37 Gold Medals is realistic ( line is only 33.5). Its probably tad conservative too.
Badminton, China to me is favourites for 5 gold. Its not like they need all to perform, its more like there has to be upset for them (and opponents outperforming) not to win the Gold especially with 2 participants each sector. SYQ, CYF , WangLiang, ChenJia, ZhengHuang are all favourites and their partner in crime, is no slouch too. An Se Young has been playing injured since AsianGames. She is superb last year but it took a toll on her young body playing too many games and she havent looked herself since AG. If i have to say, she wont even medal.
Artistic swimming, without ROC that has be 2 golds a lock.
Trampoline can win 2 golds.
Sports Climbing should be able to deliver 1 gold too. Indonesian climber will definitely screw up. I remember last year climb event where the Male makes a false start in Semi/Final.
Artistic Gymnastics and Shooting without ROC is a big help too.