For Aistis that is the case, but in dressage there should be two reserves on the ready: Sandra Sysojeva and Dalia Katinaite-Pranckeviciene.
Sadly Sysojeva was out for most of the last season when the team qualification mattered, however this year she made a stellar debut on a new horse Maxima Bella - 70% right off the bat.
Well, that's too bad for Mia Hastrup, as funnily enough, Hastrup & Constantin M are supreme to Trunda & Shutterflykke at cross-country.
Trunda just got lucky to get his result at an easy (if not suspiciously easy) course in Romania...
Trunda may get in, but only in case someone withdraws as he is the first reserve.
At any rate, this can't be official since the FEI will only start allocating individual spots on February 19 (once all teams are confirmed).
Only by looking through the result manually.
Projected dressage qualification can be seen here at the bottom.
And there is one more change compared to my projection. Groups D/E are indeed combined in eventing, so +1 -1.
Rankings are out now and it is confirmed. Agarwalla has earned a spot. Textbook last ditch effort.
He is safe to qualify even if FEI changed the rules now and allowed Brazil to keep their team. What a disappointment to have the same thing happen again, this time even after beating Canada at the Pan Ams.
It is still unclear to me whether the Groups D & E in eventing are combined or not.
I assumed they weren't, but if they are the only net change is that would get a second spot at the expense of missing out.