intoronto 4,077 Posted September 1, 2022 #51 Share Posted September 1, 2022 On 8/30/2022 at 4:00 PM, De_Gambassi said: I see a pattern here Pattern continued one below your post lol De_Gambassi 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
intoronto 4,077 Posted September 2, 2022 #52 Share Posted September 2, 2022 Canada Artistic Swimming: Full team should qualify through the last chance tournament, sadly it seems the USA has surpassed us now. 8 Athletes Diving: I predict two synchro pairs to qualify (10m men and 3m women). That is 4 athletes, and those 4 will compete individually. I also predict one women in 10m and one man in 3 m, for a total. 6 athletes Marathon Swimming: With the quota cuts, I am not sure Canada will qualify anyone, optimistically I predict one male swimmer. 1 athlete Swimming: This is so hard to predict. I predict 23-26 swimmers Water polo: The women should qualify, if the USA advances outside the Pan Am Games, 12 athletes Archery: As usual, one male and one female, 2 athletes Athletics: Another hard sport to predict, but I estimate 55-60 athletes Badminton: Brian Yang, Michelle Li and Women's doubles should qualify. Men's doubles and mixed doubles have gone through changes so unsure if they can qualify in time for 2024. I predict 4 athletes. Basketball: I think this is the year for the men to finally qualify. I just think with the plan they have in place and the talent, it will be hard to not be in the top 2 in the Americas at the World Championships. The women are a solid bet to qualify, and the women's 3x3 are the world silver medalists. Both of those teams should qualify. Guess: 28 athletes. Boxing: I predict 4 boxers. Two World medalists on the women's side should qualify, along with Women's lowest weight category. A male boxer usually qualifies. Breaking: I really don't care about this sport (Lol), but Canada should qualify in both events. 2 athletes Canoeing slalom: Full team: 4 athletes Canoeing Sprint: Men's kayak: 6 quotas, Women's Kayak: 3 quotas, Men's canoeing: 1 quota, Women's canoeing: 2 quotas. 12 athletes Cycling BMX: 1 per gender: 2 athletes Cycling Freestyle: N/A, unlikely Mountain Biking: 1 per gender: 2 athletes Road: 2 men and 2 women: 4 athletes Track: Women's sprint: 3 athletes, Women's team pursuit: 4 athletes. Both omniums should qualify. Men's sprint: 1 athlete. 9 athletes Equestrian: Anything short of a full team will be a disappointment. 9 athletes Fencing: Men's and women's team foils should qualify, along with one athlete per each other discipline except men's epee. 9 athletes Field hockey: N/A Men and women unlikely to qualify Golf: 2 per gender, 4 athletes Gymnastics (artistic): Women's team, men's team has an outside shot, if not one individual. (6-10 athletes) Gymnastics Rhythmic: N/A, unlikely Gymnastics Trampoline: One per gender: 2 athletes Handball: Lol wut? Judo: Men's 73, Men's 81, Men's 100 and Men's +100, Women's 52, Women's 57 and Women's 63. 7 athletes Modern pentathlon: N/A, unlikely Rowing: 8 boats/31 athletes, based on 2022 World Championships team Rugby sevens: Women should qualify, Men unlikely too. (12-24 athletes) Sailing: Anywhere from 7-11 athletes Shooting: Cannot see anyone qualifying. Maybe out of luck there could be a couple who do. There is a shooter formerly of India who is waiting for citizenship to compete for Canada, would would easily qualify. My guess 0-3 athletes Skateboarding: Anywhere from 2-5 athletes Soccer: Women's team should qualify. 18 athletes Sport climbing: Sean McColl and Alannah Yip. 2 athletes Surfing: Unlikely; however optimistic about Ollin's chances of qualifying 0-1 athlete Table tennis: One male and one female: 2 athletes Taekwondo: Skylar Park, and that's about it. 1 athlete Tennis: Hard to gauge, but I predict 5, 2 men's singles, 2 women's singles and a women's doubles, with one of the women's singles. 