Jumping Abu Dhabi (Nations Cup) CSIO5* Results
The following have achieved 3/3 MER result
Gerfried Puck (Equitron Naxcel V)
The following have achieved 2/3 MER result
Katharina Rhomberg (Cuma)
Joe Whitaker (Hulahupe Jr)
Tim Gredley (Medoc de Toxandria)
William Funnell (Equine America Billy Picador)
Jessica Burke (Nikey HH)
Michael Duffy (Cinca)
Shane Breen (Cuick Star Kervec)
Abdullah Humaid Al Muhairi (Chacolu)
Ahmad Saber Hamcho (Frenchy VDS)
Amre Hamcho (Vagabon des Forets)
The following have achieved 1/3 MER result
Christopher Obernauer (Kleons Renegade)
Donald Whitaker (Millfield Colette)
Trevor Breen (Germaine W)
Abdulrahman Bader Alrajhi (Bablou HD)
Khaled Almobty (Equine America Spacecake)
Ramzy Al Duhami (Untouchable)
Abdullah Alsharbatly (Alamo)
Mohammed Ghanem Al Hajri (G's Fabian)
Shk. Ali Jmal Nasr Al Nuaimi (Casper AJ)
We have our first athlete/horse combo with a complete MER in jumping. Just to let everyone know once an athlete/horse combo has fulfilled the MER requirements I will stop mentioning them. Perhaps in the future I will share a link with everyone who has completed the MER requirements. As a reminder, for the Nations Cup only, an athlete can get the MER is either the first or second round. Also as this (and the Grand Prix event from earlier) were 1.60m events the MER is 8 faults or less as oppose to 4 faults or less in 1.55m events.
Jumping Wellington CSI3* Results
The following have achieved 1/3 MER result
Kent Farrington (Landon)
Daniel Coyle (Gisborne VDL)
Tanimara Maria Macari Carrillo (IB Chica)
Charlotte Jacobs (Edocenta)
Laura Kraut (Calgary Time)
Emilie Conter (Legolas Ter Wilgen)
Nichole Shahinian-Simpson (Akuna Mattata)
Nayel Nassar (El Conde)
Zoe Conter (Davidoff De Lassus)
Mclain Ward (Callas)
Ben Maher (Exit Remo)
Callie Schott (Garant)
Raleigh Hiler (Obora's Chloe)
David Blake (Claude)
Samuel Hutton (Full House Ter Linden Z)
Ashley Vogel (Madiba AG Z)
Adrienne Sternlicht (Faquitol-S)
The first of 12 Wellington events to be held from now until April had a good turn out. The Brazilian group didn't fare too well with none of them reaching the MER, but there's obviously many more opportunities.
Jumping Thermal CSI3* Results
The following have achieved 1/3 MER result
Gregory Wathelet (Clarity)
Ali Ramsay (Bonita VH Keizershof Z)
Lorcan Gallagher (Copycat)
Mavis Spencer (Carissimo 25)
Eric Krawitt (Cactus De Cosniere)
Conor Swail (Theo 160)
Elisa Broz (Kargenta Van't Meerhof)
Kyle King (Sig Chiari)
Cassio Rivetti (Nadale Van Dorperheide)
Conor Swail (Vital Chance De La Roque)
On the west side of the United States things are a bit quieter, but still a decent size is here. Thermal will have five events between now and April.
As for the eventing event in I am unable to find a website. Hopefully the FEI will update the results sooner than later.
Correct. In fact, the Worlds takes priority so even if Sweden finishes 8th, they will still take the Worlds quota for the final qualifier (unless they qualify to the Olympics outright via the European Championships).
Going into the final set of matches of the main round let's look at the Olympics qualification implications.
