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Kirkpatrick

Totallympics Medallist
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    Kirkpatrick reacted to Wumo in [PREDICTION CONTEST] Alpine Skiing FIS World Championships 2021   
    Prediction Contests Are Just-For-Fun Games
    You don't need to be an expert to take part in a Prediction Contest. 
    If a mistake penalizes you, always keep in mind that everyone is in good faith.
     
    Competition Details City Cortina d'Ampezzo Start Date February 8th, 2021 End Date February 21st, 2021 Participants 37 Gold Speedy Silver Herberth10 Bronze George_D  
     
    Instructions
     
    In order to post your predictions, you have to do the following:
    Select with your mouse specified content of the Post named Prediction Contest Design Copy the selected content Go to Reply Box at the end of the Page, click on "Reply to this topic" Paste the copied content ( When information "You have pasted content with formatting" appears at the end of the Reply Box, ignore it, it will disappear eventually. DO NOT click on "Remove formatting" under any circumstances) Once you have specified content in new Post, start making your predictions according to the Rules To post your predictions, click on "Submit Reply" button  
     
    Rules
     
    For this Prediction Contest you are predicting medal winners for each event of the Prediction Design.
    For Athlete/Nation you are predicting to win Gold Medal, write X in the Cell which belongs to the Gold Medal Column. ForAthlete/Nation you are predicting to win Silver Medal, write X in the appropriate Cell and do the same for a Bronze Medal winner. 
    Do the same for each Event of the Prediction Design.
     
     
    Example
     
    Event & Date Athletes Gold Silver Bronze Women's Alpine Combined
    Day 1
    February 8th, 2021
    Franziska Gritsch       Ramona Siebenhofer       Ricarda Haaser x     Marie-Michele Gagnon       Ester Ledecka       Marta Bassino   x   Federica Brignone       Elena Curtoni       Ragnhild Mowinckel       Petra Vlhova     x Michelle Gisin       Lara Gut-Behrami       Wendy Holdener       Mikaela Shiffrin       Any Other Athlete        
    Points will be awarded as follows:

    - For right predicted Gold Medal Winner - 4 points.
    - For right predicted Silver Medal Winner - 3 points.
    - For right predicted Bronze Medal Winner - 2 points.
    - For right predicted Athlete/Nation but wrong place/medal - 1 point.
    - Bonus points: 1 bonus point will be awarded to predictor who predicted all medalists correctly, regardless of the order (1-2-3, 1-3-2, 2-1-3, 2-3-1, 3-2-1, 3-1-2).

    If you (by mistake or on purpose) picked two or more Athletes/Nations for the same place in one event, and if the total number of picked Athletes (options) for that event isn't over three, you'll get exactly 1 Point for each of them NO MATTER WHICH POSITION (and one bonus Point if you predicted all top 3 Athletes/Nations). If the total number of picked Athletes/Nations in one event is over three, you'll not get any Points for Athletes/Nations picked for the same position. 

    The first physical medal presentation is binding. If, for some reason no medals are presented for an event during the Games, this event will be eliminated in this contest.
     
     
    Example
     
    Event & Date Athletes Gold Silver Bronze Women's Alpine Combined
    Day 1
    February 8th, 2021
    Franziska Gritsch       Ramona Siebenhofer       Ricarda Haaser  x     Marie-Michele Gagnon       Ester Ledecka       Marta Bassino   x   Federica Brignone       Elena Curtoni       Ragnhild Mowinckel       Petra Vlhova     x Michelle Gisin       Lara Gut-Behrami       Wendy Holdener       Mikaela Shiffrin       Any Other Athlete        
    Results:
    1. Ricarda Haaser - 4 Points
    2. Marta Bassino - 3 Points
    3. Petra Vlhova - 2 Points
    Bonus Points: - 1 Point
    Your Total: 10 Points
      1. Ricarda Haaser - 4 Points
    2. Petra Vlhova - 1 Point
    3. Marta Bassino - 1 Point
    Bonus Points: - 1 Point
    Your Total: 7 Points
     
