A little recap of the BG performance so far, even if not many people are considering us for the quotas I still think we should be getting a few quotas on our hands.
M 51 kg - Asenov lost in the 1/8 to Slominski, which was a bit of a surprise, but it was expected he won't get a quota, when the bracket came out. There was no way he beats Bennama and MacDonald back to back, so it was an expected miss. Still Asenov was our only man in Tokyo and hopefully he gets it at the WQT.
M 57 kg - 1/8 Javier Ibanez vs. Bondarchuk is today. He had a great win in his first match against Gallagher, but Ukrainian fighters are notoriously difficult, so i think this is going to be the tougher match, then the potential 1/4 against Bazeyan. If he wins today, have faith, that Ibanez gets the quota.
M 63.5 kg - 1/4 Rosenov vs. Guruli . Direct match and while Rosenov has shown growth in the last year or so, he is not the favourite here. Gurili has bronzes from the last 2 Worlds and a Euro silver and think, they would give him the win. Rosenov should be good for a quota from the WQT.
M 71 kg - 1/8 Kiwan vs. Abbasov. Abbasov wasn't at the Worlds for Serbia, so not sure, what his form is right now. Plus he gained weight from last year, from what i see, so would give advantage to Kiwan. Then it's between the winner of and for the quota, which looks like another equal match up. I think Kiwan has a good chance, if the judges let him.
M 80 kg - Q loss for Nikolov against Veocic. Nothing surprising here, as Nikolov loses in the first round every single tournament. Veocic should get the quota.
M 92 kg - We had no one here, which was strange, as Pantaleev is a former World medalist. Probably he is injured or something.
M 92+ kg - 1/8 Hernandez vs. Lenzi . Hernandez is a sand bag, so no chance he wins this.
Overall i expect at least 1 quota (most likely Ibanez) and 2 would be job well done.
On the women's side:
W 50 kg - Q loss for Chukanova against Rok - Watched the match and feel they gave a host nation win for Rok. Doesn't matter, as Cakiroglu is odds on favourite for the quota from this category either way. I hope they give a chance to Sevda Asenova in the WQT, who is in the -48 kg category, but is a much better fighter then Chukanova.
W 54 kg - 1/4 Petrova vs. Lehane. Direct match. Petrova is by far our strongest woman and already beat an Ukrainian. Lehane seems like a new name to the Irish team, but they always turn out to be great fighters. Still giving the edge for Petrova and the quota.
W 57 kg - 1/8 Kamenova vs. Nechita. First match for Kamenova and i don't know in what form she is coming here. Nechita isn't someone with big successes and i'm fairly confident Kamenova wins this one. Then it is between and , which on paper is a pefect draw. All the big favorites Testa, Walsh and Zidani are distributed in the other sections, so this is the best path to an Olympic quota you could get. But the same goes for the hosts as well.
W 60 kg - 1/8 loss for Mehmedova against Beram. Expected loss, Mehmedova has never shown potential of reaching the end phase of a tournament. Maybe if she gets a favorable draw at the WQT, she can squeak a quota, but not counting on it.
W 66 and 75 kg - no participations here. Looks like we can't find boxers to fill these heavier categories, which is unfortune, as we have only 4 to 6 boxers fighting for a quota.
Overall, frankly i would be disappointed, if both Petrova and Kamenova don't get quotas here.