cjsavory

[hide] Event & Date Athletes Gold Silver Bronze Mixed Shooting 10m Rifle Team Day 1 July 27th 2024 China x Czechia France Germany x India x Norway Poland South Korea Switzerland United States Any Other Nation Women's Cycling Road Time Trial Day 1 July 27th 2024 Grace Brown Christina Schweinberger Lotte Kopecky x Emma Norsgaard Any French Athlete Lisa Klein Antonia Niedermaier Anna Henderson Ellen Van Dijk Demi Vollering x Agnieszka Skalniak-Sojka Chloe Dygert Taylor Knibb Any Other Athlete x Men's Shooting 10m Air Pistol Day 2 July 28th 2024 Ruslan Lunev Kiril Kirov Xie Yu x Zhang Bowen Robin Walter Sarabjot Singh x Arjun Singh Cheema Federico Maldini Paolo Monna Lauris Strautmanis Damir Mikec Juraj Tuzinsky x Lee Wonho Jason Solari Any Turkish Athlete Any Other Athlete Women's Judo -52kg Day 2 July 28th 2024 Larissa Pimenta Amandine Buchard x Mascha Ballhaus Chelsie Giles x Reka Pupp Gefen Primo Odette Giuffrida x Uta Abe x Distria Krasniqi Sosorbaram Lkhagvasuren Ariane Toro Soler Khorloodoi Bishrelt Diyora Keldiyorova Any Other Athlete Men's Archery Team Day 3 July 29th 2024 China Colombia France Great Britain India Italy Japan Kazakhstan Mexico South Korea x* Chinese Taipei x Turkey x Men's Canoe Slalom C-1 Day 3 July 29th 2024 Matija Marinic Lukas Rohan Nicolas Gestin x Sideris Tasiadis x Adam Burgess Robert Hendrick Paolo Ceccon Grzegorz Hedwig Matej Benus Benjamin Savsek x Luis Fernandez Casey Eichfeld Any Other Athlete Men's Fencing Individual Foil Day 3 July 29th 2024 Mo Ziwei Alexander Choupenitch Mohamed Hamza Enzo Lefort x Cheung Ka Long x Daniel Dosa Guillaume Bianchi Filippo Macchi Tommaso Marini x Kazuki Iimura Kyosuke Matsuyama Carlos Llavador Nick Itkin Alexander Massialas Gerek Meinhardt Any Other Athlete Mixed Table Tennis Doubles Day 4 July 30th 2024 Ishiy/Takahashi Wang/Sun x* Campos/Fonseca Lebrun/Yuan Qiu/Mittelham Wong/Doo x Hayata/Harimoto x Ri/Kim Ionescu/Szocs Lim/Shin Robles/Xiao Chen/Lin Any Other Pair Women's Triathlon Day 5 July 31th 2024 Flora Duffy Cassandre Beaugrand x Emma Lombardi Nina Eim Laura Lindemann Lisa Tertsch Beth Potter x Georgia Taylor-Brown x Kate Waugh Jeanne Lehair Julie Derron Taylor Knibb Taylor Spivey Any Other Athlete Men's BMX Freestyle Day 5 July 31th 2024 Jose Torres Logan Martin Gustavo Oliveira x Jeffrey Whaley Marin Rantes Anthony Jeanjean x Kieran Reilly x* Rim Nakamura Ernests Zebolds Vincent Leygonie Marcus Christopher Justin Dowell Men's Judo -90kg Day 5 July 31th 2024 Murad Fatiyev Rafael Macedo Ivaylo Ivanov Ivan Silva Morales Lasha Bekauri x Krisztian Toth Christian Parlati x Sanshiro Murao Erlan Sherov x Nemanja Majdov x Mihael Zgank Davlat Bobonov Any Other Athlete Women's Rowing Doubles Sculls Day 6 August 1st 2024 Australia China Czechia France Great Britain Ireland Italy Lithuania x Netherlands New Zealand Norway x Romania x United States Women's Sailing Skiff 49erFX Day 6 August 1st 2024 Price/Haseldine Maenhaut/Geurts Schmidt/Schmidt Picon/Steyaert Black/Tidey x Germani/Bertuzzi Van Aanholt/Duetz x Aleh/Meech Naess/Ronningen Echegoyen/Barcelo Bobeck/Netzler x Roble/Shea Any Other Pair Men's Diving 3m Synchro Day 7 August 2nd 2024 China x* France Great Britain x Italy Mexico x Spain Ukraine United States