Winter Universiade 2017

[hckošice 13,217]

35 minutes ago, heywoodu said:

No idea yet, they basically arrived, threw down their stuff, sent me some pictures and went to sleep, understandably  

 

I'll definitely ask today though before they're off to the opening ceremony  

 

yes I see. well, tell her to wave strongly the flag during the opening ceremony then, we will watching

[heywoodu 13,540]

1 minute ago, hckosice said:

 

yes I see. well, tell her to wave strongly the flag during the opening ceremony then, we will watching

Deal  

 

Fun fact: if you happen to see a photo of the village somewhere and you notice a Brazilian flag in front of a window: that's the flag from the opening ceremony of the IBU Open European Championships in Poland last week  

Edited January 29, 2017 by heywoodu

[Gianlu33 3,570]

Russia defeated USA 7-1... what?! 

[heywoodu 13,540]

5 minutes ago, Gianlu33 said:

Russia defeated USA 7-1... what?! 

I doubt USA sent anywhere near their best college players

 

Just for fun I looked at their roster and took one example: Cassandra Dunne plays at Penn State University, yet on PSU's website she's not even listed in the team roster so maybe she's not even in the 'main team' there or something...apart from that, the college season doesn't stop for the Universiade, so I'm guessing colleges want to keep their best players.

[heywoodu 13,540]

06:00 CET tomorrow....everyone root for BIB 15 please 

http://wuni2017.sportresult.com/nh/en/-360/Comp/Info/StartList/CCW005101

 

 

[ahjfcshfghb 285]

9 minutes ago, heywoodu said:

06:00 CET tomorrow....everyone root for BIB 15 please 

http://wuni2017.sportresult.com/nh/en/-360/Comp/Info/StartList/CCW005101

 

 

Tell her we have money riding on her finishing in the top 50  

Nah but yes the Brazil Totallympics Fanclub formally extends its full support all in favor I you everybody

[heywoodu 13,540]

1 minute ago, ahjfcshfghb said:

Tell her we have money riding on her finishing in the top 50  

Nah but yes the Brazil Totallympics Fanclub formally extends its full support all in favor I you everybody

 

It's so incredibly hard to predict by the way, way harder than in biathlon. Like these Chinese: they only ever competed in China (with the exception of the previous Universiade for one of them) so it's nearly impossible to know how strong they are. Same thing for the Koreans, who finish minutes behind other Koreans in local races, but again, hard to predict..the Americans are even worse, with some of them only competing some non-FIS college races. 

 

At least a good number of Polish, Ukrainian, Belarussian and even Mongolian athletes competed against Mika in December, which gives me a bit of a comparison  

[ahjfcshfghb 285]

3 minutes ago, heywoodu said:

 

It's so incredibly hard to predict by the way, way harder than in biathlon. Like these Chinese: they only ever competed in China (with the exception of the previous Universiade for one of them) so it's nearly impossible to know how strong they are. Same thing for the Koreans, who finish minutes behind other Koreans in local races, but again, hard to predict..the Americans are even worse, with some of them only competing some non-FIS college races. 

 

At least a good number of Polish, Ukrainian, Belarussian and even Mongolian athletes competed against Mika in December, which gives me a bit of a comparison  

Yeah I don't recognize any of the racers except Kaznacenko from Lithuanian biathlon. Haha

Then again I don't follow XC skiing as closely.

How were the athletes in relation to Mika? They had similar speeds at the Biathlon ECH.

Edited January 29, 2017 by ahjfcshfghb

[heywoodu 13,540]

1 minute ago, ahjfcshfghb said:

Yeah I don't recognize any of the racers except Kaznacenko from Lithuanian biathlon. Haha

Then again I don't follow XC skiing as closely.

How were the athletes in relation to Mika? They had similar speeds at the Biathlon ECH.

 

My full list so far

 

