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Canada National Thread | Road to Tokyo 2020



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18 minutes ago, james89 said:

I love that you compiled this!

 

It's certainly an interesting experiment to do it points wise - I'm sure if you did it by event it would look different, Cycling for example you have it at 9 points which would equal 3 medals, which I would say is too high.

 

There are definitely places where we diverge. I do think you are giving Archery one point for the whole sport you need to include one point for Sailing. Men's diving as well I would give 1 point between the 10m Syncrho and 10m Individual. 

 

Judo - I think Klimkait both as the recent World Champion and as the number 1 seed needs to have at least 2 points in the system. I would also give Valois-Fortier 1 point despite not being seeded.

 

Rowing is an interesting case, at the last World Championships we got one bronze and 2 4th place finishes, but the the team strategically chose crews to send to the last chance qualifier and performed well. I'm curious if they have something going on. 

 

Finally - I think this weekend we will see where are Swimmers are at, the relays are most definitely all in play (i'm not quite ready to call the medley 3 points). I'm assuming you missed the 200m Breaststroke. 

For cycling: Women's team pursuit (which I think will struggle to medal, but has a chance) + a women's sprint medal is not out of the realm of possibility. Out of all the other events another medal might be a reach but is definitely possible.

 

Rowing is hard to gauge which is why I grouped all the events by gender. 

 

As for the 200m breaststroke, my list was supposed to say 200 for Kelsey Wog not 100. Apparently she has been hitting 2:20 in training. If she can do well in the 100m as well, Canada should be a shoe in for a medal in the medly. Wog (breast), MacNeil (butterfly), Masse (back), Ruck or Oleksiak (free).

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Here is my medal predictions, 3 points = almost certain to medal, 2= some to good chances, 1= low outside chance. If event is not listed, I do not think they will medal.    Archery (1 point)

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