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hckosice

Winter Olympic Games 2018 Early Qualification Predictions

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Jur    57

:ESP

Team Size prediction for Winter Olympic Games 2018 PyeongChang

 

Ski Sports

 

Alpine Skiing  (3) - With our best skiers retiring last year, the young team's best case scenario would be one woman and two men to qualify, que can't ask for more.

Cross Country Skiing  (1) - Also Laura Orgue, our best skier, retired when Sochi ended, I don't think there's another girl out there compiting. So a men should have an "easy" way to qualify.

Ski Jumping  (-) - Does not exist here, sadly. And doesn't look like the federation is looking to improve it. They let our former training instalations to get old, and know they can't be used, they're pretty much in ruins. I don't think we are going to be present in that sport, at least for the next 30 years.

Nordic Combined  (-) - Same thing.

Freestyle Skiing  (1) - Well, I'm confident in this one. I don't know what Katia Griffits is up to, maybe she retired, no idea. But we have young boys around that are doing good work. For the first time ever, the federation is funding some guys; and the fact that the World Championships are in Spain this year is motivating them a lot, so I hope it works for at least one of them.

Snowboarding  (6) - Yep, I'm maybe going all over the place with this one, but our three men in cross, Queralt Casteller, Maria Hidalgo and Josito Aragon, I saw all of them with chances.

Biathlon  (1) - I only see Victoria Padial getting in, no chances for men.

 

 

Skating Sports

 

Speed Skating  (1) - We have a men who's doing good, and that's all.

Short Track Speed Skating  (-) - Well, 2016 is the first time Spain had national championships in this sport, we have a long way to go.

Figure Skating  (5) - I still see Javier Fernandez as World Champ this year, so that would give three men's quotas. Also, I think that a dance quota would be easy, even with our best couple (Sara and Adria) spliting last year. Sadly, I don't see any women getting a place, and that's bad because a women would qualify Spain for the Team Event too.

 

 

Sleigh Sports

 

Luge  (-) - Not existing sport.

Skeleton  (1) - Mirambell should be back. Sadly I don't see our girl getting a place, but we'll see about that.

Bobsleigh  (-) - Well, we have a girl duo fighting for it, but I don't know, I'm not positive about that, since the federation doesn't look like they're working on them much....

 

 

Team Sports

 

Curling  (-) - Coming from medallist in Mixed Curling in 2013 I think, it's sad were we are know. No chance at all.

Ice Hockey  (-) - Well, we have no chance now, and that's kinda enbarrasing.

 

 

 

Total Optimistic Prediction  -  (28)

Total Pessimistic Prediction  - (16)

 

Total Realistic Prediction  -  (20)

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DaniSRB    451

I have no idea if we have any chance except alpine skiing and i guess we will try bobsleigh

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hckosice    1,422
46 minutes ago, intoronto said:

Total Optimistic Prediction  -  (230)

Total Pessimistic Prediction  - (180)

 

Total Realistic Prediction  -  (200)

 

This feeling when even most pessimistic prediction is 180 :lol::CAN  :bowdown:

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hckosice    1,422
23 minutes ago, DaniSRB said:

I have no idea if we have any chance except alpine skiing and i guess we will try bobsleigh

 

:SRB has actually a very interesting prospect in alpine skiing mens speed disciplines :)

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Pavlo    55

Ski Sports

 

Alpine Skiing  (2-3) - just guessing, we`re hopeless, Korea is far far away

Cross Country Skiing  (8-10) - probably 2 full teams lets say

Ski Jumping  (6-7) - probably full men`s team + 2 girls?

Nordic Combined  (3-4) - we even have a chance for a full team quota

Freestyle Skiing  (0-2) - hard to say today

Snowboarding  (1-2) - as above

Biathlon  (7-8) - full woman`s team +2-3 guys?

 

 

Skating Sports

 

Speed Skating  (8-10) - we`re quite useful, this is realistic

Short Track Speed Skating  (2-3) - 2 girls + 1 guy

Figure Skating  (2-3) - ice dance + maybe 1 solo skater

 

 

Sleigh Sports

 

Luge  (5) - lets say 1 pair, and 1+2 ind (we will see in which gender 1, in which 2)

Skeleton  (0-1) - maybe someone will qualify

Bobsleigh  (3-5) - 2 + maybe 4

 

 

Team Sports

 

Curling  (0) - no comments

Ice Hockey  (0) - no comments

 

 

 

Total Optimistic Prediction  -  (63)

Total Pessimistic Prediction  - (43)

 

Total Realistic Prediction  -  (53)

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DaniSRB    451
6 minutes ago, hckosice said:

 

:SRB has actually a very interesting prospect in alpine skiing mens speed disciplines :)

i've heard yesterday a skier scored below 10 points :hyper:

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hckosice    1,422
1 minute ago, DaniSRB said:

i've heard yesterday a skier scored below 10 points :hyper:

 

well he was on podium in both yesterdays FIS races :d 1st and 2nd and it´s not that it was just a random race, there were plenty of interesting names competing. very promising guy.:bounce:

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DaniSRB    451
1 minute ago, hckosice said:

 

well he was on podium in both yesterdays FIS races :d 1st and 2nd and it´s not that it was just a random race, there were plenty of interesting names competing. very promising guy.:bounce:

that's nice to hear :d

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Dragon    207

:GBR

Team Size prediction for Winter Olympic Games 2018 PyeongChang

 

Ski Sports

 

Alpine Skiing  (3-4) Ryding and Tilley are WC points scorers, Guest is inside top 75 in world. Jack Gower improving as a downhiller but maybe not good enough yet.