Equestrian Jumping Team Day 7 August 2nd 2024 Austria Belgium Brazil France Germany x Great Britain x Ireland Netherlands Spain Sweden x Switzerland United States Any Other Nation Women's Sailing Windsurfer IQFoil Day 7 August 2nd 2024 Yan Zheng Palma Cargo Helene Noesmoen x Theresa Steinlein Emma Wilson x Sharon Kantor x Marta Maggetti Mariana Aguilar Sara Wennekes Veerle Ten Have Mina Mobekk Maja Dziarnowska Pilar Lamadrid Any Other Athlete Men's Rowing Singles Sculls Day 8 August 3rd 2024 Yauheni Zalaty Tim Brys Kristian Vasilev Damir Martin Sverri Nielsen Oliver Zeidler x* Stefanos Ntouskos x Ryuta Arakawa Giedrius Bieliauskas Simon Van Dorp Thomas Macintosh x Mihai Chiruta Any Other Athlete Men's Tennis Doubles Day 8 August 3rd 2024 Gonzalez/Molteni Ebden/Peers Gille/Vliegen Mektic/Pavic x Machac/Pavlasek Reboul/Roger-Vasselin Krawietz/Putz Salisbury/Skopski Balaji/Bopanna Bolelli/Vavassori x Griekspoor/Koolhoff Hurkacz/Zielinski Alcaraz/Nadal Granollers/Carreno Busta Krajicek/Ram Any Other Pair x Women's Fencing Sabre Team Day 8 August 3rd 2024 Algeria France x Hungary x Italy Japan South Korea x Ukraine United States Men's Artistic Gymnastics Rings Day 9 August 4th 2024 Artur Davtyan Vahagn Davtyan x Sun Wei Zou Jingyuan Samir Ait Said x Harry Hepworth Eleftherios Petrounias x Adem Asil Ibrahim Colak Igor Radivilov Asher Hong Brody Malone Any Other Athlete Men's Artistic Gymnastics Vault Day 9 August 4th 2024 Artur Davtyan Aurel Benovic Audrys Nin Reyes Harry Hepworth Jake Jarman x Shek Wai Hung Mahdi Olfati Casimir Schmidt Carlos Yulo x Nazar Chepurnyi Igor Radivilov x Asher Hong Brody Malone Any Other Athlete Men's Badminton Singles Day 10 August 5th 2024 Li Shi Feng Shi Yu Qi x Anders Antonsen Viktor Axelsen x Lakshya Sen H. S. Prannoy Jonathan Christie Anthony Sinisuka Ginting x Kodai Naraoka Kenta Nishimoto Lee Zii Jia Kunlavut Vitidsarn Any Other Athlete Women's Diving 10m Individual Day 11 August 6th 2024 Any Australian Athlete Caeli McKay x Chen Yuxi x* Quan Hongchan x Pauline Pfeif Christina Wassen Andrea Spendolini-Sirieix Lois Toulson Sara Jodoin Di Maria Matsuri Arai Gabriela Agundez Alejandra Orozco Kim Mi-rae Delaney Schnell Any Other Athlete Men's Track Cycling Team Sprint Day 11 August 6th 2024 Australia Canada China France x Germany Great Britain x Japan Netherlands x* Women's Weightlifting -49kg Day 12 August 7th 2024 Nina Sterckx Hou Zhihui x Beatriz Piron Candelario Nicola Velasco Lagatao Chanu Saikhom Mirabai Rira Suzuki x Rosina Randafiarison Mihaela-Valentina Cambei x Fang Wan Ling Surodchana Khambao Jourdan Elizabeth Delacruz Katherin Echandia Zarate Women's Taekwondo -49kg Day 12 August 7th 2024 Saffron Tambyrajah Guo Qing Lena Stojkovic Mobina Nematzadeh Avishag Semberg Ilenia Matoni Michelle Tau Daniela Souza x Dunya Abutaleb Adriana Carezo Panipak Wongpattanakit x Merve Kavurat x Any Other Athlete Men's Boxing -80kg Day 12 August 7th 2024 Murad Allahverdiyev Wanderley Pereira x Toqtarbek Tanatqan Gabrijel Veocic x Arlen Lopez x Cristian Pinales Hussein Ishaish Nurbek Oralbay Eumir Marcial Weerapon Jongjoho Oleksandr Khyzhniak x Turabek Khabibullaev Any Other Athlete Women's Canoe Sprint K-4 Day 13 August 8th 2024 Australia Canada China Germany Hungary