website statistics
Jump to content

MHSN

Totallympics Superstar
  • Posts

    5,337
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    40

Reputation Activity

  1. Thanks
    MHSN got a reaction from Wumo in Wrestling UWW Asian Olympic Qualifier 2024   
    here are the quotas, max 2 quotas for everybody
     
    57: 
    65: 
    74: 
    86: 
    97: 
    125: 
  2. Thanks
    MHSN got a reaction from Benolympique in Wrestling UWW Asian Olympic Qualifier 2024   
    here are the quotas, max 2 quotas for everybody
     
    57: 
    65: 
    74: 
    86: 
    97: 
    125: 
  3. Like
    MHSN got a reaction from Adriano in Wrestling UWW Asian Olympic Qualifier 2024   
    and he didn't  
     
    Abdullaev had the perfect tactic for this match, attaching Aman with everything he has in first 2-3 minutes to finish the match early. he knew Aman will eat him alive in the 2nd period
     
    57kg quotas go to   and 
  4. Like
    MHSN got a reaction from Josh in Wrestling UWW Asian Olympic Qualifier 2024   
    The first session was a nightmare, we lost just one match but it could be easily 3.  all 3 of them were just a shadow of themselves. obviously something went wrong in their preparations 
     
    we knew we are weak at 57kg but that was wow. Mohammadnejad lost 14-3 to a guy from Mongolia!  that was his golden chance and he threw it away, he won't see the national team forever or at least not anytime soon. 
     
    Emami was shaky and gave up lots of points in scrumbles. still his opponent was old and finally gassed.
    but Azarpira almost lost to the Japanese-Iranian Yoshida. the final score 9-1 is completely misleading. Yoshida had the control for the entire match and Azarpira had to rely on his counter attacks. he was dead after 2-3 minutes and I don't know how he survived Yoshida.
     
    I'm not confident at all about the afternoon matches, but they have time to recover and think about what they did in the morning.
     
    here are the semifinals
     
    57:  vs  /  vs 
    65:  vs  /  vs 
    74:  vs  /  vs 
    86:  vs  /  vs 
    97:  vs  /  vs 
    125:  vs  /  vs 
  5. Thanks
    MHSN got a reaction from Benolympique in Wrestling UWW Asian Olympic Qualifier 2024   
    OK, let's take a look at freestyle draws
     
    57kg:
    the bracket is somehow balanced but the bottom half looks tougher to me
    no clear favorite in the top half. I think 4 wrestlers have a chance to qualify. Zou (CHN) will face the Kyrgyz wrestler in the QF. and in other QF I expect to see MGL vs IRN. this is clearly our weakest weight and Mohammadnejad has a not-so-easy Russian (representing TJK) in the first round as well. I think any of these 4 wrestlers can qualify. 
    we have 3 clear favorite in the bottom half, Aman (IND) the North Korean and Abdullaev. Aman has to beat Kazakhstan in the first round which is never easy. I always rank Aman very high but PRK in lightweight is something else and this guy won the silver in Hangzhou Asian Games. so I'm trying to not be biased so let's say 
     
    65kg:
    while we have some challengers from KAZ, CHN and the russian mercenary of Bahrain, I think the first round match between Kudiev and Kiyooka will determine the top half quota. Kudiev is a very good Russian (recently bought by TJK) but Kiyooka beat the Olympic Champion Otoguro to make the Japanese team.
    I'm very very surprised that MGL is not entering the Asian Games Champion Tulga. their new guy is not actually new and he was never impressive. I wonder how come he is #1 and Tulga is #2 !! he will face the host favorite Akmataliev. I think the winner of this match will qualify at the end but we also have Sujeet (IND) , I'm not familiar with him but he beat Bajrang back home. he has a big challenge in the first round against Jalalov (UZB) and last but not least is North Korea. Kim KJ won the bronze at the Asian Games and only lost to Tulga. in summary any of these 5 guys can qualify. this is a very tough weight in Asia. while I know I'm most probably wrong but I say 
     
    74kg:
    there are 5 or 6 quality wrestlers in the top half but I think one between Abdurakhmanov, Toktkomambetov or Asluev will qualify. Abdurakhmanov has a tough first round against the Russian-Tajik Evloev. if he wins I don't the QF will be challenging for him. I still pick the Olympic bronze medalist but I know he is getting old and is beatable now
    there are two clear favorite, Kaipanov has a clean path to the SF and our Emami also most probably can win his QF with relative ease. Emami and Kaipanov are old rivals. they had couple of controversial matches before. Emami sometimes chokes when you don't expect him to but still I think 
     
