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Canada National Thread | Road to Tokyo 2020



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Here is my medal predictions, 3 points = almost certain to medal, 2= some to good chances, 1= low outside chance. If event is not listed, I do not think they will medal.    Archery (1 point)

Tennis update   Looks like we will have 4 men in the singles competition! Raonic, Shapovalov, Auger-Aliassime and Pospisil; Two in the women's singles: Andreescu and Fernandez D

And there was other Pan American boats in the race that they could have given it too as well. Bizarre they just gave it to non Pan American countries.   Here is a link (in French) https://ic

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My medal predictions for Canada:

 

Athletics: 6 - De Grasse in either the 100 or 200, Barber, Drouin, 4x100 relay (men), Warner, Brianne Theisen-Eaton. I don't think Bishop can beat three men ahead of her (sorry to be blunt).

Basketball: 1 - Women's team. Canada can beat any team in group A imo, but Spain/Serbia/USA in Group B will set the tone.

Boxing: 1 - With luck both women will need just one win to medal. Hopefully one can pull it out.

Canoeing: 1 - De Jonge in the K1 200

Cycling: 3 - Women's team pursuit; either Batty or Pendrel in the mountain biking, Beveridge in the omnium 

Diving: 3 - Both women's synchro events and Jennifer Abel in the 3m individual event. 

Golf: 1 - Brooke Henderson (hopefully, but this is probably the hardest sport to predict).

Gymnastics: 1 - MacLennan in trampoline

Judo: 1 - Again this is a hard sport to predict. However with three seeded athletes (Valois-Foriter, Beauchmin-Pinard and Zupancic) I believe 1 is possible. Others such as Reyes and Margdelion are young and have potential as well.

Rowing: 2 - Women's eights and Women's lighweight double sculls

Rugby sevens: 1 - Women's team

Wrestling: 3 - Gallays, Yeats and Wiebe to medal

 

24 in total


Yes I predicted 0 for swimming, but realistically I see no medals for Canada in swimming.
 

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13 minutes ago, intoronto said:

My medal predictions for Canada:

 

Athletics: 6 - De Grasse in either the 100 or 200, Barber, Drouin, 4x100 relay (men), Warner, Brianne Theisen-Eaton. I don't think Bishop can beat three men ahead of her (sorry to be blunt).

Basketball: 1 - Women's team. Canada can beat any team in group A imo, but Spain/Serbia/USA in Group B will set the tone.

Boxing: 1 - With luck both women will need just one win to medal. Hopefully one can pull it out.

Canoeing: 1 - De Jonge in the K1 200

Cycling: 3 - Women's team pursuit; either Batty or Pendrel in the mountain biking, Beveridge in the omnium 

Diving: 3 - Both women's synchro events and Jennifer Abel in the 3m individual event. 

Golf: 1 - Brooke Henderson (hopefully, but this is probably the hardest sport to predict).

Gymnastics: 1 - MacLennan in trampoline

Judo: 1 - Again this is a hard sport to predict. However with three seeded athletes (Valois-Foriter, Beauchmin-Pinard and Zupancic) I believe 1 is possible. Others such as Reyes and Margdelion are young and have potential as well.

Rowing: 2 - Women's eights and Women's lighweight double sculls

Rugby sevens: 1 - Women's team

Wrestling: 3 - Gallays, Yeats and Wiebe to medal

 

24 in total


Yes I predicted 0 for swimming, but realistically I see no medals for Canada in swimming.
 


3 golds, and 20+ medals in overall will be big success for Canada!

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36 minutes ago, intoronto said:

My medal predictions for Canada:

 

Athletics: 6 - De Grasse in either the 100 or 200, Barber, Drouin, 4x100 relay (men), Warner, Brianne Theisen-Eaton. I don't think Bishop can beat three men ahead of her (sorry to be blunt).

Basketball: 1 - Women's team. Canada can beat any team in group A imo, but Spain/Serbia/USA in Group B will set the tone.

Boxing: 1 - With luck both women will need just one win to medal. Hopefully one can pull it out.

Canoeing: 1 - De Jonge in the K1 200

Cycling: 3 - Women's team pursuit; either Batty or Pendrel in the mountain biking, Beveridge in the omnium 

Diving: 3 - Both women's synchro events and Jennifer Abel in the 3m individual event. 

Golf: 1 - Brooke Henderson (hopefully, but this is probably the hardest sport to predict).

Gymnastics: 1 - MacLennan in trampoline

Judo: 1 - Again this is a hard sport to predict. However with three seeded athletes (Valois-Foriter, Beauchmin-Pinard and Zupancic) I believe 1 is possible. Others such as Reyes and Margdelion are young and have potential as well.

Rowing: 2 - Women's eights and Women's lighweight double sculls

Rugby sevens: 1 - Women's team

Wrestling: 3 - Gallays, Yeats and Wiebe to medal

 

24 in total


Yes I predicted 0 for swimming, but realistically I see no medals for Canada in swimming.
 

 

Your predictions seem to be a tad optimistic in some sports but to be perfectly honest if the cards fall right we may have the potential for more chances (one of the men's rowing crews, Van Koeverdan or Oldershaw repeating, or as you said swimming). So it'll probably even out, with our typical Canadian luck in some sports. 

 

As as for swimming I think Canada has the potential to make the finals in many events and hopefully that will lead to a surprise medal somewhere. One of the young team members could be a breakout star. 

