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Kirkpatrick reacted to Wumo in [PREDICTION CONTEST] Alpine Skiing FIS World Championships 2021
Prediction Contests Are Just-For-Fun Games
You don't need to be an expert to take part in a Prediction Contest.
If a mistake penalizes you, always keep in mind that everyone is in good faith.
Competition Details City Cortina d'Ampezzo Start Date February 8th, 2021 End Date February 21st, 2021 Participants 37 Gold Speedy Silver Herberth10 Bronze George_D
Instructions
In order to post your predictions, you have to do the following:
Select with your mouse specified content of the Post named Prediction Contest Design Copy the selected content Go to Reply Box at the end of the Page, click on "Reply to this topic" Paste the copied content ( When information "You have pasted content with formatting" appears at the end of the Reply Box, ignore it, it will disappear eventually. DO NOT click on "Remove formatting" under any circumstances) Once you have specified content in new Post, start making your predictions according to the Rules To post your predictions, click on "Submit Reply" button
Rules
For this Prediction Contest you are predicting medal winners for each event of the Prediction Design.
For Athlete/Nation you are predicting to win Gold Medal, write X in the Cell which belongs to the Gold Medal Column. ForAthlete/Nation you are predicting to win Silver Medal, write X in the appropriate Cell and do the same for a Bronze Medal winner.
Do the same for each Event of the Prediction Design.
Example
Event & Date Athletes Gold Silver Bronze Women's Alpine Combined
Day 1
February 8th, 2021
Franziska Gritsch Ramona Siebenhofer Ricarda Haaser x Marie-Michele Gagnon Ester Ledecka Marta Bassino x Federica Brignone Elena Curtoni Ragnhild Mowinckel Petra Vlhova x Michelle Gisin Lara Gut-Behrami Wendy Holdener Mikaela Shiffrin Any Other Athlete
Points will be awarded as follows:
- For right predicted Gold Medal Winner - 4 points.
- For right predicted Silver Medal Winner - 3 points.
- For right predicted Bronze Medal Winner - 2 points.
- For right predicted Athlete/Nation but wrong place/medal - 1 point.
- Bonus points: 1 bonus point will be awarded to predictor who predicted all medalists correctly, regardless of the order (1-2-3, 1-3-2, 2-1-3, 2-3-1, 3-2-1, 3-1-2).
If you (by mistake or on purpose) picked two or more Athletes/Nations for the same place in one event, and if the total number of picked Athletes (options) for that event isn't over three, you'll get exactly 1 Point for each of them NO MATTER WHICH POSITION (and one bonus Point if you predicted all top 3 Athletes/Nations). If the total number of picked Athletes/Nations in one event is over three, you'll not get any Points for Athletes/Nations picked for the same position.
The first physical medal presentation is binding. If, for some reason no medals are presented for an event during the Games, this event will be eliminated in this contest.
Example
Event & Date Athletes Gold Silver Bronze Women's Alpine Combined
Day 1
February 8th, 2021
Franziska Gritsch Ramona Siebenhofer Ricarda Haaser x Marie-Michele Gagnon Ester Ledecka Marta Bassino x Federica Brignone Elena Curtoni Ragnhild Mowinckel Petra Vlhova x Michelle Gisin Lara Gut-Behrami Wendy Holdener Mikaela Shiffrin Any Other Athlete
Results:
1. Ricarda Haaser - 4 Points
2. Marta Bassino - 3 Points
3. Petra Vlhova - 2 Points
Bonus Points: - 1 Point
Your Total: 10 Points
1. Ricarda Haaser - 4 Points
2. Petra Vlhova - 1 Point
3. Marta Bassino - 1 Point
Bonus Points: - 1 Point
Your Total: 7 Points
1. Ricarda Haaser - 4 Points
2. Ester Ledecka - 0 Points
3. Marta Bassino - 1 Point
Bonus Points: - 0 Points
Your Total: 5 Points
1. Ricarda Haaser - 4 Points
2. Any Other Athlete - 0 Points
3. Ester Ledecka - 0 Point
Bonus Points: - 0 Points
Your Total: 4 Points
TB Rules
If two or more contestants have the same number of points at the end, Tie-Break rule will be applied to break the tie.
Number or perfect predictions throughout the contest will be compared for the involved contestants. If they are still tied, number of correct Gold Medal Winners will be compared, then number of Silver Medal Winners and at the end number of Bronze Medal Winners. If players are still tied, the players will share the place.