While it is still possible for Brazil to reach the quarterfinals, it would require not only for them to defeat Iceland, but for Sweden to beat Portugal (good chance, even if they rest some players) and Cape Verde to defeat Hungary (less likely) and for Brazil to make up a 24 goal deficit against Portugal. Assuming that doesn't happen then Africa and Europe will be the top two continents and at their respective continental qualifiers two nations will advance to the final qualification tournament while for Asia and Pan America only one nation will advance.
Should Egypt (assuming they don't win the World Championship quota) or one of the European nations in the quarterfinals win their continent qualifier then the 9th place team will advance to the final Olympic qualifier. Should both scenarios happen then the 10th place will also join them. There are no 9th-12th ranking matches. The third place teams from each group will be ranked based on their group performance. Let's look at the chances for each nation to finish 9th or 10th.
Group I
Should the final matches go as expected, will most likely finish 10th. The nation has a great goal differential (+17) and faces Montenegro where they are favoured to win. Assuming they win, they will only have to watch Serbia to hope they don't win by 6 more goals than they did against Montenegro. While a draw for Slovenia won't completely kill their chances they will have to hope for a bunch of results to go their way. Slovenia could finish 9th, but would require Croatia to draw or lose their final match. While is able to finish third in their group it is mathematically impossible for them to finish 9th or 10th.
Group II
This is the most complicated group as four teams have an opportunity to finish third. has the least chance at finishing 10th as they would have to defeat Iceland by 22 goals AND then hope results in the other groups go their way. is in a similar boat in the event they finish third (though actually finishing third would take specific scenarios, they are much more likely to finish second or fourth) due to their horrible goal differential where they would either need to completely demolish Cape Verde or hope for draws in the other groups. has the goal differential (+7) to not have to rely on crazy results, but probably needs to hope Slovenia fails to defeat Montenegro. Netherlands defeating or drawing Serbia would be a huge help too. actually has a good goal differential (+15), but really needs a draw against Sweden so they can have 6 points, but would still require a bunch of results to go their way.
Group III
is the nation on the outside looking in. They technically have control over their destiny and have the added bonus of knowing how many goals they need to win by in order to finish in the top 10. The downside is the Netherlands likely won't go down that easily and Serbia probably needs to win by double digits to surpass Slovenia. Of course, Slovenia could just not win their match and things become a lot easier. not only needs to defeat Serbia, but probably requires Slovenia to not win as they likely won't make up that goal differential. Even if Slovenia chokes they need to hope Portugal doesn't end up in third and if it's Iceland they would have to outscore them against Serbia.
Group IV
could still finish third in the group, but that would require them to loss a 22 goal differential advantage over Croatia. In the event that does happen they are guaranteed to finish 9th. is most likely to finish 9th out of all the teams. They have arguable the easiest opponent among the teams discussed here and any victory guarantees them 9th or better. Even if they end with a draw, they are in a good position to finish in the top 10, but they would have to look at the other results and hope for no blowouts from Serbia or Iceland. In the event pulls off one of the largest upsets in this tournament, their goal differential is horrible where like Hungary they would need to hope for they other third place teams to fail to get 6 points (or have Hungary as one of the third place teams).
If they defeat Brazil by 19 goals and Portugal doesn't defeat Sweden then they will have a great chance .
More likely, they have a good chance at qualifying to the final qualifier through the European Championships. If they ended up being the second highest ranked eligible European nation they will be in a decent position to qualify.
Going into the final set of matches of the main round let's look at the Olympics qualification implications.
While it is still possible for Brazil to reach the quarterfinals, it would require not only for them to defeat Iceland, but for Sweden to beat Portugal (good chance, even if they rest some players) and Cape Verde to defeat Hungary (less likely) and for Brazil to make up a 24 goal deficit against Portugal. Assuming that doesn't happen then Africa and Europe will be the top two continents and at their respective continental qualifiers two nations will advance to the final qualification tournament while for Asia and Pan America only one nation will advance.
