Doing every event is too much for me, I'll just leave my picks for team sports in one post and that will be it. Of course, I'm assuming that certain teams would have qualified in a bunch of sports. My predictions for 2021 would be pretty much the same except 3 or 4 positions across all sports I think. The changes would be mostly related to a high age average of some teams or some sports in which the squads can drastically change year to year (men's football and men's rugby mostly).
Our team sees no benefit from this, most of the best athletes are old. There are some young people that should be better but I don't have any evidence that they would be much better in one year.
The anglo army came out with guns blazing with their statements and Dick Pound.
It's obvious the game will be postponed, we don't need them to tell us that it's all about their political sport agenda. Same as in Russia doping case.
It's especially funny from UK given they didn't give two shits about the virus like a week ago.
All the wealthy anglophone countries will surely pull out this week. A bit because it's the logical thing to do, of course, but also a bit because they would never miss an opportunity to show off their leverage against the big international sport organizations (IOC, FIFA, etc)
It would screw up 2021 sports calendar. 2022 would be even worse because would screw up 2021, 2022 and also 2023 sports calendars.
Athletes who would be at the peak of their careers this year could not be in their peak anymore in 2021/2022. In sports like Swimming you could have an athlete who in 2022 wins 3 golds, the same athlete if the Olympics were this year as planned would not have even competed because too young.
We would have an Olympic quadriennium with two Olympic Games in the same quadriennium. Qualifications would be screwed up for Tokyo and (if it will be Tokyo 2022) I fear also for Paris 2024 Olympic Games qualifications would have to change.
I'm sure that 90% of olympic sport international federations would sacrifice whatever calendar they have planned for 2021 in order to have their olympic event contested. Too many of them have total dependence on olympic-related revenue.
As for the peak of athletes, it is what it is. There have always been athletes that peaked in the middle of an olympic cycle and didn't do anything in OG. It's luck and it's the law of sport.
Qualifications, like Monzanator said, can always be simplified. It's not a big problem.
- Japan has covid completely under control by that date.
- Foreign spectators are banned. Only athletes and their supporting staff should be allowed in the country. With strict health controls before entering the village.
- No athletes are affected by big obstacles that difficult their training (e.g. training facilities closed) by mid April.
If any of these conditions isn't fulfilled, then I think they should be postponed for 2021. Naturally, the 3rd condition is the most unlikely as things are now.
I think the only thing that can postpone the games is a situation of most of the world's top athletes boycotting the games. Otherwise the games will go on, without spectators or however.
Edit: sorry for the new page. People, I strongly recommend you read the article linked by Phelps.
Some of these prospects listed are just way too optimistic. And even with such optimistic standards, Mali in 3x3 basketball is just ridiulous. They never even took part at WC. Their ranking is very high so they probably are not even eligible to enter any qualification tournament. And finally, 3x3 basketball has very limited pool of favorites, much like the regular basketball... So Mali's chance of a medal is not 1%, it's not even 0.1% or 0.001%. It 0%.
Eh I remember last time we didn't even list here the jordanian medalist and also that a universality shot put athlete from Congo was 4th, so... I don't think I should tighten the criteria. Otherwise the list would be 7 people and this thread would be boring.
As for Mali, are you certain they have no chance left to qualify? Like, there aren't any more events to earn ranking points? (How far away are they from a place at the OQT btw?).
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it's all about their political sport agenda. Same as in Russia doping case.
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