JoshMartini007

Dressage Neustadt Dosse CDI3* Results
The following have achieved 1/2 MER result
Simone Pearce (Cadeau Noir)
Hendrik Lochthowe (Bricco Barone)
Nicole Wego-Engelmeyer (Citation 3)
Felix Kneese (San Simeon)
 
Dressage Basel CDI-W Results
The following have achieved 1/2 MER result
Jessica Bredow-Werndl (TSF Dalera BB)
Isabell Werth (DSP Quantaz)
Dinja Liere (Hartsuijker)
Nanna Skodborg Merrald (Blue Hors Zepter)
Benjamin Werndl (Daily Mirror 9)
Patrik Kittel (Forever Young HRH)
Dorothee Schneider (Showtime FRH)
Florian Bacher (Fidertraum OLD)
Corentin Pottier (Gotilas Du Feuillard)
Thamar Zweistra (Hexagon's Double Dutch)
Guillaume Lundy CNE (Tempo Ifce)
Gilles Ngovan (Zigzag)
Jorinde Verwimp (Charmer)
Estelle Wettstein (Quarterboy)
 
Dressage Wellington CDI-W Results
The following have achieved 1/2 MER result
Adrienne Lyle (Salvino)
Sarah Tubman (First Apple)
Caroline Darcourt (Lord Django)
Anna Marek (Fire Fly)
Tinne Vilhelmson Silfven (Devanto)
 
Dressage Wellington CDI3* Results
The following have achieved 1/2 MER result
Frederic Wanders (Hot Hit OLD)
Carrie Schopf (Saumur)
Codi Harrison (Katholt's Bossco)
Michael Klimke (Domino)
Megan Lane (Zodiac MW)
Chase Shipka (Gladstone Zee T)
 
The first CDI-W event in Europe sees everyone that finished the Grand Prix grab an MER result. Looking at the calendar, I see there are seven weeks with events in Wellington from January to March. This make it a good place to farm ranking points without the stress of traveling and still have enough time to fly over to Europe (or stay and travel here). However, only Schopf (who's American-born) and Venezuela's Patricia Ferrando competed this week. Perhaps more will attend in two weeks.

Jumping - Dannevirke CSI1*-W Results
The following have achieved 1/3 MER results
Phillip Steiner (Cassina Dior)
Maurice Beatson (Central Park)
Julie Davey (LT Holst Freda)
Brooke Edgecombe (LT Holst Andrea)
Tegan Fitzsimon (Windermere Cappuccino)

Dressage Exloo CDI3* Results
The following have achieved 1/2 MER result
Charlotte Fry (Dark Legend)
Daniel Bachmann Andersen (Vayron)
Charlotte Heering (Bufranco)
Lynne Maas (Electra)
Annabella Pidgley (Gio)
Charlotte Fry (Don Joe)
Charlotte Fry (Lars van de Hoenderheide)
Helen Erbe (Carlos FRH)
Lina Uzunhasan (Furst Fabelhaft UZN)
Camille Cheret Judet (Herelja Higgins)
Jazmin Yom Tov (Hexagon's Grandville)
 
Dressage Thermal CDI3* Results
The following have achieved 1/2 MER result
Amy Miller (Encore)
 
Dressage Thermal CDI-W Results
The following have achieved 1/2 MER result
Steffen Peters (Suppenkasper)
Anna Buffini (FRH Davinia La Douce)
Claire Darnell (Harrold S)

The exceptions are so vague that if a player really wanted to attend the Olympics they can easily get around the requirements. Worst case scenario you'd just need a doctor's note suggesting they should take rest for a mild sprain which coincidentally was on the same weeks as the cups.

The Davis Cup/BJK Cup requirements (two appearance, at least one in 2023/2024) still apply, but all players can apply through the exceptions...
 
1) Injury/Illness
2) Newcomer clause (their ranking was too low to be realistically selected until recently)
3) Strength of nation (their nation has too many top players)
4) Historic participation at Davis/BJK Cup and/or Olympics
 
The exceptions are pretty vague, but if you are a young player, an old player, from a nation with many players or just injury prone then you are probably safe.
 
Basically if you are in your mid-20s to low-30s and from a nation with few top players and in good health you better get your Davis/BJK Cup appearances in.

With two singles quotas per gender available to previous GS/gold medal winners I wanted to see who would be eligible. The priority goes to the athlete with the most Grand Slam and Olympic wins with the next tie breaker going to the higher ranked athlete. Athletes must be in the top 400 and not already qualified through the rankings.
 
Here's where we stand after the 2023 Australian Open.
 