Example
Contestant 1: 6x10, 12x4, 10x3, 7x2
Contestant 2: 6x10, 12x4, 8x3, 8x2
Contestant 1 will be placed ahead of Contestant 2.
Contestant with most points wins the competition.
The Ranking is determined by the Sum of Points the Contestant scores in all predicted Events.
You can enter the Contest whenever you want. The moment you post your predictions is the moment when you are entering the Contest and your points will be calculated for all the Events you predicted AND which haven't started.
In order to earn points from the start, you should post your predictions before the start of the first Event of Alpine Skiing FIS World Championships - February 8th, h. 10:00 (GMT +1).
You can EDIT your predictions whenever you want until the start of the first event of the Prediction Contest. Once competition starts, you are not allowed to edit your post and any further changes will be ignored. On contestant's request, edited predictions will be accepted, but contestant will earn 0 points for finished events and the events that have started (heats included). Moment at the latest editing will be considered as the entry moment, in other words.
If you want to comment on this Prediction Contest, please use Prediction Contests - Discussion Thread only.
If you have problem with the format, you can post your predictions in simplified format. Make sure your predictions are understandable. For instance, 1 - Haaser, 2 - Bassino, 3 - Vlhova, means Haaser wins gold medal, Bassino silver and Vlhova bronze.
Every contestant can hide their own predictions. To do that, you have only to delete the space between the bracket "[" and the text "hide" in "[ hide]" at the beginning of prediction post. Do the same with "[ /hide]" at the end of prediction post too. The hidden content will appear to other users as follows:
You cannot see this
If you have any other questions concerning this prediction contest, problems with format, editing etc... please, contact the contest manager via Personal Message.
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Kirkpatrick reacted to Wumo in [PREDICTION CONTEST] Alpine Skiing FIS World Championships 2021
You MUST hide your post. To do that, you have only to delete the space between the bracket "[" and the text "hide" in "[ hide]" at the beginning of prediction post. Do the same at the end of prediction post with "[ /hide]" too.
PREDICTION DESIGN - START COPYING HERE --->
[ hide]
Event & Date Athletes Gold Silver Bronze Women's Alpine Combined
Day 1
February 8th, 2021
Franziska Gritsch Ramona Siebenhofer Ricarda Haaser Marie-Michele Gagnon Ester Ledecka Marta Bassino Federica Brignone Elena Curtoni Ragnhild Mowinckel Petra Vlhova Michelle Gisin Lara Gut-Behrami Wendy Holdener Mikaela Shiffrin Any Other Athlete Women's Super-G
Day 2
February 9th, 2021
Tamara Tippler Any Other Austrian Athlete Marie-Michele Gagnon Ester Ledecka Marta Bassino Federica Brignone Kajsa Vickhoff Lie Petra Vlhova Ilka Stuhec Michelle Gisin Lara Gut-Behrami Priska Nufer Corinne Suter Any American Athlete Any Other Athlete Men's Super-G
Day 2
February 9th, 2021
Vincent Kreichmayr Matthias Mayer Any Other Austrian Athlete Alexis Pinturault Andreas Sander Christof Innerhofer Dominik Paris Kjetil Jansrud Beat Feuz Marco Odermatt Ryan Cochran-Siegle
Travis Ganong Any Other Athlete Men's Alpine Combined
Day 3
February 10th, 2021
Vincent Kreichmayr Matthias Mayer Marco Schwarz Victor Muffat-Jeandet Alexis Pinturault Any Italian Athlete Kjetil Jansrud Luca Aerni Loic Meillard Justin Murisier Ryan Cochran-Siegle Any Other Athlete Women's Downhill
Day 4
February 13th, 2021
Tamara Tippler Any Other Austrian Athlete Ester Ledecka Kira Weidle Elena Curtoni Laura Pirovano Kajsa Vickhoff Lie Ilka Stuhec Michelle Gisin Lara Gut-Behrami Corinne Suter Breezy Johnson Any Other Athlete Men's Downhill
Day 5
February 14th, 2021
Vincent Kreichmayr Matthias Mayer Otmar Striedinger Johan Clarey Romed Baumann Andreas Sander Christof Innerhofer Dominik Paris Kjetil Jansrud Martin Cater Beat Feuz Carlo Janka Ryan Cochran-Siegle Travis Ganong Any Other Athlete Women's Parallel GS
Day 6
February 16th, 2021
Franziska Gritsch Elisa Moerzinger Katharina Truppe Any French Athlete Marta Bassino Federica Brignone Kristin Lysdahl Thea Louise Stjernesund Petra Vlhova Any Slovenian Athlete Sara Hector Lara Gut-Behrami Wendy Holdener Mikaela Shiffrin Any Other Athlete Men's Parallel GS