    1. Ricarda Haaser - 4 Points
    2. Ester Ledecka - 0 Points
    3. Marta Bassino - 1 Point
    Bonus Points: - 0 Points
    Your Total: 5 Points
      1. Ricarda Haaser - 4 Points
    2. Any Other Athlete - 0 Points
    3. Ester Ledecka - 0 Point
    Bonus Points: - 0 Points
    Your Total: 4 Points
     
    TB Rules
    If two or more contestants have the same number of points at the end, Tie-Break rule will be applied to break the tie.
    Number or perfect predictions throughout the contest will be compared for the involved contestants. If they are still tied, number of correct Gold Medal Winners will be compared, then number of Silver Medal Winners and at the end number of Bronze Medal Winners. If players are still tied, the players will share the place. 
     
    Example
    Contestant 1: 6x10, 12x4, 10x3, 7x2
    Contestant 2: 6x10, 12x4, 8x3, 8x2
    Contestant 1 will be placed ahead of Contestant 2.
     
    Contestant with most points wins the competition.
     
    The Ranking is determined by the Sum of Points the Contestant scores in all predicted Events.
     
    You can enter the Contest whenever you want. The moment you post your predictions is the moment when you are entering the Contest and your points will be calculated for all the Events you predicted AND which haven't started. 
    In order to earn points from the start, you should post your predictions before the start of the first Event of Alpine Skiing FIS World Championships  - February 8th, h. 10:00 (GMT +1).
     
    You can EDIT your predictions whenever you want until the start of the first event of the Prediction Contest. Once competition starts, you are not allowed to edit your post and any further changes will be ignored. On contestant's request, edited predictions will be accepted, but contestant will earn 0 points for finished events and the events that have started (heats included). Moment at the latest editing will be considered as the entry moment, in other words. 
     
    If you want to comment on this Prediction Contest, please use Prediction Contests - Discussion Thread only.
     
    If you have problem with the format, you can post your predictions in simplified format. Make sure your predictions are understandable. For instance, 1 - Haaser, 2 - Bassino, 3 - Vlhova, means Haaser wins gold medal, Bassino silver and Vlhova bronze.
     
    Every contestant can hide their own predictions. To do that, you have only to delete the space between the bracket "[" and the text "hide" in "[ hide]" at the beginning of prediction post. Do the same with "[ /hide]" at the end of prediction post too. The hidden content will appear to other users as follows:
     
    You cannot see this
     
    If you have any other questions concerning this prediction contest, problems with format, editing etc... please, contact the contest manager via Personal Message.
  2. Like
    Kirkpatrick reacted to Wumo in [PREDICTION CONTEST] Alpine Skiing FIS World Championships 2021   
    You MUST hide your post. To do that, you have only to delete the space between the bracket "[" and the text "hide" in "[ hide]" at the beginning of prediction post. Do the same at the end of prediction post with "[ /hide]" too.
     
    PREDICTION DESIGN - START COPYING HERE --->
     
     
    [ hide]
     