    86kg:
    3 Asian wrestlers are already qualified which makes this a bit easier. but still the draw is quite unbalanced and we have 3 favorite in the top half. Sharipov, Deepak and Ishiguro. I would pick Sharipov but he wrestled few days ago at the Asian Champs (although at 92kg) but still he will be a bit tired so I go with the winner of IND/JPN match, I think Deepak can prevail with his experience but it will be close. 
    in bottom half I don't think the Kyrgyz wrestler can do much so it will be between CHN and MGL. my prediction 
     
    97kg:
    almost all of the favorite are in the bottom half and I think the top half will be between KAZ and CHN (slim chance for Korea) I give it to Yergali but I know the Chinese is well capable of beating him.
    our Azarpira is the favorite for the quota but he has to face the worst possible opponent in the QF. Arash Yoshida if JPN has an Iranian father. he has the same style as our wrestlers mixing it with few Japanese tricks making him very dangerous. but still he is very young and this is his first serious 97kg competition. we also have Olympic bronze medalist grandpa Ibragimov and the Mongolian. any of these 4 wrestlers can qualify (sorry but I give no chance to India) still I think the top 2 seeds will make it 
     
    125kg:
    two big names in the first half, Deng (CHN) and Monkhtor (MGL) the last time they faced Deng beat the Mongolian narrowly but I think it will be different this time.
    I see 4 guys capable of winning the quota in bottom half. Sharipov (the new Russian mercenary) looked good at the Asian Champs. he will be the favorite if he is not tired of back to back competitions. the giant Kazakh Batirmurzaev will be his biggest challenge, also Lazarev (KGZ) can be dangerous, he sometimes wins matches when you don't expect. also the former drug cheat Rakhimov is in the mix. I say 
     
  6. Like
    MHSN got a reaction from Adriano in Sprint Canoeing ACC Asian Championships 2024   
    good day for Kazakhstan, they won both remaining double quotas 
  7. Like
    MHSN got a reaction from Josh in Sprint Canoeing ACC Asian Championships 2024   
    good day for Kazakhstan, they won both remaining double quotas 
  8. Like
    MHSN got a reaction from Roamingrover86 in Wrestling UWW Asian Olympic Qualifier 2024   
    and a bit about Greco
     
    60kg:
    5 Asian wrestlers are already qualified and that makes this competition weaker. much weaker. I think Sultangali (KAZ) already won the quota thanks to the draw unless something super crazy happens. and in the bottom half PRK is the clear favorite, the South Korean guy is totally new but he is probably good that they picked him over Kim H.S. still it's easy to say 
     
    67kg:
    top half will be decided between KGZ, PRK and CHN. I think Ismailov will meet Husiyueto in the SF and since they are the host, he will be the favorite
    there are 4 big names in the bottom half, former World Champ Ryu will meet Sogabe. I think Sogabe will go to the SF against the winner of Atabaev vs Shermakhanmet. it's hard to pick between these 3 guys. my prediction: 
     
    77kg:
    this is a weak filed with only few serious competitors. Zhadrayev has a clean path to the quota. only the Korean might give him a challenge and even that is highly unlikely.
    in bottom half I expect to see IRN vs CHN for the quota. Kaviani beat this Chinese guy twice recently but it was never easy for him. my prediction: 
     
    87kg:
    the terrible seeding system made the top half much easier. the QF match between CHN vs KOR will decide who is going to Paris. I think China is the clear favorite
    bottom half is much harder, our guy Mohmadi has to beat KGZ to reach the SF which I think he will. in the other part we will have JPN vs IND first. both of them are good and it won't be easy to predict but still multiple World medalist Berdimuratov (UZB) will be favorite against any of them. I think Mohmadi and Berdimuratov are claerمy the top 2 here but only one of them goes to Paris. I want to be a bit biased here, so I say 
     
    97kg:
    again another unbalanced draw. out of 4 favorites, 3 of them are in the top half. Assakalov has to beat both KAZ and KGZ to qualify, won't be easy and I think his match vs Zhuzupbekov might be 50/50 I still go with Assakalov and his pure technique
    clearly the first round match between CHN vs KOR will decide the quota with China as the clear favorite (you can never rule out a 1-1 result in heavyweight) 
     
    130kg
    I'm very surprised that Korea is not entering Kim Min-seok, he did good few days ago at the Asian Champs. does it mean the other guy is better than him? I'm going to pick him because of that reason ! but Nesimov (UZB) and even the India Naveen has a chance to beat him. 
    in the bottom half the SF between KAZ and KGZ will be crucial. my prediction: 
     
