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How Many Athletes will Your Nation Qualify for the Summer Olympic Games 2020?


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Just now, Maxim Fastovsky said:

 

Probably more like 600, with the softball and baseball (if they qualify) teams at 25 each, no reason to think that there will be less

I expect at least 1,000 and will settle for no less (and yes I know this impossible). 

“Sport has the power to change the world. It has the power to inspire. Sport can create hope where once there was only despair” - Nelson Mandela

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:ISV if we get more than 2, I’ll be happy. Our best chances are Athletics, Swimming, Sailing. Maybe we’ll get lucky with a wild card for archery. Golf and Basketball have no chance. I don’t really know of any other sports active on the island besides bobsleigh, and we really fucked that up the last time around :mad:.

 

:ISV At worse: 2

:ISV At best: 5

:ISV most likely: 3

“Sport has the power to change the world. It has the power to inspire. Sport can create hope where once there was only despair” - Nelson Mandela

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On 19/09/2019 at 13:09, Gianlu33 said:

Let's do a review after 1 year...

 

Let's start :d
 

 Hi My friend, add my count and a nuemeric review (opt, realistic, pessimistic)

 

 

icon_oly01.png Archery: Some troubles with the team... We can still qualify both team  (6-4-2)

icon_oly03.png Artistic Swimming: We improve in the last 10 years, like in Rio the objective in archive the full quota.(10)

icon_oly02.png Athletics: In London and in Rio we qualified 38 athletes, in Doha around 65. 40 will be a good number. (60-50-40)

icon_oly04.png Badminton: No anyone, maybe Caponio with a lot of luck.(1-0-0)

icon_oly29.png Baseball: Netherlands is still the favourite, it will be close  NO ONE, PASS FOR ISR (0)

icon_oly05.png Basketball: With some luck our men's team can back at the games.(12-0-0)

icon_oly26.png Beach Volleyball: Probabily 3 pairs (2 M +1 W) (6-6-6)

icon_oly06.png Boxing: From 4 to 6 quotas I THINK A LITTLE MORE, 2-3 W AND 4-5 - (8-7-6)

icon_oly07.png Canoeing - Slalom: Full quota set (4-3-3)

icon_oly07.png Canoeing - Sprint: Around 6 athletes... I hope UHM VERY HARD (6-5-4)

icon_oly08.png Cycling - BMX: With a lot of luck, only Fantoni.(1-0-0)

icon_oly08.png Cycling - Mountain Bike: 3 men and 1 woman. (4-4-4)

icon_oly08.png Cycling - Road: Italy will easy qualify the max contigent (5-5-5)

icon_oly08.png Cycling - Track: Both pursuit team and the omnium. (5-5-5)

icon_oly03.png Diving: Let's hope that Cagnotto will back... Around 5-6 (6-5-4)

icon_oly09.png Equestrian: Italy qualified the eventing team, and for the jumping will be a 50-50 (6-6-3)

icon_oly10.png Fencing: 24 athletes, why not? :d (24-22-20)

icon_oly15.png Field Hockey: No anyone (0-0-0)

icon_oly11.png Football: What flop...(0)

icon_oly13.png Golf: 2 M + 1 W MAYBE SECOND WOMAN (4-3-3)

icon_oly12.png Gymnastics - Artistic: Around 6 athletes HOPE BOTH MEN AND WOMEN (9-5-2)

icon_oly12.png Gymnastics - Rhythmic: Full quotas :) (7-7-7)

icon_oly12.png Gymnastics - Trampoline: Our biggest athlete is a 37 years old and he will watch the Games on his sofa (0)

icon_oly14.png Handball: Italian handball? What is? (0)

icon_oly16.png Judo: From 3 to 9 quotas 3? NOT SO TERRIBLE! (8-7-6)

icon_oly29.png Karate: Very strict qualification process, from 3 to 5. AND MORE FROM QUALIFYNG TOURNAMENT (6-5-4)

icon_oly17.png Modern Pentathlon: We have a great women's team and a nice men's team.. 3/4 quotas I guess (4-3-2)


icon_oly18.png Rowing: From 23 to 29 quotas (29-27-25)


