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Everything posted by Nicky Pryde
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This morning, earned a medal in Single Sculls W. We are now at 59, and watching the program of the day, today seems to be a good day for us (especially thanks to boxing) ! This afternoon : Equestrian Dressage Team Cycling Road Race Sailing Windsurfing M/W Badminton Team W Fencing Sabre Team W Gymnastic Artistic Floor M Gymnastic Artistic Vault M Shooting Skeet M Archery Sing W Boxing Surfing Shot Put M Triple Jump W 4x400m Mixed 100m W Decathlon M
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After one week of Olympic Games, here are what we can expect from the following week : Team Sports - In Football M, Morocco (groupe 4) is in Semi-Final ! They have to beat Spain or the loser from France-Egypt match to win a medal. - In Football W, Colombia (groupe 2) is still in Quarter-Final, and have also to beat Spain. - In Handball M, Denmark (1) and Norway (2) finish easily the pool phase. We should know their next opponent in Quarterfinals on Sunday. - These 2 countries are also already qualified for quarterfinals in Handball W ! But we also have Angola (7) ! They have to beat Brazil tomorrow to go to Quarterfinals. - In Waterpolo M, it's difficult for Montenegro (6) who is 5th in their pool. They have to beat USA and/or Romania to continue... - In Basket-Ball M, South Sudan (7) and Puerto Rico (5) are in the same groupe, with USA. South Sudan has already lose between them and have to beat Serbia to continue (finalist of the last World Cup), and Puerto Rico will be against USA... So they should bet on the best 3rd ! - In Basket-Ball W, it seems easier for Puerto Rico (5) in groupe A, and they have to beat China to have a chance to pass, but also for Nigeria (5), second of their pool. They are against Canada in the last match of the phase, the last of the pool. - In Basket-Ball 3x3, we have Lithuania (3) and Latvia (5) in the big pool. Latvia, the title holder, is already qualified for the Semi-final, so pretty close from a medal. Lithuania should qualifiy themself for the quarterfinal, but they are against Serbia in the last match, the 2nd of the group. - In Volleyball W, Kenya (1) is last of their pool, and should qualify them if they beat Japan to go to knockout phase. - In Beach Volley M, Qatar (5) and Norway (2) are qualified for the bracket, and we should know their opponent tomorrow. That's not that easy for Chile (5), who should go to lucky loser bracket... - In Beach Volley W, Latvia (5) and Paraguay (6) are both in pool D, but last after Switzerland and Canada. Latvia could go directly to round of 16 if they beat Canada, but Paraguay should not hope better that Lucky Loser phase if they beat Switzerland. no new countries in Field Hockey Already started Events - In Archery Single M, Santiago Arcila from Colombia (2) is in Round of 16, but will challenge Kim je-deok, the south-korean who finished 2e in the ranking round, where Arcila finished 15e. So it will be difficult for him - In Archery Single W, it's the indonesian (3) Diananda Choirunisa who's in Round of 16. She finished 6th in Ranking round and the best player in her quarter part is already out, so she have good chances to go to the Semifinals ! We will see that tomorrow, against the indian Bhajan Kaur... - In Badminton, two teams of Malaisian players (3) are in the match for the Bronze in Team M AND Team W ! We hope we will win something tomorrow or on Sunday ! - btw the malaisian players in Team M will be against Denmark (1), so whatever happens in this match, we should win a new country ! - In Badminton Single M in Semifinals, we have 3 of 4 countries who are good for us : Thailand (2) against Malaysia (3) and Denmark (1) against India ! We hope the indian player will finish 4th lol - In Badminton Single W, they are still in Quarterfinals, but we have a match between Indonesia (3) and Thailand (2). The winner should play against the number one, so it would be hard... - In Boxing -50kg W, 4 countries can have a medal tomorrow : Thailand (2), Colombia (2), Finland (4) and Philippines (5). Except for Colombian player, all of their opponents are seeded, so it's not already won... - In Boxing -57kg W, they are 3 : Bulgaria (2), Philippines (5) and Puerto Rico (5). To get a medal, the bulgarian player will be against the number one in their category. The other seems to be against an easier opponent ! - In Boxing -66kg W, we have Thailand (2) and Algeria (5). The thai player is against the