Day 6
February 16th, 2021
Fabian Gstrein Roland Leitinger Filip Zubcic Alexis Pinturault Stefan Luitz Alexander Schmid Henrik Kristoffersen Any Other Norwegian Athlete Zan Kranjec Semyel Bissig Gino Caviezel Any Other Swiss Athlete Any Other Athlete Mixed Team Parallel Event
Day 7
February 17th, 2021
Austria France Germany Italy Norway Slovakia Slovenia Sweden Switzerland United States Any Other Nation Women's Giant Slalom
Day 8
February 18th, 2021
Katharina Liensberger Any Other Austrian Athlete Tessa Worley Marta Bassino Federica Brignone Alice Robinson Mina Fuerst Holtmann Petra Vlhova Meta Hrovat Sara Hector Michelle Gisin Lara Gut-Behrami Wendy Holdener Mikaela Shiffrin Any Other Athlete Men's Giant Slalom
Day 9
February 19th, 2021
Roland Leitinger Marco Schwarz Filip Zubcic Alexis Pinturault Any Other French Athlete Alexander Schmid Luca De Aliprandini Henrik Kristoffersen Leif Kristian Nestvold-Haugen Zan Kranjec Loic Meillard Justin Murisier Marco Odermatt Any Other Athlete Women's Slalom
Day 10
February 20th, 2021
Katharina Liensberger Chiara Mair Katharina Truppe Any Canadian Athlete Martina Dubovska Lena Duerr Irene Curtoni Kristin Lysdahl Any Other Norwegian Athlete Petra Vlhova Michelle Gisin Wendy Holdener Mikaela Shiffrin Any Other Athlete Men's Slalom
Day 11
February 21st, 2021
Manuel Feller Michael Matt Marco Schwarz Clement Noel Alexis Pinturault Linus Strasser Dave Ryding Alex Vinatzer Henrik Kristoffersen Sebastian Foss-Solevaag Loic Meillard Ramon Zenhaeusern Any Other Swiss Athlete Any Other Athlete
[ /hide]
---> PREDICTION DESIGN - STOP COPYING HERE
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Kirkpatrick reacted to rybak in [OFF TOPIC] Coronavirus Pandemic
If someone is interested, my grandmother leave this world tonight... Despite being in home and feeling better three days ago she had suddenly problems with breathing, was moved to hospital, yesterday she feels better that even was able to talk and tonight happened what happened
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Kirkpatrick reacted to heywoodu in Alpine Skiing FIS World Cup 2020 - 2021
Here we go, Streif Part II
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Kirkpatrick reacted to Federer91 in Alpine Skiing FIS World Cup 2020 - 2021
They make many different changes, but the one that actually works - the night races, are still not fully developed. Everyone loves them, i don't know why they haven't made a staple out of them, throughout the season. Like have regular Tuesdays be night races, one week men, one week women. There is something special watching skiing at 9-10 o'clock in the night.
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Kirkpatrick reacted to Werloc in Biathlon IBU World Cup 2020 - 2021
Is this some sort of a new competition that's like Tour De Ski?
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Kirkpatrick reacted to RobtheAggie in Biathlon 2020 - 2021 Discussion Thread
World Team Challenge now up as well.
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Kirkpatrick reacted to JonPhi in Cross-Country Skiing FIS World Cup 2020 - 2021
According to this article https://www.mdr.de/sachsen/dresden/dresden-radebeul/adfc-skiweltcup-dresden-kritik-elberadweg-100.html the World Cup will go on. In Germany there are still professional World Cup competitions possible. We also have luge world cups and a Biathlon World Cup during the lockdown in January.
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Kirkpatrick reacted to heywoodu in Alpine Skiing FIS World Cup 2020 - 2021
One of my favourite sports days of the year, winter has come!
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Kirkpatrick reacted to heywoodu in Cross-Country Skiing 2020 - 2021 Discussion Thread
And that's another Brazilian Rollerski Circuit victory for @brunamoura
https://www.fis-ski.com/DB/general/results.html?sectorcode=CC&raceid=36634
Surprisingly close though, Duda Ribera was only 15 seconds behind, that's...new! There was word of her trainings going very well, it's good to see that is indeed the case. Also, strong wind had an effect as well on the race, with Duda and Mika Picin working together to try and chase Bruna, who had opened up the gap on the first uphill and managed to hold on until the finish despite the wind blowing in their faces.