Men
Athlete GS/Olympic
Wins
World Ranking Rafael Nadal 23 6 Novak Djokovic 22 1 Andy Murray 5 64 Stan Wawrinka 3 135 Daniil Medvedev 1 12 Alexander Zverev 1 14 Marin Cilic 1 21 Dominic Thiem 1 99 Not too many options since Nadal, Djokovic and the now retired Federer won so many Grand Slams and most will probably qualify via rankings anyway. Murray is pretty safe should he drop in ranking and wants to go for a third Olympic gold. If he doesn't retire, I could see Wawrinka taking the quota. Thiem might be eligible, but he's been on the record at not caring about the Olympics.
 
Women
Athlete GS/Olympic
Wins
World Ranking Venus Williams 8 659 Naomi Osaka 4 65 Iga Swiatek 3 1 Angelique Kerber 3 106 Petra Kvitova 2 13 Simona Halep 2 15 Victoria Azarenka 2 16 Garbine Muguruza 2 82 Svetlana Kuznetsova 2 1292 Aryna Sabalenka 1 2 Belinda Bencic 1 9 Elena Rybakina 1 10 Jelena Ostapenko 1 12 Barbora Krejcikova 1 30 Sloane Stephens 1 39 Bianca Andresscu 1 42 Emma Raducanu 1 77 Sofia Kenin 1 207 I sometimes forget that Venus Williams has not yet retired. Regardless even if she breaks into the top 400 she won't compete at the Olympics due to the United States quite likely already qualifying four women. The same can be said for Russia (should they compete), Czechia and Spain. Given Osaka's decision on taking mental breaks she may still compete at the Olympics even if she decides to take an extended break. Kerber is currently taking a pregnancy leave, but is in a good position to take the quota if her comeback is a bit slow. I wouldn't be surprised if Raducanu ended up taking the quota when all is said and done.

Olympic ranking simulation at January 31st:
 
Dressage
Group A -
Group B -
Group C -
Groups D/E -
Group F - n/a n/a
Group G - n/a
Overall -
Reallocation (provisional) -
 
Eventing
Group A - n/a n/a
Group B - n/a n/a
Group C - n/a n/a
Groups D/E - n/a n/a n/a
Group F - n/a n/a
Group G - n/a n/a
Overall - n/a
Reallocation (provisional) - n/a
 
Jumping
Group A -
Group B -
Group C -
Groups D/E -
Group F -
Group G -
Overall -

A large part of those 40 nations are those that disagree with their participation, but would still compete if BLR/RUS compete. The amount that would boycott is in the single digits (unless something drastically changes for the worst)

He did say, that he wanted to play the 2024 Olympics, though. He loves Roland Garros and has been successful there.

Jumping Hawera CSI1*-W Results
The following have achieved 2/3 MER result
Phillip Steiner (Cassina Dior)
Tegan Fitzsimon (Windermere Cappuccino)
Brooke Edgecombe (LT Holst Andrea)
 
The following have achieved 1/3 MER result
Sophie Scott (Waitangi Skynet)
Sam Whale (Fleur DeLacour)
 
The official result link isn't working right now, but I found an article describing the results here.
 
Jumping Puebla CSI4*-W Results
The following have achieved 1/3 MER result
Jose Saaverdra Garcia (Maximus)
Manuel Gonzales Dufrane (Hortensia van de Leeuwerk)
Arturo Prada Vallejo (Bacot)
Nikolaj Hein Ruus (Bordeaux)
Federico Fernandez (Davidoff)
 
Not sure why a Danish rider is in Mexico, but he at least got the MER unlike the Argentine riders that competed.
 
 
Jumping Wellington CSI4* Results
The following have achieved 2/3 MER result
Laura Kraut (Calgary Time)
 
The following have achieved 1/3 MER result
Ben Maher (Dallas Vegas Batilly)
Shane Sweetnam (Namaste Van Het Eyckeveld)
Kent Farrington (Toulayna)
Richard Vogel (United Touch S)
Lacey Gilbertson (Karlin Van't Vennehof)
Jos Verlooy (Igor)
Natalie Dean (Acota M)
Jordan Coyle (Centriko Volo)
Eduardo Pereira de Menezes (H5 Chaganus)
Mclain Ward (Kasper Van Het Hellehof)
Todd Minikus (Amex Z)
Mimi Gochman (Celina BH)
Lillie Keenan (Argan De Beliard)
Jimmy Torano (Chewbacca HCC)
Spencer Smith (Theodore Manciais)
David O'Brien (El Balou OLD)
Samuel Hutton (C Vier 2)
Jacob Pope (Highway FBH)
Nayel Nassar (Jiminy Cricket)
Emilie Conter (Balento C.S.)
Ashlee Bond (Garfield)
Alicia Gadban-Lewis (Beneficial)
Nicholas Dello Joio (Conthargos)
Daniel Coyle (Ivory TCS)
Amanda Derbyshire (Cornwall BH)
 
I thought we'd get more riders with two MERs, but apparently almost everyone used a different horse relative to last week. We'll probably get some next week.

