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How many medals do you expect from your Nation at the 2020 Olympics? (2021 "A" version)



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19 hours ago, MagyarBabu said:

I Predicted the entire Games and assuming the lack of accuracy (caused by ignorance :rolleyes:) in some sports, these are my results (or my gambles :d) for us:

Gold: 8
Silver: 7
Bronze: 7 
Total: 22

It is certainly an optimistic result, but not too much. I tried to balance the "surprises" with the "disappointments" (plus ONE BIG DREAM with the Gold in Men's Water Polo :d)

-Athletics: 1 (optimistic)
-Canoeing: 5 (2 golds; realistic/underwhelming)
-Fencing: 3 (1 gold; realistic/optimistic)
-Judo: 1 (realistic)
-Modern Pentathlon: 1(optimistic)

-Sailing: 1 (realistic)

-Shooting: 1 (realistic but so difficult to predict)
-Swimming: 6 (3 golds; realistic)
-Water Polo: 1 gold (optimistic)

-Wrestling: 2 (1 gold; realistic)


 

I would add a bronze in Women's water polo (optimistic/even upset but they would deserve it finally :D)

Who would be the gold medallist in wrestling (I have 0 clue about that sport) and where does the 3rd gold in swimming come from (1 Milak, 1 Hosszu ok)?

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People at Gracenote: "Hey, we don't have enough data about recent competitions for this event, what shall we do?" "Give one more medal to the Netherlands, nobody will notice it"

I like how, when adding everyone's predictions, you'd probably always end up with a hundred more total medals than are actually available in the Olympics     Also fun when someone calls athl

Looks like all these predictions we can find online are really stupid.   We have to do it by ourselves ;-)

20 hours ago, MagyarBabu said:

I Predicted the entire Games and assuming the lack of accuracy (caused by ignorance :rolleyes:) in some sports, these are my results (or my gambles :d) for us:

Gold: 8
Silver: 7
Bronze: 7 
Total: 22

It is certainly an optimistic result, but not too much. I tried to balance the "surprises" with the "disappointments" (plus ONE BIG DREAM with the Gold in Men's Water Polo :d)

-Athletics: 1 (optimistic)
-Canoeing: 5 (2 golds; realistic/underwhelming)
-Fencing: 3 (1 gold; realistic/optimistic)
-Judo: 1 (realistic)
-Modern Pentathlon: 1(optimistic)

-Sailing: 1 (realistic)

-Shooting: 1 (realistic but so difficult to predict)
-Swimming: 6 (3 golds; realistic)
-Water Polo: 1 gold (optimistic)

-Wrestling: 2 (1 gold; realistic)


 

6 medals in swimming is pretty much the best case for Hungary (+1 in open water).

You know who wears sunglasses inside?

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38 minutes ago, dharang said:

I would add a bronze in Women's water polo (optimistic/even upset but they would deserve it finally :D)

Who would be the gold medallist in wrestling (I have 0 clue about that sport) and where does the 3rd gold in swimming come from (1 Milak, 1 Hosszu ok)?

It would be fantastic, but unlike Men, a medal from girls would be a real surprise and a result above expectation. But my whole prediction is above expectation, so why not :D ?


Gold to Lőrincz Tamás in Greco-Roman 77kg, He is the current world champion and he dominated the last European Championships in April.

Regarding swimming, I'll have to correct you :d2 Milák , 1 Hosszú, Silver for Kapás, Bronze for Hosszú in 200 I.M. and Razovszky in Open Waters
 

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22 minutes ago, Vektor said:

I still think that we will win more medals compared to Rio, but less gold medals. Right now I would predict 4 gold medals for Hungary, 2 in canoe sprint, 1 in swimming and 1 in wrestling. But I expected around 5 gold medals from both London and Rio, so what do I know. :d

:yikes:The soul of Hungarian Fencing Tradition is crying in the corner 

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15 minutes ago, MagyarBabu said:

:yikes:The soul of Hungarian Fencing Tradition is crying in the corner 

I am just not confident in any of our fencers to go all the way. i mean, we have 5 fencers who can win gold medals (Szilágyi, Szatmári, Márton, Pusztai, Siklósi), but I just can't predict a third consecutive Hungarian gold medal in men's sabre, that feels too good to be true. Men's epée can be a mess as always, and our girls in women's sabre haven't won a single WCh medal in the past 5 years, let alone a gold. And we are obviously not the frontrunners in any of the team events. 

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Let's try this again:

 

Germany :GER 

 

Shooting (including Archery) : 1-4

Swimming, including Open Water: 1-3

Athletics: 2-7

Diving: 0-2

Team Sports (including Beach Volleyball): 1-5

Boxing, Judo, Taekwondo, Wrestling etc.: 2-7

Fencing: 0-1

Cyling (all disciplines): 2-7

Equestrian: 4-7

Tennis/Golf/Table Tennis: 0-5

Gymnastics: 0-1

Pentathlon/Triathlon: 0-3 

Canoe (Slalom and Sprint): 4-11

Rowing: 2-4

Rest: 0

 

Worst Case: 19

Best Case: 67

 

67+19 makes 86. 86/2 makes an average of 43 medals.

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2 minutes ago, EselTheDonkey said:

Let's try this again:

 

Germany :GER 

 

Shooting (including Archery) : 1-4

Swimming, including Open Water: 1-3

Athletics: 2-7

Diving: 0-2

Team Sports (including Beach Volleyball): 1-5

Boxing, Judo, Taekwondo, Wrestling etc.: 2-7

Fencing: 0-1

Cyling (all disciplines): 2-7

Equestrian: 4-7

Tennis/Golf/Table Tennis: 0-5

Gymnastics: 0-1

Pentathlon/Triathlon: 0-3 

Canoe (Slalom and Sprint): 4-11

Rowing: 2-4

Rest: 0

 

Worst Case: 19

Best Case: 67

 

67+19 makes 86. 86/2 makes an average of 43 medals.

That is an interesting formula

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18 minutes ago, EselTheDonkey said:

Let's try this again:

 

Germany :GER 

 

Shooting (including Archery) : 1-4

Swimming, including Open Water: 1-3

Athletics: 2-7

Diving: 0-2

Team Sports (including Beach Volleyball): 1-5

Boxing, Judo, Taekwondo, Wrestling etc.: 2-7

Fencing: 0-1

Cyling (all disciplines): 2-7

Equestrian: 4-7

Tennis/Golf/Table Tennis: 0-5

Gymnastics: 0-1

Pentathlon/Triathlon: 0-3 

Canoe (Slalom and Sprint): 4-11

Rowing: 2-4

Rest: 0

 

Worst Case: 19

Best Case: 67

 

67+19 makes 86. 86/2 makes an average of 43 medals.

you forgot karate

but what has golf to do with table tennis/tennis? 😁

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I didn't forget Karate, I counted it with Boxing etc. I just didn't mention it.  

 

Golf has only two events and basically everything is possible. So I wanted to combine it with some other sports. Tennis and Table Tennis seemed to fit, because all of them are sports involving balls but no team sports. :d 

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