Spoiler

Athlete	Nation	FIS distance	FIS sprint	Notes	Chance
Anna Nechaevskaia	RUS	43,19	125,05
Marion Buillet	FRA	52,89	122,99
Ewelina Marcisz	POL	67,60	136,31
Maria Davydenkova	RUS	68,41	77,57
Olga Repnitsyna	RUS	68,74	116,03
Anna Shevchenko	KAZ	69,63	127,77
Celine Chopard-Lallier	FRA	71,62	279,10
Anastasia Mayngardt	BLR	75,41	141,76	JAN17 vs Mika: -7:15 (10km C); -4:45 (7,5km F) + WC this season	1
Lilia Vasilieva	RUS	77,33	109,44
Anna Stoyan	KAZ	79,86	121,29
Kseniia Malevannaia	RUS	81,11	121,47
Martyna Galewicz	POL	81,14	246,28
Olga Mandrika	KAZ	82,39	168,05
Coralie Bentz	FRA	84,74	233,21
Andrea Klementova	CZE	86,45	208,77
Lali Kvaratskheliya	RUS	87,58	106,92
Irina Bykova	KAZ	88,47	152,89
Kozue Takizawa	JPN	89,65	245,89
Oxana Glavatskikh	RUS	91,90	117,18
Ina Lukonina	BLR	93,79	162,76	JAN17 vs Mika: -7:10 (10km C); -4:05 (7,5km F) + WC this season	1
Jogscha Abderhalden	SUI	96,37	279,36		--
Anzhelika Tarassova	KAZ	97,06	204,94
Lea Damiani	FRA	97,86	320,97
Yukari Tanaka	JPN	102,76	237,22
Angelina Shuryga	KAZ	103,09	258,07
Viktoriia Olekh	UKR	114,10	231,84
Maryna Bukinich	BLR	120,95	152,56	NOV/DEC16 vs Mika: -3:45 (10km F); -3:10 (5km C); -4:00 (5km C); -0:46 (SP F Q)	1
Anastasiia Moskalenko	RUS	121,03	97,73
Marina Matrossova	KAZ	130,23	255,10
Maryia Roshchynskaya	BLR	131,34	250,66	DEC16 vs Mika: -0:30 (SP F Q); -1:50 (7,5km F); -3:15 (10km F); -0:20 (SP F Q); JAN17 vs Mika: -5:50 (10km C); -3:20 (7,5km F)	2
Lee Ji-yun	KOR	133,59	601,22
Yulia Tarasenko	UKR	137,70	308,34
Marija Kaznacenko	LTU	140,95	190,01
Mariia Nasyko	UKR	153,14	286,01
Yonca Karademir	TUR	157,57	428,59
Christel Pichard-Jolicoeur	CAN	163,30	263,25	2015/16 vs Jaque: +1:30 (5km F); +2:37 (10km C Mst); +0:02 (5km C); Nothing in 16/17	3
Aneta Smerciakova	SVK	164,24	275,37		-
Andrée-Anne Théberge	CAN	172,33	318,31	2015/16 vs Jaque: +0:40 (5km F); +0:05 (SP F Q); +0:30 (5km C)	3
Valentina Ebel	KAZ	181,83	303,30
Otgontsetseg Chinbat	MGL	195,41	438,99
Oksana Siheti	UKR	196,10	312,67
Iryna Solovei	UKR	198,11	376,64
Emma Camicioli	CAN	198,58	255,58	DEC16 vs Jaque: +0:23 (SP Q C); +4:30 (10km F); +2:50 (10km F)	4
Yoo Dan-bi	KOR	200,85	401,62
Bae Min-ju	KOR	200,90	495,69
Eva Segecova	SVK	201,75	238,86		--
Kim Bo-ra	KOR	202,24	597,97
Kim Eun-ji	KOR	214,00	585,86
Enkhtuul Ariunsanaa	MGL	216,34	389,75	DEC16 vs Mika: -1:20 (10km F); -1:25 (5km C); -1:15 (5km C); -0:45 (10km F)	4
Consuelo Confortola	ITA	220,61	378,27	Only competed in Italian junior competitions	3
Kyla Vanderzwet	CAN	227,47	337,36	2015/16 vs Jaque: +1:10 (5km F); +0:20 (SP F Q)	3
Bruna Moura	BRA	251,44	458,63
Katarzyna Stokfisz	POL	279,16	249,08	DEC16 vs Mika: -0:55 (SP C Q); -0:35 (SP F Q); -1:05 (7,5km F)	3
Magdalena Czusz	POL	304,81	336,16	DEC16 vs Mika: -0:40 (SP C Q); -0:20 (SP F Q); -0:40 (7,5km F)	5
Sierra Jech	USA	316,66	x	No results this season, nothing to compare in 15/16	4
Meghan Kent	USA	316,85	689,65	JAN17 vs Camicioli: +1:45 (10km F); +0:20 (SP C Q); +7:00 (20km C Mst)	5
Daryna Mazur	UKR	324,38	801,31	DEC16 vs Mika: -0:10 (5km C); +2:40 (10km F); +0:40 (SP C Q)	8
Yara Thomas	USA	347,91	416,19	JAN17 vs Camicioli: +1:20 (10km F); -0:12 (SP C Q)	4
Delgermaa Bat-Ochir	MGL	402,68	383,44	15/16 vs Puigdefabregas: +0:50 (SP F Q); +1:15 (5km F); +2:40 (7,5km C)	3
Emma Malmquist	USA	702,04	544,87	Only 4 FIS races ever, all of them in JAN17 in USA. +0:03 vs Camicioli (SP C Q); +5:30 vs Camicioli (20km C Mst)	7
Shelby Dickey	CAN	x	x	All races: two races in August 2015 in NZL, sprint C and 5km F, 230+ and 280+ FIS points	5
Zhang Xue	CHN	x	x	61st of 64 in 2015 Universiade 5km C, no results since Universiade 2015	3
Wu Aiting	CHN	x	x	Only has a few results in January 2014 in China, all between 200 and 250 FIS points	3
Li Lei	CHN	x	x	Just races in China, only a 50km C in the past two years (12+ minutes behind Holly Brooks)	3
Zhao Yuan	CHN	x	x	Same races as Li Lei, but 15 minutes faster in the 50km C and usually a bit faster in the SP Q and short races	2
Jael Compagnoni	ITA	x	x	No resutls since DEC15	3
Kunduz Abdykadyrova	KGZ	x	x	XC WCH15: 2:10 behind Mika (5km F, 16 years) ; IBU JC Hochfilzen DEC16, 4:00 behind Gabi (SP, skiing time)	10
Helen Cutting	USA	x	x	No FIS results	4
Sierra Foster	USA	x	x	No FIS results	5
Adrienne Sulser	USA	x	x	No FIS profile