    Event & Date Athletes Gold Silver Bronze Women's Alpine Combined
    Day 1
    February 8th, 2021
    Franziska Gritsch       Ramona Siebenhofer       Ricarda Haaser       Marie-Michele Gagnon       Ester Ledecka       Marta Bassino       Federica Brignone       Elena Curtoni       Ragnhild Mowinckel       Petra Vlhova       Michelle Gisin       Lara Gut-Behrami       Wendy Holdener       Mikaela Shiffrin       Any Other Athlete       Women's Super-G
    Day 2
    February 9th, 2021
    Tamara Tippler       Any Other Austrian Athlete       Marie-Michele Gagnon       Ester Ledecka       Marta Bassino       Federica Brignone       Kajsa Vickhoff Lie       Petra Vlhova       Ilka Stuhec       Michelle Gisin       Lara Gut-Behrami       Priska Nufer       Corinne Suter       Any American Athlete       Any Other Athlete       Men's Super-G
    Day 2
    February 9th, 2021
    Vincent Kreichmayr       Matthias Mayer       Any Other Austrian Athlete       Alexis Pinturault       Andreas Sander       Christof Innerhofer       Dominik Paris       Kjetil Jansrud       Beat Feuz       Marco Odermatt       Ryan Cochran-Siegle
          Travis Ganong       Any Other Athlete       Men's Alpine Combined
    Day 3
    February 10th, 2021
    Vincent Kreichmayr       Matthias Mayer       Marco Schwarz       Victor Muffat-Jeandet       Alexis Pinturault       Any Italian Athlete       Kjetil Jansrud       Luca Aerni       Loic Meillard       Justin Murisier       Ryan Cochran-Siegle       Any Other Athlete       Women's Downhill
    Day 4
    February 13th, 2021
    Tamara Tippler       Any Other Austrian Athlete       Ester Ledecka       Kira Weidle       Elena Curtoni       Laura Pirovano       Kajsa Vickhoff Lie       Ilka Stuhec       Michelle Gisin       Lara Gut-Behrami       Corinne Suter       Breezy Johnson       Any Other Athlete       Men's Downhill
    Day 5
    February 14th, 2021
    Vincent Kreichmayr       Matthias Mayer       Otmar Striedinger       Johan Clarey       Romed Baumann       Andreas Sander       Christof Innerhofer       Dominik Paris       Kjetil Jansrud       Martin Cater       Beat Feuz       Carlo Janka       Ryan Cochran-Siegle       Travis Ganong       Any Other Athlete       Women's Parallel GS
    Day 6
    February 16th, 2021
    Franziska Gritsch       Elisa Moerzinger       Katharina Truppe       Any French Athlete       Marta Bassino       Federica Brignone       Kristin Lysdahl       Thea Louise Stjernesund       Petra Vlhova       Any Slovenian Athlete       Sara Hector       Lara Gut-Behrami       Wendy Holdener       Mikaela Shiffrin       Any Other Athlete       Men's Parallel GS
    Day 6
    February 16th, 2021
    Fabian Gstrein       Roland Leitinger       Filip Zubcic       Alexis Pinturault       Stefan Luitz       Alexander Schmid       Henrik Kristoffersen       Any Other Norwegian Athlete       Zan Kranjec       Semyel Bissig       Gino Caviezel       Any Other Swiss Athlete       Any Other Athlete       Mixed Team Parallel Event
    Day 7
    February 17th, 2021
    Austria       France       Germany       Italy       Norway       Slovakia       Slovenia       Sweden       Switzerland       United States       Any Other Nation       Women's Giant Slalom
    Day 8
    February 18th, 2021
    Katharina Liensberger       Any Other Austrian Athlete       Tessa Worley       Marta Bassino       Federica Brignone       Alice Robinson       Mina Fuerst Holtmann       Petra Vlhova       Meta Hrovat       Sara Hector       Michelle Gisin       Lara Gut-Behrami       Wendy Holdener       Mikaela Shiffrin       Any Other Athlete       Men's Giant Slalom
    Day 9
    February 19th, 2021
    Roland Leitinger       Marco Schwarz       Filip Zubcic       Alexis Pinturault       Any Other French Athlete       Alexander Schmid       Luca De Aliprandini       Henrik Kristoffersen       Leif Kristian Nestvold-Haugen       Zan Kranjec       Loic Meillard       Justin Murisier       Marco Odermatt       Any Other Athlete       Women's Slalom
    Day 10
    February 20th, 2021
    Katharina Liensberger       Chiara Mair       Katharina Truppe       Any Canadian Athlete       Martina Dubovska       Lena Duerr       Irene Curtoni       Kristin Lysdahl       Any Other Norwegian Athlete       Petra Vlhova       Michelle Gisin       Wendy Holdener       Mikaela Shiffrin       Any Other Athlete       Men's Slalom
    Day 11
    February 21st, 2021
    Manuel Feller       Michael Matt       Marco Schwarz       Clement Noel       Alexis Pinturault       Linus Strasser       Dave Ryding       Alex Vinatzer       Henrik Kristoffersen       Sebastian Foss-Solevaag       Loic Meillard       Ramon Zenhaeusern       Any Other Swiss Athlete       Any Other Athlete        
    [ /hide]
     
