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Tennis Qualification to Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024 Road to Paris 2024


Totallympics
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  • 1 year later...

With two singles quotas per gender available to previous GS/gold medal winners I wanted to see who would be eligible. The priority goes to the athlete with the most Grand Slam and Olympic wins with the next tie breaker going to the higher ranked athlete. Athletes must be in the top 400 and not already qualified through the rankings.

 

Here's where we stand after the 2023 Australian Open.

 

Men

Athlete

GS/Olympic

Wins

World Ranking
:ESP Rafael Nadal 23 6
:SRB Novak Djokovic 22 1
:GBR Andy Murray 5 64
:SUI Stan Wawrinka 3 135
:RUS Daniil Medvedev 1 12
:GER Alexander Zverev 1 14
:CRO Marin Cilic 1 21
:AUT Dominic Thiem 1 99

Not too many options since Nadal, Djokovic and the now retired Federer won so many Grand Slams and most will probably qualify via rankings anyway. Murray is pretty safe should he drop in ranking and wants to go for a third Olympic gold. If he doesn't retire, I could see Wawrinka taking the quota. Thiem might be eligible, but he's been on the record at not caring about the Olympics.

 

Women

Athlete

GS/Olympic

Wins

World Ranking
:USA Venus Williams 8 659
:JPN Naomi Osaka 4 65
:POL Iga Swiatek 3 1
:GER Angelique Kerber 3 106
:CZE Petra Kvitova 2 13
:ROU Simona Halep 2 15
:BLR Victoria Azarenka 2 16
:ESP Garbine Muguruza 2 82
:RUS Svetlana Kuznetsova 2 1292
:BLR Aryna Sabalenka 1 2
:SUI Belinda Bencic 1 9
:KAZ Elena Rybakina 1 10
:LAT Jelena Ostapenko 1 12
:CZE Barbora Krejcikova 1 30
:USA Sloane Stephens 1 39
:CAN Bianca Andresscu 1 42
:GBR Emma Raducanu 1 77
:USA Sofia Kenin 1 207

I sometimes forget that Venus Williams has not yet retired. Regardless even if she breaks into the top 400 she won't compete at the Olympics due to the United States quite likely already qualifying four women. The same can be said for Russia (should they compete), Czechia and Spain. Given Osaka's decision on taking mental breaks she may still compete at the Olympics even if she decides to take an extended break. Kerber is currently taking a pregnancy leave, but is in a good position to take the quota if her comeback is a bit slow. I wouldn't be surprised if Raducanu ended up taking the quota when all is said and done.

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6 hours ago, JoshMartini007 said:

 

  Thiem might be eligible, but he's been on the record at not caring about the Olympics.

 

He did say, that he wanted to play the 2024 Olympics, though. He loves Roland Garros and has been successful there.

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How do the Davis Cup/Fed Cup requirements factor in here? I know they have bent the rules for some 'stars' in the past. Princess Wozniacki for example, meanwhile Tsitsipas had to drag his *ss to the Philippines in the middle of the season to play Davis Cup to be eligible for the Olympics.

 

Osaka will probably have a protected ranking when she comes back so I guess she won't need this quota.

Edited by Makedonas
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9 minutes ago, Makedonas said:

How do the Davis Cup/Fed Cup requirements factor in here? I know they have bent the rules for some 'stars' in the past.

 

Osaka will probably have a protected ranking when she comes back so I guess she won't need this quota.

The Davis Cup/BJK Cup requirements (two appearance, at least one in 2023/2024) still apply, but all players can apply through the exceptions...

 

1) Injury/Illness

2) Newcomer clause (their ranking was too low to be realistically selected until recently)

3) Strength of nation (their nation has too many top players)

4) Historic participation at Davis/BJK Cup and/or Olympics

 

The exceptions are pretty vague, but if you are a young player, an old player, from a nation with many players or just injury prone then you are probably safe.

 

Basically if you are in your mid-20s to low-30s and from a nation with few top players and in good health you better get your Davis/BJK Cup appearances in. :p

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11 minutes ago, JoshMartini007 said:

The Davis Cup/BJK Cup requirements (two appearance, at least one in 2023/2024) still apply, but all players can apply through the exceptions...

