OlympicsFan 776 Posted January 7, 2021 #581 Share Posted January 7, 2021 21 hours ago, rafalgorka said: My predictions for swimming (early draft - will be changed for sure) Sun 25/7 M 400 IM - 1. Daiya Seto JPN 2. Kosuke Hagino JPN 3. Apostolos Papastamos GRE M 400 Free - 1. Danas Rapsys LTU 2. Elijah Winington AUS 3. Gabriele Detti ITA W 400 IM - 1. Katinka Hosszu HUN 2. Yui Ohashi JPN 3. Shiwen Ye CHN W 4x100 Free - 1. Australia 2. United States 3. Canada Mon 26/7 W 100 Fly - 1. Margaret MacNeil CAN 2. Sarah Sjostrom SWE 3. Zhang Yufei CHN M 100 Breast - 1. Adam Peaty GBR 2. Arno Kamminga NED 3. Ilya Shymanovich BLR W 400 Free - 1. Ariarne Titmus AUS 2. Katie Ledecky USA 3. Leah Smith USA M 4x100 Free - 1. United States 2. Australia 3. Russia Tue 27/7 M 200 Free - 1. Danas Rapsys LTU 2. Duncan Scott GBR 3. Katsuhiro Matsumoto JPN W 100 Back - 1. Regan Smith USA 2. Kaylee McKeown AUS 3. Kylie Masse CAN M 100 Back - 1. Xu Jiayu CHN 2. Kliment Kolesnikov RUS 3. Ryan Murphy USA W 100 Breast - 1. Lilly King USA 2. Yulia Yefimova RUS 3. Benedetta Pilato ITA Wed 28/7 W 200 Free - 1. Ariarne Titmus AUS 2. Emma McKeon AUS 3. Federica Pellegrini ITA and Siobhan Haughey HKG ex aequo* ;-) M 200 Fly - 1. Kristof Milak HUN 2. Daiya Seto JPN 3. Tamas Kenderesi HUN W 200 IM - 1. Kaylee McKeown AUS 2. Katinka Hosszu HUN 3. Sydney Pickrem CAN W 1500 Free - 1. Katie Ledecky USA 2. Wang Jianjiahe CHN 3. Simona Quadarella ITA M 4x200 Free - 1. Australia 2. United States 3. Russia Thu 29/7 M 800 Free - 1. Gregorio Paltrinieri ITA 2. Henrik Christiansen NOR 3. Jack McLoughlin AUS M 200 Breast - 1. Anton Chupkov RUS 2. Kirill Prigoda RUS 3. Ippei Watanabe JPN W 200 Fly - 1. Regan Smith USA 2. Zhang Yufei CHN 3. Hali Flickinger USA M 100 Free - 1. Duncan Scott GBR 2. Caeleb Dressel USA 3. Andrei Minakov RUS W 4x200 Free - 1. Australia 2. United States 3. Canada Fri 30/7 W 200 Breast - 1. Yuliya Yefimova RUS 2. Lilly King USA 3. Annie Lazor USA M 200 Back - 1. Evgeny Rylov RUS 2. Ryan Murphy USA 3. Mitchell Larkin AUS W 100 Free - 1. Simone Manuel USA 2. Cate Campbell AUS 3. Emma McKeon AUS M 200 IM - 1. Daiya Seto JPN 2. Andrew Seliskar USA 3. Wang Shun CHN Sat 31/7 M 100 Fly - 1. Caeleb Dressel USA 2. Andrei Minakov RUS 3. Chad le Clos RSA W 200 Back - 1. Regan Smith USA 2. Kaylee McKeown AUS 3. Kylie Masse CAN W 800 Free - 1. Katie Ledecky USA 2. Ariarne Titmus AUS 3. Wang Jianjiahe CHN Mixed 4x100 Med - 1. United States 2. Australia 3. Russia Sun 1/8 M 50 Free - 1. Caeleb Dressel USA 2. Florent Manaudou FRA 3. Kristian Gkolomeev GRE W 50 Free - 1. Sarah Sjostrom SWE 2. Simone Manuel USA 3. Katarzyna Wasick POL and Ranomi Kromowidjojo NED ex aequo* ;-) M 1500 Free - 1. Gregorio Paltrinieri ITA 2. Florian Wellbrock GER 3. Franko Grgic CRO W 4x100 Med - 1. United States 2. Australia 3. Canada M 4x100 Med - 1. United States 2. Great Britain 3. Russia I will maybe post my full „analysis“ later, but here are my biggest „problems“ with your predictions: Men: 400 IM: I don’t see Papastamos winning a medal. If you want to pick a young guy, you should rather go for Borodin. 400 free: Both Horton and Yang not winning a medal seems pretty unlikely. 4 x 100 free: I don’t see Australia winning a medal. I would pick Russia for silver and Brazil for bronze. 4 x 200 free: I think that GB will medal (instead of Russia) 100 breast: A medal for Prigoda seems extremely unlikely. I think Chupkov will win gold and then the other medals will be between the two Japanese guys, the two Australian guys and maybe Kamminga. 100 free: Gold for Scott seems very unlikely. I think it will be Dressel - Chalmers - Minakov/Morozov/Grinev/Scott/2nd American guy. 200 IM: Silver for Seliskar seems very unlikely, I doubt that he will even qualify. I think Scott/Larkin/Andrew/Hagino/Desplanches and maybe a couple other guys are all more likely to medal than Seliskar. Women: 400 IM: I think Margalis will medal. 