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DaniSRB

How Many Medals do You Expect from Your Nation at the Summer Olympic Games 2020? (2018 version)

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My predictions:

 

Archery: 0-1 medals

Athletics: 4-6

Boxing: 0-2

Canoeing: 6-9

Cycling Road: 0-1

Cycling Track: 1-4

Diving: 0-1

Equestrian: 4-6

Fencing: 0-1

Field Hockey: 0-2

Football: 0-2

Gymnastics: 0-2

Handball: 0-1

Judo: 2-4

Modern Pentathlon: 0-2

Rowing: 1-4

Sailing: 0-2

Shooting: 2-5

Sportclimbing: 0-1

Swimming (including Open Water): 0-3

Table Tennis: 0-2

Taekwondo: 0-1

Tennis: 0-2

Triathlon: 0-1

Volleyball (including Beach): 0-1

Wrestling: 0-3

Rest: 0

 

Overall: 19 - 66

 

19+66 = 85

 

85/2 = 42,5

 

So my prediction is 42 to 43 medals for Germany.

 

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My early  prediction for Italy:

 

Archery 1 medal (men team as the best chance but possible also mixed team and Nespoli in individual) 

Athletics 1 medal (Palmisano in race walking and Tamberi  in high jump could have a chance) 

Canoeing 1 medal (i think among both k1 slalom, k 1 200 man, c2 1000 man 1 medal should be possible) 

Cycling road 1 medal (Nibali, Longo Borghini, Guderzo, and also Moscon in time trial are the best chances) 

Cycling track 2 medals (men pursuit, men and women omnium and men Madison as the best chances) 

Cycling MTB 1 medal (men race) 

Fencing 5 medals ( 3 or 4 medals from foil, 1 from men team sarbre and 1 from epee) 

Gymnastics artistic 1 medal (I think something good from the young girls) 

Rhytmics 1 medal  from team

Judo 1 medal (Basile, Lombardo, Giuffrida, men 81 kg, Gwend are possible medal contenders) 

Modern pentathlon 1 medal (more an hope than a real chance but especially girls are very talented) 

Karate 2 medals (women kata, Cardin, Busà and Crescenzo are medal contenders) 

Rowing  3 medals (four, quadruple, pair and lightweight double are medal contenders, then there is the dream of a medal from the 8, of course all men boats) 

Sailing 1 medal (Nacra for sure then both Rsx and men 470 could have a chance) 

Shooting 3 medals (Skeet, trap and mixed trap for sure, then there is Zublasing) 

Swimming 4 medals (pool and open water:Detti in 400 and 800, Paltrinieri in 800, 1500 and open water, Quadarella in 1500, Miressi in 100, 4x100 men freestyle, Cusinato in 400 medley, Bridi and Bruni in open water, I think this will be the best national team Italy ever had, many very good swimmers for final but I fear not for medals) 

Volleyball 1 medal (counting also beach volley: women team and Nicai Lupo in beach are medal contenders) 

Waterpolo 1 medal (probably men more likely than women) 

Wrestling 1 medal (Chamizo) 

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vor 4 Stunden schrieb EselTheDonkey:

My predictions:

 

Archery: 0-1 medals

Athletics: 4-6

Boxing: 0-2

Canoeing: 6-9

Cycling Road: 0-1

Cycling Track: 1-4

Diving: 0-1

Equestrian: 4-6

Fencing: 0-1

Field Hockey: 0-2

Football: 0-2

Gymnastics: 0-2

Handball: 0-1

Judo: 2-4

Modern Pentathlon: 0-2

Rowing: 1-4

Sailing: 0-2

Shooting: 2-5

Sportclimbing: 0-1

Swimming (including Open Water): 0-3

Table Tennis: 0-2

Taekwondo: 0-1

Tennis: 0-2

Triathlon: 0-1

Volleyball (including Beach): 0-1

Wrestling: 0-3

Rest: 0

 

Overall: 19 - 66

 

19+66 = 85

 

85/2 = 42,5

 

So my prediction is 42 to 43 medals for Germany.

 

I think it's not impossible to win more than 6 medals in athletics, more than 4 medals in track cycling, more than 6 medals in equestrian, more than 3 medals in swimming and more than 2 medals in tennis. Winning the same number of medals as in 2016 might not seem bad, but will all the new events being equally successful as in 2016 would probably mean to win 46-48 medals.

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Aquatics
 - Artistic swimming: lol
 - Diving: 0
 - Swimming: 1-4 (depending on the shape of Kromowidjojo/Heemskerk)
 - Water polo: 0-1
Archery: 0-1
Athletics: 1-2 (mad Dafne's coach left so she could get 2 medals by herself, potentially)
Badminton: 0
Baseball/softball: 0-1
Basketball (incl 3x3): 0
Boxing: 0-1
Canoeing: 0
Cycling
 - BMX freestyle: 0
 - BMX racing: 0-2
 - Mountain bike: 0-1
 - Road cycling: 2-5
 - Track cycling: 0-3
Equestrian: 0-1
Fencing: 0
Field hockey: 1-2
Football: 0-1
Golf: 0
Gymnastics: 0-1
Handball: 0-1
Judo: 0-2
Karate: 0-1
Modern pentathlon: 0
Rowing: 0-1
Rugby sevens: 0
Sailing: 1-2
Shooting: 0
Skateboarding: 0
Sport climbing: 0
Surfing: 0
Table tennis: 0
Taekwondo: 0-1
Tennis: 0-1
Triathlon: 0
Volleyball (indoor): 0
Volleybal (beach): 0-1
Weightlifting: 0
Wrestling: 0

 

So anything from 6 to 35 :p 

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2 godziny temu, heywoodu napisał:

So anything from 6 to 35 :p 

That's what I call precision :p 

 

Aquatics
 - Artistic swimming: 0 (no athletes)
 - Diving: 0
 - Swimming: 0
 - Water polo: 0 (no teams)
Archery: 0
Athletics: 3-5
Badminton: 0
Baseball/softball: 0 (no teams)
Basketball (incl 3x3): 0-1 (I don't believe in medal here, but our men's 3x3 team was 4th at last WCh so there are some chances)
Boxing: 0
Canoeing: 2-3
Cycling
 - BMX freestyle: 0 (no athletes)
 - BMX racing: 0 (no athletes)
 - Mountain bike: 0-1
 - Road cycling: 0-1
 - Track cycling: 0-1 
Equestrian: 0
Fencing: 0
Field hockey: 0 (no teams)
Football: 0 (no teams)
Golf: 0
Gymnastics: 0
Handball: 0 (no teams)
Judo: 0
Karate: 0-1 
Modern pentathlon: 0
Rowing: 2-3
Rugby sevens: 0 (no teams)
Sailing: 0-2
Shooting: 0-1
Skateboarding: 0 (no athletes)
Sport climbing: 0
Surfing: 0 (no athletes)
Table tennis: 0
Taekwondo: 0-1
Tennis: 0
Triathlon: 0
Volleyball (indoor): 0-1
Volleybal (beach): 0 (I have little faith in our beach volleyball players at main event of season/four years)
Weightlifting: 0-1
Wrestling: 0-1

 

So 7-23 if I'm not wrong, but I think it will be 10-11 like at every summer olympics in this century

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