icon_oly19.png Rugby Sevens: What? :p 0

icon_oly20.png Sailing: Like in Rio, 13 quotas.(14-13-11)

icon_oly21.png Shooting: From 8 to 12 (12-10-8)

icon_oly29.png Skateboarding: Sure at last 2, maybe one women too in the street event. (3-2-2)

icon_oly29.png Softball: Full quota 15

icon_oly29.png Sport Climbing: 2 quotas (3-2-1)

icon_oly29.png Surfing: 1 or 0 (1-1-0)

icon_oly03.png Swimming: From 30 to 40 (40-36-34)

icon_oly22.png Table Tennis: 1 or 0 (1-0-0)

icon_oly23.png Taekwondo: Dell'Aquila is the biggest chance, maybe Rotolo and Alessio. (2-1-1)

icon_oly24.png Tennis: 6 or 4 (6-5-4)

icon_oly25.png Triathlon: It's hard to say.. maybe 4 or 5. (5-5-4)

icon_oly26.png Volleyball: Both teams (24)

icon_oly03.png Water Polo: Both teams (22)

icon_oly27.png Weightlifting: From 2 to 3 (3-2-1)

icon_oly28.png Wrestling: Chamizo is the only one that is sure to archive the qualification. Maybe other 2 (4-3-2)

2020Tokyo.png.5b0ae7e11858b8cd415a9f2123 Qualified: 119

2020Tokyo.png.5b0ae7e11858b8cd415a9f2123 Optimistic Total Athletes: 406(difference betweet 2018: 0) 390


2020Tokyo.png.5b0ae7e11858b8cd415a9f2123 Realistic Total Athletes: 321 (dif. +26) 360

2020Tokyo.png.5b0ae7e11858b8cd415a9f2123 Pessimistic Total Athletes: 254 (dif. +13) 310

 

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  • 2 weeks later...

 

 

PREDICTION  FOR JAPAN  ::JPN

 

 

 

 

 

icon_oly01.png Archery:              6 6 6

icon_oly03.png Artistic Swimming: 8 8 8

icon_oly02.png Athletics: 136 56 29           

icon_oly04.png Badminton: 16 14 2

icon_oly29.png Baseball: 24 24 24 

icon_oly05.png Basketball:  32 32 32  

icon_oly26.png Beach Volleyball: 8 6 4

icon_oly06.png Boxing:     13 8 6 

icon_oly07.png Canoeing - Slalom:4 4 4 

icon_oly07.png Canoeing - Sprint:18 10 7       

 

 

icon_oly08.png  - Road:   9 4 4 

icon_oly08.png Cycling - Track: 15 5  0

 

icon_oly08.png Cycling - BMX:          6 4 4 

icon_oly08.png Cycling - Mountain Bike:    6 2 2 


icon_oly12.png Gymnastics - Trampoline:     4 3 2  

icon_oly14.png Handball:           28 28 28    

icon_oly16.png Judo:       14 14 14 

icon_oly29.png Karate  :   8 8 8 

icon_oly17.png Modern Pentathlon: 4 3 2   

 icon_oly18.png Rowing:      48 6 2 

icon_oly19.png Rugby Sevens :  24 24 24 

icon_oly20.png Sailing:   15 15 15 

icon_oly21.png Shooting : 30 15 12

icon_oly29.png Skateboarding:    12 8 4 

  icon_oly29.png Softball  15 15 15 
icon_oly29.png Sport Climbing:  4 4 4

icon_oly29.png Surfing: 4 4 2

icon_oly03.png Swimming: 60 50 24

icon_oly22.png Table Tennis : 6 6 6

icon_oly23.png Taekwondo:  8 5 4

icon_oly24.png Tennis:  12 6 0 

icon_oly25.png Triathlon:  6 4 4 

icon_oly26.png Volleyball: 24 24 24

icon_oly03.png Water Polo:  22 22 22 

icon_oly27.png Weightlifting: 8 6 6

icon_oly28.png Wrestling:  18 12 8 


2020Tokyo.png.5b0ae7e11858b8cd415a9f2123 Total Sports: 44

2020Tokyo.png.5b0ae7e11858b8cd415a9f2123 Optimistic Total Athletes: 809


2020Tokyo.png.5b0ae7e11858b8cd415a9f2123 Realistic Total Athletes: 583

2020Tokyo.png.5b0ae7e11858b8cd415a9f2123 Pessimistic Total Athletes: 474

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  • 1 month later...
  • 1 year later...

