Bear Hollow

Event Gold Silver Bronze Alpine Skiing Men's Downhill ITA SUI SUI Men's Super-G SUI AUT SUI Men's Giant Slalom SUI AUT BRA Men's Slalom NOR BRA FRA Men's Team Combined SUI AUT FRA Women's Downhill ITA USA GER Women's Super-G USA GER ITA Women's Giant Slalom SWE SUI USA Women's Slalom USA SUI GER Women's Team Combined SUI USA GER Biathlon Men's 10km Sprint NOR ITA GER Men's 20km Individual FRA ITA NOR Men's 12.5km Pursuit FRA NOR ITA Men's 15km Mass Start NOR FRA USA Men's 4x7.5km Relay FRA NOR GER Women's 7.5km Sprint SWE SWE GER Women's 15km Individual NOR FRA FRA Women's 10km Pursuit FRA SWE NOR Women's 12.5km Mass Start FRA ITA FIN Women's 4x6km Relay NOR SWE FRA 2x7.5km Men + 2x7.5km Women Mixed Relay FRA ITA CZE Bobsleigh 2-man Bobsleigh GER GER GER 4-man Bobsleigh GER GER SUI Women's Monobob GER USA AUS 2-woman Bobsleigh GER USA AUT Cross-Country Skiing Men's 10km + 10km Skiathlon NOR ITA SWE Men's Sprint Classic NOR FIN NOR Men's Team Sprint Free NOR ITA SWE Men's 4 x 7.5km Relay NOR ITA FRA Men's 10km Free NOR NOR ITA Men's 50km Mass Start Classic NOR NOR SWE Women's 10km + 10km Skiathlon NOR USA SWE Women's Sprint Classic SWE FIN NOR Women's Team Sprint Free NOR GER USA Women's 4 x 7.5km Relay NOR SWE FIN Women's 10km Free USA NOR NOR Women's 50km Mass Start Classic NOR NOR SWE Curling Men SWE CAN GBR Women CAN GBR KOR Mixed Doubles SWE GBR USA Figure Skating Men Single Skating USA JPN USA Women Single Skating JPN USA JPN Pair Skating CAN ITA GER Ice Dance USA CAN FRA Team Event USA JPN CAN Freestyle Skiing Men's Aerials CHN USA SUI Men's Moguls CAN JPN SWE Men's Dual Moguls SWE JPN USA Men's Ski Cross CAN FRA GER Men's Freeski Halfpipe NZL USA USA Men's Freeski Slopestyle USA EST NOR Men's Freeski Big Air USA NZL USA Women's Aerials CHN AUS USA Women's Moguls AUS USA KAZ Women's Dual Moguls USA AUS USA Women's Ski Cross GER CAN AUT Women's Freeski Halfpipe CHN GBR CHN Women's Freeski Slopestyle CHN CAN GBR Women's Freeski Big Air CHN CAN CHN Mixed Team Aerials USA CHN CAN Ice Hockey Men's 12-team tournament CAN USA SWE Women's 10-team tournament USA CAN FIN Luge Men's Singles AUT GER GER Men's Doubles GER AUT LAT Women's Singles GER AUT USA Women's Doubles AUT GER ITA Team Relay GER AUT USA Nordic Combined Men's Individual Gundersen Normal Hill/10km NOR GER NOR Men's Individual Gundersen Large Hill/10km NOR AUT JPN Men's Team Sprint Large Hill 2x7,5km NOR GER AUT Short Track Speed Skating Men's 500m CAN CAN ITA Men's 1000m CAN KOR ITA Men's 1500m CAN CHN KOR Men's 5000m Relay ITA CHN CAN Women's 500m CAN USA KOR Women's 1000m BEL NED USA Women's 1500m USA CAN NED Women's 3000m Relay CAN NED ITA Mixed Team Relay 2000m CAN NED KOR Skeleton Men's Skeleton GBR GER GBR Women's Skeleton GER BEL GBR Skeleton Mixed Team GER GBR USA Ski Jumping Men's Normal Hill Individual AUT AUT NOR Men's Large Hill Individual SLO JPN AUT Men's Super Team JPN AUT GER Women's Normal Hill Individual SLO AUT GER Women's Large Hill Individual AUT GER CAN Mixed Team AUT SLO GER Ski Mountaineering Men's sprint FRA SUI ESP Women's sprint ESP ITA GER Mixed Relay ESP SUI FRA Snowboard Men's Parallel Giant Slalom ITA BUL FRA Men's Snowboard Halfpipe AUS JPN NZL Men's Snowboard Cross FRA ITA CAN Men's Snowboard Slopestyle JPN JPN USA Men's Snowboard Big Air JPN JPN USA Women's Parallel Giant Slalom GER ITA AUT Women's Snowboard Halfpipe KOR JPN USA Women's Snowboard Cross FRA GBR FRA Women's Snowboard Slopestyle CHN USA AUT Women's Snowboard Big Air JPN KOR CAN Mixed Team Snowboard Cross FRA ITA USA Speed Skating Men's 500m POL USA NED Men's 1000m USA POL NED Men's 1500m USA NED GER Men's 5000m CZE NOR FRA Men's 10000m ITA CZE FRA Men's Mass Start USA NOR ITA Men's Team Pursuit USA ITA NED Women's 500m NED JPN NED Women's 1000m NED NED JPN Women's 1500m JPN NED USA Women's 3000m CAN NOR NED Women's 5000m NED CAN CAN Women's Mass Start NED CAN USA Women's Team Pursuit CAN JPN USA

OK, so here is my first post ever on this site. Have been a lurker for a few years. Huge fan of the Olympics dating back to Barcelona. A statistics junky. Drives my family crazy. I really like seeing the perspectives of the various nationalities on here. However, make no mistake I root for the Red White and Blue. I keep my own medal total predictions for each four-year cycle and update them as the various world cup competitions, injuries, etc. occur. Here's my USA predictions: Alpine Skiing: 4 Medals - Vonn's return is huge. Macuga's injury hurt in the speed events but Vonn makes that up. Johnson is an outside threat. Shiffrin certainly a favorite in Slalom. The new combined event will be interesting. Moltzan and Shiffrin are threats in GS. Men not likely to medal but an outside shot in the speed events. Biathlon: 1 Medal - Campbell Wright has a shot (pun intended). Would be USA first in biathlon. Women won't be close. Mixed relay will be competitive (top 8). Probably optimistic here with Wright but would be neat for first medal in this event. Bobsled: 2 Medals - This one is tough for me. Humphries and Meyer-Taylor are the veterans and very competitive and threat to medal in both women's events but likely their last hurah as they are getting older. Love is a wildcard. All comes down to the actual track on the sliding events. Very unlikely the men even threaten a medal. Delu Duca can be competitive in the two-man but won't beat the German men. Can anyone stop the German sweeps in the men's events? Cross Country Skiing: 2 Medals - Assuming two from Diggins. Could be more. Individual sprint is classical so that dampens the threat a bit. Would love to see the US women medal in the relay but prolly not. Schumaker is making some noise for the men and an outside shot to medal. Curling: 0 Medals - Had Shuster qualified I think he would have competed for a medal but good time to pass the torch. Team Casper needs to get some good experience here for the future. Women not likely to medal. Mixed doubles would be the best chance but not a favorite per se. Figure Skating: 4 Medals - Manlin, Chock/Bates, Team and one of the women. Pretty straightforward here. Freestyle Skiing: 8 Medals - All about the men in Halfpipe, BA and Slopestyle, need a double medal in one of those...women in those events would be a long shot but possible. If only Gu competed foe USA. Need 4 medals there. Womens Moguls hopefully good for 2 considering there are two events. Men have an outside shot. Dual moguls event helps here. Pick-up two more in aerials (likely men and team...maybe the women's). Ice Hockey: 2 Medals - I say women for Silver but are the actual favorites for gold this time just never know with the CAN match-up. Men with NHL should be fun. We should medal but chemistry will be key for the all the men's teams. Luge: 1 Medal - Likely from the women (singles) or team event. Men's doubles is competitive as well. Going to come down to whomever best masters the track... Germans showing some weakness here lately but more than making up for it in bobsled. Nordic Combined: 0 Medals - Men are getting better but not close to medal contention. If the women were in there would be one here. Short Track: 3 Medals - Banking on Stoddard and Santos. Those two also make the women's relay and mixed teams very competitive. As everyone says this is so unpredictable. Men are becoming more competitive. Kim and Heo could find themselves in a final. If you're there. anything can happen. Skeleton: 1 Medal - Prolly my least confident guess. Ro was looking strong but fell off this World Cup season. Decent shot in the mixed team with Florian. Men won't medal by themselves. Ski Jumping: 0 Medals - Men are getting competitive especially a couple of younger fellas. My dark horse pick for a US medal in 2030 is here. Women are not there with this current group. Ski-Mo: 0 Medals - Only qualified with the continental quota. I really don't know too much but seems like a European sport. Guess that balances with Flag Football showing up in 28' Snowboarding: 3 Medals - This is tricky and could be a zero for the first time. Banking on Kim being ok, but she might not be Gold worthy. Barbieri is young and competitive on the men's side of the half pipe. A couple men should threaten in SS and BA. Women and men in cross will compete. Non are favorites to medal but this is also unpredictable. Speed Skating: 6 Medals - Counting on Stolz for 4 including Mass Start which he did well in during the fall. 500m is going to be real tough with the young Pole. Dawson can compete in top 5 at 5,000 and 10,000. Men's Pursuit should medal. On the women's side Bowe in her farewell has been consistent top 5 at 1,000 and 1500 i don't see a medal for her but maybe two top-5's. Jackson will compete in the 500m. Women's pursuit could challenge for Bronze. Mangenello medaled in Mass Start multiple times this fall. Looking at Stolz for 4, Team Pursuit for 1 and need one other to medal. So this puts us at 37 and not being overly aggressive/optimistic. Previous best was Vancouver in 2010 with 37 and home at Salt Lake with 34. I see us right in that mix, a nice round number would be 35. Best golds was SLC with 10. Could really threaten to top that. Regardless, I am hoping this is the best for Team USA outside of North America. Winter OG are by far my favorite. As a fan, much easier to follow most all events. Feel free to give me feedback on the predictions. My other overall thoughts are: 1. Germany will have an off games.....outside of mens Bobsled. 2. Netherlands will be off from previous speed skating highs 3. As always Italy will surprise. I see a lot of pessimism form their fans on here but I have confidence in the home field. 4. Cannot put a finger on where CAN will land. Part of me sees them with a strong games but I can also see them disappointing.