According to my mathematical model for @THR, @NomadlandFilm is the current leader in the Best Picture race, while @PromisingFilm, @TrialOfChicago7, @MinariMovie, @MankFilm, and @ONIMfilm are likely nominees. pic.twitter.com/Atnmlhj0Dk

— Ben Zauzmer (@BensOscarMath) March 13, 2021