Should Egypt (assuming they don't win the World Championship quota) or one of the European nations in the quarterfinals win their continent qualifier then the 9th place team will advance to the final Olympic qualifier. Should both scenarios happen then the 10th place will also join them. There are no 9th-12th ranking matches. The third place teams from each group will be ranked based on their group performance. Let's look at the chances for each nation to finish 9th or 10th.
Group I
Should the final matches go as expected, will most likely finish 10th. The nation has a great goal differential (+17) and faces Montenegro where they are favoured to win. Assuming they win, they will only have to watch Serbia to hope they don't win by 6 more goals than they did against Montenegro. While a draw for Slovenia won't completely kill their chances they will have to hope for a bunch of results to go their way. Slovenia could finish 9th, but would require Croatia to draw or lose their final match. While is able to finish third in their group it is mathematically impossible for them to finish 9th or 10th.
Group II
This is the most complicated group as four teams have an opportunity to finish third. has the least chance at finishing 10th as they would have to defeat Iceland by 22 goals AND then hope results in the other groups go their way. is in a similar boat in the event they finish third (though actually finishing third would take specific scenarios, they are much more likely to finish second or fourth) due to their horrible goal differential where they would either need to completely demolish Cape Verde or hope for draws in the other groups. has the goal differential (+7) to not have to rely on crazy results, but probably needs to hope Slovenia fails to defeat Montenegro. Netherlands defeating or drawing Serbia would be a huge help too. actually has a good goal differential (+15), but really needs a draw against Sweden so they can have 6 points, but would still require a bunch of results to go their way.
Group III
is the nation on the outside looking in. They technically have control over their destiny and have the added bonus of knowing how many goals they need to win by in order to finish in the top 10. The downside is the Netherlands likely won't go down that easily and Serbia probably needs to win by double digits to surpass Slovenia. Of course, Slovenia could just not win their match and things become a lot easier. not only needs to defeat Serbia, but probably requires Slovenia to not win as they likely won't make up that goal differential. Even if Slovenia chokes they need to hope Portugal doesn't end up in third and if it's Iceland they would have to outscore them against Serbia.
Group IV
could still finish third in the group, but that would require them to loss a 22 goal differential advantage over Croatia. In the event that does happen they are guaranteed to finish 9th. is most likely to finish 9th out of all the teams. They have arguable the easiest opponent among the teams discussed here and any victory guarantees them 9th or better. Even if they end with a draw, they are in a good position to finish in the top 10, but they would have to look at the other results and hope for no blowouts from Serbia or Iceland. In the event pulls off one of the largest upsets in this tournament, their goal differential is horrible where like Hungary they would need to hope for they other third place teams to fail to get 6 points (or have Hungary as one of the third place teams).
Jumping Abu Dhabi (Grand Prix) CSIO5* Results
The following have achieved 2/3 MER result
Billy Twomey (Chat Botte E.D.)
Gerfried Puck (Equitron Naxcel V)
Abdurakhmon Abdullaev (Valour)
Bianca Babanitz (Caipidor)
The following have achieved 1/3 MER result
Emanuele Gaudiano (Chalou)
David Will (My Prins van Dorperheide)
Kristaps Neretnieks (Quintair)
Amre Hamcho (Vagabon des Forets)
Abdel Said (Arpege du Ru(
William Funnell (Equine America Billy Picador)
Ioli Mytilineou (Levis de Muze)
Katharina Rhomberg (Cuma)
Abdulrahman Bader Alrajhi (Bravour)
Rodrigo Giesteira Almeida (Imposant van de Renger)
Decided to show the qualifiers from the Grand Prix event prior to the Nations Cup event. Some athletes have obtained their second MER result after getting one last week while other athletes decided to compete on a different horse. The Austrian pair will have an opportunity to be the first athlete to complete the MER at the Nations Cup tomorrow. Austria still needs to qualify a quota if it wants to compete at the Olympics.
Going into the final set of matches of the main round let's look at the Olympics qualification implications.
