57kg - Christa Deguchi (1st in Olympic Rankings) Women's -63kg - Catherine Beauchemin-Pinard (5th in Olympic Rankings) Unfortunately, Cuba has surpassed is in the Americas nations rankings so we lose our team event quota. Rowing (11) (-17): 2 events What a complete disaster of a World Championships. We only managed to qualify boats in the women's lightweight double sculls and women's eights. That in turn means that we aren't eligible for continental quotas and now our boats are competing for one of two quotas in the remaining 12 events and based on the world championship results, I don't have any more boats qualifying. Rugby Sevens (12) (No change): 1 event Women's team is already qualified. Men are in the final qualifying tournament but I think the competition is too strong for them. Sailing (6) (-1): 4 events Already have quotas in men's skiff), women's kite, women's dinghy, and women's skiff. Unfortuntely, Canada lost a quota in the men's dinghy from the last simulation Shooting (2) (+2): 4 events? Thankfully, we managed to qualify two athletes at the Pan Am Games. They should both be able to enter two events each. Unfortunately, I don't have anyone else qualifying but would love to be proved wrong. Skateboarding (4) (-3): 2 events The 7 predicted skateboarders from last year's simulation was probably unrealistic given that it was from some sketchy skateboard ranking site. However, now that the official rankings are up, this should be more accurate. I have Cordano Russell, Ryan Decenzo, and Micky Papa qualifying in men's street and Fay Ebert qualifying in women's park. Surfing (3) (+1): 2 events Sanoe Olin is already qualified. Using the World Championships results, I also have Erin Brooks (if she gets her citizenship) and Cody Young also qualifying. Swimming (26) (+3): 28 events Based on OQT's, OCT's, and individual times this year (for relay athetes). Remember, this is based on 2023 data. Not necessarily who I think will be on the Olympic Team . Notably no Oleksiak or Ruck. Also no open waters (although Hau-Li Fan wasn't competing at the 2023 Worlds so he could definitely qualify). Men (11): Javier Acevedo - 100m Backstroke, 4x100m Freestyle Relay, 4x200m Freestyle Relay, 4x100m Medley Relay Jeremy Bagshaw - 4x200m Freestyle Relay James Dergousoff - 200m Breaststroke, 4x100m Medley Relay, Mixed Relay Ruslan Gaziev - 100m Freestyle, 4x100m Freestyle Relay, 4x200m Freestyle Relay, 4x100m Medley Relay Patrick Hussey - 4x200m Freestyle Relay Ilya Kharun - 100m Butterfly, 200m Butterfly Yuri Kisil (4x100m Freestyle Relay) Finlay Knox - 200m IM Josh Liendo - 50m Freestyle, 100m Freestyle, 100m Butterfly, 4x100m Freestyle Relay, 4x100m Medley Relay, Mixed Relay Hugh McNeill - 200m Backstroke Lorne Wigginton - 400m IM Women (15): Sophie Angus - 4x100m Medley Relay Julie Brousseau - 4x200m Freestyle Relay Brooklyn Douthwright - 4x100m Freestyle Relay, 4x200m Freestyle Relay Sarah Fournier - 4x100m Freestyle Relay Mary-Sophie Harvey - 200m Freestyle, 4x100m Freestyle Relay, 4x200m Freestyle Relay, 4x100m Medley Relay Ella Jansen - 400m Freestyle, 400m IM, 4x200m Freestyle Relay Alexanne Lepage - 100m Breaststroke, 4x100m Medley Relay Maggie Mac Neil - 50m Freestyle, 100m Freestyle, 100m Butterfly, 4x100m Freestyle Relay, 4x100m Medley Relay, Mixed Relay Kylie Masse - 100m Backstroke, 200m Backstroke, 4x100m Medley Relay, Mixed Relay Summer McIntosh - 200m Freestyle (probably won't swim), 400m Freestyle, 800m Freestyle (definitely won't swim), 200m Backstroke (definitely won't swim), 200m Butterfly, 200m IM, 400m IM, 4x100m Freestyle Relay, 4x200m Freestyle Relay, 4x100m Medley Relay Sydney Pickrem - 200m Breaststroke, 200m IM Katerine Savard - 100m Butterfly Rebecca Smith - 4x100m Freestyle Relay, 4x200m Freestyle Relay Ingrid Wilm - 100m Backstroke, 200m Backstroke (most likely), 4x100m Medley Relay Kelsey Wog - 200m Breaststroke Table Tennis (4) (+2): 3 events Somehow, we've managed to qualify a men's team. Mo Zhang earns a quota through the Americas qualification tournament. Taekwondo (2) (-1): 2 events Women's -49kg - Viviane Tranquille (Through continental qualifying tournament) Women's -57kg - Skylar Park (Already qualified) Nicholas Hoefling are Ashley Kraayeveld (instead of Tranqille) could also qualify. Tennis (4) (-2): 4 events Felix Auger-Alissime (29th) qualifies in men's singles. Leylah Fernandez (35th) and Bianca Andreescu (through a Grand Slam champion quota) qualify in women's singles. Gabriella Dabrowski joins the team for the doubles event. Big decline for the tennis team over the past year. Probably could get a mixed doubles team too. Triathlon (4) (No change): 3 events Tyler Mislawchuk (18th) and Charles Paquet (43rd) qualify through the men's olympic rankings. Emy Legault (38th) and Dominika Jamnicky (58th) qualifiy through the women's olympic rankings. This would mean that Canada would be able to enter a mixed relay team. The 4 quotas should be mostly safe. Beach Volleyball (6) (+2): 2 events An increase of two because I have a men's team qualifying this time. I'm projecting Schacter/Dearing to qualify through the North American qualification event. For the women, Melissa/Brandie should safely qualify through the rankings and another Canadian team (in this case Pavan/McBain) should be able to qualify through the North American qualification event. Indoor Volleyball (12) (+12): 1 event Men's team is qualified! Women's team is very close but is not currently in a favorable world ranking position. I hope they make it! Water Polo (11) (-1): 1 event Decrease of 1 athlete because of the change in team size. (Yes I know the document says 12 but one is an alternate which means that 11 count towards the overall quota. Plus I don't want to go through every country in the simulation and update everything . Same thing with volleyball) Thanks to the US failing to qualify through the world championships, Canada wasn't able to qualify through the Pan Am Games as previously predicted. Now they'll have to go through Worlds but at the 2023 edition, they were able to finish ahead of Greece which means I have the team qualifying for the games as of now. However, Greece has looked great during the European Championships so this is by no means a safe quota. Weightlifting (2) (+1): 2 events Maude Charron is in a qualifying position in the women's 59kg event and Boady Santavy is in a qualifying position in the men's 89kg event. Wrestling (8) (+2): 8 events Through the Americas Qualification Tournament: Men's 74kg Freestyle - Adam Thomson Men's 97kg Freestyle - Nishan Randhawa Women's 50kg Freestyle - Madison Parks Women's 53kg Freestyle - Samantha Stewart Women's 57kg Freestyle - Hannah Taylor Women's 62kg Freestyle - Ana Godinez Gonzalez Women's 68kg Freestyle - Olivia di Bacco Women's 76kg Freestyle - Justina di Stasio Sports not qualified in: Artistic Swimming: In a matter of a couple of years, we have gone from best in the Americas to very unlikely not to qualify any athletes. Doesn't help that we finished 5th in duet at the Pan American Games. Field Hockey: Unfortunately, both teams were too low in the world rankings to qualify in this simulation. Maybe we'll qualify a team, maybe we won't. Could go either way. Sport Climbing (-1): Canada's in real danger of not qualifying anyone in sport climbing. Alannah Yip was the athlete I predicted to qualify in last year's simulation but that was only because I had two Americans qualifying through the World Championships with Yip taking the Pan American quota. Now that that option is gone, she and the other climbers will be in tough at the OQS. An upset is possible but not likely. Handball: No way. Modern Pentathlon: Probably not.