New Zealand x Norway Poland x Serbia Spain x Men's Sailing Kite Formula Day 13 August 8th 2024 Valentin Bontus Bruno Lobo Huang Qibin Martin Dolenc Denis Taradin Axel Mazella x Jannis Maus Connor Bainbridge x Riccardo Pianosi Maksymilian Zakowski Maximilian Maeder x Toni Vodisek Any Other Athlete Men's Wrestling Greco-Roman -67kg Day 13 August 8th 2024 Slavik Galstyan Hasrat Jafarov x Luis Orta x Mohamed Ibrahim El-Sayed Mamadassa Sylla Ramaz Zoidze Saeid Esmaeili Kyotaro Sogabe Amantur Ismailov x Valentin Petic Mate Nemes x Parviz Nasibov Any Other Athlete Women's Boxing -54kg Day 13 August 8th 2024 Stanimira Petrova Chang Yuan x Yeni Arias x Charley Davison x Preeti Pawar Jennifer Lehane Sirine Charaabi Pang Chol-mi Lenuta Perijoc Huang Hsiao Wen Jutamas Jitpong Hatice Akbas Nigina Uktamova Any Other Athlete Women's Canoe Sprint K-2 Day 14 August 9th 2024 Belgium Canada China Denmark x France x Germany Great Britain Italy New Zealand Poland x Spain Sweden Any Other Pair Women's Breakdancing Day 14 August 9th 2024 671 - Liu Qingyi Ying Zi - Yingzi Senorita Carlota - Carlota Dudek Sissy - Sya Dembele Ami - Ami Yuasa x Ayumi - Ayumi Fukushima Anti - Antilai Sandrini Nicka - Dominika Banevic x India - India Dewi Sardjoe Vanessa - Vanessa Cartaxo Any Ukrainian Athlete x Logistx - Logan Elanna Edra Sunny - Grace Choi Any Other Athlete Men's Weightlifting -102kg Day 15 August 10th 2024 Yauheni Tsikhantsou Garik Karapetyan Lesman Paredes Montano Liu Huanhua x* Irakli Chkheidze Ahmed Abuzriba Fares Elbakh x Ramiro Mora Don Opeloge Jang Yeonhak x Davranbek Hasanbayev Akbar Djuraev Wesley Brian Kitts Women's Artistic Swimming Duet Day 15 August 10th 2024 Canada China x* France Great Britain x Greece Israel Italy Kazakhstan Netherlands Portugal South Korea Spain x Any Other Pair Men's Wrestiling Freestyle -125kg Day 15 August 10th 2024 Giorgi Meshvildishvili Deng Zhiwei Geno Petriashvili x Daniel Ligeti Amir Hossein Zare x Yusup Batirmurzaev Aiaal Lazarev Ashton Mutuwa Kamil Kosciolek Jonathan Smith Taha Akgul x Yuriy Idzinskyi Mason Parris x Any Other Athlete Women's Boxing -75kg Day 15 August 10th 2024 Caitlin Parker Tammara Thibeault x Li Qian Cindy Ngamba Davina Michel x Chantelle Reid Lovlina Borgohain Aoife O'Rourke x Citlalli Ortiz Khadija El-Mardi Sunniva Hofstad Atheyna Bylon x Elzbieta Wojcik Any Other Athlete Women's Beach Volley Day 15 August 10th 2024 Clancy/Mariafe Duda/Ana Patricia x* Carol/Barbara x Melissa/Brandie Xia/Xue Placette/Richard Any German Pair Gottardi/Menegatti Tina/Anastasija Stam/Schoon x Huberli/Brunner Esmee/Zoe Alvarez/Moreno Hughes/Cheng Nuss/Kloth Any Other Pair Women's Track Cycling Individual Sprint Day 16 August 11th 2024 Kristina Clonan Nicky Degrendele Lauriane Genest Any Chines Athlete Martha Bayona Pineda Mathilde Gros x Lea Sophie Friedrich x Emma Hinze Sophie Capewell Emma Finucane x Miriam Vece Mina Sato Luz Gaxiola Gonzalez Hetty Van De Wouw Elise Andrews Any Other Athlete Women's Wrestling Freestyle -76kg Day 16 August 11th 2024 Yuliana Yaneva Justina Di Stasio Wang Juan Tatiana Renteria Milaimys Marin Bernadett Nagy Yuka Kagami x Aiperi Medet Kyzy x Hannah Reuben Catalina Axente Yasemin Adar Yigit x Kennedy Blades x Any Other Athlete [/hide]

