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Speed Skating ISU Allround & Sprint World Championships 2020


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About 15 minutes to go. :cheer:

 

Just for fun, I'll make a prediction for the women's sprint tournament, because in my eyes that's the most difficult one to predict this weekend:

 

  • Bowe performed poorly in Salt Lake City and Calgary, but perhaps this sea-level track helps her getting back to her high level.
  • Ter Mors is a big question mark for me as she hasn't skated many competitions in the past two years after she had an injury during the 2018-2019 season and this season she was suffering from illness a lot.
  • Leerdam won the 1.000m world title two weeks ago, but she hasn't competed in a 500m since her win at the national championships. Furthermore, I'm not sure if that win was a fluke as the main favorites showed disappointing times there and she outdid herself.
  • Takagi wasn't impressive on the 1.000 in Salt Lake City, the distance on which I think on average she's the best in the world. That's why I put her a little lower than what she's capable of when she's in shape.
  • Herzog is good on the 500m, but hasn't shown much on the 1.000m throughout the season.
  • The Koreans went with a weird choice when you have Kim Min-Sun and Kim Hyun-Yung as well who are better than Kim Min-Ji in both distances.

 

Rank Skater Points
01. :JPN Nao Kodaira 149,905
02. :RUS Daria Kachanova 150,000
03. :USA Brittany Bowe 150,075
04. :RUS Olga Fatkulina 150,085
05. :RUS Angelina Golikova 150,400
06. :JPN Miho Takagi 150,605
07. :NED Jutta Leerdam 150,800
08. :AUT Vanessa Herzog 151,325
09. :NED Letitia de Jong 151,450
10. :USA Kimi Goetz 152,255
11. :NED Jorien ter Mors 152,305
12. :CAN Kaylin Irvine 152,685
13. :JPN Arisa Go 152,740
14. :CAN Heather McLean 153,785
15. :POL Kaja Ziomek 153,935
16. :CHN Zhao Xin 154,685
17. :TPE Huang Yu-Ting 155,695
18. :CHN Li Qishi 155,790
19. :BLR Hanna Nifantava 155,835
20. :CHN Tian Ruining 156,160
21. :CAN Abigail McCluskey 157,020
22. :POL Andżelika Wójcik 157,065
23. :NOR Ida Njåtun 157,145
24. :GER Katja Franzen 157,540
25. :NOR Hege Bøkko 157,780
26. :BEL Stien Vanhoutte 159,065
27. :KOR Kim Min-Ji

162,350

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After the first 500m:

 

I really overestimated the speed of the track. I'd expected a winning time around 37,25 like the World Cup last year. On average, skaters were about 0,30 slower than I predicted.

 

After the first 500m, I'd say these are the winners and losers among the favorites and outsiders.

 

  • Winners: :JPN Miho Takagi
  • Losers: :RUS Daria Kachanova, :USA Brittany Bowe, :RUS Angelina Golikova (almost fell), :NED Jutta Leerdam and :NED Letitia de Jong

 

Overall :BLR Hanna Nifantava did the poorest compared to what I predicted, whereas :CHN Li Qishi did the best as she's more of a 1.000m specialist.

 

This will be an exciting battle between :JPN Kodaira, :JPN Takagi and :RUS Fatkulina now.

 

 

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Close first 500m in the men's sprint tournament. :CAN Dubreuil wins the race and won bronze on the 1.000m at the World Distance Championships two weeks ago, so he might challenge the Russians here. Pretty much all 1.000m specialists apart from :RUS Kulizhnikov and :CAN Dubreuil showed disappointing times.

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Right, they can hand out the gold to Miho Takagi :p 

If you'd like to help our fellow Totallympics member Bruna Moura get to the 2026 Winter Olympics, after her car crash on the way to the 2022 Olympics, every tiny bit of help would be greatly appreciated! Full story and how to help can be found here!