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3 minutes ago, james89 said:

 

Your predictions seem to be a tad optimistic in some sports but to be perfectly honest if the cards fall right we may have the potential for more chances (one of the men's rowing crews, Van Koeverdan or Oldershaw repeating, or as you said swimming). So it'll probably even out, with our typical Canadian luck in some sports. 

 

As as for swimming I think Canada has the potential to make the finals in many events and hopefully that will lead to a surprise medal somewhere. One of the young team members could be a breakout star. 

Which sport(s) do you think is optisimistic?

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On 7/17/2016 at 22:52, intoronto said:

My medal predictions for Canada:

 

Athletics: 6 - De Grasse in either the 100 or 200, Barber, Drouin, 4x100 relay (men), Warner, Brianne Theisen-Eaton. I don't think Bishop can beat three men ahead of her (sorry to be blunt).

Basketball: 1 - Women's team. Canada can beat any team in group A imo, but Spain/Serbia/USA in Group B will set the tone.

Boxing: 1 - With luck both women will need just one win to medal. Hopefully one can pull it out.

Canoeing: 1 - De Jonge in the K1 200

Cycling: 3 - Women's team pursuit; either Batty or Pendrel in the mountain biking, Beveridge in the omnium 

Diving: 3 - Both women's synchro events and Jennifer Abel in the 3m individual event. 

Golf: 1 - Brooke Henderson (hopefully, but this is probably the hardest sport to predict).

Gymnastics: 1 - MacLennan in trampoline

Judo: 1 - Again this is a hard sport to predict. However with three seeded athletes (Valois-Foriter, Beauchmin-Pinard and Zupancic) I believe 1 is possible. Others such as Reyes and Margdelion are young and have potential as well.

Rowing: 2 - Women's eights and Women's lighweight double sculls

Rugby sevens: 1 - Women's team

Wrestling: 3 - Gallays, Yeats and Wiebe to medal

 

24 in total


Yes I predicted 0 for swimming, but realistically I see no medals for Canada in swimming.
 

 

Athletics: De Grasse could medal in 100/200 or he could not.  It'll be close.  The 4x100 will also be close, but I'd wager Canada is on the podium.  Netty in women's long jump is a possibility (her performance at the WC last year would have been good enough for bronze in London.  Too bad three women suddenly demolished their previous bests there.  I'm sure nothing suspicious was going on though...).  Agree with the rest, although I think Bishop has just as much chance as De Grasse to medal.  

 

Basketball: Agree, but again could go either way depending on how the playoffs shape up.  

 

Boxing: Agree, but what happened to Mary Spencer in 2012 who was so hyped and also only needed one win for a medal leaves me skeptical.  

 

Canoeing: One minimum, in my opinion.  

 

Cycling: I think you're being optimistic.  W's team pursuit should be a lock, but our MTBers always underperform at the Olympics.  Every year we seem to have a top ranked woman but so far only two have collected medals.  But I'm optimistic in the other track events, and maybe Nyhaug can do something in BMX.

 

Diving: Agree.

 

Golf: Agree.  

 

Gymnastics: Agree

 

Judo: Agree.

 

Rowing: Agree, hopefully one or more of the other boats will compete for a medal, too. 

 

Rugby: Yep.

 

Wrestling: Three is optimistic, but it's not impossible.  

 

Swimming: I predict two.  I think Cochrane is still ahead of most swimmers in the 1500m, and can compete in the 400m.  Overholt might snag one, maybe someone else.  We'll see.  I think there could be several Canadians in finals, which is saying more than recent Olympics.  

 

I've said elsewhere, could be anywhere from 15-25 medals, but I predict around 20-22.  That would be a very successful OG for Canada.  Anything is possible, but I'm not sure any Canadian is a gold medal favourite in any event.  Hopefully some can pull through, though.  And then we hope for some surprises, too.  Maybe beach volleyball, the Canadian team is ranked in the top 5.  

Edited by orangeman
typo
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Just went through Sports Illustrated's medal picks.  As usual, they start from "If there is an American in the event, they will get a medal.  If they are good, they will get the gold".  

 

Also as usual, they totally forget about Canadians.  Overall, they predict 16 medals for Canada (4G 3S 9B), with golds in W's heptathlon, W's golf, 200m kayak and M's pole vault.  Basically, when there's a good Canadian they throw them in for bronze.  But I do have to say I was surprised by the 4 golds.  

 

To compare it to our predictions (above): 

Athletics:  Yes to Barber (G), Drouin (B), 4x100 relay (men) (B), Warner (S), Brianne Theisen-Eaton (G), and Thorne in the 20km race walk (B)

                No to: 100m/200m and everything else.  

 

Basketball: Nope.

 

Boxing: Nope.

 

Canoe/Kayak: Yes to De Jong (G), and van Koeverton (B)

 

Cycling: Yes to W's pursuit team (B).  That's it.  

 

Diving: Yes to W's 3m synchro (B) and 10m synchro (S), no to everything else.  

 

Golf: Yes to W's (G)

 

Gymnastics: Yes to W's trampoline (B)

 

Judo: Yes to  Valois-Foriter (B)

 

Rowing: Yes to W's lightweight double sculls (S), No to W's eights.

 

Rugby: Nope.

 

Wrestling: One bronze (W's 75kg)

 

Swimming: Nope.  

 

 

This is all possible I guess, and I suppose it's better to go into it with low expectations.  But I'd be very surprised if Canada only got these medals.  Though, again, four golds would be nice.  

Edited by orangeman
typo
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