Emily Campbell also goes in ranked #3 in her weightlifting division, I fancy Tommy Fleetwood to go close to a medal in the Men's Golf, and I think there are more possibilities in Judo and (especially) Taekwondo.

Yes, I'd add Sky Brown, Ben Proud, Triathlon Mixed Relay, and Josh Kerr to the potential gold list. I also think there are more medals in the pool - Matt Richards as a bronze in the Men's 200m Freestyle, when both he and Duncan Scott feel like legit contenders for gold/silver, also stood out.

The Sports Illustrated predictions are clearly garbage, but it's still quite interesting to go through them and be reminded of how many genuine medal prospects Team GB have. I was also struck by how bullish SI are about our final gold medal haul: 29 out of a total of 63, which feels very aggressive even to an optimist like me! So with that in mind, I've made a full list of all the gold, silver and bronze medal predictions made for Team GB by SI, and I'm interested to hear from you all on the following three questions: 1. Which gold medal predictions will be wrong, and by how much)? (SI has us taking a LOT of golds in the velodrome and on the water...) 2. Which silver/bronze predictions will actually get gold? (SI is pretty bearish on some of our Swimming/Athletics medal hopes) 3. Who's not mentioned here at all, but will ultimately get a medal? (Little-to-no representation on the list from Archery, Boxing, Hockey, Golf, Judo, Sport Climbing, Tennis, Weightlifting...) Gold (29) Joe Clarke (Men's Kayak Single) Joe Clarke (Men's Kayak Cross) Mallory Franklin (Women's Kayak Single) Bethany Shriever (Women's BMX Racing) Tom Pidcock (Men's Mountain Bike) Josh Tarling (Men's Time Trial) Emma Finucane (Women's Sprint) Neah Evans/Elinor Barker (Women's Madison) Women's Team Pursuit Lottie Fry (Dressage) Yasmin Ingham (Eventing) - not competing Team Eventing Jake Jarman (Men's Vault) Bryony Page (Women's Trampoline) Joe Choong (Men's Modern Pentathlon) Oliver Wynne-Griffith/Tom George (Men's Pair) Men's Four Men's Eight Emily Craig/Imogen Grant (Women's Lightweight Double Sculls) Women's Quad Sculls Women's Four Emma Wilson (Women's Windsurfing) Men's 4x200m Freestyle Relay Mixed 4x100m Medley Relay Bradly Sinden (Men's -68kg) Keely Hodgkinson (Women's 800m) Katarina Johnson-Thompson (Heptathlon) Alex Yee (Men's Triathlon) Beth Potter (Women's Triathlon) Silver (20) Kimberley Woods (Women's Kayak Cross) Kieran Reilly (Men's BMX Freestyle) Charlotte Worthington (Women's BMX Freestyle) Ethan Hayter/Oliver Wood (Men's Madison) Men's Team Pursuit Matty Lee/Noah Williams (Men's 10m Platform) - not competing Yasmin Harper/Scarlet Mew Jensen (Women's 3m Springboard) Andrea Spendolini-Sirieix/Lois Toulson (Women's 10m Platform) Ben Maher (Jumping) Max Whitlock (Men's Pommel Horse) Michael Beckett (Men's Dinghy) Ellie Aldridge (Women's Kiteboarding) Anna Burnet/John Gimson (Mixed Multihull) Seonaid McIntosh (Women's 50m Rifle 3P) Sky Brown (Women's Park) Ben Proud (Men's 50m Freestyle) Adam Peaty (Men's 100m Breaststroke) Matthew Hudson-Smith (Men's 400m) Mixed 4x400m Relay Triathlon Relay Bronze (14) Kimberley Woods (Women's Kayak Single) Ethan Hayter (Men's Omnium) Men's Team Sprint Women's Team Sprint Anthony Harding/Jack Laugher (Men's 3m Springboard) Team Dressage Team Jumping Matt Richards (Men's 200m Freestyle) Max Litchfield (Men's 400m IM) Men's 4x100m Medley Relay Bianca Cook (Women's +67kg) Josh Kerr (Men's 1500m) Women's 4x100m Relay Molly Caudery (Women's Pole Vault)