    ---> PREDICTION DESIGN - STOP COPYING HERE
  3. Sad
    Kirkpatrick reacted to rybak in [OFF TOPIC] Coronavirus Pandemic   
    If someone is interested, my grandmother leave this world tonight... Despite being in home and feeling better three days ago she had suddenly problems with breathing, was moved to hospital, yesterday she feels better that even was able to talk and tonight happened what happened 
  4. Like
    Kirkpatrick reacted to heywoodu in Alpine Skiing FIS World Cup 2020 - 2021   
    Here we go, Streif Part II  
  5. Like
    Kirkpatrick reacted to Federer91 in Alpine Skiing FIS World Cup 2020 - 2021   
    They make many different changes, but the one that actually works - the night races, are still not fully developed. Everyone loves them, i don't know why they haven't made a staple out of them, throughout the season. Like have regular Tuesdays be night races, one week men, one week women. There is something special watching skiing at 9-10 o'clock in the night.
  6. Haha
    Kirkpatrick reacted to Werloc in Biathlon IBU World Cup 2020 - 2021   
    Is this some sort of a new competition that's like Tour De Ski?
  7. Thanks
    Kirkpatrick reacted to RobtheAggie in Biathlon 2020 - 2021 Discussion Thread   
    World Team Challenge now up as well.

  8. Like
    Kirkpatrick reacted to ziomkris1 in Alpine Skiing FIS World Cup 2020 - 2021   
    Hello everyone! 
  9. Haha
    Kirkpatrick reacted to Vic Liu in International Olympic Committee News   
    What a loss
  10. Like
    Kirkpatrick reacted to JonPhi in Cross-Country Skiing FIS World Cup 2020 - 2021   
    According to this article https://www.mdr.de/sachsen/dresden/dresden-radebeul/adfc-skiweltcup-dresden-kritik-elberadweg-100.html the World Cup will go on. In Germany there are still professional World Cup competitions possible. We also have luge world cups and a Biathlon World Cup during the lockdown in January.
  11. Like
    Kirkpatrick reacted to heywoodu in Alpine Skiing FIS World Cup 2020 - 2021   
    One of my favourite sports days of the year, winter has come!
  12. Like
    Kirkpatrick reacted to heywoodu in Cross-Country Skiing 2020 - 2021 Discussion Thread   
    And that's another Brazilian Rollerski Circuit victory for @brunamoura  
    https://www.fis-ski.com/DB/general/results.html?sectorcode=CC&raceid=36634
     
    Surprisingly close though, Duda Ribera was only 15 seconds behind, that's...new! There was word of her trainings going very well, it's good to see that is indeed the case. Also, strong wind had an effect as well on the race, with Duda and Mika Picin working together to try and chase Bruna, who had opened up the gap on the first uphill and managed to hold on until the finish despite the wind blowing in their faces.
     
    As for the men, a breakaway of four sprinted for the win, with young Gu Oliveira being the maybe not very surprising, but definitely new name in the top, very interesting development right there.
    https://www.fis-ski.com/DB/general/results.html?sectorcode=CC&raceid=36633
     
     
  13. Haha
    Kirkpatrick reacted to Grassmarket in [OFF TOPIC] Politics Thread   
    Like the true gentleman he is, Joe Biden refuses to take advantage of Pres Trumps misfortune.  He’s taking the day off.
     
     
  14. Like
    Kirkpatrick got a reaction from heywoodu in Cross-Country Skiing 2020 - 2021 Discussion Thread   
    As of October 2nd, no, it's still going on.
     
    Can still be non-approved on October 9th, but I fear it will not happen. I really don't get why would they do this, seems extremely unfair to anyone not from Norway (and a bit from Russia).
     
    I'll still watch, I'm a fan, but a pissed one.
  15. Like
    Kirkpatrick reacted to Olympian1010 in Alpine Skiing 2020 - 2021 Discussion Thread   
    Zermatt is proposing a 5km Downhill for the World Cup!  The race would start in Switzerland and end in Italy. There would be more than 1000m of elevation drop.
     
