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How Many Athletes will Your Nation Qualify for the Summer Olympic Games 2020?


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10 ore fa, Gianlu33 ha scritto:

Let's start :d

 

icon_oly01.png Archery: Italy will provabily qualify all athletes without big problems.

icon_oly03.png Artistic Swimming: We improve in the last 10 years, like in Rio the objective in archive the full quota.

icon_oly02.png Athletics: In London and in Rio we qualified 38 athletes, we can try to sent in Rio 45 athletetes.

icon_oly04.png Badminton: I will put my money on Caponio and Garino/Iversen, it will be hard.

icon_oly29.png Baseball: No chance here, Netherlands will win the european quota.

icon_oly05.png Basketball: With some luck our men's team can back at the games.

icon_oly26.png Beach Volleyball: Probabily 3 pairs (2 M +1 W)

icon_oly06.png Boxing: From 5 to 7 quotas

icon_oly07.png Canoeing - Slalom: We improve a lot in canoe slalom, 4 quotas can be a good result

icon_oly07.png Canoeing - Sprint: Around 6 athletes... I hope

icon_oly08.png Cycling - BMX: Maybe 1, maybe 0... who know

icon_oly08.png Cycling - Mountain Bike: 2/3 men and 1 woman.

icon_oly08.png Cycling - Road: Italy will easy qualify the max contigent

icon_oly08.png Cycling - Track: Italy is actually without a velodrome :facepalm:

icon_oly03.png Diving: Let's hope that Cagnotto will back... 

icon_oly09.png Equestrian: It will be amazing if we reach to qualify the jumping and the eventing team. Our dressage is dead

icon_oly10.png Fencing: 24 athletes, why not? :d

icon_oly15.png Field Hockey: Women's team are our biggest hope

icon_oly11.png Football: I don't know... we'll host the U21 European championship, we can try to reach the semifinals.

icon_oly13.png Golf: 2 M + 1 W

icon_oly12.png Gymnastics - Artistic: Around 6 athletes

icon_oly12.png Gymnastics - Rhythmic: Full quotas :)

icon_oly12.png Gymnastics - Trampoline: Our biggest athlete is a 37 years old and he will watch the Games on his sofa

icon_oly14.png Handball: Italian handball? What is?

icon_oly16.png Judo: From 6 to 8 quotas

icon_oly29.png Karate: Very strict qualification process, from 1 to 4.

icon_oly17.png Modern Pentathlon: We have a great women's team and a nice men's team.. 3/4 quotas I guess


icon_oly18.png Rowing: From 23 to 27 quotas


icon_oly19.png Rugby Sevens: What? :p

icon_oly20.png Sailing: Like in Rio, 13 quotas.

icon_oly21.png Shooting: I guess 13 quotas

icon_oly29.png Skateboarding: I know only Ivan Federico

icon_oly29.png Softball: Our team will fight against Netherlands for the spot

icon_oly29.png Sport Climbing: 2 quotas

icon_oly29.png Surfing: 1 or 0

icon_oly03.png Swimming: From 30 to 35

icon_oly22.png Table Tennis: 1 or 0

icon_oly23.png Taekwondo: Dell'Aquila is the biggest chance, maybe Rotolo

icon_oly24.png Tennis: 6 or 4

icon_oly25.png Triathlon: It's hard to say.. maybe 4 or 5.

icon_oly26.png Volleyball: Both teams

icon_oly03.png Water Polo: Both teams

icon_oly27.png Weightlifting: From 2 to 4

icon_oly28.png Wrestling: Chamizo is the only one that is sure to archive the qualification

2020Tokyo.png.5b0ae7e11858b8cd415a9f2123 Total Sports: 36

2020Tokyo.png.5b0ae7e11858b8cd415a9f2123 Optimistic Total Athletes: 406

2020Tokyo.png.5b0ae7e11858b8cd415a9f2123 Realistic Total Athletes: 297

2020Tokyo.png.5b0ae7e11858b8cd415a9f2123 Pessimistic Total Athletes: 241

Pessimistic prediction.

icon_oly29.png Baseball:  "No chance here, Netherlands will win the european quota." Why? It depend for roster, if many italo-american's player will be in national team, we can go to tokyo. Poss. 45%
icon_oly08.png Cycling - Track: "Italy is actually without a velodrome" Its' totally crazy, but we can qualify 10-12 bikers easily
icon_oly09.png Equestrian: Both jumping and -propably-eventing team will qualify.

icon_oly11.png Football: men's team have a big chance. Womens' team can qualify with some lucky