[hide] Event & Date Athletes Gold Silver Bronze Men's 20km Race Walk Day 1 August 1st 2024 Any Australian Athlete Caio Bonfim Evan Dunfee Li Yandong Wang Zhaozhao Zhang Jun Brian Pintado Christopher Linke Massimo Stano x Ryo Hamanishi Koki Ikeda x Yuta Koga Diego Garcia Carrera Alvaro Martin x Paul McGrath Perseus Karlstroem Any Other Athlete Women's 20km Race Walk Day 1 August 1st 2024 Jemima Montag x Viviane Lyra Liu Hong Ma Zhenxia Yang Jiayu Lorena Arenas Glenda Morejon Antonella Palmisano Nanako Fujii Alegna Gonzalez Kimberly Garcia Leon x Evelyn Inga Laura Garcia-Caro Maria Perez x Any Other Athlete Men's 10,000m Day 2 August 2nd 2024 Mohammed Ahmed Any Eriterian Athlete x Berihu Aregawi x Selemon Barega Yomif Kejelcha Benard Kibet Nicholas Kipkorir Daniel Mateiko Adriaan Wildschutt Joshua Cheptegei x Jacob Kiplimo Grant Fischer Any Other American Athlete Any Other Athlete Men's Shot Put Day 3 August 3rd 2024 Darlan Romani Filip Mihaljevic Tomas Stanek Leonardo Fabbri x Zane Weir Rajindra Campbell Bob Bertemes Jacko Gill Tom Walsh x Chukwuebuka Enekwechi Ryan Crouser x* Joe Kovacs Payton Otterdahl Any Other Athlete Women's Triple Jump Day 3 August 3rd 2024 Leyanis Perez Hernandez x* Lidagmis Povea Thea Lafond x Dariya Derkach Shanieka Ricketts Kimberly Williams Ana Peleteiro-Compaore x Tugba Danismaz Maryna Bekh-Romanchuk Tori Franklin Jasmine Moore Keturah Orji Any Other Athlete Mixed 4x400m Relay Day 3 August 3rd 2024 Bahamas Belgium Dominican Republic France Germany Great Britain Ireland x Jamaica Netherlands x Nigeria Poland Switzerland United States x Any Other Nations Women's 100m Day 3 August 3rd 2024 Marie-Josee Ta Lou-Smith Dina Asher-Smith Any Other British Athlete Tiana Clayton Shelly-Ann Fraser-Pryce Shericka Jackson x Rosemary Chukwuma Ewa Swoboda Julien Alfred x Melissa Jefferson Sha'Carri Richardson x Twanisha Terry Any Other Athlete Men's Decathlon Day 3 August 3rd 2024 Damian Warner Johannes Erm x Karel Tilga Makenson Gletty Niklas Kaul Leo Neugebauer x Lindon Victor Any Norwegian Athlete x Ayden Owens-Delerme Heath Baldwin Harrison Williams Zachery Ziemek Any Other Athlete Women's High Jump Day 4 August 4th 2024 Nicola Olyslagers Eleanor Patterson Any German Athlete Morgan Lake Lamara Distin Maria Zodzik Angela Topic x Lia Apostolovski Iryna Gerashchenko x Yuliia Levchenko Yaroslava Mahuchikh x* Vashti Cunningham Rachel Glenn Any Other Athlete Men's Hammer Throw Day 4 August 4th 2024 Ethan Katzberg x* Any Chilean Athlete Yann Chaussinand Merlin Hummel Any Greek Athlete Bence Halasz Eivind Henriksen Pawel Fajdek Wojciech Nowicki x Mykhaylo Kokhan x Daniel Haugh Rudy Winkler Any Other Athlete Men's 100m Day 4 August 4th 2024 Letsile Tebogo Any Canadian Athlete Zharnel Hughes Lamont Marcell Jacobs Ackeem Blake Oblique Seville Kishane Thompson x Ferdinand Omanyala Emmanuel Matadi Favour Ashe Akani Simbine x Kenneth Bednarek Fred Kerley Noah Lyles x* Any Other Athlete Men's Pole Vault Day 5 August 5th 2024 Kurtis Marschall Thibaut Collet Bo Kanda Lita Baehre Emmanouil Karalis x Claudio Michel Stecchi Menno Vloon Any Norwegian Athlete Ernest John Obiena Piotr Lisek Armand Duplantis x* Ersu Sasma Sam Kendricks x Christopher Nilsen Jacob Wooten Any Other Athlete Women's Discus Throw Day 5 August 5th 2024 Feng Bin x Sandra Elkasevic x Yaime Perez Any Other Cuban Athlete Shanice Craft Kristin Pudenz Marike Steinacker Daisy Osakue Jorinde Van Klinken Liliana Ca Irina Rodrigues Valarie Allman x Any Other Athlete Women's 5000m Day 5 August 5th 2024 Jessica Hull Medina Eisa Ejgayehu Taye Gudaf Tsegay x Nadia Battocletti Nozomi Tanaka Beatrice Chebet Faith Kipyegon x Laura Galvan Sifan Hassan x Karoline Bjerkeli Grovdal Any American Athlete Joselyn Brea Any Other Athlete Women's 800m Day 5 August 5th 2024 Catriona Bisset Habitam Alemu Tsige Duguma Worknesh Mesele Renelle Lamote Phoebe Gill Keely Hodgkinson x* Jemma Reekie x Natoya Goule-Toppin Mary Moraa x Prudence Sekgodiso Audrey Werro Halimah Nakaayi Nia Akins Any Other American Athlete Any Other Athlete Women's Hammer Throw Day 6 August 6th 2024 Hanna Skydan Camryn Rogers x* Wang Zheng Zhao Jie Katrine Koch Jacobsen Silja Kosonen Krista Tervo Sara Fantini x Zalina Marghieva