    Original story: https://www.insidethegames.biz/articles/1094552/zermatt-world-cup-race
  16. Like
    Kirkpatrick reacted to heywoodu in Doping Cases and Bans 2020 Thread   
    The problem isn't CAS, the problem is whoever banned athletes without the full evidence and based on suspicions (even if they're pretty strong suspicions). Like a high judge in normal life, CAS is there to check if the rules of law were followed or not.
     
    Of course it's easier to just call everything and everyone corrupt when they don't decide in the way one wished, that's true.
  17. Haha
    Kirkpatrick reacted to Grassmarket in [OFF TOPIC] Politics Thread   
    President Trump’s schedule for Election Day -38
     
    https://www.conservativedailynews.com/2020/09/president-donald-trumps-schedule-for-friday-september-25-2020/
     
    Joe Biden’s schedule for Election Day -38
     

  18. Thanks
    Kirkpatrick reacted to RobtheAggie in Biathlon 2020 - 2021 Discussion Thread   
    So if any of you are interested in statistics, the mathematical discipline, here is a very interesting analysis of the Women's Pursuit Competitions from last season.  I will be honest, but Math was never my strong point, but this is a pretty interesting read.  
  19. Thanks
    Kirkpatrick reacted to Wumo in [FANTASY CONTESTS] Biathlon Manager Game Discussion Thread   
    Okay, after spending some time in my ivory tower, drinking cognac, smoking high quality Cuban cigars and looking down at the lazy peasants, I can now present a new idea for a system for the next season. 
     
    I have thought about introducing a grading system of the biathletes. A grading scale that will go from 2-30. 2 will be the lowest possible grade and 30 will be the highest. The grading of the biathletes will be based on three criteria: Shooting percentage from last season, skiing speed which will be based on skiing times from last season (more specific details will be explained later) and placement in last season's overall World Cup. 
    Biathletes can score from 1-10 in every category, except placement in the overall WC where most biathletes will score 0. Again, more on that later on. I will do my best include and grade every biathlete who participated in a WC last season and many of the biathletes from the IBU-Cup who could get a start in a WC next season. 
     
    Breakdown of the grading for every category:
     
    Shooting:
    This will be based on a biathlete's shooting percentage from last season's WC and/or IBU-Cup (Data will be from IBU's datacenter)
     
    Grading scale:
    ≥ 90% = 10 
    89.9% - 88.0% = 9
    87.9% - 86.0% = 8
    85.9% - 84.0% = 7
    83.9% - 82.0% = 6
    81.9% - 80.0% = 5
    79.9% - 77.5% = 4
    77.4% - 75.0% = 3
    74.9% - 72.5% = 2
    < 72.5% = 1
     
    Skiing speed:
    This will be a bit more complex. In short, it will be based on the average time gap per kilometer from the average time of the five best results in SPRINT races (measured in seconds) from last season. 
    The data are from this site https://www.biathlon.com.ua/en/speed.php (Bear mind, Danil Beletskiy is somehow the best skiier among the men. This is of course a mistake. Otherwise, everything else seems to look reasonable.) Also keep in mind, not every biathlete, as those who only competed in the IBU-Cup, are not listed. Those biathletes who are not listed will automatically get 1 as grade. It has to be said, the list contains more than 300 biathletes. Those biathletes who have only participated in one or two WCs are also on the list. 
     
    Grading scale:
    0 - 0.99 = 10 
    1 - 1.99 = 9
    2 - 2.99 = 8
    3 - 3.99 = 7
    4 - 4.99 = 6
    5 - 5.99 = 5
    6 - 6.99 = 4
    7 - 7.99 = 3
    8 - 8.99 = 2
    ≥ 9 = 1
     
    Placement in last year's Overall WC season:
    Fairly straight forward, every biathlete, male and female, in last year's top 20 Overall WC will get 1-10. The rest will get 0. 
     
