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Men's Football FIFA World Cup 2022


Totallympics
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Personally I would do it this way:  

  

-12 groups of 4 teams each.  

-1st, 2nd and the best 8 3rd placed teams advance to a round of 32.  

-after the group phase all 32 teams that advance are ranked by their performance in group stage (like in the recent men's volleyball WCh) this creates an incentive for every team to do their best every match. 

-but you don't make the KO brackets just from that: you separate the teams into 4 pots and conduct another draw before the knockout stage. This is important in order to make sure you won't see teams trying to "pick" opponents by getting a specific result in their last group game. 

 

Knockout stage draw format:

 

Pot 1: Top 8 performing group winners. 

 

Pot 2: 4 remaining group winners + top 4 performing group runners up.  

 

Pot 3: 8 remaining runner up teams.

 

Pot 4: the 8 3rd placed teams. 

 

Teams from pot 1 can only draw teams from pot 4 in this draw. Teams from pot 2 only draw teams from pot 3. 

 

You also make sure all pot 1 teams are drawn into different Quarterfinal brackets (which is basically what we're doing in the current world cup format with the top 8 seeded teams before the tournament).

 

 

Convoluted? Yes. But this is the fairest thing they can do I think.

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But how are you going to compare the performances in different groups? Netherlands getting 7 points against Ecuador, Senegal and Qatar would mean the Netherlands is ranked better - basically due to an extremely lucky draw - than say Japan getting 6 points but against Germany and Spain, even though for all intents and purposes Japan's performance is significantly better?

Edited by heywoodu

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1 minute ago, heywoodu said:

But how are you going to compare the performances in different groups? Netherlands getting 7 points against Ecuador, Senegal and Qatar would mean the Netherlands is ranked better - basically due to an extremely lucky draw - than say Japan getting 6 points but against Germany and Spain, even though for all intents and purposes Japan's performance is significantly better?

-with 48 teams and 12 groups the quality teams would be much more evenly distributed in different groups.  

  

-Japan should have improved their world ranking during the previous 4 years in order to get an easier draw.   

-we should avoid seeding weak teams like Qatar in the highest pots. Everyone, even host teams, should be seeded according to their world ranking.

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and this is why I believe (the extra point rule with the head-2-head result being the main ond only tie-breaker) used in Hockey will solve this and I can guarantee you that all matches even in 3 teams groups will count and be played for the win from all teams

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The only real solution is either 32 or 64 teams, and the latter is way too many. Or 16, of course, as long as it results in a number with which one can make groups of 4 in such an amount that we don't need the unfair 'best third-placed teams' nonsense before going to knockout stages.

If you'd like to help our fellow Totallympics member Bruna Moura get to the 2026 Winter Olympics, after her car crash on the way to the 2022 Olympics, every tiny bit of help would be greatly appreciated! Full story and how to help can be found here!

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