 

So an athlete like Ukrainian Mazur was 2:40 minutes slower than Mika in a 10km freestyle in December and 40 seconds slower in a classic sprint qualifying. That's definitely beatable for Bruna.

 

The numbers at the far-right are the chance for Bruna to beat the athlete, with 1 being basically impossible, 5 being somewhat 50/50 (as far as I could guess) and 10 being 'easy'  

 

Everyone under 100 FIS points isn't realistic so I'm not gonna check them any further, but I'll look at the Koreans, Slovaks, couple of Ukrainians and the other Mongolian later  

[ahjfcshfghb 285]

8 minutes ago, heywoodu said:

 

My full list so far

 

  Hide contents

Athlete	Nation	FIS distance	FIS sprint	Notes	Chance
Anna Nechaevskaia	RUS	43,19	125,05
Marion Buillet	FRA	52,89	122,99
Ewelina Marcisz	POL	67,60	136,31
Maria Davydenkova	RUS	68,41	77,57
Olga Repnitsyna	RUS	68,74	116,03
Anna Shevchenko	KAZ	69,63	127,77
Celine Chopard-Lallier	FRA	71,62	279,10
Anastasia Mayngardt	BLR	75,41	141,76	JAN17 vs Mika: -7:15 (10km C); -4:45 (7,5km F) + WC this season	1
Lilia Vasilieva	RUS	77,33	109,44
Anna Stoyan	KAZ	79,86	121,29
Kseniia Malevannaia	RUS	81,11	121,47
Martyna Galewicz	POL	81,14	246,28
Olga Mandrika	KAZ	82,39	168,05
Coralie Bentz	FRA	84,74	233,21
Andrea Klementova	CZE	86,45	208,77
Lali Kvaratskheliya	RUS	87,58	106,92
Irina Bykova	KAZ	88,47	152,89
Kozue Takizawa	JPN	89,65	245,89
Oxana Glavatskikh	RUS	91,90	117,18
Ina Lukonina	BLR	93,79	162,76	JAN17 vs Mika: -7:10 (10km C); -4:05 (7,5km F) + WC this season	1
Jogscha Abderhalden	SUI	96,37	279,36		--
Anzhelika Tarassova	KAZ	97,06	204,94
Lea Damiani	FRA	97,86	320,97
Yukari Tanaka	JPN	102,76	237,22
Angelina Shuryga	KAZ	103,09	258,07
Viktoriia Olekh	UKR	114,10	231,84
Maryna Bukinich	BLR	120,95	152,56	NOV/DEC16 vs Mika: -3:45 (10km F); -3:10 (5km C); -4:00 (5km C); -0:46 (SP F Q)	1
Anastasiia Moskalenko	RUS	121,03	97,73
Marina Matrossova	KAZ	130,23	255,10
Maryia Roshchynskaya	BLR	131,34	250,66	DEC16 vs Mika: -0:30 (SP F Q); -1:50 (7,5km F); -3:15 (10km F); -0:20 (SP F Q); JAN17 vs Mika: -5:50 (10km C); -3:20 (7,5km F)	2
Lee Ji-yun	KOR	133,59	601,22
Yulia Tarasenko	UKR	137,70	308,34
Marija Kaznacenko	LTU	140,95	190,01
Mariia Nasyko	UKR	153,14	286,01
Yonca Karademir	TUR	157,57	428,59
Christel Pichard-Jolicoeur	CAN	163,30	263,25	2015/16 vs Jaque: +1:30 (5km F); +2:37 (10km C Mst); +0:02 (5km C); Nothing in 16/17	3
Aneta Smerciakova	SVK	164,24	275,37		-
Andrée-Anne Théberge	CAN	172,33	318,31	2015/16 vs Jaque: +0:40 (5km F); +0:05 (SP F Q); +0:30 (5km C)	3
Valentina Ebel	KAZ	181,83	303,30
Otgontsetseg Chinbat	MGL	195,41	438,99
Oksana Siheti	UKR	196,10	312,67
Iryna Solovei	UKR	198,11	376,64
Emma Camicioli	CAN	198,58	255,58	DEC16 vs Jaque: +0:23 (SP Q C); +4:30 (10km F); +2:50 (10km F)	4
Yoo Dan-bi	KOR	200,85	401,62