  9. Like
    MHSN reacted to Fly_like_a_don in Rowing WR Asian/Oceanian Olympic Qualification Regatta 2024   
    https://www.youtube.com/live/Bp_vIC-nVPc?si=MUkKnBZod5L2vMGH
     
    Korea always streams well. Only that you have to search in English their sports federation and translate to Korean and search 
  10. Like
    MHSN got a reaction from Adriano in Sprint Canoeing ACC Asian Championships 2024   
    and  Kazakhstan won a close battle with Japan and Uzbekistan to win the Men's C2 quota.
  11. Like
    MHSN got a reaction from Roamingrover86 in Sprint Canoeing ACC Asian Championships 2024   
    and  Kazakhstan won a close battle with Japan and Uzbekistan to win the Men's C2 quota.
  12. Like
    MHSN got a reaction from Roamingrover86 in Sprint Canoeing ACC Asian Championships 2024   
    Women's K2 quota goes to .... guess who ?  greedy China  they beat Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan narrowly. 
     
    this is China's 2nd string squad. their better athletes are already qualified in WK4. 
  13. Thanks
    MHSN got a reaction from Vic Liu in Sprint Canoeing ACC Asian Championships 2024   
    no they postponed the next two finals (WC2 and MK2) to the start of the next session. heavy wind I assume
  14. Like
    MHSN got a reaction from Josh in Sprint Canoeing ACC Asian Championships 2024   
    no good quality but still
     
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9V-WOh8ZxjI
  15. Like
    MHSN got a reaction from Josh in Sprint Canoeing ACC Asian Championships 2024   
    Women's K2 quota goes to .... guess who ?  greedy China  they beat Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan narrowly. 
     
    this is China's 2nd string squad. their better athletes are already qualified in WK4. 
  16. Like
    MHSN got a reaction from Josh in Sprint Canoeing ACC Asian Championships 2024   
    and  Kazakhstan won a close battle with Japan and Uzbekistan to win the Men's C2 quota.
  17. Like
    MHSN got a reaction from Josh in Wrestling UWW Asian Olympic Qualifier 2024   
    and a bit about Greco
     
    60kg:
    5 Asian wrestlers are already qualified and that makes this competition weaker. much weaker. I think Sultangali (KAZ) already won the quota thanks to the draw unless something super crazy happens. and in the bottom half PRK is the clear favorite, the South Korean guy is totally new but he is probably good that they picked him over Kim H.S. still it's easy to say 
     
    67kg:
    top half will be decided between KGZ, PRK and CHN. I think Ismailov will meet Husiyueto in the SF and since they are the host, he will be the favorite
    there are 4 big names in the bottom half, former World Champ Ryu will meet Sogabe. I think Sogabe will go to the SF against the winner of Atabaev vs Shermakhanmet. it's hard to pick between these 3 guys. my prediction: 
     
    77kg:
    this is a weak filed with only few serious competitors. Zhadrayev has a clean path to the quota. only the Korean might give him a challenge and even that is highly unlikely.
    in bottom half I expect to see IRN vs CHN for the quota. Kaviani beat this Chinese guy twice recently but it was never easy for him. my prediction: 
     
    87kg:
    the terrible seeding system made the top half much easier. the QF match between CHN vs KOR will decide who is going to Paris. I think China is the clear favorite
    bottom half is much harder, our guy Mohmadi has to beat KGZ to reach the SF which I think he will. in the other part we will have JPN vs IND first. both of them are good and it won't be easy to predict but still multiple World medalist Berdimuratov (UZB) will be favorite against any of them. I think Mohmadi and Berdimuratov are claerمy the top 2 here but only one of them goes to Paris. I want to be a bit biased here, so I say 
     
    97kg:
    again another unbalanced draw. out of 4 favorites, 3 of them are in the top half. Assakalov has to beat both KAZ and KGZ to qualify, won't be easy and I think his match vs Zhuzupbekov might be 50/50 I still go with Assakalov and his pure technique
    clearly the first round match between CHN vs KOR will decide the quota with China as the clear favorite (you can never rule out a 1-1 result in heavyweight) 
     
    130kg
    I'm very surprised that Korea is not entering Kim Min-seok, he did good few days ago at the Asian Champs. does it mean the other guy is better than him? I'm going to pick him because of that reason ! but Nesimov (UZB) and even the India Naveen has a chance to beat him. 
    in the bottom half the SF between KAZ and KGZ will be crucial. my prediction: 
     
  18. Like
    MHSN reacted to Federer91 in Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024 Medal Predictions   
    The country is growing in every aspect, bar the sporting one. And this has nothing to do with the EU, as the change started happening already in 1990. It just took 15 years for everything that was built in the prior decades to fully crumble. All results in the 90s and up to Athens was the last pipeline, that was structured in the old system.
     
