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Tokyo 2020 Day after Day as it could have happened


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21 hours ago, rafalgorka said:

My predictions for swimming (early draft - will be changed for sure)

 

Sun 25/7

 

M 400 IM - 1. Daiya Seto JPN 2. Kosuke Hagino JPN 3. Apostolos Papastamos GRE

M 400 Free - 1. Danas Rapsys LTU 2. Elijah Winington AUS 3. Gabriele Detti ITA

W 400 IM - 1. Katinka Hosszu HUN 2. Yui Ohashi JPN 3. Shiwen Ye CHN

W 4x100 Free - 1. Australia 2. United States 3. Canada

 

Mon 26/7

 

W 100 Fly - 1. Margaret MacNeil CAN 2. Sarah Sjostrom SWE 3. Zhang Yufei CHN

M 100 Breast - 1. Adam Peaty GBR 2. Arno Kamminga NED 3. Ilya Shymanovich BLR

W 400 Free - 1. Ariarne Titmus AUS 2. Katie Ledecky USA 3. Leah Smith USA

M 4x100 Free - 1. United States 2. Australia 3. Russia

 

Tue 27/7

 

M 200 Free - 1. Danas Rapsys LTU 2. Duncan Scott GBR 3. Katsuhiro Matsumoto JPN

W 100 Back - 1. Regan Smith USA 2. Kaylee McKeown AUS 3. Kylie Masse CAN

M 100 Back - 1. Xu Jiayu CHN 2. Kliment Kolesnikov RUS 3. Ryan Murphy USA

W 100 Breast - 1. Lilly King USA 2. Yulia Yefimova RUS 3. Benedetta Pilato ITA

 

Wed 28/7

 

W 200 Free - 1. Ariarne Titmus AUS 2. Emma McKeon AUS 3. Federica Pellegrini ITA and Siobhan Haughey HKG ex aequo* ;-)

M 200 Fly - 1. Kristof Milak HUN 2. Daiya Seto JPN 3. Tamas Kenderesi HUN

W 200 IM - 1. Kaylee McKeown AUS 2. Katinka Hosszu HUN 3. Sydney Pickrem CAN

W 1500 Free - 1. Katie Ledecky USA 2. Wang Jianjiahe CHN 3. Simona Quadarella ITA

M 4x200 Free - 1. Australia 2. United States 3. Russia

 

Thu 29/7

 

M 800 Free - 1. Gregorio Paltrinieri ITA 2. Henrik Christiansen NOR 3. Jack McLoughlin AUS

M 200 Breast - 1. Anton Chupkov RUS 2. Kirill Prigoda RUS 3. Ippei Watanabe JPN

W 200 Fly - 1. Regan Smith USA 2. Zhang Yufei CHN 3. Hali Flickinger USA

M 100 Free - 1. Duncan Scott GBR 2. Caeleb Dressel USA 3. Andrei Minakov RUS

W 4x200 Free - 1. Australia 2. United States 3. Canada

 

Fri 30/7

 

W 200 Breast - 1. Yuliya Yefimova RUS 2. Lilly King USA 3. Annie Lazor USA

M 200 Back - 1. Evgeny Rylov RUS 2. Ryan Murphy USA 3. Mitchell Larkin AUS

W 100 Free - 1. Simone Manuel USA 2. Cate Campbell AUS 3. Emma McKeon AUS

M 200 IM - 1. Daiya Seto JPN 2. Andrew Seliskar USA 3. Wang Shun CHN

 

Sat 31/7

 

M 100 Fly - 1. Caeleb Dressel USA 2. Andrei Minakov RUS 3. Chad le Clos RSA

W 200 Back - 1. Regan Smith USA 2. Kaylee McKeown AUS 3. Kylie Masse CAN

W 800 Free - 1. Katie Ledecky USA 2. Ariarne Titmus AUS 3. Wang Jianjiahe CHN

Mixed 4x100 Med - 1. United States 2. Australia 3. Russia

 

Sun 1/8

 

M 50 Free - 1. Caeleb Dressel USA 2. Florent Manaudou FRA 3. Kristian Gkolomeev GRE

W 50 Free - 1. Sarah Sjostrom SWE 2. Simone Manuel USA 3. Katarzyna Wasick POL and Ranomi Kromowidjojo NED ex aequo* ;-)

M 1500 Free - 1. Gregorio Paltrinieri ITA 2. Florian Wellbrock GER 3. Franko Grgic CRO

W 4x100 Med - 1. United States 2. Australia 3. Canada

M 4x100 Med - 1. United States 2. Great Britain 3. Russia

I will maybe post my full „analysis“ later, but here are my biggest „problems“ with your predictions:

Men:

400 IM: I don’t see Papastamos winning a medal. If you want to pick a young guy, you should rather go for Borodin.

400 free: Both Horton and Yang not winning a medal seems pretty unlikely.