.
icon_oly15.png Field Hockey: Women's team are our biggest hope More than a hope. 51% today.
icon_oly29.png Skateboarding: I" know only Ivan Federico" Asia LAnzi in female street


In think that realistic prevision is 370-380 qualifiers. 400 is optimistic, less than 360 a tragedy

 

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icon_oly01.png Archery: 4 (Women's Team and one man. Though it isn't impossible that men's Team will qualify as well)

icon_oly03.png Artistic Swimming: 0

icon_oly02.png Athletics: Maybe About 60

icon_oly04.png Badminton: 4 to 6

icon_oly29.png Baseball: 0

icon_oly05.png Basketball: Maaaaybe the men's team

icon_oly26.png Beach Volleyball: 6 (to female Teams and one male)

icon_oly06.png Boxing: No idea. 6 Maybe?

icon_oly07.png Canoeing - Slalom: A starter in all Events. Makes 5.

icon_oly07.png Canoeing - Sprint: Again, a boat in each category

icon_oly08.png Cycling - BMX: 1

icon_oly08.png Cycling - Mountain Bike: 4

icon_oly08.png Cycling - Road: 7 or 8

icon_oly08.png Cycling - Track: 13

icon_oly03.png Diving: 8 to 10

icon_oly09.png Equestrian: 9

icon_oly10.png Fencing: 9

icon_oly15.png Field Hockey: Both teams

icon_oly11.png Football: At least one Team, hopefully

icon_oly13.png Golf: 4

icon_oly12.png Gymnastics - Artistic: 8 to 10

icon_oly12.png Gymnastics - Rhythmic: Women's Group and one individual athlete

icon_oly12.png Gymnastics - Trampoline: 1, maybe

icon_oly14.png Handball: Hopefully both Teams. But 1 Team is probably more realistic.

icon_oly16.png Judo: 12-14

icon_oly29.png Karate: No idea

icon_oly17.png Modern Pentathlon: 3-4

icon_oly18.png Rowing: I hope for all of the boats

icon_oly19.png Rugby Sevens: The men's Team has a tiny chance

icon_oly20.png Sailing: Most boats, because we Always do. I really don't know enough About sailing to be more precise

icon_oly21.png Shooting: About 20

icon_oly29.png Skateboarding: Probably none

icon_oly29.png Softball: No chance

icon_oly29.png Sport Climbing: 2 or 3

icon_oly29.png Surfing: 0

icon_oly03.png Swimming: 20-30

icon_oly22.png Table Tennis: Both teams

icon_oly23.png Taekwondo: 3 to 5

icon_oly24.png Tennis: 5 to 7

icon_oly25.png Triathlon: 4 to 6

icon_oly26.png Volleyball: Both Teams have a chance to qualify, though it won't be easy for either.

icon_oly03.png Water Polo: 0

icon_oly27.png Weightlifting: 4 to 6

icon_oly28.png Wrestling: About 6  

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8 hours ago, dcro said:

 

Well, I assume Samorin will be the likely host of the Group C team jumping qualifications, so you never know. With quotas being increased from one to two and Ukraine (probably) not cheating anymore, there will be a room for a Slovakian surprise. Which would be really crazy. :d

 

Man, even in a obscure Sci-Fi movie this would be a real miracle :lol:

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27 minuti fa, Giovanni Gianni Cattaneo ha scritto:

Pessimistic prediction.

icon_oly29.png Baseball:  "No chance here, Netherlands will win the european quota." Why? It depend for roster, if many italo-american's player will be in national team, we can go to tokyo. Poss. 45%
icon_oly08.png Cycling - Track: "Italy is actually without a velodrome" Its' totally crazy, but we can qualify 10-12 bikers easily
icon_oly09.png Equestrian: Both jumping and -propably-eventing team will qualify.

icon_oly11.png Football: men's team have a big chance. Womens' team can qualify with some lucky

.
icon_oly15.png Field Hockey: Women's team are our biggest hope More than a hope. 51% today.
icon_oly29.png Skateboarding: I" know only Ivan Federico" Asia LAnzi in female street


In think that realistic prevision is 370-380 qualifiers. 400 is optimistic, less than 360 a tragedy

 

I know, but i'm a little pessimistic :p You know

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13 ore fa, hckosice ha scritto:

icon_oly15.png Field Hockey: No ice, no fun

0


icon_oly20.png Sailing: we have no sea :(

0

 

the first one...:lol:

p.s. I agree, but only in part (it could be fun also without ice, even if on the ice it's definitely a lot better)...