My predictions for Greece :GRE 
 

icon_oly01.png Archery: 0-1 (Evangelia Psarra is probably our only chance, it would be her 6th Olympic appearance but she is old now so I don't know)

icon_oly03.png Artistic Swimming: 2-8 (We will definitely qualify in the duet. Team is 50/50)

icon_oly02.png Athletics: 23-40 (We currently have 5 and there are many more who I'm 99% sure will make it off ranking, some others if they improve this year can make it and also hoping for a women's 4x400. We have many good young athletes that might not be ready for Tokyo but in Paris I expect a big team)

icon_oly04.png Badminton: 0

icon_oly29.png Baseball: 0 of course (but our former national team player Nick Markakis was an MLB All-star in 2018 :d, and Moustakas in 2015/17/19)

icon_oly05.png Basketball: 0-12 (our men's team should make it but they always choke and have bad luck with injuries in Olympic years)

icon_oly26.png Beach Volleyball: 0-2 (Arvaniti/Karagkouni have some chances to qualify. Would be Arvaniti's 4th Olympics. They missed 2016 because of her pregnancy and got lucky with the postponement of Tokyo because she had an ACL injury and would've missed 2020)

icon_oly06.png Boxing: 0-3

icon_oly07.png Canoeing - Slalom: 0-1 (small chance for Tsakmakis to make his fourth Olympics)

icon_oly07.png Canoeing - Sprint: 0-1 (I don't know much about this sport but I know we have a young guy Dimopoulos who is decent but probably too young/inexperienced for Tokyo)

icon_oly08.png Cycling - BMX: 0

icon_oly08.png Cycling - Mountain Bike: 1

icon_oly08.png Cycling - Road: 1

icon_oly08.png Cycling - Track: 1

icon_oly03.png Diving: 1-2

icon_oly09.png Equestrian: 0

icon_oly10.png Fencing: 1-2

icon_oly15.png Field Hockey: 0

icon_oly11.png Football: 0

icon_oly13.png Golf: 0-1 (there is some Greek guy from South Africa who is trying to qualify for Greece but I know nothing about golf and don't know if he is any good)

icon_oly12.png Gymnastics - Artistic: 1-2 (assuming Petrounias makes it)

icon_oly12.png Gymnastics - Rhythmic: 0-1 (chance for Eleni Kelaiditi. Our group surely won't qualify which would be the first time since 1996. They aren't good anymore)

icon_oly12.png Gymnastics - Trampoline: 0

icon_oly14.png Handball: 0

icon_oly16.png Judo: 3-4

icon_oly29.png Karate: 0-2 (Eleni Chatziliadou was world champion in 2018 so she should make it, but she was injured and her ranking fell so I'm not sure what her current status is)

icon_oly17.png Modern Pentathlon: 0

icon_oly18.png Rowing: 4-10 (we already qualified women's pair and will almost certainly make it in women's single sculls and men's single sculls. Also a very good chance for lightweight women's double sculls. Outside chances for women's double sculls, men's four and men's lightweight double sculls but a lot of these athletes are too young and probably will make it in 2024)

icon_oly19.png Rugby Sevens: 0

icon_oly20.png Sailing: 8-10 (we already have 8)

icon_oly21.png Shooting: 3

icon_oly29.png Skateboarding: 0

icon_oly29.png Softball: 0

icon_oly29.png Sport Climbing: 0? (I know absolutely nothing about this sport)

icon_oly29.png Surfing: 0? (I also don't have a clue)

icon_oly03.png Swimming: 10-18 (we already have 7 and I think we'll get several more. Outside chance for men's 4x200 freestyle which would give us more athletes that probably can't make it individually)

icon_oly22.png Table Tennis: 1-2

icon_oly23.png Taekwondo: 0-4 (Telikostoglou should make it as he won silver at 2019 World Championships. Tzeli was a medalist at the 2018 Youth Olympics and should have a better chance to make it now that she got an extra year. We have a few others with outside chances)