With two singles quotas per gender available to previous GS/gold medal winners I wanted to see who would be eligible. The priority goes to the athlete with the most Grand Slam and Olympic wins with the next tie breaker going to the higher ranked athlete. Athletes must be in the top 400 and not already qualified through the rankings.
 
Here's where we stand after the 2023 Australian Open.
 
Men
Athlete GS/Olympic
Wins
World Ranking Rafael Nadal 23 6 Novak Djokovic 22 1 Andy Murray 5 64 Stan Wawrinka 3 135 Daniil Medvedev 1 12 Alexander Zverev 1 14 Marin Cilic 1 21 Dominic Thiem 1 99 Not too many options since Nadal, Djokovic and the now retired Federer won so many Grand Slams and most will probably qualify via rankings anyway. Murray is pretty safe should he drop in ranking and wants to go for a third Olympic gold. If he doesn't retire, I could see Wawrinka taking the quota. Thiem might be eligible, but he's been on the record at not caring about the Olympics.
 
Women
Athlete GS/Olympic
Wins
World Ranking Venus Williams 8 659 Naomi Osaka 4 65 Iga Swiatek 3 1 Angelique Kerber 3 106 Petra Kvitova 2 13 Simona Halep 2 15 Victoria Azarenka 2 16 Garbine Muguruza 2 82 Svetlana Kuznetsova 2 1292 Aryna Sabalenka 1 2 Belinda Bencic 1 9 Elena Rybakina 1 10 Jelena Ostapenko 1 12 Barbora Krejcikova 1 30 Sloane Stephens 1 39 Bianca Andresscu 1 42 Emma Raducanu 1 77 Sofia Kenin 1 207 I sometimes forget that Venus Williams has not yet retired. Regardless even if she breaks into the top 400 she won't compete at the Olympics due to the United States quite likely already qualifying four women. The same can be said for Russia (should they compete), Czechia and Spain. Given Osaka's decision on taking mental breaks she may still compete at the Olympics even if she decides to take an extended break. Kerber is currently taking a pregnancy leave, but is in a good position to take the quota if her comeback is a bit slow. I wouldn't be surprised if Raducanu ended up taking the quota when all is said and done.

With two singles quotas per gender available to previous GS/gold medal winners I wanted to see who would be eligible. The priority goes to the athlete with the most Grand Slam and Olympic wins with the next tie breaker going to the higher ranked athlete. Athletes must be in the top 400 and not already qualified through the rankings.
 
Here's where we stand after the 2023 Australian Open.
 
Men
Athlete GS/Olympic
Wins
World Ranking Rafael Nadal 23 6 Novak Djokovic 22 1 Andy Murray 5 64 Stan Wawrinka 3 135 Daniil Medvedev 1 12 Alexander Zverev 1 14 Marin Cilic 1 21 Dominic Thiem 1 99 Not too many options since Nadal, Djokovic and the now retired Federer won so many Grand Slams and most will probably qualify via rankings anyway. Murray is pretty safe should he drop in ranking and wants to go for a third Olympic gold. If he doesn't retire, I could see Wawrinka taking the quota. Thiem might be eligible, but he's been on the record at not caring about the Olympics.
 
Women
Athlete GS/Olympic
Wins
World Ranking Venus Williams 8 659 Naomi Osaka 4 65 Iga Swiatek 3 1 Angelique Kerber 3 106 Petra Kvitova 2 13 Simona Halep 2 15 Victoria Azarenka 2 16 Garbine Muguruza 2 82 Svetlana Kuznetsova 2 1292 Aryna Sabalenka 1 2 Belinda Bencic 1 9 Elena Rybakina 1 10 Jelena Ostapenko 1 12 Barbora Krejcikova 1 30 Sloane Stephens 1 39 Bianca Andresscu 1 42 Emma Raducanu 1 77 Sofia Kenin 1 207 I sometimes forget that Venus Williams has not yet retired. Regardless even if she breaks into the top 400 she won't compete at the Olympics due to the United States quite likely already qualifying four women. The same can be said for Russia (should they compete), Czechia and Spain. Given Osaka's decision on taking mental breaks she may still compete at the Olympics even if she decides to take an extended break. Kerber is currently taking a pregnancy leave, but is in a good position to take the quota if her comeback is a bit slow. I wouldn't be surprised if Raducanu ended up taking the quota when all is said and done.

The first event is set to take part this week, you can watch and see results here.
 