 

 

the last one...also Hungary, Switzerland and Austria have no sea...:evil:

so, you can always hope even for a medal...;)

sooner or later...later more than sooner, I fear...:rofl::facepalm:

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vor 14 Stunden schrieb intoronto:

That's like asking why is canoe slalom anywhere near the Olympic program? Finally a team sport that is not centred in Europe!

I would say its rather like asking why womens ice hockey is at the olympics. Besides that i dont see how rugby, basketball, field hockey or even volleyball can be called euro-centric. The same is true for curling and ice hockey at the winter olympics.

Attachment is the great fabricator of illusions; reality can be obtained only by someone who is detached.
 

 

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vor 5 Stunden schrieb EselTheDonkey:

icon_oly01.png Archery: 4 (Women's Team and one man. Though it isn't impossible that men's Team will qualify as well)

icon_oly03.png Artistic Swimming: 0

icon_oly02.png Athletics: Maybe About 60

icon_oly04.png Badminton: 4 to 6

icon_oly29.png Baseball: 0

icon_oly05.png Basketball: Maaaaybe the men's team

icon_oly26.png Beach Volleyball: 6 (to female Teams and one male)

icon_oly06.png Boxing: No idea. 6 Maybe?

icon_oly07.png Canoeing - Slalom: A starter in all Events. Makes 5.

icon_oly07.png Canoeing - Sprint: Again, a boat in each category

icon_oly08.png Cycling - BMX: 1

icon_oly08.png Cycling - Mountain Bike: 4

icon_oly08.png Cycling - Road: 7 or 8

icon_oly08.png Cycling - Track: 13

icon_oly03.png Diving: 8 to 10

icon_oly09.png Equestrian: 9

icon_oly10.png Fencing: 9

icon_oly15.png Field Hockey: Both teams

icon_oly11.png Football: At least one Team, hopefully

icon_oly13.png Golf: 4

icon_oly12.png Gymnastics - Artistic: 8 to 10

icon_oly12.png Gymnastics - Rhythmic: Women's Group and one individual athlete

icon_oly12.png Gymnastics - Trampoline: 1, maybe

icon_oly14.png Handball: Hopefully both Teams. But 1 Team is probably more realistic.

icon_oly16.png Judo: 12-14

icon_oly29.png Karate: No idea

icon_oly17.png Modern Pentathlon: 3-4

icon_oly18.png Rowing: I hope for all of the boats

icon_oly19.png Rugby Sevens: The men's Team has a tiny chance

icon_oly20.png Sailing: Most boats, because we Always do. I really don't know enough About sailing to be more precise

icon_oly21.png Shooting: About 20

icon_oly29.png Skateboarding: Probably none

icon_oly29.png Softball: No chance

icon_oly29.png Sport Climbing: 2 or 3

icon_oly29.png Surfing: 0

icon_oly03.png Swimming: 20-30

icon_oly22.png Table Tennis: Both teams

icon_oly23.png Taekwondo: 3 to 5

icon_oly24.png Tennis: 5 to 7

icon_oly25.png Triathlon: 4 to 6

icon_oly26.png Volleyball: Both Teams have a chance to qualify, though it won't be easy for either.

icon_oly03.png Water Polo: 0

icon_oly27.png Weightlifting: 4 to 6

icon_oly28.png Wrestling: About 6  

Athletics: My current prediction is 63, so it should be something between 60 and 70.

Basketball: I think the men's team has a good chance, i would say only Spain, Serbia and France are stronger. Lithuania, Latvia, Greece, Turkey, Italy, Slovenia are all about on the same level at best.

Boxing: I think 6 is too optimistic. On the womens side i would say only Apetz has a chance and on the mens side there are 5 guys with a chance, but only if you count Harutyunyan who became a pro last year. My guess would be 3-4 (Apetz, Baraou, Ibrahim and maybe Harutyunyan).

Fencing: I dont see Germany qualifying 9 athletes. I think 6 or 7 would be the best possible outcome.

Football: I think the mens team will struggle to say the least, the guys born in 1997 or later are very weak.

Judo: 12-14 is definitely too optimistic in my opinion, i think 8 would be good.

Rowing: The situation is pretty promising, but i for example dont see Germany qualifiying a boat in womens eight.

Sailing: I think you are too optimistic, but lets see, my guess would be 4-6 boats (Buhl, Jurczok/Lorenz and 2 out of the remaining categories).

Taekwondo: I think 3 would be very good given the current situation.

Volleyball: I think no team qualifying is definitely more realistic than both qualifying. I think the mens team is clearly stronger, but they have a more difficult path to qualify.

