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Fly_like_a_don

How Many Medals do You Expect from Your Nation at the 2018 Summer Youth Olympic Games?

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dcro    2,855

1 in beach handball

1 in rowing

1-2 in sailing

1 in taekwondo

 

A rough estimate. But these Games are really not about the medals, or competition for that matter.

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heywoodu    3,385

Why is 'youth' in the actual name of the event not written with a capital letter where it should be with a capital letter, whereas 'many', 'medals', 'you', 'expect', 'your' and 'nation' are written with a capital which should not be the case? :p 

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Dunadan    187
32 minutes ago, heywoodu said:

Why is 'youth' in the actual name of the event not written with a capital letter where it should be with a capital letter, whereas 'many', 'medals', 'you', 'expect', 'your' and 'nation' are written with a capital which should not be the case? :p 

1) It's not important;

2) it's a title so if you want to be pedantic every word except prepositons, conjunctions and articles should be capitalized

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17 hours ago, nitinsanker said:

I feel that you may be too optimistic in gold

 

atheletics - as per wiki we do not have a hammer thrower but wiki is often wrong m but I think rana after the japanese nakamura should be a likely silver and chitravel in triple and suraj in 5000km walk both have some chance ......so 0-1-1

 

badminton - i would say lakshya for a medal - possibly silver or bronze as he is currently ranked 3rd, I do not feel vaishnavi will medal  so 0-0-1

 

shooting - definately our best chance , with 4 shooters , all except Mane of world repute , but shooting is such an inexact sport so 1-0-1 in my opinion , possibly a mixed medal also is possible but it is such a crapshoot 

 

boxing - Jyoti again this definitely a gold prospect  so 1-0-0

 

wrestling - Manasi and Simran should medal but going against the japanese or chinese in womens wrestling  is tough so I will say 0-1-1

 

Hockey with aus and arg in the reckoning and arg on home ground we will get possibly 0-0-1 in my estimate, i hate that indian hockey does so badly in every multimedal event I am pessimistic 

 

weightlifting - jeremy should get a silver so 0-1-0

 

TT -i think manav has a chance so 0-0-1

 

all the rest including mixed shooting , judo , archery 0-0-1

 

total as per me ............. allowing for one bronze drop out 

 

2-3-6     11 medals 

 

 

Those predictions were on June 12th and things have changed a lot from there.. Many reallocations have taken place... So obviously that looks over optimistic now..... 

Here are the new chances. 

Athletics - javelin throw 1 medal.. 1s

If the rule of 2001 and 2002 born only wasn't there.. Things could have been different.. 

Boxing -1g Jyothi... 

Badminton -1g/s Provided Lakshya doesn't crumble under pressure. Vaishnavi was ranked 4th and had a chance after winning certain tournaments.. But an injury doesn't give her so much chance  now .

Shooting -We should get 3 medals but it's not a very predictable sport... So at least 1 gold and 1s/b must come... 

Weightlifting -1s/b Jeremy 

Wrestling -Mansi should reach the finals but there she may face the Japanese(provided she beats Europeans first) .. 

Simran doesn't have any Chinese or Japanese to worry about.... But one American and a Mongolian...

Hockey -We are the top 4 teams in the tournament in both categories.....  We have a strong side in both boys and girls... We almost choked to Malaysia in the qualifiers in boys and girls lost to China.... Both these could turn as re match for bronze... The girls side though has a vast experience.... And one can not underestimate the forward in senior team Lalremsiami.... So 1-2 medals 

Judo -Tababi Devi 1 gold 

I thought 1 medal but now she is the favourite for the gold all of a sudden..... 

So 9-10 medals including 3-4 golds

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nitinsanker    62
7 minutes ago, Fly_like_a_don said:

Those predictions were on June 12th and things have changed a lot from there.. Many reallocations have taken place... So obviously that looks over optimistic now..... 

Here are the new chances. 

Athletics - javelin throw 1 medal.. 1s

If the rule of 2001 and 2002 born only wasn't there.. Things could have been different.. 

Boxing -1g Jyothi... 

Badminton -1g/s Provided Lakshya doesn't crumble under pressure. Vaishnavi was ranked 4th and had a chance after winning certain tournaments.. But an injury doesn't give her so much chance  now .

Shooting -We should get 3 medals but it's not a very predictable sport... So at least 1 gold and 1s/b must come... 

Weightlifting -1s/b Jeremy 

Wrestling -Mansi should reach the finals but there she may face the Japanese(provided she beats Europeans first) .. 

Simran doesn't have any Chinese or Japanese to worry about.... But one American and a Mongolian...

Hockey -We are the top 4 teams in the tournament in both categories.....  We have a strong side in both boys and girls... We almost choked to Malaysia in the qualifiers in boys and girls lost to China.... Both these could turn as re match for bronze... The girls side though has a vast experience.... And one can not underestimate the forward in senior team o.... Sr o 1-2 medals 

Judo -Tababi Devi 1 gold fin

I thought 1 medal but now she is the favourite for the gold all of a sudden..... 