This is an Olympic qualification series where the top 10 eligible men and top 8 eligible women qualify to the Olympics (max two athletes per nation per event and they must finish in the top 34 and 18 respectively).
 
The eligibility requirements likely won't matter too much for the men (outside of the two athletes per nation rule for ), but for the women it might. Only seven eligible athletes are part of the main group, but the first injury reserve is from and thus could sneak into the Olympics should she get enough appearances. She is set to compete in this event, replacing Defay who needs to get better soon lest she gives up what is essentially a free quota.

How about a compromise?
 
Unban Russia/Belarus due to the Ukraine invasion, but ban Russia for their doping scandals?

How about a compromise?
 
Unban Russia/Belarus due to the Ukraine invasion, but ban Russia for their doping scandals?

How about a compromise?
 
Unban Russia/Belarus due to the Ukraine invasion, but ban Russia for their doping scandals?

Egypt almost chocked the 7th place match to Hungary

They are not the favourites to qualify, but will have a chance at grabbing the final quota. With France taking the host quota and Russia being banned from the qualifiers this is a good opportunity for Poland.
 
Still, Great Britain would have to grab the European quota to give Poland their best chance. At the final qualifier they would have to defeat favourites Spain and the non-qualifier between Japan/China.

Standings After 4/7 Events
1. - 78
2. - 66
3. - 66
4. - 52
5. - 52
6. - 36
7. - 36
8. - 21
9. - 17
10. - 16
11. - 11
 
New Zealand holds a commanding lead thanks to winning a third straight event while Australia finished 5th. It would take a horrible performance to lose the title now. Qualification to the Olympics is in a similar boat with Ireland holding a 16-point lead over Fiji and Great Britain. It's technically not over, but just reaching the quarterfinals is all Ireland needs now.

Standings After 5/11 Events
1. - 85
2. - 76
3. - 68
4. - 68
5. - 67
6. - 67
7. - 66
8. - 62
9. - 58
10. - 35
11. - 24
12. - 21
13. - 18
14. - 14
--- - 12
15. - 6
 
After five events we have five winners, showing the versatility of the game on the men's side. Another good showing from Tonga actually puts it ahead of core team Japan despite competing in only two events. Great Britain made it to the quarterfinals for the second time and now has some breathing room from the relegation battle. The battle for the Olympic is shaping up to be a good one with the top 9 all still in contention. Will Oceania fill out most of the top 4 or will the other continents give their lower ranked core nations an opportunity to qualify?

Standings After 4/7 Events
1. - 78
2. - 66
3. - 66
4. - 52
5. - 52
6. - 36
7. - 36
8. - 21
9. - 17
10. - 16
11. - 11
 
New Zealand holds a commanding lead thanks to winning a third straight event while Australia finished 5th. It would take a horrible performance to lose the title now. Qualification to the Olympics is in a similar boat with Ireland holding a 16-point lead over Fiji and Great Britain. It's technically not over, but just reaching the quarterfinals is all Ireland needs now.

Dressage Amsterdm CDI-W Results
The following have achieved 2/2 MER result
Charlotte Fry (Lars van de Hoenderheide)
 
The following have achieved 1/2 MER result
Dinja van Liere (Hermes N.O.P.)
Isabell Werth (Emilio 107)
Ingrid Klimke (Franziskus FRH)
Nanna Skodborg Merrald (Blue Hors Zack)
Kirsten Brouwer (Foundation)
Emmelie Scholtens (Desperado N.O.P.)
Daniel Bachmann Andersen (Zippo M.I.)
Patrik Kittel (Touchdown)
Marieke van der Putten (Torveslettens Titanium RS2)
Helen Langehanenberg (Annabelle 110)
Hans Peter Minderhoud (Glock's Dream Boy N.O.P.)
Charlotte Defalque (Botticelli)
Laura Tomlinson (Fallatijn)
Larissa Pauluis (First-Step Valentin)
 
Everyone that completed their performance got the MER. Charlotte Fry is among the first to get a second MER, though mostly because other riders decided to compete on a different horse this week.
 
Dressage Wellington CDI4* Results
The following have achieved 2/2 MER result
Caroline Darcourt (Lord Django)
Anna-Christina Abbelen (Sam Donnerhall)
Morgan Barbancon (Bolero)
Tinne Vilhelmson Silfven (Devanto)
Claire Darnell (Harrold S)
Carrie Schopf (Saumur)
 
The following have achieved 1/2 MER result
Federic Wanders (Bluetooth OLD)
Morgan Barbancon (Habana Libre A)
Lehua Custer (F.J. Ramzes)
Pablo Gomez Molina (Ulises De Ymas)
Benjamin Ebeling (Indeed)
Kerrigan Gluch (Mejorano HGF)
Caroline Chew (Tribiani)
 
The second week at Wellington saw a bunch of riders pick up their second MER result, including Schopf who is taking an early stab at the individual quota.
 