icon_oly24.png Tennis: 2

icon_oly25.png Triathlon: 0? (no idea)

icon_oly26.png Volleyball: 0

icon_oly03.png Water Polo: 13 (unless South Africa and/or Russia don't go and our women make it too)

icon_oly27.png Weightlifting: 2

icon_oly28.png Wrestling: 1-2


2020Tokyo.png.5b0ae7e11858b8cd415a9f2123 Total Sports: 28

2020Tokyo.png.5b0ae7e11858b8cd415a9f2123 Optimistic Total Athletes: 154

2020Tokyo.png.5b0ae7e11858b8cd415a9f2123 Realistic Total Athletes: 117

2020Tokyo.png.5b0ae7e11858b8cd415a9f2123 Pessimistic Total Athletes: 78

 

(My math might be off. Every time I added them up I got different numbers :lol:

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  • 3 months later...

My updated predictions for Greece :GRE 
 

icon_oly01.png Archery: 0-1 (Evangelia Psarra is probably our only chance, it would be her 6th Olympic appearance but she is old now so I don't know)

icon_oly03.png Artistic Swimming: 2-8 (We will definitely qualify in the duet. Team is 50/50)

icon_oly02.png Athletics: 23-35 (We currently have 6 and there are many more who I'm 99% sure will make it off ranking, some others if they improve this year can make it and also hoping for a women's 4x400. We have many good young athletes that might not be ready for Tokyo but in Paris I expect a big team)

icon_oly04.png Badminton: 0

icon_oly29.png Baseball: 0 of course (but our former national team player Nick Markakis was an MLB All-star in 2018 :d, and Moustakas in 2015/17/19)

icon_oly05.png Basketball: 0-12 (our men's team should make it but they always choke and have bad luck with injuries in Olympic years)

icon_oly26.png Beach Volleyball: 0-2 (Arvaniti/Karagkouni have some chances to qualify. Would be Arvaniti's 4th Olympics. They missed 2016 because of her pregnancy and got lucky with the postponement of Tokyo because she had an ACL injury and would've missed 2020)

icon_oly06.png Boxing: 0-3

icon_oly07.png Canoeing - Slalom: 0-1 (small chance for Tsakmakis to make his fourth Olympics)

icon_oly07.png Canoeing - Sprint: 0-1 (I don't know much about this sport but I know we have a young guy Dimopoulos who is decent but probably too young/inexperienced for Tokyo)

icon_oly08.png Cycling - BMX: 0

icon_oly08.png Cycling - Mountain Bike: 0-1 (Our team ranking fell a lot in recent months and we are no longer in the qualification zone)

icon_oly08.png Cycling - Road: 1

icon_oly08.png Cycling - Track: 1

icon_oly03.png Diving: 1-2

icon_oly09.png Equestrian: 0

icon_oly10.png Fencing: 1

icon_oly15.png Field Hockey: 0

icon_oly11.png Football: 0

icon_oly13.png Golf: 0-1 (there is some Greek guy from South Africa who is trying to qualify for Greece but I know nothing about golf and don't know if he is any good)

icon_oly12.png Gymnastics - Artistic: 1 (assuming Petrounias makes it)

icon_oly12.png Gymnastics - Rhythmic: 0-1 (chance for Eleni Kelaiditi. Our group surely won't qualify which would be the first time since 1996. They aren't good anymore)

icon_oly12.png Gymnastics - Trampoline: 0

icon_oly14.png Handball: 0

icon_oly16.png Judo: 2-4

icon_oly29.png Karate: 0-2 (Eleni Chatziliadou was world champion in 2018 so she should make it, but she was injured and her ranking fell so I'm not sure what her current status is)

icon_oly17.png Modern Pentathlon: 0

icon_oly18.png Rowing: 4-10 (we already qualified women's pair and men's single sculls and will almost certainly make it in women's single sculls. Also a decent chance for lightweight women's double sculls. Outside chances for one or two more boats, but a lot of these athletes are too young and probably will make it in 2024 instead)

icon_oly19.png Rugby Sevens: 0

icon_oly20.png Sailing: 8

icon_oly21.png Shooting: 3

icon_oly29.png Skateboarding: 0

icon_oly29.png Softball: 0

icon_oly29.png Sport Climbing: 0? (I know absolutely nothing about this sport)

