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Posts posted by CCB
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4 minutes ago, Rafa Maciel said:
For the rowing, those two are more difficult to predict. China are always strong in the quadruple sculls, as are the Netherlands. As for the British Four, they had a disappointing end to 2023 at Worlds so are in a bit a rebuild phase. They should be able to get on the podium, but I wouldn't have them as favourite at the moment.
Last weekend in Varese the British Four destroyed the Dutch boat. And even your second boat was faster than our boat.
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5 hours ago, Rafa Maciel said:
Medal Projection from Nielson Gracenote 100 days out from Paris:
Gold Medalists:
Betheny Shriever - BMX Racing
Joe Choong - Modern Pentathlon
Joe Clarke - Kayak X
Kimberley Woods - Kayak X
Bradley Sinden - Taekwondo -68Kg
Bryony Page - Trampoline
Oliver Townend - Eventing Individual
Women's Madison
Women's Team Pursuit
Rowing Men's Pair
Rowing Men's Four
Rowing Men's Eight
Rowing Women's Lightweight Double Sculls
Silver Medalists:
Katarina Johnson-Thompson - Heptathlon
Josh Kerr - 1500m
Keiran Reilly - BMX Freestyle
Tom Pidcock - Mountain Bike
Tom Daley/Noah Williams - Diving 10m Synchro
Jack Laugher/Anthony Harding - Diving 3m Synchro
Sky Brown - Skateboard Park
Mallory Franklin - Canoe Slalom C1
Katie Archibald - Track Cycling Omnium
Emma Finucane - Track Cycling Individual Sprint
Track Cycling - Women's Team Sprint
Track Cycling - Men's Madison
Charlote Fry - Dressage Individual
Rowing - Women's Four
Rowing - Womens Quadruple Sculls
Michael Beckett - Sailing ILCA7
Emma Wilson - Sailing - iQFOiL
John Gimson/ Anna Burnet - Sailing Nacra 17
Shooting Team Skeet
Swimming - Men's 4x200m Freestyle Relay
Ben Proud - Swimming 50m Freestyle
Georgia Taylor-Brown - Triathlon
Bronze Medalists:
Jessica Gadirova - Gymnastics Floor
Dina Asher-Smith - 200m
Matthew Hudson Smith - 400m
Keely Hodgkinson - 800m
Laura Mui - 1500m
Athletics - Women's 4x100m Relay
Athletics - Men's 4x100m Relay
Athletics - Women's 4x400m Relay
Joe Clarke - Canoe Slalom K1
Ethan Hayter - Track Cycling Omnium
Track Cycling - Men's Team Pursuit
Track Cycling - Men's Team Sprint
Andrea Spendolini Sirieix - Diving 10m Platform
Andrea Spendolini Sirieix/Lois Toulson - Diving 10m Synchro
Equestrian Team Dressage
Equestrian Team Eventing
Laura Collett - Equestrian Eventing Individual
Charley Hull - Golf
Chelsie Giles - Judo -52Kg
Lucy Renshall - Judo -63Kg
Vita Heathcote/Chris Grube - Sailing 470
Eleanor Aldridge - Sailing Formula Kite
Freya Colbert - Swimming 400m Individual Medley
Jade Jones - Taekwondo -57Kg
Rebecca McGowan - Taekwondo +67Kg
Caden Cunningham - Taekwondo +80Kg
Alex Yee - Triathlon
Beth Potter - Triathlon
Triathlon Mixed Team Relay
Emily Campbell - Weightlifting +81Kg
The fact that they are still projecting Gadirova as an individual medalist on floor when she is still in post injury rehab kind of calls into question either their methodology, or their attention to detail when analysing the output of their methodology.
Don't know everything of British sport, but Tom Pidcock (mountainbike), EMMA FINUCANE (sprint) and Women's Four / Women's Quaduple belong to the list for gold?!? Especially Finucane!