As for the men, a breakaway of four sprinted for the win, with young Gu Oliveira being the maybe not very surprising, but definitely new name in the top, very interesting development right there.
https://www.fis-ski.com/DB/general/results.html?sectorcode=CC&raceid=36633
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Kirkpatrick reacted to Grassmarket in [OFF TOPIC] Politics Thread
Like the true gentleman he is, Joe Biden refuses to take advantage of Pres Trumps misfortune. He’s taking the day off.
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Kirkpatrick got a reaction from heywoodu in Cross-Country Skiing 2020 - 2021 Discussion Thread
As of October 2nd, no, it's still going on.
Can still be non-approved on October 9th, but I fear it will not happen. I really don't get why would they do this, seems extremely unfair to anyone not from Norway (and a bit from Russia).
I'll still watch, I'm a fan, but a pissed one.
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Kirkpatrick reacted to Olympian1010 in Alpine Skiing 2020 - 2021 Discussion Thread
Zermatt is proposing a 5km Downhill for the World Cup! The race would start in Switzerland and end in Italy. There would be more than 1000m of elevation drop.
Original story: https://www.insidethegames.biz/articles/1094552/zermatt-world-cup-race
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Kirkpatrick reacted to heywoodu in Doping Cases and Bans 2020 Thread
The problem isn't CAS, the problem is whoever banned athletes without the full evidence and based on suspicions (even if they're pretty strong suspicions). Like a high judge in normal life, CAS is there to check if the rules of law were followed or not.
Of course it's easier to just call everything and everyone corrupt when they don't decide in the way one wished, that's true.
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Kirkpatrick reacted to Grassmarket in [OFF TOPIC] Politics Thread
President Trump’s schedule for Election Day -38
https://www.conservativedailynews.com/2020/09/president-donald-trumps-schedule-for-friday-september-25-2020/
Joe Biden’s schedule for Election Day -38
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Kirkpatrick reacted to RobtheAggie in Biathlon 2020 - 2021 Discussion Thread
So if any of you are interested in statistics, the mathematical discipline, here is a very interesting analysis of the Women's Pursuit Competitions from last season. I will be honest, but Math was never my strong point, but this is a pretty interesting read.
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Kirkpatrick reacted to Wumo in [FANTASY CONTESTS] Biathlon Manager Game Discussion Thread
Okay, after spending some time in my ivory tower, drinking cognac, smoking high quality Cuban cigars and looking down at the lazy peasants, I can now present a new idea for a system for the next season.
I have thought about introducing a grading system of the biathletes. A grading scale that will go from 2-30. 2 will be the lowest possible grade and 30 will be the highest. The grading of the biathletes will be based on three criteria: Shooting percentage from last season, skiing speed which will be based on skiing times from last season (more specific details will be explained later) and placement in last season's overall World Cup.
Biathletes can score from 1-10 in every category, except placement in the overall WC where most biathletes will score 0. Again, more on that later on. I will do my best include and grade every biathlete who participated in a WC last season and many of the biathletes from the IBU-Cup who could get a start in a WC next season.
Breakdown of the grading for every category:
Shooting:
This will be based on a biathlete's shooting percentage from last season's WC and/or IBU-Cup (Data will be from IBU's datacenter)
Grading scale:
≥ 90% = 10
89.9% - 88.0% = 9
87.9% - 86.0% = 8
85.9% - 84.0% = 7
83.9% - 82.0% = 6
81.9% - 80.0% = 5
79.9% - 77.5% = 4
77.4% - 75.0% = 3
74.9% - 72.5% = 2
< 72.5% = 1
Skiing speed:
This will be a bit more complex. In short, it will be based on the average time gap per kilometer from the average time of the five best results in SPRINT races (measured in seconds) from last season.
The data are from this site https://www.biathlon.com.ua/en/speed.php (Bear mind, Danil Beletskiy is somehow the best skiier among the men. This is of course a mistake. Otherwise, everything else seems to look reasonable.) Also keep in mind, not every biathlete, as those who only competed in the IBU-Cup, are not listed. Those biathletes who are not listed will automatically get 1 as grade. It has to be said, the list contains more than 300 biathletes. Those biathletes who have only participated in one or two WCs are also on the list.