seed 1. For the algerian Imane Khelif, her opponent can be disqualified after the controversial sentences from her hungarian opponent, so maybe she has already her medal ! - In Boxing -75kg W, Morocco (4) and Panama (6) are here. The Morocco player is against the seeded 5, whereas the Panama player is herself seeded, so she has a big chance to bring the first medal since 2008 to her country ! We also have the Refugee Comitee Cindy Ngamba, and she also has big chances. - In Boxing -57kg, we have Philippines (5), Kyrgyzstan (5) and Bulgaria (2). All of them are against stronger opponent... - In Boxing -71kg, we have Bulgaria (2), Denmark (1) and Jordan (5). None of them is against a seeded opponent, so it could be good for them ! - In Fencing, it's only remains 2 events. And in Team Sabre W, we will support Algeria (5) who will start the competition against France. - In Golf M, we are now at the 2nd round of 4, and we have the Chile (5) player Joaquin Niemann who's still in top10 ! - In Artistic Gymnastic for each appartus, we have : Carlos Edriel Yulo from Philippines (5) in Floor M (finished 2nd in qualifies) Vahagn Davtyan from Armenia (5) in Rings M Carlos Edriel Yulo from Philippines (5), Vahagn Davtyan from Armenia (5) and Mahdi Olfari from Iran (2) in Vault M Angel Barajas from Colombia (2) in Horizontal Bar M Valentina Georgieva from Bulgaria (2) in Vault W Kaylia Nemour from Algeria (5) in Uneven Bars W (the best player in this category nowaday) - In Judo in the Mixed Team Event, we will watch the results from the Refugee Comitee, who will start against Spain - In Rowing in Skiff W, Lithuania (3) and Bulgaria (2) are in Final. The lithuanian Viktorija Senkutė finished the semifinal with the second best time, so we will particullary watch her tomorrow. - In Sailing Windsurfing, we have Aruba (7) and Peru (7) are both in quarterfinals ! There seems not have big chances, but we will root for them ! - In Shooting 25m Pistol W, Iran (2) and Vietnam (5) players are in final. The iranian Hanieh Rostamian finished the qualification phase on the third place ! - In Shooting Skeet M, Peru (7) is not to far from a qualification ! - In Surfing, Peru (7) and Costa Rica (7) are in Semifinals ! First in men category, and second in women. The peruvian Alonso Correa (seeded 5) meats the french Kauli Vaast (seeded 3), where the big surprise Brisa Hennessy (seeded 15) meats the number one, the brasilian Tatiana Weston. We hope they will win at least a bronze : Costa Rica didn't win any medal since 2000, and Peru since 1992 ! - No new country expected in Single Table Tennis. However, Thailand (2) will play in Women Team Event ! First match against France. - And finally in Athletism : Kenya (1), Norway (2) and Maroc (4) are directally qualified for the semifinals for 1500m M (the kenyan player finished 5th) Norway (2) is in final of Hammer throwing M Cyprus (6) is in final of High Jump W Kenya (1), Norway (2), Burundi (6), Finland (4) and Venezuela (4) are in final of 5000m W Jamaica (1) and Dominica (7) are in final of Triple Jump W Jamaica (1) is in final of Mixed 4x400m Norway (2), Jamaica (1), Nigeria (5) are in final of Shot Put M Jamaica (1), Côte d'Ivoire (6), Saint Lucia (7) and Nigeria (5) are in Semifinal of 100m W, with big chances for the first 3 ! Here are where we are now. I'd try to do the same thing everyday, with the events from the day before. I hope you enjoyed it ! Countries quoted her : Groupe 1 : Groupe 2 : Groupe 3 : Groupe 4 : Groupe 5 : Groupe 6 : Groupe 7 : Special : (not : if all countries of the first 3 groups win their medal, these groups would be 100% filled)
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So today was a good day with +6 in or count, so we are now at 58 ! We gain . Cabo Verde is the first country from the group 7 ! (we were so close to 2 countries from the group 7 here, but it was too hard for Cayman Islands...) In Group 1, we are at 23/26. The first medal for Jamaica, Denmark and Kenya are waited... Tomorrow morning, we can maybe add : Shooting 25m Pistol W Equestrian Dressage Team Rowing Single Sculls W Sailing Windsurfing M/W Cycling Road Race
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Oh, all players in SF are medals in boxing, that's true ! So and are medaled, and we also have a big look on the -51kg match between Zambia and Cabo Verde : whatever happened, we will have our first Groupe 7 Medaled ! (And I hope it will be Cabo Verde, it would be their first medal of their history !) Btw the count is now at 55 : win the Silver in Trampoline.