200 IM: I don’t see McKeown winning a medal or even competing, but who knows ... My prediction would be Hosszu + Ye + Margalis/Japanese girl. 50 free: Wasick winning a medal would be a big surprise for me. I think Blume, Campbell and the Chinese girl are all more likely to medal (apart from Sjöstrom and Manuel). rafalgorka 1 Attachment is the great fabricator of illusions; reality can be obtained only by someone who is detached. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OlympicsFan 776 Posted January 7, 2021 #582 Share Posted January 7, 2021 18 hours ago, rafalgorka said: My predictions for athletics - early draft (will be changed for sure, too) Fri 30/7 M 10,000m - 1. Joshua Cheptegei UGA 2. Yomif Kejelcha ETH 3. Hagos Gebhriwet ETH Sat 31/7 M Discus Throw - 1. Daniel Stahl SWE 2. Fedrick Dacres JAM 3. Andrus Gudzius LTU Mixed 4x400m Relay - 1. United States 2. Jamaica 3. Bahamas W 100m - 1. Shelly-Ann Fraser-Pryce JAM 2. Elaine Thompson JAM 3. Dina Asher-Smith GBR Sun 1/8 W Shot Put - 1. Gong Lijiao CHN 2. Danniel Thomas-Dodd JAM 3. Chase Ealey USA M High Jump - 1. Mutaz Essa Barshim QAT 2. Maksim Nedasekau BLR 3. Brandon Starc AUS W Triple Jump - 1. Yulimar Rojas VEN 2. Shanieka Ricketts JAM 3. Liadagmis Povea CUB M 100m - 1. Noah Lyles USA 2. Andre De Grasse CAN 3. Akani Simbine RSA Mon 2/8 M Long Jump - 1. Juan Miguel Echevarria CUB 2. Tajay Gayle JAM 3. Yuki Hashioka JPN W 100m Hurdles - 1. Kendra Harrison USA 2. Danielle Williams JAM 3. Nia Ali USA W Discus Throw - 1. Sandra Perkovic CRO 2. Yaime Perez CUB 3. Valarie Allman USA M 3000m Steeplechase - 1. Soufiane El Bakkali MAR 2. Conseslus Kipruto KEN 3. Lamecha Girma ETH W 5000m - 1. Hellen Obiri KEN 2. Sifan Hassan NED 3. Konstanze Klosterhalfen GER Tue 3/8 W Long Jump - 1. Malaika Mihambo GER 2. Ivana Spanovic SRB 3. Ese Brume NGR M 400m Hurdles - 1. Karsten Warholm NOR 2. Rai Benjamin USA 3. Abderrahman Samba QAT M Pole Vault - 1. Armand Duplantis SWE 2. Sam Kendricks USA 3. Piotr Lisek POL W Hammer Throw - 1. DeAnna Price USA 2. Brooke Andersen USA 3. Alexandra Tavernier FRA W 800m - 1. Jemma Reekie GBR 2. Halimah Nakaayi UGA 3. Ajee Wilson USA W 200m - 1. Dina Asher-Smith GBR 2. Elaine Thompson JAM 3. Sha'Carri Richardson USA Wed 4/8 W 400m Hurdles - 1. Dalilah Muhammad USA 2. Sydney McLaughlin USA 3. Femke Bol NED W 3000m Steeplechase - 1. Hyvin Kiyeng KEN 2. Beatrice Chepkoech KEN 3. Emma Coburn USA M Hammer Throw - 1. Paweł Fajdek POL 2. Wojciech Nowicki POL 3. Bence Halasz HUN M 800m - 1. Donovan Brazier USA 2. Nijel Amos BOT 3. Amel Tuka BIH M 200m - 1. Noah Lyles USA 2. Michael Norman USA 3. Divine Odudoru NGR Thu 5/8 M Triple Jump - 1. Christian Taylor USA 2. Pedro Pablo Pichardo POR 3. Hugues Fabrice Zango BUR M Shot Put - 1. Tomas Walsh NZL 2. Ryan Crouser USA 3. Darlan Romani BRA M 110m Hurdles - 1. Grant Holloway USA 2. Orlando Ortega ESP 3. Sergey Shubenkov RUS M 20km Race Walk - no idea yet ;-) W Pole Vault - 1. Anzhelika Sidorova RUS 2. Sandi Morris USA 3. Katie Nageotte USA M 400m - 1. Fred Kerley USA 2. Steven Gardiner BAH 3. Kirani James GRN W Heptathlon - 1. Katarina Johnson-Thompson GBR 2. Nafissatou Thiam BEL 3. Erica Boguard USA M Decathlon - 1. Niklas Kaul GER 2. Kevin Mayer FRA 3. Damian Warner CAN Fri 6/8 M 50km Race Walk - no idea yet ;-) W 20km Race Walk - no idea yet ;-) W Javelin Throw - 1. Lyu Huihui CHN 2. Tatsiana Khaladovich BLR 3. Maria Andrejczyk POL M 5000m - 1. Joshua Cheptegei UGA 2. Selemon Barega ETH 3. Mohammed Ahmed CAN W 400m - 1. Shaunae Miller-Uibo BAH 2. Shericka Jackson JAM 3. Phyllis Francis USA W 1500m - 1. Faith Kipyegon KEN 2. Gudaf Tsegay ETH 3. Sofia Ennaoui POL W 4x100m Relay - 1. Jamaica 2. United States 3. Great Britain M 4x100m Relay - 1. United States 2. Great Britain 3. Jamaica Sat 7/8 W Marathon - no idea yet ;-) W High Jump - 1. Mariya Lasitskene RUS 2. Yaroslava Mahuchikh UKR 3. Yuliya Levchenko UKR W 10,000m - 1. Sifan Hassan NED 2. Letesenbet Gidey ETH 3. Hitomi Niiya JPN M Javelin Throw - 1. Johannes Vetter GER 2. Magnus Kirt EST 3. Neeraj Chopra IND M 1500m - 1. Timothy Cheruiyot KEN 2. Jakob Ingebrigtsen NOR 3. Marcin Lewandowski POL W 4x400m Relay - 1. United States 2. Poland 3. Jamaica M 4x400m Relay - 1. United States 2. Jamaica 3. Belgium Sun 8/8 M Marathon - no idea yet ;-) The same as for swimming: Men: 10000 m: No medal for Kiplimo/Kipruto? High jump: Would be very surprised to see Starc winning a medal. I think Russia will win at least one medal. Long jump: I don’t see Hashioka winning a medal. What about Henderson/Manyonga/Tentoglou? Did they retire/get caught? 