x Anita Wlodarczyk Bianca Florentina Ghelber Annette Echikunwoke DeAnna Price Any Other Athlete Men's Long Jump Day 6 August 6th 2024 Christopher Mitrevski Wang Jianan Filip Pravdica Radek Juska Miltiadis Tentoglou x Mattia Furlani Tajay Gayle Carey McLeod Wayne Pinnock Yuki Hashioka Simon Ehammer Lin Yu-Tang x Any American Athlete x Any Other Athlete Men's 1500m Day 6 August 6th 2024 Any Australian Athlete Azeddine Habz Josh Kerr x Any Other British Athlete Andrew Coscoran Reynold Kipkorir Cheruiyot Timothy Cheruiyot x Samuel Tanner Jakob Ingebrigtsen x Narve Gilje Nordas Isaac Nader Mario Garcia Cole Hocker Yared Nuguse Any Other Athlete Women's 3000m Steeplechase Day 6 August 6th 2024 Winfred Mutile Yavi x Sembo Almayew Lomi Muleta Alice Finot Any British Athlete Daisy Jepkemei Beatrice Chepkoech Jackline Chepkoech x Faith Cherotich x Marwa Bouzayani Peruth Chemutai Valerie Constein Any Other American Athlete Any Other Athlete Women's 200m Day 6 August 6th 2024 Audrey Leduc Marie-Josee Ta Lou-Smith Dina Asher-Smith Daryll Neita Shericka Jackson x Any Other Jamaican Athlete Thelma Davies Favour Ofili Julien Alfred x Brittany Brown Mckenzie Long Gabrielle Thomas x Any Other Athlete Mixed 35km Race Walk Team Day 7 August 7 2024 Australia Brazil China Colombia France Germany x Italy Japan x Mexico Spain x Ukraine Any Other Nation Women's Pole Vault Day 7 August 7th 2024 Nina Kennedy x Alysha Newman Amalie Svabikova Wilma Murto Molly Caudery x Aikaterini Stefanidi Roberta Bruni Eliza McCartney Tina Sutej Angelica Moser x Brynn King Katie Moon Bridget Williams Robeilys Peinado Any Other Athlete Men's Discus Throw Day 7 August 7th 2024 Matthew Denny Lukas Weisshaidinger Any German Athlete Ralford Mullings Traves Smikle Roje Stona Mykolas Alekna x Andrius Gudzius Connor Bell Alex Rose Kristjan Ceh x Daniel Stahl x Any American Athlete Any Other Athlete Men's 400m Day 7 August 7th 2024 Steven Gardiner x Alexander Doom Bayapo Ndori Christopher Morales-Williams x Charles Dobson Matthew Hudson-Smith x Kirani James Any Jamaican Athlete Havard Bentdal Ingvaldsen Christopher Bailey Quincy Hall Michael Norman Any Other Athlete Men's 3000m Steeplechase Day 7 August 7th 2024 Samuel Firewu Lamecha Girma x Getnet Wale Any French Athlete Avinash Mukund Sable Ryuji Miura Abraham Kibiwot x Simon Kiprop Koech Amos Serem Soufiane El Bakkali x Geordie Beamish Daniel Arce Mohamed Amin Jhinaoui Any Other Athlete Women's Long Jump Day 8 August 8th 2024 Plamena Mitkova Marthe Koala Mikaelle Assani Malaika Mihambo x Larissa Iapichino x Sumire Hata Ese Brume Agate De Sousa Alina Rotaru-Kottmann Milica Gardasevic Ivana Spanovic Fatima Diame Tara Davis-Woodhall Jasmine Moore x Any Other Athlete Men's Javelin Throw Day 8 August 8th 2024 Jakub Vadlejch x Oliver Helander Teura'itera'i Tupaia Julian Weber x Anderson Peters Neeraj Chopra x Kishore Jena Edis Matusevicius Andrian Mardare Arshad Nadeem Alexandru Mihaita Novac Keshorn Walcott Curtis Thompson Any Other Athlete Men's 200m Day 8 August 8th 2024 Letsile Tebogo x Aaron Brown Aaron De Grasse Alexander Ogando Joshua Hartmann Zharnel Hughes Andrew Hudson Bryan Levell Joseph Fahnbulleh Any South African Athlete Tarsis Orogot Kenneth Bednarek x Erriyon Knighton Noah Lyles x Any Other Athlete Women's 400m Hurdles Day 8 August 8th 2024 Kemi Adekoya Hanne Claes Savannah Sutherland Any French Athlete Jessie Knight Ayomide Folorunso Rushell Clayton x Janieve Russell Shiann Salmon Femke Bol x Any Ukranian Athlete Anna Cockrell Jasmine Jones Sydney McLaughlin-Levrone x* Any Other Athlete Men's 110m Hurdles Day 8 August 8th 2024 Wilhem Belocian Sasha Zhoya Lorenzo Ndele Simonelli Orlando Bennett Rasheed Broadbell Hansle Parchment Shunsuke Izumiya Rachid Muratake Louis Francois Mendy Enrique Llopis Jason Joseph Freddie Crittenden x Grant Holloway x Daniel Roberts x Any Other Athlete Women's 4x100m Relay Day 9 August 9th 2024 Australia Canada Cote D'Ivoire France Germany Great Britain x Italy Jamaica x Netherlands Poland United States x Any Other Nation Women's Shot Put Day 9 August 9th 2024 Sarah Mitton x Gong Lijiao x Song Jiayuan Yemisi Ogunleye Danniel Thomas-Dodd Jorinde van Klinken Jessica Schilder Maddison-Lee Wesche Jessica