mattadders

Hold on folks. I’ve just made some corrections to my calculations. And I can confirm. The media are right. It’s not official. If Canada sweep France, then somehow South Korea sweep the Netherlands, Canada would win the quota by 0.27 points. 
 
Edit: I believe it would also require that Italy beat South Korea later today. As a Korean upset in that match would raise their ranking enough to cause the unlikely 3-0 win over the Netherlands to not drop their ranking by as much. 

By my math is official. But the commentators and the Dutch team are acting like it’s not confirmed. 

win 3-0 

take the 1st set 26-24.

That’s really impressive that you managed to figure all of this out through calculations!

Using the formulas on the FIVB website, I’ve got tonight’s game giving about 10 points to a 3-0 winner (and taking 10 away from the loser), then  can get at best around 4 points for a 3-0 win over France, putting us around 284pts.  lose at most about 18 points if they somehow lose to South Korea, putting them around 285. My exact numbers have  leading us by at least 0.24 after all the games. But my math has been a couple decimal places off for previous results so I may be misunderstanding part of the formula.