Dressage Wellington CDI3* Results
The following have achieved 1/2 MER result
Susan Pape (Harmony's Eclectisch)
Caroline Chew (Blue Hors Zatchmo)
Jan Ebeling (Jubi's Tenacity)
 
Relatively quiet as the 3* event at Wellington took a back seat to the 4* event. While Ariana Chia broke 67% overall, she did not obtain a score above 67% from a Level 4 judge.
 
 

So for those who missed it, I simulated every quota for the upcoming olympics which you can find here. @Josh I believe you wanted a breakdown for the Canadian team and I will do that below.
 
Team Size: 300 
# of Sports Qualified In: 36
 
Archery (2):
As is tradition, Canada is currently projected to qualify one athlete in each gender. Eric Peters and Stephanie Barrett are currently the highest ranked Canadian archers. Peters would qualify through the reallocated mixed team quotas and Barrett would qualify through the Pan-American games.
 
Athletics (51):
This is roughly around the number which Canada usually qualifies in athletics. Here's a breakdown of all the athletes below:
 
Men (24):
Mohammed Ahmed - 5000m, 10000m (Achieved Entry Standard in both events)
Marco Arop - 800m (Achieved Entry Standard)
Jerome Blake - 100m, Men's 200m (Achieved Entry Standard in both events)
Aaron Brown - 200m (Achieved Entry Standard in 200m, 10th in 100m World Rankings)
Andre de Grasse - 100m (29th in World Rankings)
Jean-Simon Desgagnes - 3000m Steeplechase (27th in World Rankings)
Evan Dunfee- 20km Race Walk (15th in World Rankings)
John Gay - 3000m Steeplechase (23rd in World Rankings)
Rowan Hamilton - Hammer Throw (23rd in World Rankings)
Trevor Hofbauer - Marathon (264th in World Rankings)
Adam Keenan - Hammer Throw (18th in World Rankings)
Pierce Lepage - Decathlon (Achieved Entry Standard)
Cameron Levins - Marathon (Achieved Entry Standard)
Rory Linkletter - Marathon (258th in World Rankings)
Django Lovett - High Jump (4th in World Rankings)
Brandon McBride - 800m (41st in World Rankings)
Malik Metivier - 400m Hurdles (42nd in World Rankings)
William Paulson - 1500m (41st in World Rankings)
Charles Philibert-Thiboutot - 1500m, 5000m (34th in 1500m World Rankings, 55th in 5000m World Rankings)
Cameron Proceviat - 1500m (49th in World Rankings)
Brendon Rodney - 200m (32nd in World Rankings)
Ryan Smeeton - 3000m Steeplechase (39th in World Rankings)
Benjamin Thorne - 20km Race Walk (50th in World Rankings)
Damian Warner - Decathlon (Achieved Entry Standard)
 
Women (24):
Khamica Bingham - 100m (58th in World Rankings)
Lindsey Butterworth - 800m (23rd in World Rankings)
Kyra Constantine - 400m (40th in World Rankings)
Gabriela Debues-Stafford - 1500m (Achieved Entry Standard)
Malindi Elmore - Marathon (Achieved Entry Standard)
Crystal Emmanuel - 100m (78th in World Rankings)
Lauren Gale - 200m, 400m (59th in 200m World Rankings, 55th in 400m World Rankings)
Elizabeth Gleadle - Javelin Throw (10th in World Rankings)
Michelle Harrison - 100m Hurdles (Achieved Entry Standard)
Natalia Hawthorn - 1500m (65th in World Rankings)
Madeleine Kelly - 800m (36th in World Rankings)
Ceili McCabe - 3000m Steeplechase (37th in World Rankings)
Natassha McDonald - 200m, 400m (64th in 200m World Rankings, 47th in 400m World Rankings)
Sarah Mitton - Shot Put (Achieved Entry Standard)
Christabel Nettey - Long Jump (16th in World Rankings)
Anicka Newell - Pole Vault (33rd in World Rankings)
Alysha Newman - Pole Vault (26th in World Rankings)
Camryn Rogers - Hammer Throw (Achieved Entry Standard)
Leslie Sexton - Marathon (169th in World Rankings)
Jazz Shukla - 800m (49th in World Rankings)
Lucia Stafford - 1500m (43rd in World Rankings)
Jillian Weir - Hammer Throw (10th in World Rankings)
Natasha Wodak - Marathon (Achieved Entry Standard)
Regan Yee- 3000m Steeplechase (35th in World Rankings)
 
+3 additional relay athletes for the Men's 4x100m, Women's 4x100m, and Women's 4x400m relays
 
Obviously, if healthy, De Grasse will also be entered in the 200m event. Ethan Katzberg just missed the hammer throw qualification by one spot in the world rankings.
 