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3 new countries since yesterday : and (Israel is group 5, so that's the 7th in group 5/6/7) but also who is in final of mixed tennis. We reach the 50 nations ! That's pretty difficult now, but many countries are still here. I'll do a recap event by event this week-end. This afternoon, we can have : Sailing Skiff M Trampoline W Trampoline M Sailing Windsurfing W Sailing Windsurfing M Judo +78kg (Repechage) W Judo +100kg (Repechage) M Swimming 50m Freestyle M Swimming 20m Backstroke W Cycling BMX Racing M Cycling BMX Racing W Athletism 1500m M Many little countries today, we hope they will make something !!!
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Ecuador is the only new country this morning. It's not sufficient, but it's also the 5th country from the group 5 to win a medal ! A bit sad for Peru who was to close so win their first medal since 1992. Andorra yesterday, Peru today, who will be the next one ? This afternoon, we support : Sailing Skiff M : Sailing Skiff W : Gym Art All-Around W : Kayak Single M : Judo -100kg M : Judo -78kg W : Swimming 200m Butterfly W : Swimming 200m Breastroke W :
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So we finish this day with 47 nations. In Tokyo after 72 events, we were already at 55, so that's not enough. Pretty sad for Andorra, though... tomorrow morning, we can hope medals for : Athletism 20km Race Walk M : Athletism 20km Race Walk W : Shooting 50m Rifle 3 Positions M : Rowing Double Sculls W :
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31th July at 1 pm, we are at 61 events and 44 countries with at least 1 medal. That's seems not enough, but that's not finish yet ! Only 5 countries from groupe 1 haven't any medal : (netherlands just leave this list) In groupes 2 and 3 : Essentially athletic countries, so i don't worry about them. In the other side, 5 countries from groupes 5/6/7/8 have their medal : (special mention for Guatelama, the only country from groupe 6 here !) This afternoon, we will support : BMX m/w : Shooting trap w : Judo m/w : Canoe w : Gymnastic m : Fencing m : Swimming :
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After this first day of competition, in 13 events we have only 20 countries with at least one medal. That's not enough : in Tokyo, this nulber was already at 28 ! (after only 11 events) But if we take the same events than today, this number is at 25, so that's from the events who are not open to many countries (like relays in swimming). So, that's not already finish ! In details, groupe 1 is already at 50% countries with at least 1 medal, and 2 countries in groupe 5 (Fidji and Tunisia) have also been rewarded (even if it was waited for Fidji) For the next day : there was 40 nations with a medail in the second day of Tokyo, so I hope we will catch up tomorrow !