4 x 100 free: I don’t see Australia winning a medal. I would pick Russia for silver and Brazil for bronze.

4 x 200 free: I think that GB will medal (instead of Russia)

100 breast: A medal for Prigoda seems extremely unlikely. I think Chupkov will win gold and then the other medals will be between the two Japanese guys, the two Australian guys and maybe Kamminga.

100 free: Gold for Scott seems very unlikely. I think it will be Dressel - Chalmers - Minakov/Morozov/Grinev/Scott/2nd American guy.

200 IM: Silver for Seliskar seems very unlikely, I doubt that he will even qualify. I think Scott/Larkin/Andrew/Hagino/Desplanches and maybe a couple other guys are all more likely to medal than Seliskar.

 

Women:

400 IM: I think Margalis will medal.

200 IM: I don’t see McKeown winning a medal or even competing, but who knows ...

My prediction would be Hosszu + Ye + Margalis/Japanese girl.

50 free: Wasick winning a medal would be a big surprise for me. I think Blume, Campbell and the Chinese girl are all more likely to medal (apart from Sjöstrom and Manuel).

Attachment is the great fabricator of illusions; reality can be obtained only by someone who is detached.
 

 

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18 hours ago, rafalgorka said:

My predictions for athletics - early draft (will be changed for sure, too)

 

Fri 30/7

 

M 10,000m - 1. Joshua Cheptegei UGA 2. Yomif Kejelcha ETH 3. Hagos Gebhriwet ETH

 

Sat 31/7

 

M Discus Throw - 1. Daniel Stahl SWE 2. Fedrick Dacres JAM 3. Andrus Gudzius LTU

Mixed 4x400m Relay - 1. United States 2. Jamaica 3. Bahamas

W 100m - 1. Shelly-Ann Fraser-Pryce JAM 2. Elaine Thompson JAM 3. Dina Asher-Smith GBR

 

Sun 1/8

 

W Shot Put - 1. Gong Lijiao CHN 2. Danniel Thomas-Dodd JAM 3. Chase Ealey USA

M High Jump - 1. Mutaz Essa Barshim QAT 2. Maksim Nedasekau BLR 3. Brandon Starc AUS

W Triple Jump - 1. Yulimar Rojas VEN 2. Shanieka Ricketts JAM 3. Liadagmis Povea CUB

M 100m - 1. Noah Lyles USA 2. Andre De Grasse CAN 3. Akani Simbine RSA

 

Mon 2/8

 

M Long Jump - 1. Juan Miguel Echevarria CUB 2. Tajay Gayle JAM 3. Yuki Hashioka JPN

W 100m Hurdles - 1. Kendra Harrison USA 2. Danielle Williams JAM 3. Nia Ali USA

W Discus Throw - 1. Sandra Perkovic CRO 2. Yaime Perez CUB 3. Valarie Allman USA

M 3000m Steeplechase - 1. Soufiane El Bakkali MAR 2. Conseslus Kipruto KEN 3. Lamecha Girma ETH

W 5000m - 1. Hellen Obiri KEN 2. Sifan Hassan NED 3. Konstanze Klosterhalfen GER

 

Tue 3/8

 

W Long Jump - 1. Malaika Mihambo GER 2. Ivana Spanovic SRB 3. Ese Brume NGR

M 400m Hurdles - 1. Karsten Warholm NOR 2. Rai Benjamin USA 3. Abderrahman Samba QAT

M Pole Vault - 1. Armand Duplantis SWE 2. Sam Kendricks USA 3. Piotr Lisek POL

W Hammer Throw - 1. DeAnna Price USA 2. Brooke Andersen USA 3. Alexandra Tavernier FRA

W 800m - 1. Jemma Reekie GBR 2. Halimah Nakaayi UGA 3. Ajee Wilson USA

W 200m - 1. Dina Asher-Smith GBR 2. Elaine Thompson JAM 3. Sha'Carri Richardson USA

 

Wed 4/8

 

W 400m Hurdles - 1. Dalilah Muhammad USA 2. Sydney McLaughlin USA 3. Femke Bol NED

W 3000m Steeplechase - 1. Hyvin Kiyeng KEN 2. Beatrice Chepkoech KEN 3. Emma Coburn USA

M Hammer Throw - 1. Paweł Fajdek POL 2. Wojciech Nowicki POL 3. Bence Halasz HUN

M 800m - 1. Donovan Brazier USA 2. Nijel Amos BOT 3. Amel Tuka BIH

M 200m - 1. Noah Lyles USA 2. Michael Norman USA 3. Divine Odudoru NGR

 