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Gold Medalists:
Harrie Lavreysen - Track Cycling Individual Sprint
Harrie Lavreysen - Track Cycling Keirin
Track Cycling Men's Team Sprint (For me Australia is the favorite with their extra rider and better start)
Track Cycling Men's Madison(Havik and Van Schip only won once accidentally during the Worlds, but with the Dutch are outsider)Femke Bol - 400m Hurdles(I truly not believe she's capable to beat Sydney McLaughlin-Levrone, how much I wish her to do)Mathieu van der Poel - Cycling Road Race (Well, he is one of the riders to watch, but so many can win this)
Sharon van Rouwendaal - Marathon Swimming(She won last Worlds because the already qualified swimmers didn't take part seriously in the 10km)Men's Field Hockey(They have a chance, but for me and are bigger favourites)Women's field Hockey
Tes Schouten - Swimming 200m BreaststrokeDid Gracenote ever heard of Tatjana Schoenmaker and Kate Douglass? No.van de Werken/Lambriex - Sailing 49er
Duetz/van Aanholt - 49er FX
Luuc van Opzeeland - Sailing iQFOiL (Strange format in the final)
Rowing - Men's Double Sculls
Rowing - Women's Four(is the big boat in this class)Rowing - Women's Pair( and weren't at their best at last year's WCh, but normally those two countries fighting for gold)Rowing - Men's quadruple Sculls
Rowing - Women's Single Sculls
I predict a maximum of 11 golds for us. That still would be an amazing result for our little country. Would be very happy with that.
Gracenote predicts only 5 silver, I predict a lot more silver!
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On 4/14/2024 at 10:51 PM, Jinzha said:
With just over 100 days to go I decided to do another medal prediction, but this time on a day to day basis.
Day 1 Saturday 27 July (0-1 medals)
Road cycling: Ellen van Dijk (W time trial)
Day 2 Sunday 28 July (0-2 medals)
Mountain bike: Puck Pieterse (W cross country)
Swimming: Arno Kamminga or Caspar Corbeau (M 100m breast)
Day 3 Monday 29 July (0-1 medals)
Swimming: Tes Schouten (W 100m breast)
Day 4 Tuesday 30 July (0-1 medals)
Judo: Joanne van Lieshout (W -63kg)
Day 5 Wednesday 31 July (3-5 medals)
Judo: Sanne van Dijke (W -70kg)
Rowing: M4x and W4x
Swimming: Marrit Steenbergen (W 100m free) and Caspar Corbeau (M 200m breast)
Day 6 Thursday 1 August (4-7 medals)
Judo: Michael Korrel (M -100kg) and Guusje Steenhuis (W -78kg)
Rowing: M2x and W4-
Sailing: Duetz/Van Aanholt (W skiff) and Van de Werken/Lambriex (M skiff)
Swimming: Tes Schouten (W 200m breast)
Day 7 Friday 2 August (2-5 medals)
Archery: Mixed team
BMX racing: Niek Kimmann or Laura Smulders
Judo: Marit Kamps (W +78kg)
Rowing: W2-
Sailing: Luc van Opzeeland (M IQFoil)
Day 8 Saturday 3 August (3-5 medals)
Athletics: Mixed 4x400m relay
Road cycling: Mathieu van der Poel (M road race)
Rowing: W1x, M1x and M8-
Day 9 Sunday 4 August (0-2 medals)
Equestrian: Dinja van Liere (dressage)
Road cycling: Lorena Wiebes or Demi Vollering (W road race)
Day 10 Monday 5 August (0-1 medals)
Athletics: Sifan Hassan (W 5000m?)
Day 11 Tuesday 6 August (1-2 medals)
Sailing: Marit Bouwmeester (W dinghy)
Track Cycling: M team sprint
Day 12 Wednesday 7 August (0-1 medals)
Sailing: Laila van der Meer / Bjarne Bouwer (mixed multihull)
Day 13 Thursday 8 August (2-4 medals)
Athletics: Femke Bol (W 400mH)
Hockey: Men’s team
Swimming: Sharon van Rouwendaal (W 10 km open water)
Track cycling: Hetty van der Wouw (W Keirin)
Day 14 Friday 9 August (2-4 medals)
Athletics: Lieke Klaver (W 400m)
Breaking: India Sardjoe (W breaking)
Hockey: Women’s team
Track Cycling: Harrie Lavreysen (M sprint)
Day 15 Saturday 10 August (1-3 medals)
Athletics: Women’s 4x400m relay and Abdi Nageeye (M marathon)
Water polo: Women’s team
Day 16 Sunday 11 August (1-2 medals)
Athletics: Sifan Hassan (W marathon??)
Track Cycling: Harrie Lavreysen (M keirin)
Any day (0-2 medals)
Surprise medals: preferrably Niels Laros (M 1500m) and W handball or volleyball team (what can I say, the more surprising the better)
Total prediction (19-47 medals)
+/- 10 golds
+/- 11 silvers
+/- 12 bronze
I feel like the day-by-day version made the numbers too optimistic. Some names I'm thinking more like 'one out of these 4 judoka's will probably win a medal', but it shows as a medal chances on 4 days, instead of just 1 expected medal.