Badminton (8):
Just like in Tokyo, the simulation has Canada qualifying one athlete in every discipline. Brian Yang and Michelle Li are currently ranked 21st and 14th in their respective singles events and both would qualify through the world rankings easily. In the doubles events, Canad benefits from being the best badminton nation in the Americas and they only earned their quotas in men's and mixed doubles because of the need to have a representative from the Americas. Simulated pairs are Adam Dong/Nyl Yakura in men's doubles, Rachel Honderich/Kristen Tsai in women's doubles, and Ty Lindeman/Josephine Wu in mixed doubles.
 
Basketball (12):
Women's team should have no problem qualifying. Unfortunately, the men do not qualify in the simulation because Argentina is still ranked as the 2nd best nation from the Americas. Personally, I'm optimistic that the men can get the job done this time. By biggest qualification wish is for them to qualify.
 
3x3 Basketball (4):
After a stellar season, the women's 3x3 basketball team is predicted to qualify for the games.
 
Boxing (3):
Women's 54kg - Scarlett Delgado
Women's 60kg - Charlie Cavanagh
Women's 66kg - Tammara Thibeault
 
Wyatt Sanford just barely missed qualifying.
 
Breaking (1):
Phil Wizard is predicted to be the lone breakdancer qualifying for Canada. I used the world championships to simulate breakdancing but couldn't find a world ranking. I believe another Canadian just missed qualifying in the men's event.
 
Canoe Slalom (2):
Florence Maheu (Women's K1) and Lois Betteridge (Women's C1) qualify as the winners of the Americas continental qualification events. No men qualify this time.
 
Canoe Sprint (14):
Canada earns quotas in both K4 and C2 events for both genders meaning they'll have at least one boat in every event. I also have Canada earning extra quotas in Women's K1 and C1.
 
BMX (1):
1 athlete in the women's racing event. Molly Simpson is projected to earn the Americas quota.
 
Mountain Biking (2):
Through the nations rankings, Canada is projected to earn one quota in both the men's and women's events. Carter Woods and Emily Batty were the top ranked Canadians.
 
Road Cycling (3):
Through the nations rankings, Canada is projected to qualify 1 man and two women. Based on individual rankings, the quotas would go to Michael Woods, Alison Jackson, and Simone Boilard.
 
Track Cycling (15):
Through the nations rankings, Canada is projected to qualify full sprint teams for both men and women as well as 5 men's distance and 4 women's distance cyclists. This means that Canada would have entries in all the events.
 
Diving (6):
I used the most recent world championships for the diving simulation so the athletes are the same ones. Bryden Hattie in the men's 3m springboard, Nathan Zsombor-Murray and Rylan Wiens in the 10m events, Mia Vallee and Margo Erlam in the women's 3m events and Caeli McKay in the women's 10m platform.
 
Equestrian (9):
Full team in each discipline. Hopefully there won't be any disasters like last time.
 
Fencing (8):
First of all, there's a full team in both men's and women's foil. While not in the top 4, both teams qualify as the best remaining team in the Americas. There's also an additional two athletes that qualify through world rankings. Fares Arfa qualifies in the men's sabre and Gabriella Page qualifies in the women's sabre as the best ranked athletes from the Americas not in the team event.
 
Football (18):
Qualification for the women's team. Just got to beat Jamaica to get back to the Olympics.
 
Golf (4):
As is always the case, 2 per gender qualify through the world rankings. As of the time I did the simulation, the qualified golfers would be Corey Conners (34th), Mackenzie Hughes (46th), Brooke Henderson (7th), and Maude-Aimee Leblanc (146th).
 
Artistic Gymnastics (10):
Women's team already qualified. Based on the results of the 2022 World Championships, I have the men qualifying at the 2023 World Championships. Hopefully that happens.
 
Trampoline (2):
One in each gender (Jeremy Chartier and Sarah Milette)
 
Judo (7):
 
Mens -73kg - Arthur Margelidon (6th in World Rankings)
Men's -81kg - Francois Gauthier Drapeau (15th in World Rankings)
Men's -100kg - Shady Elnahas (6th in World Rankings)
 
Women's -52kg - Kelly Deguchi (Continental Quota)
Women's -57kg - Christa Deguchi (1st in World Rankings)
Women's -63kg - Catherine Beauchemin-Pinard (2nd in World Rankings)
Women's -78kg - Coralie Godbout (Team Event Quota)
 
Now I was informed today that I there was an olympic ranking that I missed where as I used the world rankings for these quotas . Not sure how big of a difference it makes. The only big difference I noticed was that Kyle Reyes was ranked ahead of Elnahas in the Men's -100kg event but either of them could take the quota and then there is of course, the battle in the women's -57kg class as well.
 