5 athletes Triathlon: 4 athletes (2 per gender) Volleyball: No indoor team is likely to qualify, one male beach and one women's beach pair should qualify, 4 athletes Weightlifting: 2 athletes: Maude Charron and Boady Santavy. I can't see anyone else qualifying at this stage. Wrestling: Men's 65/ 125 kg fs, Women's 62 kg and 76 kg, are my predictions. 4 athletes Total: Approx 309 athletes Topicmaster1010 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Topicmaster1010 2,182 Posted September 2, 2022 #53 Share Posted September 2, 2022 Seeing as two of my compatriots have already done predictions for Canada, I'll go a different direction. Taiwan Archery: Shouldn't have a problem qualifying a full quota. 6 athletes Artistic Swimming: Not gonna happen. 0 athletes Athletics: Based on the qualification system for Tokyo, I believe there's 3 Taiwanese athletes that would qualify. The number could be up to 7 potentially. 2-7 athletes Badminton: Likely 2 guys in the singles, Tai Tzu-Ying in the women's singles, and a men's doubles teams With luck, maybe a mixed or women's doubles team and 2nd women's singles quota. 5-10 athletes Basketball: Pretty popular sport in the country especially among the younger generation but no chance of qualification. 0 athletes Boxing: Not too sure about this sport. The addition of one extra women's weight class should help Taiwan though. Let's say 2-5 athletes Breaking: Could be a good sport for Taiwan. Let's say at least one in each gender with a potential for 2nd quotas. 2-4 athletes Canoe Slalom: Maybe a continental quota. 0-1 athlete(s) Canoe Sprint: Also could get a continental quota here. 0-1 athlete(s) Cycling-Road: Maybe a chance to get a rider in either the men's or women's events. 0-1 athlete(s) Cycling-Track: Not happening. 0 athletes Cycling-BMX Racing: No way. 0 athletes Cycling-BMX Freestyle: You've got to be kidding me. 0 athletes Cycling-Mountain BIking: I'm starting to sound like a broken record here. 0 athletes Diving: Also not happening. 0 athletes Equestrian: Had a jumper in each of the last few games so hopefully we can expect the same again. 0-1 athlete(s) Fencing: Don't really know here. Maybe will get lucky and qualify an athlete. Most likely not. 0-1 athlete(s) Field Hockey: Until baseball/softball come back, don't expect to see Taiwan in any team events anytime soon. 0 athletes Football: See above. 0 athletes Golf: Finally a sport Taiwan is competitive at. Can expect two woman and one or two guys. 3-4 athletes Gymnastics-Artistics: Hopefully the men's team can qualify again. A woman should be able to qualify as well. 2-6 athletes Gymnastics-Rhythmic: 0 athletes Gymnastics-Trampoline: 0 athletes Handball: 0 athletes Judo: Men's -60kg, Women's -48kg and Women's -57kg. 3 athletes Rowing: Likely an athlete in the singles sculls: 0-1 athlete(s) Rugby Sevens: 0 athletes Sailing: Maybe a continental in one of the laser boats. Most likely not though. 0-1 athlete(s) Shooting: Definitely should be some quotas obtained here. Let's go with 3-5 athletes Skateboarding: Nope. 0 athletes Sport Climbing: Nope. 0 athletes Surfing: Nope. 0 athletes Swimming: Probably just the standard one man and one woman. Maybe a 2nd guy. 2-3 athletes Table Tennis: Full quota. 6 athletes Taekwondo: Between 3-4 athletes sounds about right. Men's -68kg, Men's -80kg, and Women's -57kg are the best bets. Tennis: Good chance of having of qualifying a women's doubles team. Maybe a man can qualify too. 2-3 athletes Triathlon: Pass. 0 athletes Volleyball: Not gonna happen. 0 athletes Water Polo: 0 athletes Weightlifting: This has generally always been Taiwan's most successful sport. But with the IOC killing weightlifting quotas, it also kills Taiwan's quotas as a result. Kuo Hsing-Chun should easily qualify. Chen Wen-Huei also has a good chance of qualifying. Hopefully at least a couple more males and females can qualify. Let's go with 3-6 athletes. Wrestling: Maybe one with a bit of luck. 0-1 athlete(s) In total, that puts Taiwan at around 60 athletes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinipereira 3,037 Posted September 19, 2022 #54 Share Posted September 19, 2022 Archery: hope we can qualify at least one team this time (as opposed to only one male and one female in Tokyo). 