DaniSRB 896 Posted January 13, 2018 #1 Share Posted January 13, 2018 It's time to make early prediction. Post Olympic year is done and we are entering qualification period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinipereira 3,054 Posted January 18, 2018 #2 Share Posted January 18, 2018 Super early predictions indeed, but let's see. I guess Brazil's situation can be compared only to Greece among the recent hosts: Greece Medals in Sydney: 13 (4 golds) Medals in Athens: 16 (6 golds) Medals in Beijing: 3 (no golds) Brazil: Medals in London: 17 (3 golds) Medals in Rio: 19 (7 golds) Medals in Tokyo: ??? If we're talking about total medals, Brazil and Greece didn't improve a lot at home compared to the previous edition, but had a very good result counting gold medals only. I expect a fall of those numbers for Tokyo, maybe not so big like Greece's, but right now I'm predicting 12 medals. (for this prediction, I won't predict the "colors", because it's too early for this) Sports that gaves us medals in almost every edition since 1996 Volleyball/Beach Volleyball: 2 to 3 medals should be reachable. Judo: 2 to 3 medals. I think we have a good chance at the new team event. Football: 1 medal, but now that we have a gold, will we care to send the best team? Sailing: 1 medal. Total: 5-8 medals Sports that occasionally gave us medals in the last two decades Athletics/Swimming: I think we can reach 2 medals from the two big sports combined, or at least 1 (Open water?). Canoeing: 1 medal should be possible if Isaquias mantains his level. Boxing/Taekwondo: 1 medal, but I could easily see Brazil getting none here. Equestrian/Gymnastics/Modern Pentathlon/Shooting: maybe 1 medal among these. Total: 2-5 medals The other sports (including the "new" ones) Basketball: the only other sport not previously mentioned in which we have medals. Pretty sure we won't return to the podium in Tokyo (we won't even qualify). Karate/Skateboarding/Surfing: If everything goes according to plan, we should get at least 2 medals among those. If not, at least 1 medal. Other sports: unless some new name rises, I don't think we will medal in a new sport (except for the ones included for the first time in Tokyo). Tennis should be a possibility, but Melo/Soares aren't great playing together. Total: 1-2 medals Pessimistic: 8 medals Optmistic: 15 medals Early prediction: 12 medals George_D 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
intoronto 4,236 Posted January 18, 2018 #3 Share Posted January 18, 2018 For Canada this has to be the most successful Olympics minus La84. I would estimate 23-26 medals. George_D 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LDOG 2,199 Posted January 18, 2018 #4 Share Posted January 18, 2018 (edited) - Edited February 3, 2019 by LDOG George_D 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Agger 1,591 Posted January 18, 2018 #5 Share Posted January 18, 2018 I would guess 10-12 medals for Denmark seems reasonable to believe in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
De_Gambassi 896 Posted January 18, 2018 #6 Share Posted January 18, 2018 New sports/events should help to bring us to ~45 medals. If Paris 2024 brings its first fruits we may look at ~50 medals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaniSRB 896 Posted January 18, 2018 Author #7 Share Posted January 18, 2018 1 hour ago, De_Gambassi said: New sports/events should help to bring us to ~45 medals. If Paris 2024 brings its first fruits we may look at ~50 medals. were people in France satisfied with 2016 performance? As international French supporter, 10 golds for me were very little , and that disaster in track cycling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
De_Gambassi 896 Posted January 18, 2018 #8 Share Posted January 18, 2018 il y a 3 minutes, DaniSRB a déclaré: were people in France satisfied with 2016 performance? As international French supporter, 10 golds for me were very little , and that disaster in track cycling The early Rio days were a disaster (something like one medal after four days), so at the end of the day, it was ok/satisfactory (considering the early days, it could have been soooooooo much worse). IIRC, 42 medals was the objective which would have been a record in modern days (which now have been beaten again by... Beijing 08 thanks to doping cases ) Golds were lacking a bit indeed, but the overall 7th spot in the medals table was judged fine.. Track cycling was indeed a disaster (only one bronze medal). It's the one sport (whith perhaps swimming) where we should gain a lot in Tokyo (if anything, Mathilde Gros should make sure of it). Boxing (6 medals) will certainly take a hit, but the introcution of Karate will hopefully compensate it. DaniSRB 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcro 10,179 Posted January 18, 2018 #9 Share Posted January 18, 2018 10 minutes ago, De_Gambassi said: The early Rio days were a disaster (something like one medal after four days), so at the end of the day, it was ok/satisfactory (considering the early days, it could have been soooooooo much worse). IIRC, 42 medals was the objective which would have been a record in modern days (which now have been beaten again by... Beijing 08 thanks to doping cases ) Golds were lacking a bit indeed, but the overall 7th spot in the medals table was judged fine.. Track cycling was indeed a disaster (only one bronze medal). It's the one sport (whith perhaps swimming) where we should gain a lot in Tokyo (if anything, Mathilde Gros should make sure of it). Boxing (6 medals) will certainly take a hit, but the introcution of Karate will hopefully compensate it. Certain equestrian medals were handed out on the 4th day... #banbestmen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
De_Gambassi 896 Posted January 18, 2018 #10 Share Posted January 18, 2018 Juste maintenant , dcro a déclaré: Certain equestrian medals were handed out on the 4th day... You... have a great memory. The 4th day was ineed great with five medals, including the two equestrian ones. We only had one before that day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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