 

So what would be your conclusion? How many german athletes realistically in Tokyo? Will it be a bigger team than in Rio (athletes in new sports excluded)?

Attachment is the great fabricator of illusions; reality can be obtained only by someone who is detached.
 

 

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vor 3 Stunden schrieb OlympicsFan:

Athletics: My current prediction is 63, so it should be something between 60 and 70.

Basketball: I think the men's team has a good chance, i would say only Spain, Serbia and France are stronger. Lithuania, Latvia, Greece, Turkey, Italy, Slovenia are all about on the same level at best.

Boxing: I think 6 is too optimistic. On the womens side i would say only Apetz has a chance and on the mens side there are 5 guys with a chance, but only if you count Harutyunyan who became a pro last year. My guess would be 3-4 (Apetz, Baraou, Ibrahim and maybe Harutyunyan).

Fencing: I dont see Germany qualifying 9 athletes. I think 6 or 7 would be the best possible outcome.

Football: I think the mens team will struggle to say the least, the guys born in 1997 or later are very weak.

Judo: 12-14 is definitely too optimistic in my opinion, i think 8 would be good.

Rowing: The situation is pretty promising, but i for example dont see Germany qualifiying a boat in womens eight.

Sailing: I think you are too optimistic, but lets see, my guess would be 4-6 boats (Buhl, Jurczok/Lorenz and 2 out of the remaining categories).

Taekwondo: I think 3 would be very good given the current situation.

Volleyball: I think no team qualifying is definitely more realistic than both qualifying. I think the mens team is clearly stronger, but they have a more difficult path to qualify.

 

So what would be your conclusion? How many german athletes realistically in Tokyo? Will it be a bigger team than in Rio (athletes in new sports excluded)?

 

About Fencing: I am slightly more optimistic, because this time there will be team events for all weapons. Men's sabre and Women's foil at the very least have a good chance to qualify, which would make already six competitors. And three more individual athletes seems possible, IMO.

 

As I said, I really don't know about sailing (Sailing bores me, to be honest). I was just guessing based on the last few Olympics. Therefore I certainly won't contradict you.

 

Yeah, I was probably a bit too optimistisc at Judo, but everything under 10 competitors would seriously disappoint me.

 

And I avoided a specific number on purpose. :p But I think it will be less starters than in Rio, unless we qualify in a lot of team sports. The National Athletics and Swimming Federations will probably be much less generous, to begin with.

Edited by EselTheDonkey
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4 hours ago, OlympicsFan said:

Athletics: My current prediction is 63, so it should be something between 60 and 70.

Basketball: I think the men's team has a good chance, i would say only Spain, Serbia and France are stronger. Lithuania, Latvia, Greece, Turkey, Italy, Slovenia are all about on the same level at best.

Boxing: I think 6 is too optimistic. On the womens side i would say only Apetz has a chance and on the mens side there are 5 guys with a chance, but only if you count Harutyunyan who became a pro last year. My guess would be 3-4 (Apetz, Baraou, Ibrahim and maybe Harutyunyan).

Fencing: I dont see Germany qualifying 9 athletes. I think 6 or 7 would be the best possible outcome.

Football: I think the mens team will struggle to say the least, the guys born in 1997 or later are very weak.

Judo: 12-14 is definitely too optimistic in my opinion, i think 8 would be good.

Rowing: The situation is pretty promising, but i for example dont see Germany qualifiying a boat in womens eight.

Sailing: I think you are too optimistic, but lets see, my guess would be 4-6 boats (Buhl, Jurczok/Lorenz and 2 out of the remaining categories).

Taekwondo: I think 3 would be very good given the current situation.

Volleyball: I think no team qualifying is definitely more realistic than both qualifying. I think the mens team is clearly stronger, but they have a more difficult path to qualify.

 

So what would be your conclusion? How many german athletes realistically in Tokyo? Will it be a bigger team than in Rio (athletes in new sports excluded)?

With boxing it is almost impossible to predict until we know the rules for qualification.

If professionals are allowed to compete and some of the German pros attempt to reach Tokyo it could as much as 10.

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I have to read all the qualification rules carefully to have a better prediction. for examples in sports like Table Tennis or Cycling it will depend on the qualification rules. for example I know we won't get 3 free quotas in Cycling anymore. so I prefer to wait after the Asian Games (where we bring all we have to the competition) to have a better prediction.

 

btw I see some users expect few quotas in Karate, you guys should really read the qualification rules. this is a world wide sport and only 10 spots available for each event. it will be extremely hard to qualify. Iran is a powerhouse in this sport but still I will be VERY happy with only 3 quotas.

 

 

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