While it is still possible for Brazil to reach the quarterfinals, it would require not only for them to defeat Iceland, but for Sweden to beat Portugal (good chance, even if they rest some players) and Cape Verde to defeat Hungary (less likely) and for Brazil to make up a 24 goal deficit against Portugal. Assuming that doesn't happen then Africa and Europe will be the top two continents and at their respective continental qualifiers two nations will advance to the final qualification tournament while for Asia and Pan America only one nation will advance.
Should Egypt (assuming they don't win the World Championship quota) or one of the European nations in the quarterfinals win their continent qualifier then the 9th place team will advance to the final Olympic qualifier. Should both scenarios happen then the 10th place will also join them. There are no 9th-12th ranking matches. The third place teams from each group will be ranked based on their group performance. Let's look at the chances for each nation to finish 9th or 10th.
Group I
Should the final matches go as expected, will most likely finish 10th. The nation has a great goal differential (+17) and faces Montenegro where they are favoured to win. Assuming they win, they will only have to watch Serbia to hope they don't win by 6 more goals than they did against Montenegro. While a draw for Slovenia won't completely kill their chances they will have to hope for a bunch of results to go their way. Slovenia could finish 9th, but would require Croatia to draw or lose their final match. While is able to finish third in their group it is mathematically impossible for them to finish 9th or 10th.
Group II
This is the most complicated group as four teams have an opportunity to finish third. has the least chance at finishing 10th as they would have to defeat Iceland by 22 goals AND then hope results in the other groups go their way. is in a similar boat in the event they finish third (though actually finishing third would take specific scenarios, they are much more likely to finish second or fourth) due to their horrible goal differential where they would either need to completely demolish Cape Verde or hope for draws in the other groups. has the goal differential (+7) to not have to rely on crazy results, but probably needs to hope Slovenia fails to defeat Montenegro. Netherlands defeating or drawing Serbia would be a huge help too. actually has a good goal differential (+15), but really needs a draw against Sweden so they can have 6 points, but would still require a bunch of results to go their way.
Group III
is the nation on the outside looking in. They technically have control over their destiny and have the added bonus of knowing how many goals they need to win by in order to finish in the top 10. The downside is the Netherlands likely won't go down that easily and Serbia probably needs to win by double digits to surpass Slovenia. Of course, Slovenia could just not win their match and things become a lot easier. not only needs to defeat Serbia, but probably requires Slovenia to not win as they likely won't make up that goal differential. Even if Slovenia chokes they need to hope Portugal doesn't end up in third and if it's Iceland they would have to outscore them against Serbia.
Group IV
could still finish third in the group, but that would require them to loss a 22 goal differential advantage over Croatia. In the event that does happen they are guaranteed to finish 9th. is most likely to finish 9th out of all the teams. They have arguable the easiest opponent among the teams discussed here and any victory guarantees them 9th or better. Even if they end with a draw, they are in a good position to finish in the top 10, but they would have to look at the other results and hope for no blowouts from Serbia or Iceland. In the event pulls off one of the largest upsets in this tournament, their goal differential is horrible where like Hungary they would need to hope for they other third place teams to fail to get 6 points (or have Hungary as one of the third place teams).
Eventing gets its first start for ranking points. The west side of the world has the majority of events this week with Wellington hosting its first jumping event of 12 between now and April. However, the biggest event will be in Abu Dhabi.
Currently the format has the top six unqualified nations at the World Championships qualifying to one of three tournaments. Since Oceania won't finish in the top 12, the two best performing continents at the World Championships (likely Europe and Africa) will qualify two teams from their respective continental qualifier while the other two continents will only qualify one team.
Hey guys, if you were around during the 2022 Winter Olympics, you may remember that I made some team size predictions for each nation. I am pleased to say that I will be doing them again for Paris though not as often (because simulating 2,900 athletes is much easier than simulating 10,500 athletes). Over the last month, I've been gathering data from 2022 World Rankings and World Championships to try to see what each NOC team could look like in 2024. There are, however, a few things to note.