Thu 5/8

 

M Triple Jump - 1. Christian Taylor USA 2. Pedro Pablo Pichardo POR 3. Hugues Fabrice Zango BUR

M Shot Put - 1. Tomas Walsh NZL 2. Ryan Crouser USA 3. Darlan Romani BRA

M 110m Hurdles - 1. Grant Holloway USA 2. Orlando Ortega ESP 3. Sergey Shubenkov RUS

M 20km Race Walk - no idea yet ;-)

W Pole Vault - 1. Anzhelika Sidorova RUS 2. Sandi Morris USA 3. Katie Nageotte USA

M 400m - 1. Fred Kerley USA 2. Steven Gardiner BAH 3. Kirani James GRN

W Heptathlon - 1. Katarina Johnson-Thompson GBR 2. Nafissatou Thiam BEL 3. Erica Boguard USA

M Decathlon - 1. Niklas Kaul GER 2. Kevin Mayer FRA 3. Damian Warner CAN

 

Fri 6/8

 

M 50km Race Walk - no idea yet ;-)

W 20km Race Walk - no idea yet ;-)

W Javelin Throw - 1. Lyu Huihui CHN 2. Tatsiana Khaladovich BLR 3. Maria Andrejczyk POL

M 5000m - 1. Joshua Cheptegei UGA 2. Selemon Barega ETH 3. Mohammed Ahmed CAN

W 400m - 1. Shaunae Miller-Uibo BAH 2. Shericka Jackson JAM 3. Phyllis Francis USA
W 1500m - 1. Faith Kipyegon KEN 2. Gudaf Tsegay ETH 3. Sofia Ennaoui POL

W 4x100m Relay - 1. Jamaica 2. United States 3. Great Britain

M 4x100m Relay - 1. United States 2. Great Britain 3. Jamaica

 

Sat 7/8

 

W Marathon - no idea yet ;-)

W High Jump - 1. Mariya Lasitskene RUS 2. Yaroslava Mahuchikh UKR 3. Yuliya Levchenko UKR

W 10,000m - 1. Sifan Hassan NED 2. Letesenbet Gidey ETH 3. Hitomi Niiya JPN

M Javelin Throw - 1. Johannes Vetter GER 2. Magnus Kirt EST 3. Neeraj Chopra IND

M 1500m - 1. Timothy Cheruiyot KEN 2. Jakob Ingebrigtsen NOR 3. Marcin Lewandowski POL

W 4x400m Relay - 1. United States 2. Poland 3. Jamaica

M 4x400m Relay - 1. United States 2. Jamaica 3. Belgium

 

Sun 8/8

 

M Marathon - no idea yet ;-)

 

 

The same as for swimming:

Men:

10000 m: No medal for Kiplimo/Kipruto?

High jump: Would be very surprised to see Starc winning a medal. I think Russia will win at least one medal.

Long jump: I don’t see Hashioka winning a medal. What about Henderson/Manyonga/Tentoglou? Did they retire/get caught?

200 m: Would be very surprised to see Odudoru winning a medal. Maybe De Grasse for bronze. Sani Brown winning a medal would be nice.

Triple jump: No medal for Claye?

Shot put: No medal for Kovacs?

400 m: I think Norman will medal.

5000 m: No medal for Kiplimo?

4 x 100 m: I don’t think that Jamaica will medal, I would go with Japan.

 

Women:

Discus: I would pick Caballero over Allman.

5000 m: No medal for the world record holder?

200 m: I think Miller-Uibo wins a medal if she competes.

3000 m SC: I don’t see Kiyeng winning a medal. Even Krause seems like a more likely option.

400 m: No medal for Naser?

1500 m: Ennaoui ...? I think that there are at least 10 girls who are more likely to medal than her.

10000 m: A medal for Japan would be one of the biggest surprises in Olympic history. Even if Kenya and Ethiopia would be banned, she wouldn’t be a favorite for a medal.

 

Attachment is the great fabricator of illusions; reality can be obtained only by someone who is detached.
 

 

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31 minutes ago, LDOG said:

I don't think USA will be able to assemble that team for Tokyo :lol:  

  

Also, for our team there are missing some players that would 100% be in the list (it doesn't matter anyway, just pointing it out).

I added the players that I would have liked to see in tokyo, tell me the players to replace for Argentina please thank you very much

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http://www.fiba.basketball/olympics/women/2020/news/experts-make-their-early-picks-can-anybody-challenge-usa-and-who-is-going-to-light-it-up

 

And it's time for women's final tournament. They bilieve that :JPN will be on the podium! What do you think? What is your top 3?

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