Update: Boxing: Thanks to ogreman's wonderful work in this post, we now have a better boxing rankings. I made a few changes though. Kept the universality places unchanged from my previous work. Decided not to include the refugee athlete from the simulation because in 2020, refugee athletes weren't apart of the official quota Still decided to include Russian athletes in the rankings because we have no idea whether or not they'll be excluded from the OQT's +6 +5 +3 +2 +1 -1 -2 -3 -6

Very nice work! Mostly similar to what I have. I'll try to post my simulation results over the weekend. You seem to be more optimistic than me overall. The major differences are that you were more optimistic in gymnastics and rowing and I was more optimistic in wrestling (though that could just be the result of the world rankings not being that great ) A few team corrections: Rugby sevens quota is 12 athletes, water polo is 11 athletes, and indoor volleyball is 12. As for swimming, looks pretty good overall! Glad you don't have Oleksiak in there because she's showed nothing this year. Personally, I think Julie Brousseau will get a spot in the 200m freestyle. She's been on a great improvement. The 200m freestyle figures to be one of the most exciting events at trials so I'm looking forward to it. Glad you have Finlin in there! Fingers crossed she can drop 6 six seconds from her PB in the next 5 months. Think the 2nd spot in the women's 200m backstroke could be interesting. A lot of swimmers in the 2:11-2:13 range but if she keeps improving at her current rate, I would keep an eye on 15 year old Madison Kryger. Not sure if Angus will get the OQT or not but either way, she's showed she's the best relay breaststroker in the country so she should be selected if she' in form at trials. In the women's 100m butterfly, I could see Kamryn Cannings getting the 2nd spot or Rebecca Smith if she returns to form but Savard is probably the favorite for now. Would be nice to be able to get a 2nd person in the women's 200m butterfly. Jansen or Zavaros would seem like the most likely candidates. I don't see Cieplucha getting the 2nd spot in the 400m IM. Think it'll go to Jansen. Acevedo doesn't swim the 200m backstroke. I'm assuming you meant the 100? For the 200m, I think one of Hugh McNeill or Aiden Norman can get the OQT. I don't see Dergousoff hitting the 100m breast OQT (or anyone else) given his age and how far away he is from it. Think he has a better chance in the 200 in which I would give Taivassalo a better chance of qualifying given his trajectory. Would also be nice to get a 2nd qualifier in the men's 200m butterfly. A couple guys that are capable but not likely at the moment but fingers crossed. If Wigginton keeps improving, then he could qualify in the 200m IM too. Same with Kharun. Unfortunately I don't see Gagne qualifying in the 400m IM. If this was the Tokyo OQT, then yes but 4:12.50 is just an insane standard. But it would be great if he did. Edit: Forgot to add this: I think MacNeil swims one of the 50 or 100 free (or both)

Minor update (one more to come): Artistic Swimming: +2 -2 Football: +18 -18

Yeah, that's a perfect description. I'll probably mostly be tuning in to keep track of relay qualifications and new OQT's. Don't think I'll be watching the entire finals sessions like I normally do.