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After the first 1.000m:

 

  • Top contenders/outsiders:
    • On average, most times on this first 1.000m were around what I expected, but there were some great outliers on both sides:
    • Out of the favorites and outsiders, :JPN Arisa Go, :NED Jorien ter Mors and :JPN Miho Takagi had the best 1.000m.
    • :RUS Daria Kachanova, :AUT Vanessa Herzog and :JPN Nao Kodaira were the biggest disappointments on this first 1.000m.
  • Outside of the top contenders:
    • :KOR Kim Min-Ji did a lot better than I expected closing the gap to the rest, but I still think she'll finish last, :NOR Hege Bøkko and :CHN Zhao Xin/Li Qishi did well to.
    • :BLR Hanna Nifantava didn't do well and neither did the two Polish ladies.

 

Thoughts after Day 1:

 

  • Top contenders/outsiders:
    • :JPN Miho Takagi will win the world title by a landslide if nothing unusual happens tomorrow. Not what I expected after her results in Salt Lake City.
    • :RUS Olga Fatkulina and :JPN Nao Kodaira will fight for silver and bronze.
    • The skaters who did the best overall compared to the rest of their season: :JPN Miho Takagi, :JPN Arisa Go and :NED Jorien ter Mors.
    • Biggest disappointments for me are :RUS Daria Kachanova, :USA Brittany Bowe and :RUS Angelina Golikova.
  • Outside of the favorites/outsiders:
    • Top 3 performers for me today were 1. :CHN Li Qishi, 2. :KOR Kim Min-Ji and 3. :NOR Hege Bøkko.
    • Disappointments were 1. :POL Andżelika Wójcik, 2. :BLR Hanna Nifantava and 3. :GER Katja Franzen, all having shown much better results during this season.
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After the second 500m:

 

  • Top contenders/outsiders:
    • Best results for: 1. :JPN Miho Takagi, 2. :JPN Nao Kodaira and 3. :CAN Kaylin Irvine
    • Worst results for: 1. :AUT Vanessa Herzog, 2. :RUS Daria Kachanova, 3. :USA Brittany Bowe
  • Other skaters:
    • Best results for: 1. :NOR Hege Bøkko, 2. :CHN Li Qishi, 3. :CHN Zhao Xin
    • Worst results: 1. :POL Andżelika Wójcik, 2. :BLR Hanna Nifantava, 3. :BEL Stien Vanhoutte

 

Overall:

 

  • Expected podium is now :JPN Miho Takagi, 2. :JPN Nao Kodaira and 3. :RUS Olga Fatkulina. Miho will be the only one who will finish below 150 points (even below 149 points).
  • Biggest disappointments this tournament: 1. :RUS Daria Kachanova, 2. :USA Brittany Bowe, 3. :AUT Vanessa Herzog. Kachanova has retired after this 500m.
  • :POL Andżelika Wójcik now most likely to finish last, even though I expected her to finish more than 5 points in front of :KOR Kim Min-Ji. :facepalm:
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Everything that's Russian is withdrawing suddenly :lol: 

If you'd like to help our fellow Totallympics member Bruna Moura get to the 2026 Winter Olympics, after her car crash on the way to the 2022 Olympics, every tiny bit of help would be greatly appreciated! Full story and how to help can be found here!

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What a tournament for Shinhama :bowdown:

If you'd like to help our fellow Totallympics member Bruna Moura get to the 2026 Winter Olympics, after her car crash on the way to the 2022 Olympics, every tiny bit of help would be greatly appreciated! Full story and how to help can be found here!

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Karolina Bosiek with an excellent start to her tournament. Interestingly, she is born on 20-02-2000, meaning she turned 20 on 20-02-2020 :d 

If you'd like to help our fellow Totallympics member Bruna Moura get to the 2026 Winter Olympics, after her car crash on the way to the 2022 Olympics, every tiny bit of help would be greatly appreciated! Full story and how to help can be found here!

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