2-4 athletes. Artistic Swimming: maybe a duet but most likely none. 0 Athletics: hard to know. 32-40 athletes Badminton: one male and one female. 2 athletes Basketball: we had 0 athletes in Tokyo, maybe one of the teams can qualify now with some luck. 0-12 athletes Beach Volleyball: we're not as good as before, but it would be tragic not qualify the full quota. 8 athletes Boxing: Brazil is doing a good job is this sport and was gifted 3 medals in Tokyo. 5-7 athletes Breaking: Brazil has some good athletes so maybe one can qualify. 0-1 athlete Canoeing - Slalom: Pepe and Sátila should qualify. 2 athletes Canoeing - Sprint: the same as usual. 3-4 athletes Cycling - BMX: one male and one female in Racing. 2 athletes Cycling - Mountain Bike: one male (maybe 2) and one female. 2-3 athletes Cycling - Road: Brazil sucks so hard in this lol. 0 Cycling - Track: we're slowly improving here, maybe we can qualify this time. 0-2 athletes Diving: another sport we're improving so we should be able to keep the number of athletes from Tokyo. 4 athletes Equestrian: hoping for a full team at least in Jumping and Eventing. For Dressage, it's more difficult. 6-9 athletes Fencing: hoping for a team but that's just not realistic. 2-3 athletes Field Hockey: 0 Football: women's team already qualified, but for men it's always a gamble. 18-36 athletes Golf: not likely but who knows. 0-1 athlete Gymnastics - Artistic: if not for a disaster (it happened last time), both teams should qualify. 10 athletes Gymnastics - Rhythmic: the team should qualify, and an individual with some luck. 5-6 athletes Gymnastics - Trampoline: always hard, but maybe one female or one male can qualify. 0-1 athlete Handball: women's team is likely to qualify, but the men's is never certain. 14-28 athletes Judo: we should qualify a full team, barring an "anomaly" like last time. 13-14 athletes Marathon Swimming: Ana Marcela should qualify, for others it's more difficult. 1-2 athletes Modern Pentathlon: probably none? With some luck someone could qualify. 0-1 athlete Rowing: the guy from Tokyo could qualify again. 0-1 athlete Rugby Sevens: it would be embarrassing if the women's team didn't qualify. 12 athletes Sailing: we usually don't miss a lot of events here. 10-14 athletes Shooting: 0-2 athletes Skateboarding: not as easy this time to qualify the full quota. 10-12 athletes Sport Climbing: 0 Surfing: not likely to qualify 2 female athletes like in Tokyo. 3-4 athletes Swimming: like Athletics, hard to know, but something between 22-28 athletes Table Tennis: 6 athletes Taekwondo: 2-3 athletes Tennis: MS, MD, WS, WD all seem possible. 5-6 athletes Triathlon: some good results lately. 2-4 athletes Volleyball: what a disaster would be if we don't qualify both teams. 24 athletes Water Polo: 0 Weightlifting: 1-2 athletes Wrestling: 2-5 athletes Pessimistic: 230 Optimistic: 324 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vic Liu 1,558 Posted September 20, 2022 #55 Share Posted September 20, 2022 Archery: Full team. 6 athletes. Artistic Swimming: Favorite gold contender if Russia absent. 8 athletes Athletics: A few more than Tokyo if more tournaments participated with Covid curbs lifted. 54-60 athletes Badminton: Full team. 16 athletes Basketball: Women's team and Women's 3x3. 16 athletes Beach Volleyball: One or two pairs of women. 2-4 athletes Boxing: A few more than Tokyo as we are the host of Asian Games as qualifier and chaos of Tokyo's qualifier. 8-10 athletes Breaking: One boy and One girl are promising based on recent performance and another girl is possible. 