    Grading scale:
    1st = 10 
    2nd - 4th = 9
    5th - 6th = 8
    7th - 8th = 7
    9th - 10th = 6
    11th - 12th = 5
    13th - 14th = 4
    15th - 16th = 3
    17th - 18th = 2
    19th - 20th = 1
    21st and downwards = 0
     
    Example:
    Johannes Thingnes Boe grade would be 29
    Shooting = 89.7% = 9
    Skiing Speed = 0.10 = 10
    Placement = 1st = 10
    9+10+10 = 29 
     
    The grade a biathlete will be scored will be used to determine the price of that biathlete. 
    Managers would still have 10 biathletes on their team. 2 or 3 (haven't decided yet) biathletes from the same nation would be allowed. All 2 or 3 biathletes could be men or women, so managers don't have to split them as last season. Managers will be giving a certain amount of points in the beginning of the season. I'm not sure about the exact number of points at the moment but it will most likely be between 100-120 points, depending on how evil I will be to the managers, muhaha! ?. 
     
    I have had some thoughts about how to implent some new additions to the transfer system. Could be something like, after every trimester, usually 3-4 WCs, managers could without losing any points sell one poor performing biathlete and buy one "better" perfoming biathlete. This way we don't end up having some managers losing 300-400 points in a transfer window. Decrease the amount of transfers from 12-10 in a season. Set a max cap on how many points a managers can earn in one transfer window. Also known better as Lex Federer91 .
     
    Some thoughts about the point system I have had. I was never really a fan of giving points for the fastest course times in mass starts, so I would suggest to drop it and only keep for sprints and individuals. Mass starts could instead increase the amount of placement points to the top 20. Something like, 1st = 50 points, 2nd = 40 points, 3rd = 35 points etc... Or multiply the usual placement points with 1.5. 1st = 60 points, 2nd = 52.5 point etc...
    I have to think about what to do about points in Super Sprints. I will come with a suggestion later this year. 
     
    Lastly, the grades of every biathlete will be available in a excel document before the new season starts. I will post it here or in the thread for the BMG 2020/21-season. 
    I would really to like to hear some of you thoughts about this new grading system and some of my other suggestions. I'm aware not everybody who participated last season is that much online before the winter season begins again, so I will post more about this when we come closer to the start of the WC-season. Hopefully as scheduled.
     If you have some questions about any of this or would like to come with some suggestions, feel free to post them here. 
     
    I will now go back inside my ivory tower to drink and smoke some more. Good day to you all, mortals, muhahaha! ?
     
    africaboy, @toulousain, @heywoodu, @brunamoura, @Dunadan, @Federer91, @Vojthas, @Monzanator
    @hckosice, @IoNuTzZ, @Henry_Leon, @Agger, @RobtheAggie, @Kirkpatrick, @Olympian1010, @Ufilov
     
     
  20. Like
    Kirkpatrick reacted to heywoodu in Cross-Country Skiing 2019 - 2020 Discussion Thread   
    And three out of three  
     

     
    The results are insane though! Same track as the 5km freestyle they had in November, very hot weather today so definitely not easy by any means, yet the improvements everyone made compared to November (which for most girls were their fastest races ever there already!).
     
    Bruna: 1:07 minutes faster
    Duda: 1:11 minutes faster
    Gabi: 33 seconds faster
    Tatah: 1:16 minutes faster
    Mayara: 1:21 minutes faster
    Dandara: 3:21 minutes faster
  21. Like
    Kirkpatrick reacted to heywoodu in Cross-Country Skiing 2019 - 2020 Discussion Thread   
    And another win  
     
    https://www.fis-ski.com/DB/general/results.html?sectorcode=CC&raceid=36073
  22. Like
    Kirkpatrick reacted to heywoodu in Cross-Country Skiing 2019 - 2020 Discussion Thread   
    And that's, considering the circumstances, an extra impressive win for Corona Bruna
     

  23. Like
    Kirkpatrick reacted to justony in Biathlon IBU World Cup 2019 - 2020   
    Wierer wins by 7 points.
  24. Sad
    Kirkpatrick reacted to justony in Ski Jumping 2019 - 2020 Discussion Thread   
    Ski Flying World Championships in Planica is next victim of Corona virus.
     
    Unbelievable, this means I will have to miss Planica for the first time after 23 years in a row. 
  25. Haha
    Kirkpatrick reacted to heywoodu in Biathlon IBU World Cup 2019 - 2020   
    Wroooong! You're wrong!!
     
     
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