So 9-10 medals including 3-4 golds

why gold  .tababi ....not following judo much ..........i thin manav in tt is ranked 3rd in world and he can definately medal. vaishnavi is 5th now i think 

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12 minutes ago, nitinsanker said:

why gold  .tababi ....not following judo much ..........i thin manav in tt is ranked 3rd in world and he can definately medal. vaishnavi is 5th now i think 

https://www.ijf.org/competition/1593/judoka_athletes?id_weight=69....The list is quite weak... They merge 2 weights here so that the 2nd weight I'm not sure... But the Spanish and Ukrainian could be good... Yet so many countries from developing nations including our neighbours Nepal and Bhutan are there... The No 1 in the category is a classic example... She is qualified as no 1 bcoz she participated in many tournaments but when it came to big tournaments... She has lost in first rounds... So it tells about the system... More you participate more you earn... 

TT : Sometimes rankings may not depict a lot... The Chinese and Japanese are good... And Manav took so many tournaments to qualify losing to many unknown athletes... In girl's Archana Kamath is from my state.. She attended the college 1 day whole year yet got 7th rank in 12th exams (I too wrote the 12th exam  this year. :d    and getting 97% is not that easy... I missed from being in top 20 by couple of marks :( ..)..So may be she takes   more time for books  than practice :pBut that's common in India :lol:

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mrv86    401

Mexico will only win one, in women's sabre.

Anything else will be a surprise.

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intoronto    479

Everyone is so pessimistic about their country's performance, I wonder who will surprise then lol.

 

For Canada:
Athletics - None are ranked in top 5 of their respective events, few are not even the best in Canada. Prediction= 0

Archery - Average Archer, likely won't medal. Prediction = 0

Badminton - Top 10 in the world, outside shot, but unlikely. Prediction = 0

Beach volleyball - Did bot qualify, received a wild card. The team finished fifth at the World Championships, so outside shot of a medal. Prediction = 1

Boxing - Received a spot only because USA had to reduce team size. Prediction = 0

Dancesport - Both did not medal at the Worlds, so no chance I think. Prediction = 0

Fencing - All are relatively good, but don't expect medals. Prediction = 0

Field hockey - Defending silver medallists, but they lost to Mexico in qualifying, so I don't expect a medal here. Prediction = 0

Gymnastics - Outside shots in artistic gymnastics and trampoline. Prediction = 1-2

Judo - Both are not competing in their weight class, so 0 expectations. Prediction = 0

Rowing - Only athlete could challenge for a medal, not don't think she will win. Prediction = 0

Rugby - This should be Canada's only guaranteed medal. Anything below a silver would be a major shock. Prediction = 1

Shooting - No chance. Prediction = 0

Sport climbing - Did not qualify, only received a reallocated spot, meaning no chance. Prediction = 0

Swimming - This is literally Canada's B/C team. I would be shocked at a medal. Prediction = 0

Taekwondo - Depending on the draw, he may medal. Prediction = 1

Triathlon - I doubt he medals. Prediction = 1

Wrestling - Both qualified only because the USA had to cut its team size. Prediction = 0


So 5-6 medals. 

 

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Federer91    243

We are sending 24 athletes, not familiar with many of them, but i think we could get 3-4 medals. Alexandra Nacheva and Valentin Hristov have big chances in athletics, as well as Andrian Andreev in tennis. We have athletes in rhythmic gymnastics, weightlifting, boxing, wrestling, all sports where if things go right, we could get something.  

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MHSN    385

It's hard to predict, most athletes are unknown but for no big change Iran as usual we expect medal in certain sports. this time mostly Wrestling, Taekwondo and Karate.

 

in wrestling, all 4 wrestlers should win a medal. because there are only 3 or max 4 good wrestlers in each weight.

in taekwondo, we have a full 6 athlete team. all of them are favorites for a medal , I expect 4 at least.

and in Karate, again all 5 of them will have a chance for medal. but the level is higher here. all qualified athletes are pretty good. so I expect 2 here.

and in weightlifting, our team doesn't look good but based on entries I think one medal is a a sure thing.

 

I'm not sure if I can expect anything else from other sports. there is a chance in futsal but they are in the same group with Brazil and Russia ! I expect something like 10-11 medals. including at least 4 gold medals.

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heywoodu    3,385

I'm not even starting to try and predict this. Athletes at this age are often so inconsistent, plus they have so little competition against each other to compare them amongst each other. Making a realistic prediction really only is possible if you follow the 15-16-17-year olds in these sports and frankly if it's not biathlon, I usually don't :d 

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Olympian1010    303
3 minutes ago, heywoodu said:

I'm not even starting to try and predict this. Athletes at this age are often so inconsistent, plus they have so little competition against each other to compare them amongst each other. Making a realistic prediction really only is possible if you follow the 15-16-17-year olds in these sports and frankly if it's not biathlon, I usually don't :d 

That’s why I like the youth Olympics because they’re unpredictable 

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