2-3 athletes Canoeing - Slalom: Two or three from mk1/wk1/wc1. 2-3 athletes Canoeing - Sprint: Full team for Canoe and half team for Kayak. 13-15 athletes Cycling - BMX: 0 Cycling - Mountain Bike: Continental quotas. 1-2 athletes Cycling - Road: Barely get the quota or none. 0-2 athletes Cycling - Track: Progress expected Full team for women and at least one team quota for men. 11-14 athletes Diving: Full quotas but some athletes will attend two events. 10-12 athletes Equestrian: No more team quotas. 1-2 athletes Fencing: Two or three team quotas and rest are individuals. 10-12 athletes Field Hockey: 50% possibility of women's team. 0 or 16 athletes Football: 50% possibility of women's team. 0 or 18 athletes Golf: Full quotas for non world ranking top15. 4 athletes Gymnastics - Artistic: Full team. 10 athletes Gymnastics - Rhythmic: Group should be fine, one individual is quite likely. 5-6 athletes Gymnastics - Trampoline: Full team. 4 athletes Handball: No possibilities. 0 Judo: Very difficult for men and women should be fine. 6-8 athletes Marathon Swimming: continental quotas should be fine and rest is by luck. 2-3 athletes Modern Pentathlon: Full team. 4 athletes Rowing: Most unpredictable sports and my guess is a few less than Tokyo. 21-29 athletes Rugby Sevens: 50% possibility of women's team. 0 or 12 athletes Sailing: We may lose quotas of one or two events. 10-14 athletes Shooting: Possibly drop several quotas of men's shotgun and rest should be fine. 21-24 athletes Skateboarding: Same as Tokyo. 1-2 athletes Sport Climbing: Almost full quotas for speed and possible one or two quotas for boulder and lead. 4-6 athletes Surfing: 0 Swimming: A few more than Tokyo with covid curbs lifted. 38-46 athletes Table Tennis: Full team. 6 athletes Taekwondo: 4-6 athletes Tennis: Full team for women and possible one or two men. 6-7 athletes Triathlon: Maybe one continental quota. 0-1 athlete Volleyball: Women's team should be fine. 12 athletes Water Polo: Women's team should be fine. 12 athletes Weightlifting: Full quotas. 6 athletes Wrestling: Similar to Tokyo. 10-12 athletes Pessimistic: 346 Optimistic: 453 Realistic: Approx 400 (London 396, Rio 405, Tokyo 406) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vic Liu 1,558 Posted December 12, 2022 #56 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Some minor updates in red when 2022 season over Archery: Full team. 6 athletes. Artistic Swimming: Favorite gold contender if Russia absent. 8 athletes Athletics: A few more than Tokyo if more tournaments participated with Covid curbs lifted. 54-60 athletes Badminton: Full team. 16 athletes Basketball: Women's team and Women's 3x3. 16 athletes Beach Volleyball: One or two pairs of women. 2-4 athletes Boxing: A few more than Tokyo as we are the host of Asian Games as qualifier and chaos of Tokyo's qualifier. 8-10 athletes Breaking: One boy and One girl are promising based on recent performance and another girl is possible. 2-3 athletes Canoeing - Slalom: Two or three from mk1/wk1/wc1. 2-3 athletes Canoeing - Sprint: Full team for Canoe and half team for Kayak. 13-15 athletes Cycling - BMX: At least one and possible two quotas for women's freestyle given winning World Cup stage gold and silver 0 1-2 athletes Cycling - Mountain Bike: Continental quotas. 1-2 athletes Cycling - Road: Barely get the quota or none. 0-2 athletes Cycling - Track: Progress expected Full team for women and at least one team quota for men. 11-14 athletes Diving: Full quotas but some athletes will attend two events. 10-12 athletes Equestrian: No more team quotas. 1-2 athletes Fencing: Two or three team quotas and rest are individuals. 10-12 athletes Field Hockey: 50% possibility of women's team. 0 or 16 athletes Football: 50% possibility of women's team. 0 or 18 athletes Golf: Full quotas for non world ranking top15. 4 athletes Gymnastics - Artistic: Full team. 10 athletes Gymnastics - Rhythmic: Group should be fine, one individual is quite likely. 