Bae Min-ju	KOR	200,90	495,69
Eva Segecova	SVK	201,75	238,86		--
Kim Bo-ra	KOR	202,24	597,97
Kim Eun-ji	KOR	214,00	585,86
Enkhtuul Ariunsanaa	MGL	216,34	389,75	DEC16 vs Mika: -1:20 (10km F); -1:25 (5km C); -1:15 (5km C); -0:45 (10km F)	4
Consuelo Confortola	ITA	220,61	378,27	Only competed in Italian junior competitions	3
Kyla Vanderzwet	CAN	227,47	337,36	2015/16 vs Jaque: +1:10 (5km F); +0:20 (SP F Q)	3
Bruna Moura	BRA	251,44	458,63
Katarzyna Stokfisz	POL	279,16	249,08	DEC16 vs Mika: -0:55 (SP C Q); -0:35 (SP F Q); -1:05 (7,5km F)	3
Magdalena Czusz	POL	304,81	336,16	DEC16 vs Mika: -0:40 (SP C Q); -0:20 (SP F Q); -0:40 (7,5km F)	5
Sierra Jech	USA	316,66	x	No results this season, nothing to compare in 15/16	4
Meghan Kent	USA	316,85	689,65	JAN17 vs Camicioli: +1:45 (10km F); +0:20 (SP C Q); +7:00 (20km C Mst)	5
Daryna Mazur	UKR	324,38	801,31	DEC16 vs Mika: -0:10 (5km C); +2:40 (10km F); +0:40 (SP C Q)	8
Yara Thomas	USA	347,91	416,19	JAN17 vs Camicioli: +1:20 (10km F); -0:12 (SP C Q)	4
Delgermaa Bat-Ochir	MGL	402,68	383,44	15/16 vs Puigdefabregas: +0:50 (SP F Q); +1:15 (5km F); +2:40 (7,5km C)	3
Emma Malmquist	USA	702,04	544,87	Only 4 FIS races ever, all of them in JAN17 in USA. +0:03 vs Camicioli (SP C Q); +5:30 vs Camicioli (20km C Mst)	7
Shelby Dickey	CAN	x	x	All races: two races in August 2015 in NZL, sprint C and 5km F, 230+ and 280+ FIS points	5
Zhang Xue	CHN	x	x	61st of 64 in 2015 Universiade 5km C, no results since Universiade 2015	3
Wu Aiting	CHN	x	x	Only has a few results in January 2014 in China, all between 200 and 250 FIS points	3
Li Lei	CHN	x	x	Just races in China, only a 50km C in the past two years (12+ minutes behind Holly Brooks)	3
Zhao Yuan	CHN	x	x	Same races as Li Lei, but 15 minutes faster in the 50km C and usually a bit faster in the SP Q and short races	2
Jael Compagnoni	ITA	x	x	No resutls since DEC15	3
Kunduz Abdykadyrova	KGZ	x	x	XC WCH15: 2:10 behind Mika (5km F, 16 years) ; IBU JC Hochfilzen DEC16, 4:00 behind Gabi (SP, skiing time)	10
Helen Cutting	USA	x	x	No FIS results	4
Sierra Foster	USA	x	x	No FIS results	5
Adrienne Sulser	USA	x	x	No FIS profile

 

So an athlete like Ukrainian Mazur was 2:40 minutes slower than Mika in a 10km freestyle in December and 40 seconds slower in a classic sprint qualifying. That's definitely beatable for Bruna.

 

The numbers at the far-right are the chance for Bruna to beat the athlete, with 1 being basically impossible, 5 being somewhat 50/50 (as far as I could guess) and 10 being 'easy'  

 

Everyone under 100 FIS points isn't realistic so I'm not gonna check them any further, but I'll look at the Koreans, Slovaks, couple of Ukrainians and the other Mongolian later  

Very comprehensive 

Does Bruna aim for Olympics 2018? Surely she will be there. She has the FIS points already!