 

Cross Country Skiing  (2-3) – Best GB team ever assembled. Andrew Young is outside medal chance, Musgrave is improving. Question is whether a woman will qualify

Ski Jumping  (0) – Teenagers compete at FIS Cup leval. Maybe 2026?

Nordic Combined  (0) - No athletes.

Freestyle Skiing  (3-8) – Very strong in the new big air event, good at slopestyle, others on edge of qualification

 

Snowboarding  (5-8) – Same as freestyle

Biathlon  (1-2) – Probably qualifying 1 of each sex.

 

 

Skating Sports

 

Speed Skating  (0-2) – Which would surprise people!. A British-Canadian just qualified for the world cup and a British-Dutchman is improving. May just come too early for them this time

Short Track Speed Skating  (4-10) – I expect 2 of each sex to qualify then it becomes a question of relay teams

Figure Skating  (2-5) – Ice dancers will be there.  Rest will be close but probably not qualify

 

 

Sleigh Sports

 

Luge  (0-2) – Might qualify in doubles Unlikely to take up place

Skeleton  (3-6) -. 2 women, 1 man will qualify easily. 5 places likely, 6unlikely

Bobsleigh  (8-15) – One men’s four and women’s sled easily. Perhaps two of each. (I’m counting reserves) 

 

 

Team Sports

 

Curling  (14) – Would be shocked if any fail to qualify

Ice Hockey  (0) - No. 

 

 

Total Optimistic Prediction  -  (79)

Total Pessimistic Prediction  - (47)

 

Total Realistic Prediction  -  (56)

Edited by Dragon

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Agger    296

:DENDenmark

Team Size prediction for Winter Olympic Games 2018 PyeongChang

 

Ski Sports

 

Alpine Skiing  (1-4) - If Chrisoffer Faarup keeps out of serious injuries, he should be a safe bet for downhill, Super-G and combined. Our super talent, Marcus Vorre and Casper Dyrbye Næsted may also have a decent shot. A small chance for a female skier as well, which would most likely be Charlotte Lemgart or Yina Moe-Lange

Cross Country Skiing  (0-2) - On the paper Martin Møller is our strongest bid, but he is getting old. Therefore I guess it will mainly be Lasse Hulgaard going for it. He's showing decent speed, but I'm not feeling too confident

Ski Jumping  (0) - Surprise, surprise. We have no jumpers! :p

Nordic Combined  (0) - Not better at all! 

Freestyle Skiing  (0-4) - I'm not sure at all about this prediction. Laila Friis-Salling has done very well on the half pipe and young Nicoline Nielsen could step up in the ski cross. I don't know about Rasmus Dalberg Jørgensen, Thomas Trads (both slopestyle)  Jannick Fjeldsø (moguls)

Snowboarding  (0) - It seems like we have one snowboarder, Lasse Lehwald, but he's not competing at a high enough level. Though he's young, I don't see a reason believing in him.

Biathlon  (0-1) - We have a very interesting talent in Anders Emil Schiellerup, but I don't really know if he has a shot. He's aiming for the Olympics, but it's hard for me to predict.

 

 

Skating Sports

 

Speed Skating  (0-3) - Viktor-Hald Thorup, Stefan Due Schmidt and Elena Møller-Riegas should all have decent chances for the Olympics. All 3 are good mass starters, while especially Thorup may be able to qualify in the 5000m. 

Short Track Speed Skating  (0) - I'm not completely sure, but I don't think we have any active short track speed skaters.

Figure Skating  (0) - We have a high class ice dancing pair representing us, but sadly Laurence Fournier isn't a danish citizen. Therefore the pair in ineligible. Our best solo skaters retired during the last 1½ year, making a danish participation highly unlikely.

 

 

Sleigh Sports

 

Luge  (0) - Haha

Skeleton  (0) - Not really

Bobsleigh  (0) - We tried in the begining of the century, but right now we have nothing

 

 

Team Sports

 

Curling  (0-10) - It's really hard to understand our men's team. At the worlds in 2016, they won the silver medal. Now they're relegated from the European Championships. Fingers are crossed for the 12 points from the silver being enough (it was in 2014). The women have 5 points and are qualified for the Worlds next year. The Olympics are within reach for them, but a bit better than the 8th place from the Worlds would be great. Of course both will get the chance in the OQT if they don't qualify through the rankings. A mixed team seems unlikely.

Ice Hockey  (0) - It was another disaster in the men's OQT. The women are up against Switzerland, meaning that we more or less need a miracle to qualify.

 

 

 

Total Optimistic Prediction  -  (24)

Total Pessimistic Prediction  - (1)

 

Total Realistic Prediction  -  (17)

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heywoodu    2,362
30 minutes ago, Pavlo said:

 

Biathlon  (7-8) - full woman`s team +2-3 guys?

 

 

I would say either 2 or 5 guys, not 3 :p 

 

6-20 in the Nations Cup get 5 quota (maybe 10-20, not sure, I know the 20th place is the last one to get 5 quota), whereas 21st and 22nd get 2 quota. 

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