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The last Summer Olympic Games in Tokyo beat the record of the most medal-winning nations during the event, with 93 nations who win at least the Bronze. There was 206 nations and 339 events (for a total of 1080 medals). In Paris, we have still 206 nations, but with less events (329). However, more countries has chances to win a medals. So, do you think Paris will beat this record and, why not, surpass the 100 nations mark for the first time ? As a numbers lover, that will be the point I'll check during this Olympiades in my own country, So i'll be glad to share this with you ! To check if it's possible, I made stats about each countries during the last 5 olympiads (from Athens to Tokyo), and I separate the 206 nations in 8 categories. (please note : I just check that, I don't know which athletes has the best chances in each sports). Group 1 (26) Countries that has reached at least 5 medals in each Olympic Games from Athens to Tokyo For these countries, I'm not afraid for them, I think they'll reach their minimal quota this year. Concerned : Australia, Azerbaijan, Brazil, Canada, China, Croatia, Cuba, Czechia, Denmark, France, Germany, UK, Hungary, Italy, Jamaica, Japan, Kazakhstan, Kenya, Netherlands, New Zealand, Poland, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Ukraine and USA Group 2 (14) Countries that has reached at least 5 medals 50% or more of their participations in Olympic Games from Athens to Tokyo I think they'll also gain at least one medal this year, but be careful ! Concerned : Bulgaria, Colombia, Ethiopia, Georgia, Iran, North Korea, Norway, Romania, South Africa, Switzerland, Taipei, Thailand, Turkey, Uzbekistan Group 3 (15) Countries that has reached at least 5 medals in one of the 3 last Olympiades (Tokyo, Rio or London) They are in a good dynamism, so they have really good chances. Moreover for some of them, the fact that they are not in group 1 or 2 can be explained by geopolitical events. Concerned : Austria, Belgium, Dominican Republic, Egypt, Greece, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Ireland, Lithuania, Malaysia, Mexico, Mongolia, Serbia, Slovenia Group 4 (8) Countries that won at least 1 medal in each of their participations in Olympic Games from Athens to Tokyo they are still here, but they are not immune to poor performance ! From there, we will take a look on these countries. Concerned : Argentina, Bahamas, Estonia, Finland, Morocco, Portugal, Slovakia, Venezuela Group 5 (29) Countries that won at least 1 medal in at least 2 of their participations in Olympic Games from Athens to Tokyo We will clearly not bet on them, but they have already the experience of the win ! In this category, we can also cut them in 2 parts : the countries who has won a medal in Tokyo and the other. Concerned who won a Medal in Tokyo (20) : Armenia, Bahrain, Botswana, Ecuador, Fiji, Granada, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Kyrgyzstan, Latvia, Moldova, Nigeria, Philippines, Puerto Rico, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Tunisia, Uganda Else (9): Afghanistan, Algeria, Cameroon, Chile, Singapore, Tajikistan, Trinidad and Tobago, United Arab Emirates, Vietnam Group 6 (23) Countries that won at least 1 medal only one time in Olympic Games from Athens to Tokyo They already won so we know they are able, but it'll be still difficult for them Concerned who won a Medal in Tokyo or Rio (10) : Bermuda, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Côte d'Ivoire, Ghana, Namibia, Niger, North Macedonia, San Marino, Turkmenistan Else (13): Cyprus, Gabon, Guatemala, Iceland, Mauritius, Montenegro, Panama, Samoa, Sudan, Togo, Eritrea, Paraguay, Zimbabwe Group 7 (91) Countries that never won a medal in the last 5 Olympiads I think the 100 bar can be reach with these countries. Maybe some surprises ? I hope for them ! Group Special (3) Countries that is too difficult to estimate for them I include here AIN and Refugees, but also Kosovo, a too young country who reach at least 1 medal in the last 2 Olympiads, but we don't really know. So, if we go on the fact that groups 1,2,3 and 4 will win at least on medal for each, we have a base of 63 nations. So we hope there will be 37 other nations in the list ! What do you think about that ? That was clear for you (sorry, english is not my mother tongue ^^) ? Do you think that, with this analyse, the 100 mark can be reach ? (Also in the topic, i'll take the count for each Group during these Olympic Games) Thanks for reading ! Current results Events : 223 Groupe 1 : 26/26 Groupe 2 : 14/14 Groupe 3 : 15/15 Groupe 4 : 4/8 Groupe 5 : 17/29 Groupe 6 : 3/23 Groupe 7 : 6/91 Special : 3/3 Total : 88/100 Last chances per countries :
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I've just noticed today that the somalian athlete for Marathon isn't in the world ranking anymore, he has not participated to a single event since August 2023 https://worldathletics.org/world-rankings/marathon/men?regionType=countries®ion=som&page=1&rankDate=2024-04-02 https://worldathletics.org/athletes/somalia/khadar-basheer-youssuf-14875164 So except if I've forgot an other way to win a NOC, I think we can say that Somalia will not be represented...
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