 

1) Injury/Illness

2) Newcomer clause (their ranking was too low to be realistically selected until recently)

3) Strength of nation (their nation has too many top players)

4) Historic participation at Davis/BJK Cup and/or Olympics

 

The exceptions are pretty vague, but if you are a young player, an old player, from a nation with many players or just injury prone then you are probably safe.

 

Basically if you are in your mid-20s to low-30s and from a nation with few top players and in good health you better get your Davis/BJK Cup appearances in. :p

This all applies to Wozniacki yet they still allowed her to play in 2016 and she was talking about Tokyo but retired in January 2020. Since 2011, she only played Fed Cup once (2015)

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5 minutes ago, Makedonas said:

This all applies to Wozniacki yet they still allowed her to play in 2016 and she was talking about Tokyo but retired in January 2020. Since 2011, she only played Fed Cup once (2015)

The exceptions are so vague that if a player really wanted to attend the Olympics they can easily get around the requirements. Worst case scenario you'd just need a doctor's note suggesting they should take rest for a mild sprain which coincidentally was on the same weeks as the cups.

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Speaking of Davis Cup requirements, this week was the first opportunity for athletes to fulfill the requirements. Looking at the current top 100, we have 28 singles and 40 doubles players obtaining at least two Davis Cups appearances with one being in 2023-2024. This seems pretty low, but you have to remember that :AUS :CAN :ITA :ESP are not competing this week due to getting a bye to the next round and :BLR :RUS are of course suspended from Davis Cup play. If we were to filter athletes from those nations out the numbers are 28/70 and 40/83.

 

Here are the 10 highest ranked athletes which have not fulfilled the requirements (and are not from the nations listed above).

 

Singles

1. :SRB Novak Djokovic

4. :NOR Casper Ruud

8. :USA Taylor Fritz

9. :DEN Holger Rune

10. :POL Hubert Hurkacz

15. :USA Frances Tiafoe

21. :CRO Marin Cilic

26. :USA Sebastian Korda

28. :ARG Diego Schwartzman

29. :BUL Grigor Dimitrov

 

Doubles

5. :NED Jean-Julien Rojer

7. :CRO Mate Pavic

9. :USA Austin Krajicek

11. :CRO Ivan Dodig

12. :GBR Lloyd Glasspool

13. :ARG Horacio Zeballos

18. :USA John Isner

21. :GER Andreas Mies

25. :MEX Santiago Gonzalez

26. :GER Kevin Krawietz

 

There's still plenty of time for the top athletes to fulfill their Davis Cup requirements, but I suspect some will take the exception route.

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12 hours ago, JoshMartini007 said:

Speaking of Davis Cup requirements, this week was the first opportunity for athletes to fulfill the requirements. Looking at the current top 100, we have 28 singles and 40 doubles players obtaining at least two Davis Cups appearances with one being in 2023-2024. This seems pretty low, but you have to remember that :AUS :CAN :ITA :ESP are not competing this week due to getting a bye to the next round and :BLR :RUS are of course suspended from Davis Cup play. If we were to filter athletes from those nations out the numbers are 28/70 and 40/83.

 

Here are the 10 highest ranked athletes which have not fulfilled the requirements (and are not from the nations listed above).

 

Singles

1. :SRB Novak Djokovic

4. :NOR Casper Ruud

8. :USA Taylor Fritz

9. :DEN Holger Rune

10. :POL Hubert Hurkacz

15. :USA Frances Tiafoe

21. :CRO Marin Cilic

26. :USA Sebastian Korda

28. :ARG Diego Schwartzman

29. :BUL Grigor Dimitrov

 

Doubles

5. :NED Jean-Julien Rojer

7. :CRO Mate Pavic

9. :USA Austin Krajicek

11. :CRO Ivan Dodig

12. :GBR Lloyd Glasspool

13. :ARG Horacio Zeballos

18. :USA John Isner

21. :GER Andreas Mies

25. :MEX Santiago Gonzalez

26. :GER Kevin Krawietz

 

There's still plenty of time for the top athletes to fulfill their Davis Cup requirements, but I suspect some will take the exception route.

Ivan Dodig is playing today against Austria. 

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19 hours ago, Makedonas said:

This all applies to Wozniacki yet they still allowed her to play in 2016 and she was talking about Tokyo but retired in January 2020. Since 2011, she only played Fed Cup once (2015)

But she was selected for 2016 where injury got in the way.

 

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