    The truth is, like JoshMartini mentioned, that sport funding, country wide structuring and people's mentality completely changed in one day after the old regime fell. The next day and upcoming years no one was thinking about sports as an important issue. On the contrary, it became the bottom of the barrel. Which is true to this day still. Every time there is a new Government, in the 20 or so Departments, that are structured, the Sports one is always not taken seriously and the sports Minister is looked like a joke amongst the rest. There were even years, when there was no Sports Ministry and sports were added as a backburner in the Education or Youth Ministry. 
     
    Regardless of the money aspect, i have talked in length before on the old system and how it will never be duplicated. 
     
    In those days, for every kid, from every town and village, it was mandatory to do sport already from 1 grade. Lots of sports, after school sports, not your typical 2 hours a week killing time, like in the present. Then there were agents, or a special committee, that had a job to go to every town, to every school and scout the best children and navigate them to which sport will be best suited for their abilities, so that they can start specifically training in their pre-teenage days. 
     
    After that they were taken first from the local coaches, again every big town had training camps for a dozen sports, it wasn't just the one camp, where you could go train for gymnastics etc. Then there were selections between the different regions and only after that you were elevated to National team status and get the full system structure. 
     
    Nothing like this is being done today. Kids are not only not encouraged to do sports, everything in the system actively tries to discourage them. Any top level athlete we have is purely based on the individual person's desire and a small team around them. 
     
    I can also add the notion, that kids in the 70-90s were waking up and going to bed with only the thought of playing sports. It doesn't have to be on an organized level, just your regular play with friends. You couldn't find a street, where the neighboring children weren't playing. Even in my teen years, in the mid to late 00s, you had to wait your turn for a football field in my school, even though there are 5. Each of them were always taken, from schoolers to people on their 50s playing matches. You make a goal post on the street and play, it was a luxury to get a normal (concrete) pitch. 
     
    You walk in the school today and you would be lucky to see 10 children play after school. Everything is phones, tik tok, instagram, video games, cafes etc. Who wants to sweat doing dumb sports.
     
    Multiply that for the grind and dedication required for how many years before you become an elite athlete, garnered with non-existing funding, crumbling facilities, not enough knowledgeable coaches and staff in general and you get and optimistic prognosis of 5 medals. And yet, it would still be better, than a huge part of the World. People may laugh, but if we had even 40% of the system and desires from the 80s, we could be fighting for a top 20 in the medal table at least..
     
    (Or you could still say it was only magical potions and mushrooms..)
  19. Wow!
    MHSN reacted to Fly_like_a_don in Wrestling UWW Asian Olympic Qualifier 2024   
    @MHSN I guess you can ignore Deepak Punia and Sujeet. They are stranded at Dubai airport last few days with no food, water or sleep.
  20. Like
    MHSN got a reaction from Roamingrover86 in Wrestling UWW Asian Olympic Qualifier 2024   
    OK, let's take a look at freestyle draws
     
    57kg:
    the bracket is somehow balanced but the bottom half looks tougher to me
    no clear favorite in the top half. I think 4 wrestlers have a chance to qualify. Zou (CHN) will face the Kyrgyz wrestler in the QF. and in other QF I expect to see MGL vs IRN. this is clearly our weakest weight and Mohammadnejad has a not-so-easy Russian (representing TJK) in the first round as well. I think any of these 4 wrestlers can qualify. 
    we have 3 clear favorite in the bottom half, Aman (IND) the North Korean and Abdullaev. Aman has to beat Kazakhstan in the first round which is never easy. I always rank Aman very high but PRK in lightweight is something else and this guy won the silver in Hangzhou Asian Games. so I'm trying to not be biased so let's say 
     