Rowing (28):
Quotas in men's single sculls, men's double sculls, men's eight, women's single sculls, women's pair, women's double sculls, women's eight and women's lightweight double sculls.
 
Rugby Sevens (12):
Still have the women's team qualifying despite their decline. However, they just sneak in earning a quota in the final qualification event. Men's team has no like as the United States didn't qualify through the rugby sevens series. The US will play a big factor into whether or not our teams qualify.
 
Sailing (7):
Quotas in men's dinghy (Fillah Karim), men's skiff (Arie Moffat), women's kite (Nataliya Leshko), women's dinghy (Sarah Douglas), and women's skiff (Georgia Lewin-Iafrance). The dinghy and women's skiff quotas were earned through the 2023 world championships while the other quotas were earned through the North American/Caribbean qualification event.
 
Skateboarding (7):
Now this was very interesting. The breakdown is one athlete in men's street and 3 athletes in each of the park events. There were not that many park competitions this year so the numbers could be more inflated because of that. I would expect the number to be less than 7.
 
Sport Climbing (1):
Alannah Yip finds herself returning to the games through the Americas qualifier in the women's combined boulder and lead event.
 
Surfing (2):
I used results from both the world surfing series and the world championships to make a simulation. Strong showings in the world championships from Sanoa Dempfle-Olin and Erin Brooks help them qualify in this simulation.
 
Swimming (23):
 
The following swimmers achieved an olympic qualifying time in 2022 (or open water quota):
 
Men:
Hau-Li Fan - 10km Open Water
Finlay Knox - 200m IM
Joshua Liendo - 50m Freestyle, 100m Freestyle, 100m Butterfly
 
Women:
Mary-Sophie Harvey - 200m IM
Maggie Mac Neil - 100m Butterfly
Kylie Masse - 100m Backstroke, 200m Backstroke
Summer McIntosh - 200m Freestyle, 400m Freestyle, 200m Backstroke, 200m Butterfly, 200m IM, 400m IM
Penny Oleksiak - 100m Freestyle
Taylor Ruck - 200m Freestyle
Katerine Savard - 100m Butterfly
Ingrid Wilm - 100m Backstroke
Kelsey Wog - 200m Breaststroke
 
Additional Relay Athletes:
Javier Acevedo, Sophie Angus, Jeremy Bagshaw, Stephen Calkins, James Dergousoff, Ruslan Gaziev, Ella Jansen, Yuri Kisil, Rachel Nicol, Rebecca Smith, Adam Wu
 
Summer probably isn't going to swim all 6 events that opens the door for another female swimmer in an individual event. Notably, there are some big name IM swimmers like Sydney Pickrem, Tessa Cieplucha or even Bailey Andison that aren't listed. That would probably be a combination of the tough entry standards + Summer taking up two of the four IM spots.
 
Table Tennis (2):
1 in each gender. Eugene Wang and Mo Zhang both qualify through the Americas events.
 
Taekwondo (3):
 
Men's +80kg - Marc-Andre Bergeron (Pan America Tournament)
 
Women's -57kg - Skylar Park (5th in Olympic Rankings)
Women's -67kg - Ashley Kraayeveld (Pan America Tournament)
 
Canada also just missed a quota in the Men's -58kg event.
 
Tennis (6):
Felix Auger-Alissime (6th) and Denis Shapovalov (18th) qualify in men's singles. Leylah Fernandez (40th), Bianca Andreescu (46th), and Rebecca Marino (63rd) qualify in women's singles. Gabriella Dabrowski joins the team for the doubles event.
 
Triathlon (4):
Charles Paquet (51st) and Jeremy Briand (70th) qualify through the men's olympic rankings. Emy Legault (20th) qualifies through the women's olympic rankings and Amelie Kretz receives a reallocated quota place. This would mean that Canada would be able to enter a mixed relay team.
 
Beach Volleyball (4):
No teams in men's again. For the women, the teams were Brandie/Bukovec and Pavan/Melissa when I was gathering the data but the teams have reformed now. Either way, I still think we'll qualify two women's teams since there's also the McNamara sisters who could also qualify.
 
Water Polo (12):
Women's team. Assuming the United States qualifies through the World Championships, Canada should be able to take the Americas quota.
 
Weightlifting (1):
With quotas reduced significantly, only Maude Charron is able to qualify in the women's 59kg event. Maybe Boady Santavy could qualify too.
 