icon_oly29.png Surfing: 0? (I also don't have a clue)

icon_oly03.png Swimming: 10-18 (we already have 7 and I think we'll get several more. Outside chance for men's 4x200 freestyle which would give us more athletes that probably can't make it individually)

icon_oly22.png Table Tennis: 1

icon_oly23.png Taekwondo: 0-4 (Telikostoglou should make it as he won silver at 2019 World Championships. Tzeli was a medalist at the 2018 Youth Olympics and should have a better chance to make it now that she got an extra year. We have a few others with outside chances)

icon_oly24.png Tennis: 2

icon_oly25.png Triathlon: 0? (no idea)

icon_oly26.png Volleyball: 0

icon_oly03.png Water Polo: 12 (unless South Africa and/or Russia don't go and our women make it too)

icon_oly27.png Weightlifting: 1-2

icon_oly28.png Wrestling: 1-2


2020Tokyo.png.5b0ae7e11858b8cd415a9f2123 Total Sports: 28

2020Tokyo.png.5b0ae7e11858b8cd415a9f2123 Optimistic Total Athletes: 140

2020Tokyo.png.5b0ae7e11858b8cd415a9f2123 Realistic Total Athletes: 103

2020Tokyo.png.5b0ae7e11858b8cd415a9f2123 Pessimistic Total Athletes: 74

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  • 3 weeks later...

My predictions for Turkey  :TUR
 

I think we will definitely exceed 2016 (103 athletes) and we might exceed 2012 which is our best (114 athletes)

 

 

2020Tokyo.png.5b0ae7e11858b8cd415a9f2123 Total Sports: 19

2020Tokyo.png.5b0ae7e11858b8cd415a9f2123 Optimistic Total Athletes: 128

2020Tokyo.png.5b0ae7e11858b8cd415a9f2123 Realistic Total Athletes: 106

2020Tokyo.png.5b0ae7e11858b8cd415a9f2123 Pessimistic Total Athletes: 95

 

 

 

 

icon_oly01.png Archery: 2-4 (depending on team qualifications in which I think we have a decent chance)

icon_oly03.png Artistic Swimming: 0

icon_oly02.png Athletics: 20-25 

 

icon_oly04.png Badminton: 2-3

icon_oly29.png Baseball: 

icon_oly05.png Basketball: 0-12 (I think our men team's chance to qualify is around 30%)

icon_oly26.png Beach Volleyball: 0


icon_oly06.png Boxing: 4-7

icon_oly07.png Canoeing - Slalom: 0

icon_oly07.png Canoeing - Sprint: 0

icon_oly08.png Cycling - BMX: 0

icon_oly08.png Cycling - Mountain Bike: 0

icon_oly08.png Cycling - Road: 2

icon_oly08.png Cycling - Track: 0

icon_oly03.png Diving: 0

icon_oly09.png Equestrian: 0

icon_oly10.png Fencing: 1

icon_oly15.png Field Hockey: 0

icon_oly11.png Football: 0

icon_oly13.png Golf: 0

icon_oly12.png Gymnastics - Artistic: 5

icon_oly12.png Gymnastics - Rhythmic: 0

icon_oly12.png Gymnastics - Trampoline: 0

icon_oly14.png Handball: 0

icon_oly16.png Judo: 4-6

icon_oly29.png Karate: 5-7


icon_oly17.png Modern Pentathlon: 1-2

icon_oly18.png Rowing: 1-3

icon_oly19.png Rugby Sevens: 0

icon_oly20.png Sailing: 8

icon_oly21.png Shooting: 4-5

icon_oly29.png Skateboarding: 0

icon_oly29.png Softball: 0

icon_oly29.png Sport Climbing: 0

icon_oly29.png Surfing: 0

icon_oly03.png Swimming: 8-10

icon_oly22.png Table Tennis: 0-1

icon_oly23.png Taekwondo: 5

icon_oly24.png Tennis: 0-1

icon_oly25.png Triathlon: 0

icon_oly26.png Volleyball: 12

icon_oly03.png Water Polo: 0

icon_oly27.png Weightlifting: 2-3

icon_oly28.png Wrestling: 9

 

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