    65kg:
    while we have some challengers from KAZ, CHN and the russian mercenary of Bahrain, I think the first round match between Kudiev and Kiyooka will determine the top half quota. Kudiev is a very good Russian (recently bought by TJK) but Kiyooka beat the Olympic Champion Otoguro to make the Japanese team.
    I'm very very surprised that MGL is not entering the Asian Games Champion Tulga. their new guy is not actually new and he was never impressive. I wonder how come he is #1 and Tulga is #2 !! he will face the host favorite Akmataliev. I think the winner of this match will qualify at the end but we also have Sujeet (IND) , I'm not familiar with him but he beat Bajrang back home. he has a big challenge in the first round against Jalalov (UZB) and last but not least is North Korea. Kim KJ won the bronze at the Asian Games and only lost to Tulga. in summary any of these 5 guys can qualify. this is a very tough weight in Asia. while I know I'm most probably wrong but I say 
     
    74kg:
    there are 5 or 6 quality wrestlers in the top half but I think one between Abdurakhmanov, Toktkomambetov or Asluev will qualify. Abdurakhmanov has a tough first round against the Russian-Tajik Evloev. if he wins I don't the QF will be challenging for him. I still pick the Olympic bronze medalist but I know he is getting old and is beatable now
    there are two clear favorite, Kaipanov has a clean path to the SF and our Emami also most probably can win his QF with relative ease. Emami and Kaipanov are old rivals. they had couple of controversial matches before. Emami sometimes chokes when you don't expect him to but still I think 
     
    86kg:
    3 Asian wrestlers are already qualified which makes this a bit easier. but still the draw is quite unbalanced and we have 3 favorite in the top half. Sharipov, Deepak and Ishiguro. I would pick Sharipov but he wrestled few days ago at the Asian Champs (although at 92kg) but still he will be a bit tired so I go with the winner of IND/JPN match, I think Deepak can prevail with his experience but it will be close. 
    in bottom half I don't think the Kyrgyz wrestler can do much so it will be between CHN and MGL. my prediction 
     
    97kg:
    almost all of the favorite are in the bottom half and I think the top half will be between KAZ and CHN (slim chance for Korea) I give it to Yergali but I know the Chinese is well capable of beating him.
    our Azarpira is the favorite for the quota but he has to face the worst possible opponent in the QF. Arash Yoshida if JPN has an Iranian father. he has the same style as our wrestlers mixing it with few Japanese tricks making him very dangerous. but still he is very young and this is his first serious 97kg competition. we also have Olympic bronze medalist grandpa Ibragimov and the Mongolian. any of these 4 wrestlers can qualify (sorry but I give no chance to India) still I think the top 2 seeds will make it 
     
    125kg:
    two big names in the first half, Deng (CHN) and Monkhtor (MGL) the last time they faced Deng beat the Mongolian narrowly but I think it will be different this time.
    I see 4 guys capable of winning the quota in bottom half. Sharipov (the new Russian mercenary) looked good at the Asian Champs. he will be the favorite if he is not tired of back to back competitions. the giant Kazakh Batirmurzaev will be his biggest challenge, also Lazarev (KGZ) can be dangerous, he sometimes wins matches when you don't expect. also the former drug cheat Rakhimov is in the mix. I say 
     
  21. Like
    MHSN got a reaction from Roamingrover86 in Wrestling UWW Asian Olympic Qualifier 2024   
    Brackets are out (the same link) I will write something about it later but from the first look some of our wrestlers got a bit lucky and some got the toughest possible draw. I'm OK with the draw overall. 
  22. Like
    MHSN got a reaction from Adriano in Table Tennis Qualification to Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024   
    This is how ATTU determines its 6th singles quota
     
    is it really necessary? the best Asian player in the ranking will qualify through the World Ranking quotas anyway. 
     
    btw it seems ITTF can never find the best possible format for the qualifiers. I hope they learn one day that they have to award the ranking quotas before the continental qualifiers. I totally understand they have problems with mixed doubles quotas, still they could find a way to deal with it.
  23. Thanks
    MHSN got a reaction from phelps in Shooting ISSF Rifle & Pistol Final World Olympic Qualifier 2024   
    Norouziyan or Norouzian
     
    "ian" is also a common suffix for Persian surnames
  24. Like
    MHSN reacted to Prakash_k in Shooting ISSF Rifle & Pistol Final World Olympic Qualifier 2024   
    Will miss javad foroughi  and mixed air pistol  team of IRAN in paris . So many big name missing this time in air pistol entry list ( javad , omelchuk ,Dikes,pang wei ,jing jong -oh  
  25. Like
    MHSN got a reaction from copravolley in Shooting ISSF Rifle & Pistol Final World Olympic Qualifier 2024   
    Norouziyan or Norouzian
     
    "ian" is also a common suffix for Persian surnames
×
×
  • Create New...