Overall I'm a bit more optimistic than the 25 medals I predicted last time, I'll say 30 medals this time!
Your prediction is much more accurate than Gracenote's, who still thinks Netherlands will win a silver medal at the 4x100 freestyle in swimming and a total of 18 golds
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12 hours ago, Agger said:
I believe it took them about a month in both 2021 and 2016
Really? In my memory the schedule followed quite quickly after the draw. Well, let's wait and see ...
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1 minute ago, canadafan2024 said:
Any word as to when the match schedule will be released?
Not yet. And I didn't hear anything about when the schedule will be released! But normally the IHF is fast with it.
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1 hour ago, Jinzha said:
I'm not the most knowledgeable about handball, but I feel like we can be pretty pleased about this draw for !
And everyone can be pleased ended up in different groups.
Well, my prediction is and will fight for the very important second place in the group after France. That normally means a clash with a Scandinavian country in the quarterfinals (most likely or ). In that perspective this isn't the best draw for us. But otherwise: there are no weak opponents in the quarters of an Olympic Games.
Group A seems a bit stronger with the three Scandinavian powerhouses. Don't know what to say about . They played a very good OQT, but we destroyed them at the last Worlds. There's a good chance for them to reach the quarterfinals ( and are weaker).
I really looking forward to the handball tournament in Paris/Lille. Only 100 days wait ...
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Pot 1:
Pot 2:
Pot 3:
Pot 4:
Pot 5:
Pot 6:
What a weird pots ... why Norway and France not in the same pot? Clearly the two best teams in the world.
- Josh and canadafan2024
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Netherlands was the best country at last year's world championships.
From what I've seen today, I predict GB will win the most gold medals in this year's Olympics. Some of the Dutch boats didn't convince at all (especially the women's four and women's quadruple). For the men's double sculls and men's quadruple there was a win, but not as convincing as last year (very small margins). Karolien Florijn on the other hand showed a very good shape!
Europeans in two weeks, I'm looking forward to it.
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Meeting in Eindhoven
100 butterfly:
Tessa Giele 57,34
Didn't see this one coming. But very nice, as well for the 4x100 medley relay.
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31 minutes ago, Josh said:
Congrats @CCB
Very happy with the qualification. It's our fourth team to qualify after both field hockeyteams and our waterpolo women. Hopefully we have a nice draw and can sneak into the semis of the handball tournament (but that will be very hard with teams like Denmark, Norway and France).
- Josh, Jinzha and rafalgorka
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11 hours ago, Epic Failure said:
Who would be their 4th leg? I'm guessing you're saying Karsten, Ingvaldsen and Jaeger for the other 3 legs?
It'll be interesting to see what teams countries will send to the World Relays. With so limited other option to qualify, you would expect people to send strong teams. But that won't necessarily work for the individual athletes. Especially those from nations with limited strength in depth.
The 4th leg for Ertzgaard. Maybe not the best runner, but if the other three are real good, it doesn't have to matter.
I'm really curious which athletes the Dutch team send to the World Relays. They have to send both Bol and Klaver to ensure the women's en mixed 4x4.
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Norway in the 4x400 mixed will be a dark horse for the medals in Paris.
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Hopefully Lavreysen will recover soon, maybe he will participate in the keirin this weekend.
Good win for Australia. Way better than the other teams. I think in normal circumstances the Dutch team could have ride a 42.27. Not easily, but possible. So we have a very exciting Olympic Games in teamsprint to come.
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4 minutes ago, Rafa Maciel said:
According to the start list, Lavreyson wasn't on the team. It was Hoogland, Kool and Van den Berg.
According to the start list, Lavreysen was on the team. On the detailed result page it turns out Lavreysen was replaced by Kool.
But still a bummer for the Dutch team. Even with Kool in the team, they really could have finish a 0.75 faster at least. According to Dutch media the last days the Dutch team really wanted to show Asutralia that they are still the number one. Therefore I don't understand that Lavreysen was replaced just before the start.
Well, let's see how fast the Australians can go. I predict 41.5/41.6 or so.
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Does anyone know where you can find an overview of the extensive Olympic rankings? And where you can see how a team's points total is structured. You could follow this at other Olympic Games via various sites, but this year I can't find anything about it.
Good job from Boermans and De Groot. In beachvolleyball they are the biggest medal hope for The Netherlands in Paris. If they make Paris, they only played 8 tournaments and Boermans is injured every now and then.
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Athletics 2024 Discussion Thread
in Athletics
Posted
Bol will only run 400m hurdles.