pdr4332 149 Posted June 10, 2021 #201 Share Posted June 10, 2021 19 hours ago, MagyarBabu said: I Predicted the entire Games and assuming the lack of accuracy (caused by ignorance ) in some sports, these are my results (or my gambles ) for us: Gold: 8 Silver: 7 Bronze: 7 Total: 22 It is certainly an optimistic result, but not too much. I tried to balance the "surprises" with the "disappointments" (plus ONE BIG DREAM with the Gold in Men's Water Polo ) -Athletics: 1 (optimistic) -Canoeing: 5 (2 golds; realistic/underwhelming) -Fencing: 3 (1 gold; realistic/optimistic) -Judo: 1 (realistic) -Modern Pentathlon: 1(optimistic) -Sailing: 1 (realistic) -Shooting: 1 (realistic but so difficult to predict) -Swimming: 6 (3 golds; realistic) -Water Polo: 1 gold (optimistic) -Wrestling: 2 (1 gold; realistic) I would add a bronze in Women's water polo (optimistic/even upset but they would deserve it finally :D) Who would be the gold medallist in wrestling (I have 0 clue about that sport) and where does the 3rd gold in swimming come from (1 Milak, 1 Hosszu ok)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OlympicsFan 776 Posted June 10, 2021 #202 Share Posted June 10, 2021 20 hours ago, MagyarBabu said: I Predicted the entire Games and assuming the lack of accuracy (caused by ignorance ) in some sports, these are my results (or my gambles ) for us: Gold: 8 Silver: 7 Bronze: 7 Total: 22 It is certainly an optimistic result, but not too much. I tried to balance the "surprises" with the "disappointments" (plus ONE BIG DREAM with the Gold in Men's Water Polo ) -Athletics: 1 (optimistic) -Canoeing: 5 (2 golds; realistic/underwhelming) -Fencing: 3 (1 gold; realistic/optimistic) -Judo: 1 (realistic) -Modern Pentathlon: 1(optimistic) -Sailing: 1 (realistic) -Shooting: 1 (realistic but so difficult to predict) -Swimming: 6 (3 golds; realistic) -Water Polo: 1 gold (optimistic) -Wrestling: 2 (1 gold; realistic) 6 medals in swimming is pretty much the best case for Hungary (+1 in open water). Attachment is the great fabricator of illusions; reality can be obtained only by someone who is detached. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MagyarBabu 86 Posted June 10, 2021 #203 Share Posted June 10, 2021 38 minutes ago, dharang said: I would add a bronze in Women's water polo (optimistic/even upset but they would deserve it finally :D) Who would be the gold medallist in wrestling (I have 0 clue about that sport) and where does the 3rd gold in swimming come from (1 Milak, 1 Hosszu ok)? It would be fantastic, but unlike Men, a medal from girls would be a real surprise and a result above expectation. But my whole prediction is above expectation, so why not :D ? Gold to Lőrincz Tamás in Greco-Roman 77kg, He is the current world champion and he dominated the last European Championships in April. Regarding swimming, I'll have to correct you : 2 Milák , 1 Hosszú, Silver for Kapás, Bronze for Hosszú in 200 I.M. and Razovszky in Open Waters pdr4332 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vektor 3,177 Posted June 10, 2021 #204 Share Posted June 10, 2021 I still think that we will win more medals compared to Rio, but less gold medals. Right now I would predict 4 gold medals for Hungary, 2 in canoe sprint, 1 in swimming and 1 in wrestling. But I expected around 5 gold medals from both London and Rio, so what do I know. pdr4332 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MagyarBabu 86 Posted June 10, 2021 #205 Share Posted June 10, 2021 22 minutes ago, Vektor said: I still think that we will win more medals compared to Rio, but less gold medals. Right now I would predict 4 gold medals for Hungary, 2 in canoe sprint, 1 in swimming and 1 in wrestling. But I expected around 5 gold medals from both London and Rio, so what do I know. The soul of Hungarian Fencing Tradition is crying in the corner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vektor 3,177 Posted June 10, 2021 #206 Share Posted June 10, 2021 15 minutes ago, MagyarBabu said: The soul of Hungarian Fencing Tradition is crying in the corner I am just not confident in any of our fencers to go all the way. i mean, we have 5 fencers who can win gold medals (Szilágyi, Szatmári, Márton, Pusztai, Siklósi), but I just can't predict a third consecutive Hungarian gold medal in men's sabre, that feels too good to be true. Men's epée can be a mess as always, and our girls in women's sabre haven't won a single WCh medal in the past 5 years, let alone a gold. And we are obviously not the frontrunners in any of the team events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EselTheDonkey 623 Posted June 10, 2021 #207 Share Posted June 10, 2021 Let's try this again: Germany Shooting (including Archery) : 1-4 Swimming, including Open Water: 1-3 Athletics: 2-7 Diving: 0-2 Team Sports (including Beach Volleyball): 1-5 Boxing, Judo, Taekwondo, Wrestling etc.: 2-7 Fencing: 0-1 Cyling (all disciplines): 2-7 Equestrian: 4-7 Tennis/Golf/Table Tennis: 0-5 Gymnastics: 0-1 Pentathlon/Triathlon: 0-3 Canoe (Slalom and Sprint): 4-11 Rowing: 2-4 Rest: 0 Worst Case: 19 Best Case: 67 67+19 makes 86. 86/2 makes an average of 43 medals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
intoronto 4,077 Posted June 10, 2021 #208 Share Posted June 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, EselTheDonkey said: Let's try this again: Germany Shooting (including Archery) : 1-4 Swimming, including Open Water: 1-3 Athletics: 2-7 Diving: 0-2 Team Sports (including Beach Volleyball): 1-5 Boxing, Judo, Taekwondo, Wrestling etc.: 2-7 Fencing: 0-1 Cyling (all disciplines): 2-7 Equestrian: 4-7 Tennis/Golf/Table Tennis: 0-5 Gymnastics: 0-1 Pentathlon/Triathlon: 0-3 Canoe (Slalom and Sprint): 4-11 Rowing: 2-4 Rest: 0 Worst Case: 19 Best Case: 67 67+19 makes 86. 86/2 makes an average of 43 medals. That is an interesting formula CCB 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaniSRB 896 Posted June 10, 2021 #209 Share Posted June 10, 2021 18 minutes ago, EselTheDonkey said: Let's try this again: Germany Shooting (including Archery) : 1-4 Swimming, including Open Water: 1-3 Athletics: 2-7 Diving: 0-2 Team Sports (including Beach Volleyball): 1-5 Boxing, Judo, Taekwondo, Wrestling etc.: 2-7 Fencing: 0-1 Cyling (all disciplines): 2-7 Equestrian: 4-7 Tennis/Golf/Table Tennis: 0-5 Gymnastics: 0-1 Pentathlon/Triathlon: 0-3 Canoe (Slalom and Sprint): 4-11 Rowing: 2-4 Rest: 0 Worst Case: 19 Best Case: 67 67+19 makes 86. 86/2 makes an average of 43 medals. you forgot karate but what has golf to do with table tennis/tennis? ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EselTheDonkey 623 Posted June 10, 2021 #210 Share Posted June 10, 2021 I didn't forget Karate, I counted it with Boxing etc. I just didn't mention it. Golf has only two events and basically everything is possible. So I wanted to combine it with some other sports. Tennis and Table Tennis seemed to fit, because all of them are sports involving balls but no team sports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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