Russia and Belarus are NOT INCLUDED in this simulation. Due to the current situation in Ukraine and a lack of participation by both countries, I have decided to exclude them.
North Korea is also not in the simulation because I have no idea what's going on with them
Refugee athletes aren't included either
Tuvalu is currently projected with 0 athletes because there was no athlete that was unable to qualify in any sport under the simulation. If anyone has any idea what they could qualify in, please let me know.
Internal qualification procedures (e.g. Netherlands, New Zealand) are not taken into account.
Simulated universality eligible NOC's are marked with an *
Unfortunately not every quota was able to be filled up. Some sports didn't have enough data to fill in all the quotas. Some sports had athletes take up multiple quotas. And then there is swimming where the IOC decided to make the qualifying standards so hard that after the final number of athletes was still 100 short of the maximum number of quotas.
Despite the absence of Russia and Belarus, the quotas went down drastically from over 11,300 to 10,500. This means that we expect each NOC to have their team, on average, reduced by 8% of their 2020 size. In total, 113 teams had decreased in size, 25 stayed the same size, and 66 increased in size. Each team's change in size is shown next to the NOC name.
So without further ado, let's get started. Please let me know if you have any thoughts. I plan to make another post with some analysis and other statistics about this simulation.
Dressage Neustadt Dosse CDI3* Results
The following have achieved 1/2 MER result
Simone Pearce (Cadeau Noir)
Hendrik Lochthowe (Bricco Barone)
Nicole Wego-Engelmeyer (Citation 3)
Felix Kneese (San Simeon)
Dressage Basel CDI-W Results
The following have achieved 1/2 MER result
Jessica Bredow-Werndl (TSF Dalera BB)
Isabell Werth (DSP Quantaz)
Dinja Liere (Hartsuijker)
Nanna Skodborg Merrald (Blue Hors Zepter)
Benjamin Werndl (Daily Mirror 9)
Patrik Kittel (Forever Young HRH)
Dorothee Schneider (Showtime FRH)
Florian Bacher (Fidertraum OLD)
Corentin Pottier (Gotilas Du Feuillard)
Thamar Zweistra (Hexagon's Double Dutch)
Guillaume Lundy CNE (Tempo Ifce)
Gilles Ngovan (Zigzag)
Jorinde Verwimp (Charmer)
Estelle Wettstein (Quarterboy)
Dressage Wellington CDI-W Results
The following have achieved 1/2 MER result
Adrienne Lyle (Salvino)
Sarah Tubman (First Apple)
Caroline Darcourt (Lord Django)
Anna Marek (Fire Fly)
Tinne Vilhelmson Silfven (Devanto)
Dressage Wellington CDI3* Results
The following have achieved 1/2 MER result
Frederic Wanders (Hot Hit OLD)
Carrie Schopf (Saumur)
Codi Harrison (Katholt's Bossco)
Michael Klimke (Domino)
Megan Lane (Zodiac MW)
Chase Shipka (Gladstone Zee T)
The first CDI-W event in Europe sees everyone that finished the Grand Prix grab an MER result. Looking at the calendar, I see there are seven weeks with events in Wellington from January to March. This make it a good place to farm ranking points without the stress of traveling and still have enough time to fly over to Europe (or stay and travel here). However, only Schopf (who's American-born) and Venezuela's Patricia Ferrando competed this week. Perhaps more will attend in two weeks.