Grading scale:
0 - 0.99 = 10
1 - 1.99 = 9
2 - 2.99 = 8
3 - 3.99 = 7
4 - 4.99 = 6
5 - 5.99 = 5
6 - 6.99 = 4
7 - 7.99 = 3
8 - 8.99 = 2
≥ 9 = 1
Placement in last year's Overall WC season:
Fairly straight forward, every biathlete, male and female, in last year's top 20 Overall WC will get 1-10. The rest will get 0.
Grading scale:
1st = 10
2nd - 4th = 9
5th - 6th = 8
7th - 8th = 7
9th - 10th = 6
11th - 12th = 5
13th - 14th = 4
15th - 16th = 3
17th - 18th = 2
19th - 20th = 1
21st and downwards = 0
Example:
Johannes Thingnes Boe grade would be 29
Shooting = 89.7% = 9
Skiing Speed = 0.10 = 10
Placement = 1st = 10
9+10+10 = 29
The grade a biathlete will be scored will be used to determine the price of that biathlete.
Managers would still have 10 biathletes on their team. 2 or 3 (haven't decided yet) biathletes from the same nation would be allowed. All 2 or 3 biathletes could be men or women, so managers don't have to split them as last season. Managers will be giving a certain amount of points in the beginning of the season. I'm not sure about the exact number of points at the moment but it will most likely be between 100-120 points, depending on how evil I will be to the managers, muhaha! ?.
I have had some thoughts about how to implent some new additions to the transfer system. Could be something like, after every trimester, usually 3-4 WCs, managers could without losing any points sell one poor performing biathlete and buy one "better" perfoming biathlete. This way we don't end up having some managers losing 300-400 points in a transfer window. Decrease the amount of transfers from 12-10 in a season. Set a max cap on how many points a managers can earn in one transfer window. Also known better as Lex Federer91 .
Some thoughts about the point system I have had. I was never really a fan of giving points for the fastest course times in mass starts, so I would suggest to drop it and only keep for sprints and individuals. Mass starts could instead increase the amount of placement points to the top 20. Something like, 1st = 50 points, 2nd = 40 points, 3rd = 35 points etc... Or multiply the usual placement points with 1.5. 1st = 60 points, 2nd = 52.5 point etc...
I have to think about what to do about points in Super Sprints. I will come with a suggestion later this year.
Lastly, the grades of every biathlete will be available in a excel document before the new season starts. I will post it here or in the thread for the BMG 2020/21-season.
I would really to like to hear some of you thoughts about this new grading system and some of my other suggestions. I'm aware not everybody who participated last season is that much online before the winter season begins again, so I will post more about this when we come closer to the start of the WC-season. Hopefully as scheduled.
If you have some questions about any of this or would like to come with some suggestions, feel free to post them here.
I will now go back inside my ivory tower to drink and smoke some more. Good day to you all, mortals, muhahaha! ?
africaboy, @toulousain, @heywoodu, @brunamoura, @Dunadan, @Federer91, @Vojthas, @Monzanator
@hckosice, @IoNuTzZ, @Henry_Leon, @Agger, @RobtheAggie, @Kirkpatrick, @Olympian1010, @Ufilov
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Kirkpatrick reacted to heywoodu in Cross-Country Skiing 2019 - 2020 Discussion Thread
And three out of three
The results are insane though! Same track as the 5km freestyle they had in November, very hot weather today so definitely not easy by any means, yet the improvements everyone made compared to November (which for most girls were their fastest races ever there already!).
Bruna: 1:07 minutes faster
Duda: 1:11 minutes faster
Gabi: 33 seconds faster
Tatah: 1:16 minutes faster
Mayara: 1:21 minutes faster
Dandara: 3:21 minutes faster
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Kirkpatrick reacted to heywoodu in Cross-Country Skiing 2019 - 2020 Discussion Thread
And another win
https://www.fis-ski.com/DB/general/results.html?sectorcode=CC&raceid=36073
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Kirkpatrick reacted to heywoodu in Cross-Country Skiing 2019 - 2020 Discussion Thread
And that's, considering the circumstances, an extra impressive win for Corona Bruna
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Kirkpatrick reacted to justony in Ski Jumping 2019 - 2020 Discussion Thread
Ski Flying World Championships in Planica is next victim of Corona virus.
Unbelievable, this means I will have to miss Planica for the first time after 23 years in a row.
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