5-6 athletes Gymnastics - Trampoline: Full team. 4 athletes Handball: No possibilities. 0 Judo: Very difficult for men and women should be fine. 6-8 athletes Marathon Swimming: continental quotas should be fine and rest is by luck. 2-3 athletes Modern Pentathlon: Full team. 4 athletes Rowing: Most unpredictable sports and my guess is a few less than Tokyo. 21-29 athletes Rugby Sevens: 50% possibility of women's team. 0 or 12 athletes Sailing: We may lose quotas of one or two events, and a few more may lose if Asian Games is not continental qualifier. 10-14 athletes 8-12 athletes Shooting: Possibly drop several quotas of men's shotgun and rest should be fine. 21-24 athletes Skateboarding: Same as Tokyo. 1-2 athletes Sport Climbing: Almost full quotas for speed and possible one or two quotas for boulder and lead. 4-6 athletes Surfing: Possible one quota for women 0 0-1 athlete Swimming: A few more than Tokyo with covid curbs lifted. 38-46 athletes Table Tennis: Full team. 6 athletes Taekwondo: 4-6 athletes Tennis: Full team for women and possible one or two men. 6-7 athletes Triathlon: Maybe one continental quota. 0-1 athlete Volleyball: Women's team should be fine. 12 athletes Water Polo: Women's team should be fine. 12 athletes Weightlifting: Full quotas. 6 athletes Wrestling: Similar to Tokyo. 10-12 athletes Pessimistic: 346 345 Optimistic: 453 454 Realistic: Approx 400 (London 396, Rio 405, Tokyo 406) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rafalgorka 1,362 Posted January 11, 2023 #57 Share Posted January 11, 2023 Are there any users from other NOCs than before who would like to join this thread??? Could be interesting. Dnl 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dodge 681 Posted January 12, 2023 #58 Share Posted January 12, 2023 I’ll have a go for Athletics - 15 Quietly optimistic about Irish athletics. I’m hoping Rhasidat Adeleke continues her development at 400m. We’d need at least one relay team to reach 15 but I think we can do it Badminton - 1 Just Nhat Nguyen in the mens Boxing - 8 5 women and 3 men. Amy Broadhurst has moved to 66kg and I’m predicting she’ll win gold in Paris. 2 medals in Tokyo, we will surpass that Canoe Slalom - 1 We have 3 decent C1 paddlers and they’ll get one of the quotas and fight for it between them Cycling Road - 3 2 men and 1 woman for the first time. Mia Griffin is a world tour rider this year and I’m putting her down in hope more than expectation Cycling Track - 4 the women’s pursuit team will qualify and compete in the madison too Diving - 2 Hopeful that Tanya Watson will return and Jake Passmore graduates from the junior ranks Equestrian - 7 show jumping and eventing are already in. We’ll add a solo dressage competitor. The show jumping team will win a medal. Golf - 4 Any number of men could join McIlroy. Leona Maguire and Stephanie Meadow will go to their 3rd games. Medal chances in men’s and women’s Gymnastics - 2 Rhys McClenaghan in pommel and an all round woman, probably Emma Slevin. Hoping our world champ can get that Olympic medal Modern Pentathlon - 1 Natalya Coyle is rumoured to be on the comeback trail. Sive Brassil may qualify too Rowing - 18 Mens and women’s fours. Men’s and women’s lightweight sculls. Men’s and women’s pair. Women’s double. 2 medals with McCarthy and O’Donovan retaining gold. Rugby 7s - 24 Initially I was pessimistic about our chances to qualify but I now think our men will win at the Euro qualifier and the women will get in at the last chance qualifier. Medal chance for the men (outside) Sailing - 3 49er and Laser Radial. Laser is a possibility too. Going young Eve McMahon gets the nod at radial Swimming - 6 No relay this time but 6 individual with Daniel Wiffen being an outside chance of a medal in the distance events in the pool Taekwondo - 1 Jack Woolley will make his second games and anything could happen. Other