Wrestling (6):
 
Men's 97kg Freestyle - Nishan Randhawa (Americas Qualification Tournament)
Men's 125kg Freestyle - Amarveer Dhesi (Americas Qualification Tournament)
 
*Very close to qualifying another men's quota in an event I can't remember
 
Women's 50kg Freestyle - Madison Parks (Americas Qualification Tournament)
Women's 62kg Freestyle - Ana Godinez Gonzalez (2023 World Championships)
Women's 68kg Freestyle - Linda Morais (2023 World Championships)
Women's 76kg Freestyle - Justina di Stasio (Americas Qualification Tournament)
 
 
Sports not qualified in:
 
Artistic Swimming:
This is a bit of a shocker but that's because we decided not to participate in many of the events at the world championships. I would expect Canada to at least qualify a duet since the US beat us at the team event during the World Championships.
 
Field Hockey:
Unfortunately, both teams were too low in the world rankings to qualify in this simulation. Maybe we'll qualify a team, maybe we won't. Could go either way.
 
Indoor Volleyball:
Men's team is on the decline. Women's team is on the rise but still not high enough in the world rankings. Could qualify, maybe not. Who knows.
 
Handball: No way. Modern Pentathlon: Probably not. Shooting: Maybe we'll qualify an athlete.

I only found out the podium winners, but no news on the scores. Will have to wait for FEI.
 
 
 

Jumping Abu Dhabi (Nations Cup) CSIO5* Results
The following have achieved 3/3 MER result
Gerfried Puck (Equitron Naxcel V)
 
The following have achieved 2/3 MER result
Katharina Rhomberg (Cuma)
Joe Whitaker (Hulahupe Jr)
Tim Gredley (Medoc de Toxandria)
William Funnell (Equine America Billy Picador)
Jessica Burke (Nikey HH)
Michael Duffy (Cinca)
Shane Breen (Cuick Star Kervec)
Abdullah Humaid Al Muhairi (Chacolu)
Ahmad Saber Hamcho (Frenchy VDS)
Amre Hamcho (Vagabon des Forets)
 
The following have achieved 1/3 MER result
Christopher Obernauer (Kleons Renegade)
Donald Whitaker (Millfield Colette)
Trevor Breen (Germaine W)
Abdulrahman Bader Alrajhi (Bablou HD)
Khaled Almobty (Equine America Spacecake)
Ramzy Al Duhami (Untouchable)
Abdullah Alsharbatly (Alamo)
Mohammed Ghanem Al Hajri (G's Fabian)
Shk. Ali Jmal Nasr Al Nuaimi (Casper AJ)
 
We have our first athlete/horse combo with a complete MER in jumping. Just to let everyone know once an athlete/horse combo has fulfilled the MER requirements I will stop mentioning them. Perhaps in the future I will share a link with everyone who has completed the MER requirements. As a reminder, for the Nations Cup only, an athlete can get the MER is either the first or second round. Also as this (and the Grand Prix event from earlier) were 1.60m events the MER is 8 faults or less as oppose to 4 faults or less in 1.55m events.
 
Jumping Wellington CSI3* Results
The following have achieved 1/3 MER result
Kent Farrington (Landon)
Daniel Coyle (Gisborne VDL)
Tanimara Maria Macari Carrillo (IB Chica)
Charlotte Jacobs (Edocenta)
Laura Kraut (Calgary Time)
Emilie Conter (Legolas Ter Wilgen)
Nichole Shahinian-Simpson (Akuna Mattata)
Nayel Nassar (El Conde)
Zoe Conter (Davidoff De Lassus)
Mclain Ward (Callas)
Ben Maher (Exit Remo)
Callie Schott (Garant)
Raleigh Hiler (Obora's Chloe)
David Blake (Claude)
Samuel Hutton (Full House Ter Linden Z)
Ashley Vogel (Madiba AG Z)
Adrienne Sternlicht (Faquitol-S)
 
The first of 12 Wellington events to be held from now until April had a good turn out. The Brazilian group didn't fare too well with none of them reaching the MER, but there's obviously many more opportunities.
 
Jumping Thermal CSI3* Results
The following have achieved 1/3 MER result
Gregory Wathelet (Clarity)
Ali Ramsay (Bonita VH Keizershof Z)
Lorcan Gallagher (Copycat)
Mavis Spencer (Carissimo 25)
Eric Krawitt (Cactus De Cosniere)
Conor Swail (Theo 160)
Elisa Broz (Kargenta Van't Meerhof)
Kyle King (Sig Chiari)
Cassio Rivetti (Nadale Van Dorperheide)
Conor Swail (Vital Chance De La Roque)
 
On the west side of the United States things are a bit quieter, but still a decent size is here. Thermal will have five events between now and April.
 
 
As for the eventing event in I am unable to find a website. Hopefully the FEI will update the results sooner than later.