Dressage Exloo CDI3* Results
The following have achieved 1/2 MER result
Charlotte Fry (Dark Legend)
Daniel Bachmann Andersen (Vayron)
Charlotte Heering (Bufranco)
Lynne Maas (Electra)
Annabella Pidgley (Gio)
Charlotte Fry (Don Joe)
Charlotte Fry (Lars van de Hoenderheide)
Helen Erbe (Carlos FRH)
Lina Uzunhasan (Furst Fabelhaft UZN)
Camille Cheret Judet (Herelja Higgins)
Jazmin Yom Tov (Hexagon's Grandville)
Dressage Thermal CDI3* Results
The following have achieved 1/2 MER result
Amy Miller (Encore)
Dressage Thermal CDI-W Results
The following have achieved 1/2 MER result
Steffen Peters (Suppenkasper)
Anna Buffini (FRH Davinia La Douce)
Claire Darnell (Harrold S)
Dressage Exloo CDI3* Results
The following have achieved 1/2 MER result
Charlotte Fry (Dark Legend)
Daniel Bachmann Andersen (Vayron)
Charlotte Heering (Bufranco)
Lynne Maas (Electra)
Annabella Pidgley (Gio)
Charlotte Fry (Don Joe)
Charlotte Fry (Lars van de Hoenderheide)
Helen Erbe (Carlos FRH)
Lina Uzunhasan (Furst Fabelhaft UZN)
Camille Cheret Judet (Herelja Higgins)
Jazmin Yom Tov (Hexagon's Grandville)
Dressage Thermal CDI3* Results
The following have achieved 1/2 MER result
Amy Miller (Encore)
Dressage Thermal CDI-W Results
The following have achieved 1/2 MER result
Steffen Peters (Suppenkasper)
Anna Buffini (FRH Davinia La Douce)
Claire Darnell (Harrold S)
Dressage Exloo CDI3* Results
The following have achieved 1/2 MER result
Charlotte Fry (Dark Legend)
Daniel Bachmann Andersen (Vayron)
Charlotte Heering (Bufranco)
Lynne Maas (Electra)
Annabella Pidgley (Gio)
Charlotte Fry (Don Joe)
Charlotte Fry (Lars van de Hoenderheide)
Helen Erbe (Carlos FRH)
Lina Uzunhasan (Furst Fabelhaft UZN)
Camille Cheret Judet (Herelja Higgins)
Jazmin Yom Tov (Hexagon's Grandville)
Dressage Thermal CDI3* Results
The following have achieved 1/2 MER result
Amy Miller (Encore)
Dressage Thermal CDI-W Results
The following have achieved 1/2 MER result
Steffen Peters (Suppenkasper)
Anna Buffini (FRH Davinia La Douce)
Claire Darnell (Harrold S)
As a reminder, the qualification/ranking period for the 10,000m, decathlon/heptathlon, race walks and relays began on Dec 31st 2022 and will continue until June 30th 2024. Additionally, marathon is also currently active (Nov. 1st 2022 to April 30th 2024). The other events will begin on July 1st 2023 and will end on June 30th 2024.
Valerie Grenier wins giant slalom gold in Kranjska Gora, Slovenia. Her first career World Cup medal. She finished in a combined two run time of 1:55.01, snapping Mikaela Shiffrins five race win streak (She finished 6th). Italian Martina Bassino (1:55.38) won the silver medal, while Pétra Vlohova (1:55.41) won the bronze medal to complete the podium.
JoshMartini007 got a reaction from maestro in Equestrian Qualification to Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024
JoshMartini007 got a reaction from Laraja in Men's Handball IHF World Championship 2023
JoshMartini007 got a reaction from Benolympique in Men's Handball IHF World Championship 2023
JoshMartini007 got a reaction from Josh in Men's Handball IHF World Championship 2023
JoshMartini007 got a reaction from CCB in Men's Handball IHF World Championship 2023
JoshMartini007 got a reaction from nenad in Men's Handball IHF World Championship 2023
JoshMartini007 reacted to Topicmaster1010 in Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024 Qualification Quota Simulation
JoshMartini007 got a reaction from dcro in Equestrian Qualification to Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024
JoshMartini007 got a reaction from Ionoutz24 in Athletics Qualification to Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024