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Men's Basketball FIBA World Cup 2023 Road to Paris 2024


Totallympics
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Over the next two days teams will have their final matches, let recap on the non-qualified/eliminated teams and summarize their chances at qualifying.

 

Africa

One spot remains between :CPV :NGR :SEN :TUN . Cape Verde just needs to win and they are in. However, they have a tough final opponent in Cote d'Ivoire. Nigeria could take advantage of that, but their opponent, Angola won't be easy either. On the other hand, both Senegal and Tunisia will be the favourites in their matches as they face Cameroon and Congo Dr respectively, but require both Cape Verde and Nigeria to lose in order to qualify. Tunisia holds the tie-breaker against Senegal and thus has a good chance at qualifying. However, Cape Verde has the goal differential advantage over Tunisia where the sum of Tunisia's victory and Cape Verde's loss must be greater than 18 for Tunisia to qualify (assuming Nigeria also loses).

 

Americas

Five spots remain between :ARG :BRA :DOM :MEX :PUR :VEN . The only direct match between the six teams is Argentina vs. Dominican Republic. The winner is guaranteed to qualify. Should the Dominican Republic win, Venezuela will also automatically qualify, regardless of their result against Canada. Should Argentina win then Venezuela cannot lose to Canada by more than 19 points more than the Dominican Republic. With that said, whoever finishes fourth in that group will still qualify to the World Cup should one of Brazil, Mexico or Puerto Rico loses their match. Brazil has the toughest opponent with the United States, but should they pull off the upset they will qualify. Should they lose, they will need a combination of Mexico winning against Uruguay while Puerto Rico losing against Colombia in order to qualify. Mexico will be eliminated should they and Puerto Rico lose and Brazil win's their match.

 

Asia-Oceania

One spot remains between :IRI :KAZ . This one is simple, Kazakhstan can only qualify if they defeat Australia and if China defeats Iran. While China winning is quite possible, Kazakhstan pulling off the upset is quite unlikely considering that they lost by 47 in their previous meeting.

 

Europe

Three spots remain. The first one is between :BEL :SRB . For Belgium to qualify they need to defeat Turkey while Serbia loses to Great Britain. Despite not having the best World Cup qualifying performance Serbia is still considered the favourite in winning the quota. The second quota is between :BIH :HUN :MNE . Montenegro is the most likely nation to qualify as they only need a win against bottom ranked Czechia. In the event of an upset, Bosnia just needs to defeat Hungary to qualify while the reverse creates a three-way tie where unless Hungary wins by 41 then Montenegro still qualifies. The third quota is between :GEO :ISL . With the two having a direct match the quota will go to Iceland if they win by more than 3, if not then Georgia qualifies.

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dramatic finish in Georgia, they played with fire when they decided to miss that FT on purpose (to avoid overtime) after 2 series of FTs GEO missed last FTs (this time not intentionally) and Iceland could grab the quota by a single point but missed the last shot.

 

ISL needed a 4pts win but they won by just 3.

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