200 m: Would be very surprised to see Odudoru winning a medal. Maybe De Grasse for bronze. Sani Brown winning a medal would be nice. Triple jump: No medal for Claye? Shot put: No medal for Kovacs? 400 m: I think Norman will medal. 5000 m: No medal for Kiplimo? 4 x 100 m: I don’t think that Jamaica will medal, I would go with Japan. Women: Discus: I would pick Caballero over Allman. 5000 m: No medal for the world record holder? 200 m: I think Miller-Uibo wins a medal if she competes. 3000 m SC: I don’t see Kiyeng winning a medal. Even Krause seems like a more likely option. 400 m: No medal for Naser? 1500 m: Ennaoui ...? I think that there are at least 10 girls who are more likely to medal than her. 10000 m: A medal for Japan would be one of the biggest surprises in Olympic history. Even if Kenya and Ethiopia would be banned, she wouldn’t be a favorite for a medal. rafalgorka 1 Attachment is the great fabricator of illusions; reality can be obtained only by someone who is detached. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rafalgorka 1,362 Posted January 7, 2021 Author #583 Share Posted January 7, 2021 @OlympicsFan nice to read your opinions - I will defenitely think whether I should reconsider some of my predictions, when I have some free time again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benolympique 1,498 Posted January 7, 2021 #584 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Basket.odt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LDOG 2,181 Posted January 7, 2021 #585 Share Posted January 7, 2021 17 minutes ago, Benolympique said: I don't think USA will be able to assemble that team for Tokyo Also, for our team there are missing some players that would 100% be in the list (it doesn't matter anyway, just pointing it out). rafalgorka 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EupenM 149 Posted January 7, 2021 #586 Share Posted January 7, 2021 43 minutes ago, Benolympique said: Basket.odt 84.41 kB · 4 downloads 3x3? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benolympique 1,498 Posted January 7, 2021 #587 Share Posted January 7, 2021 31 minutes ago, LDOG said: I don't think USA will be able to assemble that team for Tokyo Also, for our team there are missing some players that would 100% be in the list (it doesn't matter anyway, just pointing it out). I added the players that I would have liked to see in tokyo, tell me the players to replace for Argentina please thank you very much rafalgorka 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benolympique 1,498 Posted January 7, 2021 #588 Share Posted January 7, 2021 9 minutes ago, EupenM said: 3x3? I will soon, I am in cycling now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benolympique 1,498 Posted January 7, 2021 #589 Share Posted January 7, 2021 I would love to hear from you !! thanks a lot for your help Cycling Road.odt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EupenM 149 Posted January 7, 2021 #590 Share Posted January 7, 2021 http://www.fiba.basketball/olympics/women/2020/news/experts-make-their-early-picks-can-anybody-challenge-usa-and-who-is-going-to-light-it-up And it's time for women's final tournament. They bilieve that will be on the podium! What do you think? What is your top 3? rafalgorka 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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