sports were we have chances to qualify include Hockey (very much a down year for men and women), Triathlon (our Olympians effectively took 2022 off), weightlifting (because the qualification rules are insane) and shooting (men’s and women’s trap are somewhat competitive). Oldira and mpjmcevoy 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siddhartha Talukdar 112 Posted January 12, 2023 #59 Share Posted January 12, 2023 India Archery - 2: Should easily 1 individual per gender and even in mixed team after qualification. Team performance is too inconsistent to predict whether team shall qualify, although both teams are within top 10 in current Archery rankings Athletics - 20 to 25: Men and women 4 x 400 m relay teams, male triple jumpers and jumpers, Tokyo gold medalist Neeraj Chopra + one javelin thrower, 2-3 race walkers both genders, hope to see National Record holder in 1500m Harmilian Bains in action Badminton - 7: Men's Singles - Hopefully two of Lakshya Sen, HS Pronnoy and Srikanth Kidambi can be consistent to be ranked in top 16 Women's Singles - Just PV Sindhu, all young and upcming singles' performances have been very underwhelming Men's Doubles - Satwik and Chirag pair Women's Doubles - Upcoming pair of Treesa Jolly-Gopichand can step up and good enough to qualify Mixed Doubles - No qualification likely, perhaps pair of Ishaan-Tanisha can do a miracle Basketball - 0 Boxing - 4 in women 5 in men: World and Commonwealth Champion Nikhat Zareen should qualify. Other prominent boxers are Amit Panghal, Shiva Thapa and Lovlina Borgohain Breaking - 0 Canoeing - 0 Cycling - 1: Hopeful about former Junior World no 1 Esow Elben who is just 21 now Equestrian - 1: Asian Games silver medalist Fouaad Mirza in eventing Fencing - 1: Bhavani Devi in women's sabre, dark horse is Taniksha Khatri in women's epee Field Hockey - 32: Both teams are good enough to be Asian Games champions Football - 0 Golf - 4: Currently two males and one female are in qualifying list, Tvesa Malik should pick up to qualify Gymnastics - 0 Handball - 0 Judo - 1: via continental quota Modern Pentathlon - 0 Rowing - 1: Indian rowers have always been medalists in Asian Games Rugby sevens - 0 Sailing - 3: Tokyo 2020 participants Nethra Kumanan in Laser and pair of Ganapathy-Thakkar in Men's 49er should qualify again Shooting - 14: 3 already qualified in World Championships, additional qualifications should come in rifle and pistol events for both genders. Any qualification in shotgun is a bonus Skateboarding - 0 Sport climbing - 0 Surfing - 0 Swimming - 2: One male swimmer ma qualify via timing and female swimmer to qualify via Universality quota Other Aquatics - 0 Table Tennis - 4: Two per gender should qualify with one quota per gender guaranteed as Asia allots one of its quota to South Asia. Historic qualification will be team qualification which both teams are capable of Taekwondo - 0 Tennis - 0 Triathlon - 0 Volleyball - 0 Weightlifting - 1: Tokyo silver medalist and former World Champion Mirabai Chanu's weight category 49kg was retained and she remains the best weightlifter after the Chinese. 2018 Youth Olympics gold medalist Jeremy Lalrinnunga's weight category 67kg got axed and has to move to 73kg, with reduced quotas he really needs to work hard to qualify Wrestling - 7: same crop of wrestlers like Ravi Dahiya, Bajrang Punia, Vinesh Phogat should qualify again. None in Grec-Roman Total: Should range between 110-115. India has hit a ceiling with respect to contingent size (117 in Rio, 126 in Tokyo). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dnl 654 Posted January 12, 2023 Author #60 Share Posted January 12, 2023 9 hours ago, rafalgorka said: Are there any users from other NOCs than before who would like to join this thread??? Could be interesting. I mean I opened it and forgot to write my prediction so I’ll do it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now