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DaniSRB

How Many Medals do You Expect from Your Nation at the Winter Olympic Games 2018?

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heywoodu    1,292

Anyway, it's always hard of course. To use Dutch speedskating as an example: there's medal chances in literally every event, some higher than others. But saying there is a chance in women's 500m (which of course there is) doesn't mean I actually think that's going to happen :p The Dutch team could realistically get a total of 10 medals, but also a total of 20 medals. Which is why coming up with a total is nearly impossible when looking at every event individually :p 

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heywoodu    1,292
Just now, dcro said:

 

Germany won't sweep any of the luge podiums. This aint' Oberhof.

 

It's not North America neither, so women's sweep is far from unrealistic. 

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I think even a German sweep in Ski Jumping is right now more likely than in men's luge. PyeongChang is no hometrack and even there Ludwig and Langenhan made only one podium this winter so far.

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dcro    1,102
1 minute ago, heywoodu said:

 

It's not North America neither, so women's sweep is far from unrealistic. 

 

Lillehammer next week will be the perfect reference.

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heywoodu    1,292

Which makes me think of another question: which events do you think are the most likely to see a one-country podium? To be clear, mentioning an event doesn't mean you actually expect this to happen, just that in your opinion it's a bigger possibility than other events (for example I don't think men's 5000m will be swept by the Netherlands, but it's still 100% more likely than the women's 500m :p ).

 

Women's luge - Germany

Men's ski jumping (normal and large hill) - Germany/Norway

Nordic combined (both individual events) - Germany/Norway

Cross-country (several events) - Norway

 

This came to mind real quick :p 

 

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dcro    1,102
1 minute ago, heywoodu said:

Men's ski jumping (normal and large hill) - Germany/Norway

 

Ehm... What happened to Stoch?

 

I'd say men's 5000m is more likely than any of the events you mentioned. :p

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heywoodu    1,292
3 minutes ago, dcro said:

 

Ehm... What happened to Stoch?

 

I'd say men's 5000m is more likely than any of the events you mentioned. :p

Ah yeah, it should say Germany/Norway/Poland. 

 

And not exactly, especially De Vries winning a medal would be a small surprise (since he's sort of the Janine Flock of speed skating) and Blokhuijsen isn't a guaranteed medal shot neither. 

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cypher    0

Hi :bye:

 

France in Skicross

 

I'm kiddin' Sotchi sweep was unbelievable

 

Norway and Germany are the moer realistic chances of sweep in many sports

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heywoodu    1,292
17 minutes ago, EselTheDonkey said:

Austria has a chance in men's slalom (Hirscher, Matt, Feller).

And Italy in women's GS (Brignone, Bassino, Goggia, Moelgg) is not entirely unrealistic, though of course not likely. 

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heywoodu    1,292

Oh and for my adopted nation, I'm going for 1 medal: some Steven Bradbury-like luck is gonna take Isabel Clark Ribeiro to Brazil's historic first medal :cool:

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dcro    1,102
2 minutes ago, heywoodu said:

And Italy in women's GS (Brignone, Bassino, Goggia, Moelgg) is not entirely unrealistic, though of course not likely. 

 

You are using "unrealistic" wrong. Italian sweep in that event is quite unlikely, so it's definitely not realistic. :d

 

In any case, I honestly hope not to see any clean sweep. What's the fun in that anyway? Unless it's like Dutch speed skating and after a certain point you hope it gets as ridiculous as it can get. :p

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