[JockCartier 187]

I've never seen her listed officially as anywhere but the C2, but I don't claim to be an expert on how each sports quota systms work. So I'll take your word for it

[JockCartier 187]

Those Gracenote predictions are a mess. They have Katie Vincent winning two medals, but she's only competing in one event... and also, the 4x100 free women's relay is mess. They are probably our least likely to medal (them of the 4x200 men). Used to be a strength, but is in sad shape now. 

I figure we should surpass 25 fairly easily. Kinda figured we'd be around 28-29, but that may be some rose coloured glasses. 

My estimates:

Swimming - 8-9 - McIntosh will win a bunch, 1 or 2 from the usual suspects, medley relays, and men should kick in a couple

Track - 7-8 - Katzberg, Rogers, Mitton, Warren are highly likely. LePage too if he's healthy. Arop is a favourite. 4x100 men probably. And between DeGrasse, Morales Williams, Ahmed, Sutherland, Dunfee and the 4x400 women they could win 1-2 between them. 

Judo - 2 - DeGuchi is a heavy favourite, and Shady is a strong contender. A couple others have an outside chance

Track Cycling - 1-2 - Bibic has had some great results. Mitchell and Genest are coming off medals in Tokyo. Outside chances in the team events

 

Team Sports - 1-2 - Should get at least one medal out of basketball. Beach Volleyball is a strong possibility too. 

Breaking - 1 - Phil Kim is a heavy favourite

 

Canoe Sprint - 1 - Vincent/MacKenzie are a favourite to medal, but Jensen has an outside shot too

 

The rest are kinds odds and ends where we can probably pick up a medal hear and there. 

Rowing - Women's 8's have a decent shot of getting back on the podium. 
Diving - Both 10m sychro events have a chance
Gymnastics - I think the women will finally get a medal, Black, Olsen and even the team have a chance
Weightlifting - Charon had to move weightclasses, but is still a coinflip to podium

Tennis - The doubles teams have an outside shot

Golf - I have Henderson with a small chance

Martial arts - Thibeault in boxing and Park in Taekwondo maybe. Also have four wrestlers that are longshots

Team Sports - Women's soccer always seem to find magic at the Olympcs. Rugby and volleyball are long shots

Archery - I think Eric Peters has a chance

Fencing - My longshot of longshots... the womens Team Foil

 

 

 

[JockCartier 187]

  On 7/9/2024 at 6:32 AM, Josh said:

I’m curious. Who are your picks for Canada’s opening ceremony flag bearers at the Olympics? All athletes that compete the next day are pretty much ruled out (ex McIntosh, Oleksiak, and especially SGA as their first match is hundreds of miles away) and of course there’s some that aren’t even in the Olympic village. 
 

For the women, I think it’ll be Ellie Black. Not sure about the men, maybe one of our judoka or volleyball players?

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Good question. 

After Tokyo I was thinking Oleksiak and De Grasse. As we tend to give legends the honour at the Opening, and being our most decorated Summer Olympians of each gender, and probably the last game for each. 

But with Oleksiak barely making the team, and not even sure if De Grasse will be there yet. Some alternatives, Maggie MacNeil, Kylie Masse, Jessie Fleming, Ellie Black for the ladies... and Evan Dunfee, Damian Warner, Nick Hoag or SGA for the men. We don't have a lot of guys outside track who quite qualify as legendary currently after thinking about it

Edited July 9, 2024 by JockCartier