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DaniSRB

How Many Medals do You Expect from Your Nation at the Winter Olympic Games 2018?

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cypher    2
il y a 3 minutes, heywoodu a déclaré:

And Italy in women's GS (Brignone, Bassino, Goggia, Moelgg) is not entirely unrealistic, though of course not likely. 

Ok in that case in biathlon Germany Norway France Ukraine(w) could by a miracle

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heywoodu    2,671
1 minute ago, dcro said:

 

You are using "unrealistic" wrong. Italian sweep in that event is quite unlikely, so it's definitely not realistic. :d

 

In any case, I honestly hope not to see any clean sweep. What's the fun in that anyway? Unless it's like Dutch speed skating and after a certain point you hope it gets as ridiculous as it can get. :p

Unrealistic means not realistic :d 

 

Unlikely indeed, but if I'd have to name a decent number of events, 'gun to the head', for someone who loves seeing sweeps, this would be one I'd tell this person to keep an eye on. 

 

And yeah I agree, I prefer as many 3-nation podiums as possible :d 

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De_Gambassi    235

18-20

 

Cross Country : 0-2

Nordic Combined : 0-1

Ski Jumping: 0

Alpine Skiing: 2-3

Freestyle skiing: 4-5

Snowboarding: 2-3

Biathlon: 7

Figure skating: 1 (that's the easy one)

Speed Skating/Short Track : 0-1

Sliding sports: 0

 

The skiing federation (FIS + IBU disiciplines) is aiming at 20 medals for its disciplines. It's doable, but it sounds like the very upper limit.

 

 

 

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SalamAkhi    15
il y a 25 minutes, De_Gambassi a déclaré:

18-20

 

Cross Country : 0-2

Nordic Combined : 0-1

Ski Jumping: 0

Alpine Skiing: 2-3

Freestyle skiing: 4-5

Snowboarding: 2-3

Biathlon: 7

Figure skating: 1 (that's the easy one)

Speed Skating/Short Track : 0-1

Sliding sports: 0

 

The skiing federation (FIS + IBU disiciplines) is aiming at 20 medals for its disciplines. It's doable, but it sounds like the very upper limit.

 

 

 

You can potentially add some chances in all the sports (except speed skating) .. I don't think 20 is the upper limit with a bit of luck

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De_Gambassi    235
il y a 20 minutes, SalamAkhi a déclaré:

You can potentially add some chances in all the sports (except speed skating) .. I don't think 20 is the upper limit with a bit of luck

 

I could also drop some chances here and there too. The point is to give a kind of realistic bracket for each sport/discipline.The FFS probably annonuced its objective too soon (before the season started actually).

 

18 is the number I'm personnaly looking for (allreay 3 more than our record in Sochi). Then, the more, the merrier :)

Edited by De_Gambassi

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SalamAkhi    15
Juste maintenant , De_Gambassi a déclaré:

 

I could also drop some chances here and there too. The point is to give a kind of realistic bracket for each sport/discipline.The FFS probably annonuced its objective too soon (before the season started actually).

 

18 is the number I'm personnaly looking for (allreay 3 moue than ou reccord in Sochi). Then, the more, the merrier :)

18 would be sufficient for the FFS with a bit of help from the FFSG :)

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OlympicIRL    868

I am confident we will win somewhere in the region of 0-10 medals.

  • Haha 2

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dcro    2,242
16 minutes ago, OlympicIRL said:

I am confident we will win somewhere in the region of 0-10 medals.

 

That's pessimistic projection, isn't it?

 

0-14 should be the realistic one.

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OlympicIRL    868
1 minute ago, dcro said:

 

That's pessimistic projection, isn't it?

 

0-14 should be the realistic one.

 

I think it's very doubtful we will start in 14 events :d

 

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phelps    351
2 hours ago, heywoodu said:

Which makes me think of another question: which events do you think are the most likely to see a one-country podium? To be clear, mentioning an event doesn't mean you actually expect this to happen, just that in your opinion it's a bigger possibility than other events (for example I don't think men's 5000m will be swept by the Netherlands, but it's still 100% more likely than the women's 500m :p ).

 

Women's luge - Germany

Men's ski jumping (normal and large hill) - Germany/Norway

Nordic combined (both individual events) - Germany/Norway

Cross-country (several events) - Norway

 

This came to mind real quick :p 

 

 

France in women's snowboardcross (and this is more than likely...actually, there are just 3/4 girls who could avoid it)...

Germany in men's Bobsleigh (mainly in 4-man, but I don't exclude the 2-man neither, if they can enter 3 sleds -I'm not 100% aware of qualifications criteria in Bobsleigh)

Russia (pardon, OAR) in women's single (Figure Skating)

South Korea in all 1000m and, even more, in all 1500m races in Short Track Speedskating (those last 2 being the most likely of the entire Games program)...

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SalamAkhi    15
Juste maintenant , phelps a déclaré:

 

France in women's snowboardcross (and this is more than likely...actually, there are just 3/4 girls who could avoid it)...

Moioli seemed very strong in last races (home effect ?) and Jacobellis is not to be underestimated ... but I will not lie, that would be my preference :p

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intoronto    328

Wouldn't put it past Canada to sweep either the men's slopestyle or big air in snowboarding either...

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