Inchude Fanny Roos Chase Jackson x Jaida Ross Raven Saunders Any Other Athlete Men's 4x100m Relay Day 9 August 9th 2024 Australia Canada x China France Germany Great Britain x Italy Jamaica Japan Nigeria South Africa United States x Any Other Nation Women's 400m Day 9 August 9th 2024 Salwa Eid Naser Sada Williams Cynthia Bolingo Marileidy Paulino x Amber Anning Rhasidat Adekele x Nickisha Pryce x Stacey Ann Williams Lieke Klaver Natalia Kaczmarek Aaliyah Butler Kendall Ellis Alexia Holmes Any Other Athlete Men's Triple Jump Day 9 August 9th 2024 Yasser Mohammed Triki Hugues Fabrice Zango x Almir Do Santos Fang Yaoqing Zhu Yaming Lazaro Martinez Christian Napoles Thomas Gogois Emmanuel Ihejeme Andy Diaz Hernandez Jaydon Hibbert Jordan Alejandro Diaz Fortun x Any American Athlete Any Other Athlete x Women's Heptathlon Day 9 August 9th 2024 Nafissatou Thiam x Noor Vidts Saga Vanninen Auriana Lazraq-Khlass Katarina Johnson-Thompson x Xenia Krizsan Sofie Dokter Emma Oosterwegel Anouk Vetter Adriana Sulek-Schubert Annika Kalin Taliyah Brooks Anna Hall x Chari Hawkins Any Other Athlete Women's 10,000m Day 9 August 9th 2024 Lauren Ryan Francine Niyomukunzi Rahel Daniel Tsigie Gebreselama Fotyen Tesfay Gudaf Tsegay x Any British Athlete Beatrice Chebet x Margaret Chelimo Kipkemboi Lilian Kasait Rengeruk Sifan Hassan x Sarah Chelangat Joy Cheptoyek Weini Kelati Frezghi Any Other Athlete Men's 400m Hurdles Day 9 August 9th 2024 Alison Dos Santos x Kyron McMaster Rasmus Magi Wilfried Happio Alessandro Sibilio Roshawn Clarke Malik James-King Karsten Warholm x Abderrahman Samba Carl Bengstroem CJ Allen Trevor Bassitt Rai Benjamin x Any Other Athlete Men's Marathon Day 10 August 10th 2024 Bashir Abdi Kenenisa Bekele Deresa Geleta Sisay Lemma x Morhad Amdouni Amanal Petros Gashau Ayale Eluid Kipchoge Benson Kipruto x Alexander Mutiso x Abdi Nageeye Gabriel Gerald Geay Kaan Kigen Ozbilen Any Other Athlete Men's High Jump Day 10 August 10th 2024 Any Australian Athlete Donald Thomas Thomas Carmoy Luis Enrique Zayas Tobias Poyte Gianmarco Tamberi x Ryoichi Akamatsu Hamish Kerr x Norbert Kobielski Mutaz Essa Barshim x Woo Sanghyeok Oleh Doroshchuk Andrii Protsenko Shelby McEwen Any Other Athlete Men's 800m Day 10 August 10th 2024 Slimane Moula Djamel Sedjati x Any Athlete from Botswana Marco Arop Any French Athlete x Max Burgin Ben Pattison Koitatoi Kidali Wyclife Kinyamal Emmanuel Wanyonyi x Adrian Ben Bryce Hoppel Hobbs Kessler Brandon Miller Any Other Nation Women's Javelin Throw Day 10 August 10th 2024 Mackenzie Little x Kathryn Mitchell Victoria Hudson Flor Denis Ruiz Hurtado Nikola Ogrodnikova Haruka Kitaguchi x Lina Muze-Serma Anete Sietina Tori Peeters Adriana Vilagos x Jo-Amne Van Dyk Maggie Malone Any Other Nation Women's 100m Hurdles Day 10 August 10th 2024 Devynne Charlton Cyrena Samba-Mayela Ackera Nugent Any Other Jamaican Athlete Nadine Visser Tobi Amusan Pia Skrzyszowska Jasmine Camacho-Quinn x Ditaji Kambundji x Alaysha Johnson Masai Russell x Grace Stark Any Other Athlete Men's 5000m Day 10 August 10th 2024 Stewart McSweyn Mohammed Ahmed Hagos Gebrhiwet x Yomif Kejelcha Addisu Yihune Jimmy Gressier Luis Grijalva Any British Athlete Jacob Krop x Thierry Ndikumwenayo Jacob Kiplimo Any Other Ugandian Athlete Grant Fisher Any Other Athlete x Women's 1500m Day 10 August 10th 2024 Linden Hall Jessica Hull x Birke Haylom Gudaf Tsegay x Diribe Welteji Laura Muir Ciara Mageean Nelly Chepchirchir Susan Lokayo Ejore Faith Kipyegon x* Sifan Hassan Nikki Hiltz Emily Mackay Elle St. Pierre Any Other Athlete Men's 4x400m Relay Day 10 August 10th 2024 Belgium Botswana x Brazil France Germany Great Britain x Italy Japan Nigeria South Africa Spain Trinidad & Tobago United States x Any Other Nation Women's 4x400m Relay Day 10 August 10th 2024 Belgium Canada France Great Britain Ireland Italy Jamaica x Netherlands x Norway Poland Spain United States x Any Other Nation Women's Marathon Day 11 August 11th 2024 Eunice Chebichii Chumba Dolshi Tesfu Megertu Alemu Tigist Assefa Amane Beriso Hitomi Niiya Hitomi Niiya Peres Jepchirchir x Sharon Lokedi Hellen Obiri x Sifan Hassan Magdalena Shauri Helen Bekele Stella Chesang Betsy Saina Any Other Athlete x [/hide]

