Makedonas 1,571 Posted July 6, 2021 #21 Share Posted July 6, 2021 I'll say 5-6 for Greece, with Petrounias and Tentoglou being the only ones that I would surprised if they did not win medals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Agger 1,587 Posted July 6, 2021 #22 Share Posted July 6, 2021 The official target is 8-10 medals. I'm going for the middle saying 9. 2-4 of those will be gold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCB 444 Posted July 6, 2021 #23 Share Posted July 6, 2021 3 hours ago, Jinzha said: Update of my prediction from earlier this year: Archery: 0-1 Athletics: 0-3 (was 0-2) Cycling road: 2-3 (was 1-2) Cycling track: 3-5 BMX: 1-2 Mountainbike: 1 Field hockey: 1-2 Artistic gymnastics: 0 (was 0-1) Handball: 0 (was 0-1) Judo: 1-2 Rowing: 3-5 Sailing: 3-4 Swimming: 0-3 (was 0-2) Suprise medal: 1-3 Total: 16-34 (was 15-33) Changes: Athletics: added Femke Bol Cycling road: another women's cycling medal. I really think they could get 3 medals in 2 events, Van der Breggen, Van Vleuten, Vos and Vollering are unstoppable (except by Dychert). Artistic gymnastics: removed Zonderland, I sadly don't see it happening anymore Handball: removed women's team, their preparation has been messy and results in friendlies disappointing Swimming: added a third potential medal for our contenders Kamminga (100m/200m breast) / Kromowidjojo (50m free)/ Weertman and Van Rouwendaal (10km open water) Well, my final prediction is 10 gold, 10 silver and 10 bronze. And really looking forward to the 400m hurdles: so excited if Bol is able to medal in that event. rafalgorka 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Braulio 109 Posted July 6, 2021 #24 Share Posted July 6, 2021 For Mexico I still go with 3 to 5, similar with the medals we won in Rio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oldira 76 Posted July 6, 2021 #25 Share Posted July 6, 2021 5-7. Probably a lot higher than people expect but we have serious medal contenders in Rowing, boxing,gymnastics and slighter chances in Equestrian, Golf, Pentathlon and Taekwando. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monzanator 3,593 Posted July 7, 2021 #26 Share Posted July 7, 2021 Poland won 11 medals in each of the last three SOG so I'm gonna say 11 is the target again My most probable picks: 3x athletics (Fajdek or Nowicki, Lewandowski and women's 4x400 relay) 2x canoeing (women's C1 or K1 and women's K2 or K4) 2x rowing 1x sailing 1x volleyball (Men's Team) 2x random upsets (judo, wrestling, swimming or Niewiadoma in women's cycling). I didn't even count Wlodarczyk in hammer & Andrejczyk in javelin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NMQ 222 Posted July 7, 2021 #27 Share Posted July 7, 2021 I'm more pessimistic than the last time. Likely medals I have only Nacra 17 (Lange-Carranza) and women's field hockey. With a bit of luck and if the planets align maybe one of the other teams, one of the doubles in tennis, women's 48 kg in judo (Pareto) and men's 58 kg in taekwondo (Guzmán). Anything else would be a total surprise for me. konig 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LDOG 2,199 Posted July 7, 2021 #28 Share Posted July 7, 2021 13 minutes ago, NMQ said: I'm more pessimistic than the last time. Likely medals I have only Nacra 17 (Lange-Carranza) and women's field hockey. With a bit of luck and if the planets align maybe one of the other teams, one of the doubles in tennis, women's 48 kg in judo (Pareto) and men's 58 kg in taekwondo (Guzmán). Anything else would be a total surprise for me. Fede Gil has an outside chance in shooting, I mean, he just won a world cup medal with almost every opponent present. But yeah, it's shooting.. Everything looks very grim, even those you have as "likely" I think are "outside" right now. We should be happy if we get anything out of this mess of a preparation our athletes are having. konig and NMQ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
orangeman 1,315 Posted July 7, 2021 #29 Share Posted July 7, 2021 For Canada, I think 24 total with 4-5 golds would be expected. This is probably the most unpredictable Olympics since WWII, even at the Games there could be an outbreak which sidelines half the athletes competing. intoronto and zob79 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MagyarBabu 86 Posted July 7, 2021 #30 Share Posted July 7, 2021 I tried to calculate a sort of probability of GOLDs like one of the most vulgar bookmakers. I rated the events with the possibility of GOLD medal with a number from 0.5 to 5.5, which represent a percentage, and I considered a base of 6 points as an absolute certainly (100%): 5 points: (>80%) 4 points: (near 66%) 3 points: (50%) 2 points: (near 33%) 1 points: (<17%) Swimming: Men's 200 Butterfly - 5.5 Women's 400 I.M. - 3 Women's 200 Butterfly - 1 Men's 100 Butterfly - 1 Men's 10Km - 1 Canoeing: Women's K4 500m - 5 Women's K2 500m - 4 Men's K1 1000m - 3 Men's K1 200m - 3 Women's K1 500m - 1.5 Women's C2 500m - 1 Fencing Men's Team Sabre - 2.5 Men's Épée Ind. - 2 Men's Sabre Ind. - 2 Women's Sabre Team - 1 Women's Sabre Ind. - 1 Wrestling Greco-Roman 77kg - 4 Greco-Roman 87kg - 1.5 Modern Pentathlon: Men's - 1 Women's - 1 Water Polo: Men's - 1.5 Women's - 0.5 Judo: Men's 90 kg - 1 Athletics Heptathlon - 1 Shooting Men's 10m Air Rifle - 0.5 Men's 50m 3 Rifle three positions - 0.5 Mixed 10m Air Rifle Team - 1 GRAND TOTAL: 51 51/6(100%) = 8.5 GOLD MEDALS For approximation down and considering the margin of error due to extreme poverty of accuracy of such type of calculation, to date I would predict the usual 8 GOLD medals, even 7 if we consider the fact that these calculation are perhaps "biased evaluation" made by a supporter not an expert and impartial statistician. I know this is crazy but the countdown is now to -16. Understand me a little, at least... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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