And I think I did underrate Dobson's chances of getting in the mix. He seems to be getting stronger as the season goes on, rather than plateauing out, and the bronze medal times in each of the last three major Global champs definitely aren't beyond him... Tokyo - 44.19 Eugene - 44.66 Budapest - 44.37 Key will be managing the rounds, and putting himself in a position to take advantage of any opportunities.

I like this way of laying it out, and agree with most of the calls. I think I'd probably chuck Dobson/Anning in either 1 or 2, and I reckon DAS has a better chance of nicking a bronze in the 200m than the 100m. The one I feel I should be able to put as either a 2 or a 3, but can't quite get there with, is Neil Gourley - keep waiting for him to make the leap, and at least be the Peter Elliott to Kerr and Wightman's Coe and Ovett, but it hasn't happened yet.

Would it be fair to say that at this point, the overall medal picture looks something like this: Gold Contender, Probable Medal: Hodgkinson, MHS, Kerr, Caudery Medal Contender: W4x100, W4x400, M4x400, Reekie, Muir, KJT Medal Outside Shot: DAS (200M), 800M Men, Gill, Bell, Anning, Mixed 4x400, M4x100 Anyone I've missed? Anyone you'd move up/down? (I don't think Dobson or Hughes/Hinchliffe are realistic medal contenders)

Nuttall feels particularly ridiculous, given that she missed the main qualification time by, what, 0.65 seconds? Over 5K?! And that was only a month ago, so she's clearly in great shape.

Is Chalmers definitely eligible? I know the Road to Paris site isn't super reliable, but according to the list there, 35 of the 40 places will be filled by athletes who have the quota, so there are only 5 World Ranking places available, and the RtP list has Chalmers behind 7 other athletes for those final spots...

Pretty sure the selectors' hands are tied on this one. Kerr is definitely in, so if two of Gourlay/Mills/Fogg finish 1-2 this weekend (or someone else does it and achieves the OQT), Wightman is out. It's just a really, really unfortunate situation. Wightman already has the OQT - for 1500m, Mile times also count.

It's slightly selective (it's late and I'm tired!), but pool has 18 NOCs represented in the top 30 of its Men's world rankings, while darts has 7. Darts may be growing globally, but at the top end it's still dominated by GB plus a bit of Netherlands/Germany, while you could stage a pretty elite Olympic pool tournament right now with full continental representation, spread across a lot of NOCs. Would like to see darts get there though - and I agree that both sports would be more suitable than snooker.

Pool over Darts for NOC range, I think. More in Asia and the Americas, certainly.

Men's Rugby 7s team also safely through to the QF of the qualifying competition. Win it tomorrow and they're in.

Sadly I think today's result means Jude Jones will finish in 7th, one shy of a quota place...

She finished 14th, which looks like it means 27 points. If so, Deng Yawen would have to finish 4th or better, and Sun Jiaqi 8th or better, in order to pass her in the rankings. Good chance she won't make it, but far from a guarantee!

This is a very helpful explanation, thanks! Do you have the same data available for Charlotte Worthington? Looking at it, she will effectively start the Final in 10th place (12th going in, but two of the 11 in front of her haven't made the Final), probably needing to overtake four athletes to secure a quota place (China have three in the top nine, and it's two riders per NOC). Where I get lost is how the remaining five places will get allocated after the qualifying event, based on the 2022/23 World Championships rankings, and whether actually GB&I are pretty much guaranteed a rider in the event either way!

On the Skateboarding side, Sky Brown looks well set to take a quota place - topped the standings in Prelims, and already sits 11th in the Series standings, with 20 to qualify for the Games. Lola Tambling, who came into the Qualifying Event in 19th (but effectively 17th, with USA and Japan both having 4 athletes in the top 20), unfortunately didn't make the Semi Finals, which I imagine will end her chances.

If Varley had pulled up trees at the World Championships last week, it might be a conversation. As it is, I can't see a world where they don't go with Bryson. Tbh, I sort of assumed that if Bryson's place had been in any doubt at all, she would've gone to the World Champs. Maybe there's another reason she wasn't selected, but I figured it was so the others could have a straight fight for the second place.

Don't know what happened to Alastair Chalmers in Finland today, but safe to say he did NOT achieve the qualifying time!

I'm not sure either decision *should* be tough. But it can be hard to say no to an Olympic legend, Waugh has some pretty strong credentials, and based on what I've heard, the plan was to announce the team several days ago...so yes, could all be nothing, or they could still be weighing things up!

Outside(-outside!) chance of a medal for the Women's team?

It feels like British Triathlon are really dragging their feet with the team announcement. Still feel like a straight fight between Dickinson and Jonny B on the Men's side (behind Yee), and between Coldwell and Waugh (behind Potter/GTB) on the Women's side?

With two weeks left in the selection window, who else do you think has a realistic shot of achieving the qualifying time/distance? Of those who haven't yet made it, I'm keeping a particularly close eye on: Alastair Chalmers (400mH) Jake Norris (Hammer) Hannah Nuttall (5000m) Jade Lally (Discus) Would definitely be good to get some more Field athletes into the team!